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Articles Tagged Game Theory 

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09-21

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18

Baseball Therapy: Wild-Card Game Theory
by
Russell A. Carleton

10-20

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1

The BP Wayback Machine: The Importance of Being 1-0
by
Rany Jazayerli

08-04

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8

The BP Wayback Machine: Beautiful Theories and Ugly Facts
by
Dan Fox

03-30

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5

The BP Wayback Machine: Baseball's Hilbert Problems
by
Keith Woolner

11-01

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0

World Series Prospectus: Game Five Pitching Matchup
by
Matt Swartz

10-15

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11

Playoff Prospectus: Friday ALCS Game Projection
by
Eric Seidman

03-15

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44

Baseball Therapy: The Unintended Consequences of The Strike One Cult
by
Russell A. Carleton

03-07

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3

Prospectus Q&A: Chaz Scoggins
by
David Laurila

11-08

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8

Prospectus Q&A: Kerry Wood
by
David Laurila

01-25

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11

Prospectus Q&A: John Walsh
by
David Laurila

10-15

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2

Playoff Diary
by
David Laurila

08-17

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0

Every Given Sunday: Big Apple Scramble
by
John Perrotto

07-18

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Prospectus Matchups: Braking and Breaking at the Break
by
Jim Baker

06-09

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0

Ballad of the Fatigued
by
Eric Seidman

09-19

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0

The Big Picture: Thoughts on the Postseason
by
David Pinto

08-22

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0

The Big Picture: Re-calculating the Save
by
David Pinto

07-27

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0

Lies, Damned Lies: Fixing It
by
Nate Silver

07-11

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0

Lies, Damned Lies: All-Star Game Wrap
by
Nate Silver

05-17

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0

Schrodinger's Bat: Organized Common Sense
by
Dan Fox

10-16

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0

Future Shock: Monday Morning Ten-Pack
by
Kevin Goldstein

10-16

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0

Prospectus Today: LCS, Day Six
by
Joe Sheehan

10-14

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0

Future Shock: Where Did the Tigers and the Athletics Come From?
by
Kevin Goldstein

10-14

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0

Prospectus Today: LCS, Day Four
by
Joe Sheehan

10-14

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0

Playoff Prospectus: The Best and Worst of Mets and Cardinals Postseason Pitching
by
Jim Baker

10-13

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0

Prospectus Today: LCS, Day Three
by
Joe Sheehan

10-12

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0

Prospectus Today: The Games Go On
by
Joe Sheehan

10-12

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0

Player Profile
by
Marc Normandin

10-11

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0

Remembering Buck O'Neil
by
Alex Belth

10-11

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Prospectus Today: LCS, Day One
by
Joe Sheehan

10-09

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0

Completely Random Statistical Trivia
by
Keith Woolner

10-09

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0

Prospectus Today: Division Series, Day Six
by
Joe Sheehan

10-07

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0

Prospectus Today: Division Series, Day Four
by
Joe Sheehan

10-06

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0

Prospectus Today: Division Series, Day Three
by
Joe Sheehan

10-06

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0

Prospectus Matchups: October Musings
by
Jim Baker

10-05

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Prospectus Today: Division Series, Day Two
by
Joe Sheehan

09-28

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0

Schrodinger's Bat: Baseball's Trifecta
by
Dan Fox

05-18

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Schrodinger's Bat: The Moral Hazards of the Hit Batsmen
by
Dan Fox

05-17

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0

Prospectus Today: Take Two
by
Sophia Sheehan

05-11

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0

Schrodinger's Bat: Strike Zones, Trilobites, and a Vicious Cycle
by
Dan Fox

05-04

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0

Schrodinger's Bat: Beautiful Theories and Ugly Facts
by
Dan Fox

03-30

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0

2005--Setting the Stage
by
Nate Silver

10-12

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Prospectus Today: Looking Both Ways
by
Joe Sheehan

02-10

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0

Baseball's Hilbert Problems
by
Keith Woolner

10-28

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0

The Importance of Being 1-0
by
Rany Jazayerli

10-12

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0

Call It In The Air!
by
Dave Pease

07-26

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0

Doctoring the Numbers
by
Rany Jazayerli and Keith Woolner

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Is there a scenario where it might make sense for a team not to try to win a playoff game?

Let's play poker. With wild cards.

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Does dropping the first game of the World Series to the Cardinals mean Texas is in trouble?

While looking toward the future with our comprehensive slate of current content, we'd also like to recognize our rich past by drawing upon our extensive (and mostly free) online archive of work dating back to 1997. In an effort to highlight the best of what's gone before, we'll be bringing you a weekly blast from BP's past, introducing or re-introducing you to some of the most informative and entertaining authors who have passed through our virtual halls. If you have fond recollections of a BP piece that you'd like to nominate for re-exposure to a wider audiencesend us your suggestion.

In the wake of the Cardinals' Game 1 victory, revisit Rany's investigation of what it means to go down 1-0, which originally ran as a "Doctoring the Numbers" column on October 28, 2001.

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Revisiting historical HBP rates in the wake of Alex Avila's plunking by Jered Weaver's hand.

While looking toward the future with our comprehensive slate of current content, we'd also like to recognize our rich past by drawing upon our extensive (and mostly free) online archive of work dating back to 1997. In an effort to highlight the best of what's gone before, we'll be bringing you a weekly blast from BP's past, introducing or re-introducing you to some of the most informative and entertaining authors who have passed through our virtual halls. If you have fond recollections of a BP piece that you'd like to nominate for re-exposure to a wider audiencesend us your suggestion.

As Jered Weaver prepares to serve his six-game suspension, take in some trends in HBP rates over time, which originally ran as a "Schrodinger's Bat" column on May 4, 2006.

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How many of the last millenium's burning baseball questions remain unanswered over a decade down the road?

While looking toward the future with our comprehensive slate of current content, we'd also like to recognize our rich past by drawing upon our extensive online archive of work dating back to 1997. In an effort to highlight the best of what's gone before, we'll be bringing you a weekly blast from BP's past, introducing or re-introducing you to some of the most informative and entertaining authors who have passed through our virtual halls. If you have fond recollections of a BP piece that you'd like to nominate for re-exposure to a wider audience, send us your suggestion.

Over 11 years after their publication in Baseball Prospectus 2000, how many of Keith's questions for a new millenium have we already set to rest?


Read the full article...

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November 1, 2010 8:00 am

World Series Prospectus: Game Five Pitching Matchup

0

Matt Swartz

Tim Linceum tries to clinch the title for the Giants while Cliff Lee tries to keep the Rangers alive in a matchup of No. 1 starters.

Cliff Lee: 3.18 ERA, 3.03 SIERA
Lee looked like he might be on his way to another playoff gem through the first two innings of Game One of the World Series against the Giants, but things immediately soured. He gave up seven runs (six earned) en route to a shortened 4 2/3-innings start. He allowed eight hits, including five doubles. Of course, Lee’s peripherals from Game One look like a patented Cliftonian performance: seven strikeouts, one walk. This is where the philosophy of DIPS Theory and metrics like SIERA face a real challenge, because the Saber Orthodoxy would declare that Lee was unlucky in Game One and leave it at that. They would say that pitchers do not exert much control over balls in play, and the fact that he allowed 15 batted balls and eight went for hits would be an indication that he had bad luck. Well… he certainly was not receiving any good luck.


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October 15, 2010 9:30 am

Playoff Prospectus: Friday ALCS Game Projection

11

Eric Seidman

If Game 1 between the Yankees and Rangers were an election, there might be a recount.

After what felt like an eternity off, post-season play resumes tonight with the Yankees visiting the Rangers in the first game of the American League Championship Series. The Yankees should be well-rested after easily dispatching of the Twins in a three-game sweep in the Division Series, while the Rangers are “forced” to go with their second best-starter in C.J. Wilson due to finishing their LDS on Tuesday night. As with the Division Series, we will be producing PECOTA projections for this tier of the playoffs in an attempt to more accurately assess what the major players for each team bring to the table in the form of a true talent level.

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Getting ahead in the count is not necessarily all it's cracked up to be.

"The most important pitch in baseball is strike one." – Attributed to many.

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Revisiting a conversation with the long-time official scorer in Boston.

Chaz Scoggins has been the primary official scorer at Fenway Park for over 30 years. A long-time sportswriter for The Lowell Sun and a former president of the Baseball Writers Association of America, Scoggins sat down for this interview in December 2004.

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A conversation with the Indians closer about his career and his transition from starting to the bullpen.

In the eyes of many, Kerry Wood has never lived up to expectations. The 32-year-old right-hander doesn't agree with that assessment, but there is no denying that the sky seemed to be the limit when Wood struck out 20 Houston Astros in just his fifth big-league start on May 6, 1998. His historic performance elicited comparisons to Roger Clemens and Nolan Ryan, but despite ranking second all-time in K/9 with a mark of 10.382, Wood hasn't achieved the Hall of Fame-level brilliance that so many envisioned. Plagued far too often by injuries, the native of Irving, Texas has nonetheless had a successful career since being taken as the fourth overall pick in the 1995 draft. Now the closer in Cleveland, after 10 seasons with the Cubs, Wood has a career record of 80-64 with a 3.67 ERA, and 54 saves in 334 appearances. Wood sat down with BP when the Indians visited Fenway Park on the last weekend of the season.

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January 25, 2009 11:50 am

Prospectus Q&A: John Walsh

11

David Laurila

The ESPN executive discusses the changing media landscape, the MLB Network, and a contrarian sense of creation.

ESPN is the epicenter of sports media in the United States, and at the forefront of their award-winning coverage is John Walsh. The media giant's Executive Vice President and Executive Editor, Walsh helps to oversee an ever-expanding array of content, from on-air programming to the journalistic efforts of ESPN.com. A native of Scranton, Pennsylvania, Walsh earned a master's degree in journalism from the University of Missouri, and held editorial positions at Newsday, Rolling Stone, the Washington Post, US News and World Report, and Inside Sports before joining ESPN in 1988.

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October 15, 2008 1:20 pm

Playoff Diary

2

David Laurila

Musings and meanderings during a playoff game in Fenway.

A week ago, Christina began an article, "Forgive me a second, as I doff the analyst's cap." From there she went on to share her experiences at ALDS Game Three, Rays versus White Sox, from something of a fan's perspective. I'll do something similar, having attended Monday afternoon's ALCS Game Three at Fenway Park, not as a reporter, but as a paying customer (albeit one who brought along a digital voice recorder and notepad). Unlike Christina's fine bit, I'll spend relatively little time talking about the game itself, which was, to put it mildly, among the least compelling of this year's post-season affairs. Instead, using a diary format, I'll intersperse my own musings with quotes from people I interacted with at the ballpark.

2:40: I arrive at Fenway Park and am surprised to have my ticket ripped, rather than scanned, but for some reason I don't ask why. I attended numerous games as a fan this season, and this is the first time my entry isn't verified electronically. It seems somewhat... old-fashioned?

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August 17, 2008 11:25 am

Every Given Sunday: Big Apple Scramble

0

John Perrotto

The Mets wrestle with their options down the stretch, the Astros don't stop believing, and news from around the majors.

For those who do not believe that things can change in a hurry in baseball, we present the New York Mets. The Mets were in a full-fledged panic at the beginning of the week when they dropped an ugly 7-5 decision to the Pirates at Shea Stadium. The Mets had led 5-1 after six innings, and then watched their bullpen (sans injured closer Billy Wagner) give up three runs in the seventh inning and three more in the ninth. A day later, interim manager Jerry Manuel said he would seriously consider resorting to drastic measures by moving one of his starting pitchers (left-hander Oliver Perez or right-handers John Maine and Mike Pelfrey) to the pen to serve as the interim closer, and subsequently as the primary set-up man once Wagner returned. "It's a pennant race, and you do everything you can to stay in a pennant race," Manuel said.

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