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Articles Tagged Hot Stove 

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December 5, 2013 6:00 am

Ask the Industry

8

Zachary Levine

What the people making moves said when we asked them why they're making moves.

Why now? Why so early? Why so many at once?

The questions were obvious after the Hot Stovepocalypse, as Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller titled their podcast running down the Tuesday transactions that had various levels of impact on 14 different teams. (I voted for Beane-anza.)

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Ben and Sam discuss the year's busiest day for big baseball news.

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December 3, 2013 6:40 am

Rumor Roundup: Re-Upping Ramirez

0

Daniel Rathman

The Dodgers consider an extension for Hanley Ramirez, and Bronson Arroyo awaits an offer.

Dodgers discussing extension with Hanley Ramirez
General manager Ned Colletti has been relatively quiet so far this offseason. Apart from a one-year, $10 million pact with Dan Haren that fortified the rear of manager Don Mattingly’s rotation, fans waiting for a big splash have not gotten it. For now, it appears, the biggest news is likely to come from within.


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The Tigers trade Doug Fister to Washington, and the internet wonders why.



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The staff looks back at some of the 2012 Hot Stove rumors that proved fruitless, and what might have been had they come true.

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The notable quotables from the week that was.

REMEMBERING MICHAEL WEINER

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November 21, 2013 9:11 am

Transaction Analysis: Four Teams Bet on Bouncebacks

1

Ben Lindbergh and Craig Goldstein

Josh Johnson signs with San Diego, Cleveland adds David Murphy, and the Rangers and Orioles add intriguing righty relievers.



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Seven simple rules to make your Hot Stove trade rumors more realistic.

While looking toward the future with our comprehensive slate of current content, we'd also like to recognize our rich past by drawing upon our extensive (and mostly free) online archive of work dating back to 1997. In an effort to highlight the best of what's gone before, we'll be bringing you a weekly blast from BP's past, introducing or re-introducing you to some of the most informative and entertaining authors who have passed through our virtual halls. If you have fond recollections of a BP piece that you'd like to nominate for re-exposure to a wider audience, send us your suggestion.

Matt Swartz offered a handy rumormongering primer in the piece reprinted below, which was originally published as an "Ahead in the Count" column on November 17, 2009.

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Predictions, statistics, and analysis about the newly unemployed players who will soon be employed.

It's back and bigger than last year. There are a few things to clear up before getting to the list. First, the players are ranked by a combination of their expected impact and their AAV—hence why a closer can finish in the top 20. Players with injury histories were nudged down the list, perhaps too much, based on what we saw last winter. The predictions are total guesswork, and to drill that point home I've included predictions made by a random number generator. Chance doesn't know about depth charts, team behaviors, budgets, or any of the like, so keep that in mind.

Finally, there are no international free agents involved. Masahiro Tanaka seems like a quality pitcher, but if I haven't seen the player in some form or another then he's not included.

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December 7, 2012 4:22 pm

Overthinking It: Teams That Still Have Holes to Fill

15

Ben Lindbergh

What work is still left to be done for some of baseball's playoff contenders?

Although this year’s Baseball Winter Meetings were regarded as relatively slow, only seven teams checked out of the Opryland without making some sort of move. While Zack Greinke and Josh Hamilton remain at large and Angel Pagan was the highest-ranked free agent removed from the market, many clubs found ways to fill holes during the four-day event. But even though the most eventful week of the winter is over, it’s still fairly early in the offseason, and a number of teams left Nashville with help wanted at one or more positions. Here are six winning teams from 2012 that will have to plug holes before Opening Day to return to contention in 2013:

Oakland Athletics, Shortstop: As of today, Oakland’s shortstop depth chart is topped by 29-year-old Adam Rosales, a career .241 TAv hitter without a great glove. The A’s have been open about their desire to upgrade at the position, with Stephen Drew and Hiroyuki Nakajima named by Billy Beane as their top free-agent targets. Drew declined to exercise a $10 million mutual option that would have kept him in Oakland through 2013, but he and the team continue to discuss another deal.  The A’s aren’t depending on Drew: the team reportedly engaged in trade talks for Yunel Escobar and Asdrubal Cabrera in Nashville and could go after Jhonny Peralta if Drew departs. While the outcome is no clearer than it was a week ago, A’s director of baseball operations Farhan Zaidi said the team was able to “lay some groundwork” that could lead to a solution later this winter.

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If an expansion team with a Yankees budget wanted to build a team out of this year's free agents, what would it look like?

You can’t build a team around free agents, say the people who don’t think you can build a team around free agents. To them, the only way to build a team is through the draft, waiver claims and occasional trades. To paraphrase the great movie Waterboy (which is such a great movie that you can watch it for free on YouTube), “Free agents are the devil!” Well, maybe so if you’re living in the real world, but this is Baseball Prospectus where we can do anything we want provided it fits on a spreadsheet and won’t wake our parents upstairs.

Another thing some people like to say is that baseball teams aren’t just names on paper. They’re real people. Well, not here they aren’t, mister! Here players are one-dimensional entities devoid of emotion and everything else that won’t show up on our computer machines. In that spirit, I’m not only going to build a baseball team exclusively out of free agents, but I’m going to do it only on (virtual) paper. Eat that, straw men I just created!

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November 6, 2012 8:16 am

Overthinking It: This Offseason's Generic-Brand Bargains

5

Ben Lindbergh

Smart GMs don't pay for the brand name, but for the product. These players might have baggage but they get the job done as well as their expensive counterparts.

The free agency period, which got underway over the weekend, is a time when smart teams tread carefully, aware that the market contains as many potential pitfalls as it does opportunities. Land a high-profile free agent and you’re likely to improve your team, but you’ll also run the risk of succumbing to the Winner’s Curse, the tendency of a team to have to overpay for a player in order to outbid all his other suitors.

However, some less prominent players with lower contract demands stand a chance to approximate a more expensive player’s production, so a team can always try to cut costs and minimize risk by looking for comparable players with a little less buzz. Just as a smart shopper saves on over-the-counter medications by buying generic instead of paying a premium for a patent and nice packaging, a smart GM ignores name recognition in favor of production and price.

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