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Articles Tagged Gutty 

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02-06

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35

Western Front: Scrappy Rain, Scrappy Rain
by
Geoff Young

11-06

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0

Transaction Analysis: May 12-15, 2002
by
Christina Kahrl

10-04

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1

Playoff Prospectus: ALDS Game Three: Not Such a Pitchers' Duel
by
Jay Jaffe

03-31

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10

The BP Broadside: Questions, Predictions, Worries, Distractions, and Other Mysteries of Opening Day, National League
by
Steven Goldman

03-25

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0

What You Missed: 3/21-3/25
by
Stephani Bee

01-13

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11

Transaction Analysis: AL Central Moves, Picking Up a Penny, and More
by
Christina Kahrl

09-01

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51

Under The Knife: The Toughest Month for Injury News
by
Will Carroll

04-09

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21

Under The Knife: Rewind and Forward
by
Will Carroll

03-11

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4

Team Health Reports: San Diego Padres
by
Will Carroll

05-16

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0

UTK Wrap: Not Just the Usual Suspects
by
Will Carroll

05-14

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0

Under The Knife: Thumbs Down
by
Will Carroll

10-27

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0

World Series Prospectus: Game Four Diary
by
Christina Kahrl

06-30

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0

Transaction Analysis: June 27-29
by
Christina Kahrl

06-19

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0

Under The Knife: Money Not Well Spent
by
Will Carroll

06-12

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0

Under The Knife: Heads Will Roll
by
Will Carroll

10-05

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0

Under The Knife: Playoff Health Report: AL
by
Will Carroll

06-24

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0

Breaking Balls: Framing the Debate
by
Derek Zumsteg

05-25

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0

Transaction Analysis: May 20-24, 2004
by
Christina Kahrl

05-04

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0

Teams: A Critical Guide
by
Jonah Keri

02-04

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0

Team Health Reports: Philadelphia Phillies
by
Will Carroll

01-28

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0

Under The Knife: Goin' South
by
Will Carroll

08-28

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Under The Knife: A Rush of Blood to the Head
by
Will Carroll

04-16

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0

Testing the Nexus
by
Lee Sinins and Will Carroll

09-06

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0

Transaction Analysis: August 31-September 4, 2000
by
Christina Kahrl

06-17

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Transaction Analysis: June 12-14, 2000
by
Christina Kahrl

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While it may be easy to root for certain ballplayers, we have to be open to honest assessments of their abilities.

Ever since I was introduced to Bill James’ works in the mid-'80s, I have wanted to learn as much as possible about baseball so that I can better understand and appreciate it. If you're reading this, you're probably wired the same way. It might be easier to watch without thinking so much, but we don't know how to do that.

I have a similar problem with music. I started playing guitar at the same time I started reading James (correlation does not equal causation), and although I'm a bit of a hack, I've earned enough over the years from my efforts to attract the U.S. government's attention.

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November 6, 2011 8:56 pm

Transaction Analysis: May 12-15, 2002

0

Christina Kahrl

Losing Manny Ramirez for a quarter of the season isn't automatically a death knell. Pedro Martinez has just one good start against a good opponent this year, but that's the scheduler's fault. I'm hardly off the hook for advancing the claim that he won't make it to ten starts, and if losing Martinez was one of my major theories about what would lay hope low in Beantown, losing Ramirez for a month and a half might make you think I'd peg this as the beginning of the end.

Placed OF-R Manny Ramirez on the 15-day DL (fractured finger); purchased the contract of UT-B Bry Nelson from Pawtucket. [5/14]

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October 4, 2011 4:19 pm

Playoff Prospectus: ALDS Game Three: Not Such a Pitchers' Duel

1

Jay Jaffe

A look at how the Tigers snatched Game 3 from the Bronx Bombers

On Sunday, it was Miguel Cabrera, one of the league's best hitters, beating Freddy Garcia, a back-of-the-rotation survivor. On Monday, it was Brandon Inge, Ramon Santiago, and Don Kelly outlasting CC Sabathia, the Yankees ace, with Delmon Young delivering a late kick to the sternum of the Bronx Bombers' bullpen. By stars and by scrubs, the Tigers have taken a 2-1 lead over the Yankees in the AL Division Series, and they stand one A.J. Burnett start away from knocking the league's number one seed out of the postseason.

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Some of the Opening-Day plot lines keeping one twitchy baseball writer awake as we edge towards the first games of the season.

Ranked in the order of my pre-season picks.

NL East
Atlanta Braves
Which of these extreme veterans will be the first to falter and be replaced?



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Running through some articles you may have missed in a haste to hide your monitor from your boss.

Here at Baseball Prospectus, we are dedicated to providing you with oodles of cutting-edge sabermetric analysis and keeping our finger on the pulse of the baseball world. With a slew of daily articles, it’s easy for one piece to get lost in the shuffle or for you to overlook a post while you’re busy hiding your monitor from your boss. Just in case this happens to be your situation, here’s what you might have missed this week at BP.

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The Twins' middle-infield makeover, Ozzie's new bullpen, plus Kyle Farnsworth and Brad Penny do the Inka Dinka Do by signing deals.

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September 1, 2010 12:00 pm

Under The Knife: The Toughest Month for Injury News

51

Will Carroll

Roster expansion and a lack of DL moves make September very difficult to judge the severity of many injuries.

September is going to be an interesting month. In this neck of the woods, September is when I have to really work hard. The DL stops being the "easy way" for teams to deal with injuries, since roster relief isn't needed with the limit expanded from 25 to 40. Teams will stop using the DL altogether, pulling some guys off even though they remain unavailable, and generally twisting and squeezing the 40-man roster as much as they can within the rules to either chase a pennant or build for next year. It makes it very difficult to judge how long players will be out. At times, we'll see a player get shut down, giving someone a chance to show their stuff and at others, teams will rest guys so they will be ready for October, mostly when they have a lead. We'll see the end of minor-league rehabs after this weekend, due to the minor-league regular season ending. It does give teams with affiliates in the playoffs a slight advantage. Just remember that the roster expansion is going to change how teams deal with injuries. You'll see guys benched with no explanation for a couple days. Injury? Rest? I'll do my best to give you guidance, but remember that you have to factor uncertainty into any projection, even when you're just trying to figure out who to put in your fantasy roster. Powered by Bell's Two Hearted Ale, which is good, but not nearly as good as their Oberon, let's get to the injuries:

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April 9, 2010 11:19 am

Under The Knife: Rewind and Forward

21

Will Carroll

Another Chipper oblique issue, a Reyes update, Salty's shoulder, and more.

Here's a reminder about the Baltimore event—you will need to have the "BP Package" to attend the Q&A with Andy MacPhail plus several BP writers. Don't miss out on this very cool event by waiting. I'll be in Baltimore most of the week, handling some other business as well, but UTK will be in effect. My phone and iPad will be with me, so don't expect much of a slowdown next week. As the first week has shown us, the injuries never stop, so on to the injuries:

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March 11, 2010 10:46 am

Team Health Reports: San Diego Padres

4

Will Carroll

The organization tries to bounce back after a tough medical year in 2009.

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Updates of some of the more fragile arms around the game, but also on scrappers like Ryan Doumit and Jeff Keppinger.

I thought I'd left the days of doing Time Value of Money calculations behind, but the spate of recent low-service, high-dollar contracts is getting me back to the days when my lack of math skills probably cost me some commission. The signings of Evan Longoria, Scott Kazmir, Ryan Braun, and others are turning the way we think about low-service baseball players on its head. These deals go well beyond what former Indians GM John Hart was trying to do in the early '90s, which was mostly centered on achieving cost certainty and avoiding arbitration. Instead, these contracts are more about fairly valuing talent and avoiding distractions with the cost certainty a nice secondary value. I'm sure we'll see more of these deals as they work out far more often than not. The interesting thing is taking a look at the values of these deals versus the MORP calculated by Nate Silver's PECOTA projections. In almost every case, the teams are getting the better end of the deal, though it's not as if becoming a multi-millionaire is ever really a bad outcome:

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May 14, 2008 12:00 am

Under The Knife: Thumbs Down

0

Will Carroll

Another outfielder lands hard, the Reds lose a gamer, and one of the Pirates' few highlights goes dark.

J.D. Drew (5 DXL)
Do we need to outlaw sliding catches? That's hardly the solution, but the seemingly routine sliding catch is getting to be a bit dangerous in the AL East. The Jays have lost Vernon Wells for several weeks, and Drew almost suffered the same fate on a similar play. Drew had imaging done after the game, and it came back negative, leaving him in day-to-day limbo with an injury that's bad enough to quickly swell and be painful, but not serious enough yet to consider placing him on the DL. The Red Sox have plenty of options for filling in if Drew is out for as much as a week, but they are already playing a man down with Julio Lugo's concussion. Drew is expected to miss a game or two, but his grip strength could be an issue after that. I'll be conservative with the DXL in anticipation of some bat-control issues even after a return.


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October 27, 2006 12:00 am

World Series Prospectus: Game Four Diary

0

Christina Kahrl

Thursday night was Christina's turn at the keyboard, as the series of Series diaries continues.

8:00 PM: It's the pre-game show, and... do we have a game or no? Me, I wonder if all this Taco Bell talk didn't inspire my decision to cook buffalo-meat tacos-as a former Taco Bell employee, you won't catch me dead in one of the thousands of Casa de Greasepits you'll find hawking its loathsome refried wares on a streetcorner near you.

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