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Articles Tagged High School Players 

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09-25

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Area Code Games
by
Chris Rodriguez

08-31

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13

108 Stitches: The Importance of the Area Code Games
by
Dan Evans

10-14

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39

Doctoring The Numbers: Starting Them Young, Part Two
by
Rany Jazayerli

10-13

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57

Doctoring The Numbers: Starting Them Young, Part One
by
Rany Jazayerli

06-04

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28

Future Shock: Mock Draft 2010
by
Kevin Goldstein

06-04

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Future Shock: Mock Draft 2008
by
Kevin Goldstein

08-19

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Lies, Damned Lies: Slotto Bonanzas, Part Two
by
Nate Silver

06-28

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Future Shock: The Draft Spectrum, Part Two
by
Kevin Goldstein

10-16

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Future Shock: Monday Morning Ten-Pack
by
Kevin Goldstein

10-14

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0

Future Shock: Where Did the Tigers and the Athletics Come From?
by
Kevin Goldstein

10-11

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Remembering Buck O'Neil
by
Alex Belth

06-05

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Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part 12
by
Rany Jazayerli

06-02

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Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part 11
by
Rany Jazayerli

03-27

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Future Shock: How Do Teams Draft?
by
Kevin Goldstein

09-13

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Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part Seven
by
Rany Jazayerli

08-02

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Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part Six
by
Rany Jazayerli

07-13

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Lies, Damned Lies: Book Review, Scout's Honor
by
Nate Silver

06-09

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Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part Five
by
Rany Jazayerli

06-02

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Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part Four
by
Rany Jazayerli

05-25

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Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part Three
by
Rany Jazayerli

05-19

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Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part Two
by
Rany Jazayerli

05-13

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Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft
by
Rany Jazayerli

07-09

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Lies, Damned Lies: Digging in the Backyard
by
Nate Silver

04-03

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Minor League Q&A
by
Craig Elsten

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With the Amateur Draft just around the corner, Rany returns to summarize his findings from his year-long draft study.

Now that we're done, it's safe to bring them out again. Starting from scratch, here is a summary of everything we've covered in the first 10 parts of this series. Consider this your pocket guide to the draft, especially if you happen to be on a conference call next Tuesday afternoon. Feel free to print out, laminate, and place in an attractive wood frame with gold trim.

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March 27, 2006 12:00 am

Future Shock: How Do Teams Draft?

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Kevin Goldstein

Kevin takes a closer look at major-league draft habits, to see what we can learn about risk and strategy.

"They're Moneyballers."

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September 13, 2005 12:00 am

Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part Seven

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Rany Jazayerli

Rany returns with a look at the value of high-school hitters drafted between 1984 and 1999.

Using the technique described in the last part of this draft series, here's a breakdown of draft pick value for college and high school players, separated into pitchers and regulars, from 1984 through 1999:

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August 2, 2005 12:00 am

Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part Six

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Rany Jazayerli

Rany returns with his newest installment on assessing the value of draft picks.

I'm back now, and promise to get the next installment of this series out well in advance of the big 4-0.

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Nate Silver weighs in with an in-depth book review of Bill Shanks' "Scout's Honor" and its look at the Atlanta Braves' organizational philosophy.

I don't need to tell you what came next. Whether it was the Reverse Curse of Bart Simpson or something else, the Braves have been the most successful franchise in baseball ever since. For my money, in fact, the Braves' performance during the past 15 seasons has been the second-most remarkable sustained run of success in baseball history, behind only the two-pronged Yankee dynasty of 1920-1964. I'm a big fan of everything that the Braves have done, and of the way that they do business.

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June 9, 2005 12:00 am

Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part Five

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Rany Jazayerli

Measuring the value of drafted hitters and pitchers in an effort to quantify the difference, if any, between the two.

Here are the 15-year WARP lines for all pitchers and all hitters, from 1984 through 1999:

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June 2, 2005 12:00 am

Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part Four

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Rany Jazayerli

Having established that there is no longer any difference between high schoolers and collegians in the draft, the question now is, "why not?"

Reader after reader responded with their own theory as to what could cause teams to do a significantly better job of drafting high-school talent, even as they drafted more high-school players. And each response looked frighteningly liked the last: it's the signing bonuses, stupid.

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May 25, 2005 12:00 am

Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part Three

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Rany Jazayerli

Rany Jazayerli has more on draft history, including a conclusion that may surprise you.

  • College players taken in the first three rounds are about 50% more likely to reach the majors than high school players;
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    May 19, 2005 12:00 am

    Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part Two

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    Rany Jazayerli

    What pool of players to emphasize at the draft table--college or high-school--is one of the game's ongoing debates. The data indicates that one group has a decisive edge in value.

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    May 13, 2005 12:00 am

    Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft

    0

    Rany Jazayerli

    In the first of a series, Rany examines 15 years' worth of draft data to establish some basic rules.

    Sexy, it's not. Neither is it all that telegenic, although it certainly could be if MLB ditched the conference call for an amphitheatre with good lighting and tried to make a production out of it. There's no denying its importance, though. There is no source of talent that comes close to matching what's available in what is officially called the Rule 4 Draft. Moreover, there is almost no way to build a successful ballclub without some measure of success in the draft. (The Yankees are trying to prove that last sentence incorrect. They are not succeeding.)

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    July 9, 2003 12:00 am

    Lies, Damned Lies: Digging in the Backyard

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    Nate Silver

    Nate Silver plays cartographer in this edition of Lies, Damned Lies, in search of untapped sources of amateur talent in the U.S.

    Major league teams, which collectively are responsible for drafting nearly 1500 players every year--a far bigger burden than their counterparts in other sports face--are keenly aware of the differences. It simply isn't possible, or at least not economically feasible, to develop an accurate scouting report for every amateur prospect in the country. While the top national prospects will be scouted by everyone, teams go regional as the draft moves into its later rounds, focusing on players from their home territories (as the Braves do) or on players from regions in which the level of competition if perceived to be the highest--California, Florida, and the Southwest.

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    April 3, 2003 12:00 am

    Minor League Q&A

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    Craig Elsten

    Bill "Chief" Gayton has spent 18 years in the scouting profession, working for the White Sox, Athletics, Yankees, Rockies, and Padres, and enters his third full season as the Director of Scouting in San Diego. BP correspondent Craig Elsten recently sat down with Gayton at the Peoria Sports Complex, while watching many of the Padres' top minor leaguers play on a back field in a Double-A game against Texas. Elsten asked Gayton about the effects of technology on scouting, the challenge of evaluating high school talent, and balancing performance analysis and scouting principles.

    Baseball Prospectus: What do you enjoy the most about your job on a day-to-day basis?

    Bill Gayton: You know, you get a lot of satisfaction in different ways. Sometimes, it's just a matter of making everything come together. The easiest thing we do is go and evaluate talent; the difficult part of the job is (logistics). Making the schedule work, making the airline reservations, the hotels, the rental car...just getting from point A to point B. Even though, with modern technology, the ability to communicate is so much greater, it's frustrating when we can't make some of our plans come together. But in terms of coming out to the ballpark--hey, it's 75 degrees out here, the sun's out, and we get to watch a baseball game, maybe several different baseball games. That's what's fun.

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