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04-27

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0

Free Agent Watch: Week Four
by
Keith Cromer and Mike Gianella

04-20

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13

Free Agent Watch: Week Three
by
Keith Cromer and Mike Gianella

04-06

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3

Free Agent Watch: Week One
by
Keith Cromer and Mike Gianella

03-16

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13

Every Team's Moneyball: San Francisco Giants: Embodying the Market Inefficiency
by
Matthew Trueblood

01-28

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8

The Lineup Card: Eight Final Moves
by
Baseball Prospectus

01-16

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22

Fantasy Freestyle: Stop Looking for Sleepers, Start Looking for Value
by
Mike Gianella

01-14

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3

The Lineup Card: Pitches for Remaining Free Agents
by
Baseball Prospectus

11-05

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6

Pebble Hunting: Nelson Cruz is Same, Different
by
Sam Miller

11-04

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32

Painting the Black: The Free Agent 50
by
R.J. Anderson

03-12

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10

The Lineup Card: 11 of Our Favorite Offseason Moves
by
Baseball Prospectus

02-27

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2

Painting the Black: Lessons from the Top 50 Free Agents List
by
R.J. Anderson

02-12

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15

Overthinking It: Where the Remaining Free Agents Would Matter the Most
by
Ben Lindbergh

01-31

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13

Pebble Hunting: The Opt-Out Hater's Case for Opt-Outs
by
Sam Miller

01-07

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1

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 359: The Remaining Free Agents/Pillow Contract Candidates
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

11-26

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 337: Free Agent Spending So Far/The McCann, Molina, and Smith Signings
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

11-26

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The BP Wayback Machine: The Guessing Game
by
Joe Sheehan

11-25

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4

Transaction Analysis: Rays Bring Back Molina, Reaffirm their Belief in Framing
by
Ben Lindbergh

11-25

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 336: Paying Peralta, and Punishing PED Users
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

11-20

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11

The Lineup Card: 10 Free Agents Who Are Likely to Be Overpaid
by
Baseball Prospectus

11-18

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20

Baseball Therapy: Why Do Teams Overpay for Free Agents?
by
Russell A. Carleton

11-13

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2

The Lineup Card: 12 Free Agents Who Are Likely to Be Bargains
by
Baseball Prospectus

11-12

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Rumor Roundup: The High Price of Free Agent Pitching
by
Daniel Rathman

11-07

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1

The BP Wayback Machine: Today's Oxymoron is Free Agents
by
James Click

11-05

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1

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 322: The Qualifying Offer Analysis Episode
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

11-05

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38

Painting the Black: The 50 Best Free Agents of 2013-2014
by
R.J. Anderson

09-17

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5

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 288: The Appeal of Year-to-Year Contracts/Ranking Contenders By Rootability
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

08-23

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5

Pebble Hunting: Free Agent Alternate History
by
Sam Miller

07-09

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 239: Carlos Gomez and the NL MVP Race/The Cubs and Trading Recently Signed Free Agents
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

04-04

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2

Overthinking It: So You Want to Buy a 2014-15 Free Agent?
by
Ben Lindbergh

03-13

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3

Sobsequy: Notable AL Minor-League Free Agent Signees
by
Adam Sobsey

02-27

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3

Sobsequy: Notable NL Minor-League Free Agent Signees
by
Adam Sobsey

01-18

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3

A Little Relief
by
Jonah Birenbaum

01-15

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5

Overthinking It: Have the Twins Learned to Love the Strikeout?
by
Ben Lindbergh

01-15

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14

Skewed Left: Filling the Free Agent Voids
by
Zachary Levine

01-12

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8

Overthinking It: Bargain Bin Free Agents
by
Ben Lindbergh

01-03

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9

Skewed Left: Has Baltimore Been Busy Enough?
by
Zachary Levine

12-25

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1

BP Unfiltered: Christmas for Free Agents
by
Ben Lindbergh

12-22

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7

Overthinking It: The Winter's Quietest Contenders
by
Ben Lindbergh

12-21

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0

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 107: Edwin Jackson, the Cubs, and Qualifying Offers
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

12-20

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15

Skewed Left: How to Analyze the Astros' Spending
by
Zachary Levine

12-19

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1

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 105: Will R.A. Dickey's Knuckleball Be Better in the Dome?/Do the Red Sox Have a Consistent Philosophy?
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

12-18

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1

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 104: Our Least-Favorite Offseason Signings So Far
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

12-06

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1

Transaction Analysis: Double LOOGY Day
by
R.J. Anderson

11-09

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5

Head Games: Free Agents Looking for Financial Love
by
Will Woods

11-07

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6

Sobsequy: Let Me Qualify That
by
Adam Sobsey

11-06

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5

Overthinking It: This Offseason's Generic-Brand Bargains
by
Ben Lindbergh

11-05

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3

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 76: The Free Agents the Internet Can't Agree On
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

11-02

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0

The BP Wayback Machine: Changing the Game?
by
Joe Sheehan

11-01

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 74: The Ervin Santana Trade, the Royals' Rotation, and the Pitching Market/Rick Hahn and the Future of Front Offices
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

09-27

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7

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 51: What the Rockies Knew About Ubaldo/The Eternal Torii Hunter/Declining Dan Haren
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

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April 27, 2015 6:00 am

Free Agent Watch: Week Four

0

Keith Cromer and Mike Gianella

Examining potentially available players who might pique your interest depending on the format of your league.

Welcome to Week Four of The Free Agent Watch, Baseball Prospectus’ weekly free agent advice column. This column is designed to offer a brief glimpse into the top free agents in 12-team mixed, 15-team mixed, and AL and NL-only formats, with the idea being that while we can’t address every unique free agent situation in your league, we can guide you through the waters and help with the broader strokes of the decision making process.

Mike will be tackling all the mixed-league formats, while Keith will be handling the only-league duties.

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April 20, 2015 6:00 am

Free Agent Watch: Week Three

13

Keith Cromer and Mike Gianella

Examining players who might be useful additions if they're available in your leagues.

Welcome to Week Three of The Free Agent Watch, Baseball Prospectus’ weekly free agent advice column. This column is designed to offer a brief glimpse into the top free agents in 12-team mixed, 15-team mixed, and AL and NL-only formats, with the idea being that while we can’t address every unique free agent situation in your league, we can guide you through the waters and help with the broader strokes of the decision making process.

Mike will be tackling all the mixed-league formats, while Keith will be handling the only-league duties.

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This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

April 6, 2015 6:00 am

Free Agent Watch: Week One

3

Keith Cromer and Mike Gianella

Kicking of this year's series looking at potentially useful players who might be available in your leagues.

Welcome back, to Baseball Prospectus’ weekly free agent advice column. The column ran on Thursdays last year, but is moving to Mondays, in order to try to better serve weekly leagues that set their lineups on Mondays.

The format has changed a little bit, too. Still included is a brief breakdown of a featured hitter and pitcher in standard mixed, deeper mixed, NL-only, and AL-only, but we have added information about the most commonly added and dropped hitters in these formats as well. I’ll be tackling all the mixed league information, while Keith will be handling the only-league duties.

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Paying for stability has resulted in three World Series titles for Brian Sabean.

Welcome to the Baseball Prospectus 2015 season previews. For the next three weeks, BP authors will be writing about what each team does best in pursuit of wins. We will parse statistics, transactions, news, and quotes in an effort to identify the market inefficiency each team is taking advantage of. Wins are the end goal, but each of the 30 teams are obtaining them in different ways by prioritizing certain initiatives. Today, we begin the series with last year's World Series players, the San Francisco Giants and Kansas City Royals.Andrew Koo



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Staff members pick teams and explain the finishing touches they should make to their rosters before spring training.

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January 16, 2015 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: Stop Looking for Sleepers, Start Looking for Value

22

Mike Gianella

Examining how to identify the right kinds of sleepers.

If it’s January, it must be time for fantasy analysts to come out of the woodwork and start identifying “sleepers.” This term is almost as old as fantasy baseball itself. While it is possible it was a useful exercise at one point, like a lot of other overused buzzwords the term sleeper has become completely arbitrary and therefore virtually worthless. So far this winter, I have seen the following players identified as sleepers:

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Max Scherzer and James Shields aren't the only players still available, and the staff offers reasons why teams should sign seven others.

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November 5, 2014 6:00 am

Pebble Hunting: Nelson Cruz is Same, Different

6

Sam Miller

Nelson Cruz wants what he wanted last year, and might get it, and might not.

Hello, old friend.

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Evaluations of the top 50 free agents available in the 2014-2015 offseason, with near-worthless predictions about where they'll land.

Another year, another top-50 list. Here are three things to remember while reading through the rankings: 1) international free agents were excluded on the principle that if I haven't seen them in some manner or another, then I don't feel comfortable ranking them; 2) "Randy" is a random number generator whose predictions were made by pairing integers with teams (e.g. the number 1 and the Angels); and 3) the list is ordered based on expected AAV with some other considerations (learned from past lists) factored in:

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The BP staff recounts some of the winter's best transactions and decisions.

 

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February 27, 2014 6:00 am

Painting the Black: Lessons from the Top 50 Free Agents List

2

R.J. Anderson

Which free agents got more (or less) than we expected, and what do they tell us about next year's free agents?

Last March, I compared my free-agent rankings to the market. Since failure is a better teacher than success, and because the rankings were formed with each player's average annual value in mind, the exercise provided an idea of how to improve by identifying which players were incorrectly evaluated.

There were three takeaways from last year's recap. The most trivial concerned the list format and its tendency to understate the gap between the top free agents and the rest of the class. The other lessons dealt with the information asymmetry between teams and outsiders—namely when it comes to medicals, mechanical adjustments, or other tweaks that could lead to improved performance. Of course those additional insights don't grant teams infallibility: Brandon League and Jonathan Broxton, two pitchers used to make the point, went on to have poor seasons despite altering their mechanics and arsenals with their new teams.

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Which teams' glass slippers best fit the six still-unsigned top-50 free agents?

It was new and exciting in November, mundane in December, and comforting and familiar in January. But by mid-February, speculating about likely landing spots for attractive free agents is as tired as publicly celebrating the Beatles.*

Granted, the alternative would be talking about the sort of stuff that otherwise occupies us early in spring training: what players look like; what players look like from afar; what players might look like from afar, if we could see them; what players look like upside-down; meaningless quotes about team chemistry. There’s only so much we can do to combat the boring until real baseball begins.

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