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Articles Tagged Free Agents 

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03-12

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10

The Lineup Card: 11 of Our Favorite Offseason Moves
by
Baseball Prospectus

02-27

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2

Painting the Black: Lessons from the Top 50 Free Agents List
by
R.J. Anderson

02-12

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15

Overthinking It: Where the Remaining Free Agents Would Matter the Most
by
Ben Lindbergh

01-31

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13

Pebble Hunting: The Opt-Out Hater's Case for Opt-Outs
by
Sam Miller

01-07

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1

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 359: The Remaining Free Agents/Pillow Contract Candidates
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

11-26

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0

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 337: Free Agent Spending So Far/The McCann, Molina, and Smith Signings
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

11-26

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0

The BP Wayback Machine: The Guessing Game
by
Joe Sheehan

11-25

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4

Transaction Analysis: Rays Bring Back Molina, Reaffirm their Belief in Framing
by
Ben Lindbergh

11-25

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0

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 336: Paying Peralta, and Punishing PED Users
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

11-20

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11

The Lineup Card: 10 Free Agents Who Are Likely to Be Overpaid
by
Baseball Prospectus

11-18

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20

Baseball Therapy: Why Do Teams Overpay for Free Agents?
by
Russell A. Carleton

11-13

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2

The Lineup Card: 12 Free Agents Who Are Likely to Be Bargains
by
Baseball Prospectus

11-12

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0

Rumor Roundup: The High Price of Free Agent Pitching
by
Daniel Rathman

11-07

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1

The BP Wayback Machine: Today's Oxymoron is Free Agents
by
James Click

11-05

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1

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 322: The Qualifying Offer Analysis Episode
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

11-05

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38

Painting the Black: The 50 Best Free Agents of 2013-2014
by
R.J. Anderson

09-17

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5

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 288: The Appeal of Year-to-Year Contracts/Ranking Contenders By Rootability
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

08-23

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5

Pebble Hunting: Free Agent Alternate History
by
Sam Miller

07-09

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0

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 239: Carlos Gomez and the NL MVP Race/The Cubs and Trading Recently Signed Free Agents
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

04-04

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2

Overthinking It: So You Want to Buy a 2014-15 Free Agent?
by
Ben Lindbergh

03-13

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3

Sobsequy: Notable AL Minor-League Free Agent Signees
by
Adam Sobsey

02-27

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3

Sobsequy: Notable NL Minor-League Free Agent Signees
by
Adam Sobsey

01-18

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3

A Little Relief
by
Jonah Birenbaum

01-15

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5

Overthinking It: Have the Twins Learned to Love the Strikeout?
by
Ben Lindbergh

01-15

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14

Skewed Left: Filling the Free Agent Voids
by
Zachary Levine

01-12

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8

Overthinking It: Bargain Bin Free Agents
by
Ben Lindbergh

01-03

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9

Skewed Left: Has Baltimore Been Busy Enough?
by
Zachary Levine

12-25

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1

BP Unfiltered: Christmas for Free Agents
by
Ben Lindbergh

12-22

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7

Overthinking It: The Winter's Quietest Contenders
by
Ben Lindbergh

12-21

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0

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 107: Edwin Jackson, the Cubs, and Qualifying Offers
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

12-20

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15

Skewed Left: How to Analyze the Astros' Spending
by
Zachary Levine

12-19

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1

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 105: Will R.A. Dickey's Knuckleball Be Better in the Dome?/Do the Red Sox Have a Consistent Philosophy?
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

12-18

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1

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 104: Our Least-Favorite Offseason Signings So Far
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

12-06

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1

Transaction Analysis: Double LOOGY Day
by
R.J. Anderson

11-09

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5

Head Games: Free Agents Looking for Financial Love
by
Will Woods

11-07

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6

Sobsequy: Let Me Qualify That
by
Adam Sobsey

11-06

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5

Overthinking It: This Offseason's Generic-Brand Bargains
by
Ben Lindbergh

11-05

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3

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 76: The Free Agents the Internet Can't Agree On
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

11-02

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0

The BP Wayback Machine: Changing the Game?
by
Joe Sheehan

11-01

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0

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 74: The Ervin Santana Trade, the Royals' Rotation, and the Pitching Market/Rick Hahn and the Future of Front Offices
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

09-27

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7

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 51: What the Rockies Knew About Ubaldo/The Eternal Torii Hunter/Declining Dan Haren
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

05-29

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21

Bizball: Inside the 2012-16 CBA: The Luxury Tax Meets the Draft
by
Maury Brown

05-17

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49

The Process: Fixing the Phillies
by
Bradley Ankrom

02-09

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8

On the Beat: The Best of the Rest of the Free Agent Market
by
John Perrotto

01-18

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3

The BP Wayback Machine: The Arbitration Process
by
Thomas Gorman

04-15

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21

Baseball ProGUESTus: The Scott Boras Factor: Reality or Hype?
by
Vince Gennaro

03-14

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36

Ahead in the Count: Battle for the Beltway
by
Matt Swartz

02-09

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1

Contractual Matters: NL West Payroll Projections
by
Jeff Euston

10-04

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6

Contractual Matters: Market Corrections
by
Jeff Euston

04-23

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5

Ahead in the Count: Methodology of The New MORP
by
Matt Swartz

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The BP staff recounts some of the winter's best transactions and decisions.

 

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February 27, 2014 6:00 am

Painting the Black: Lessons from the Top 50 Free Agents List

2

R.J. Anderson

Which free agents got more (or less) than we expected, and what do they tell us about next year's free agents?

Last March, I compared my free-agent rankings to the market. Since failure is a better teacher than success, and because the rankings were formed with each player's average annual value in mind, the exercise provided an idea of how to improve by identifying which players were incorrectly evaluated.

There were three takeaways from last year's recap. The most trivial concerned the list format and its tendency to understate the gap between the top free agents and the rest of the class. The other lessons dealt with the information asymmetry between teams and outsiders—namely when it comes to medicals, mechanical adjustments, or other tweaks that could lead to improved performance. Of course those additional insights don't grant teams infallibility: Brandon League and Jonathan Broxton, two pitchers used to make the point, went on to have poor seasons despite altering their mechanics and arsenals with their new teams.

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Which teams' glass slippers best fit the six still-unsigned top-50 free agents?

It was new and exciting in November, mundane in December, and comforting and familiar in January. But by mid-February, speculating about likely landing spots for attractive free agents is as tired as publicly celebrating the Beatles.*

Granted, the alternative would be talking about the sort of stuff that otherwise occupies us early in spring training: what players look like; what players look like from afar; what players might look like from afar, if we could see them; what players look like upside-down; meaningless quotes about team chemistry. There’s only so much we can do to combat the boring until real baseball begins.

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January 31, 2014 6:00 am

Pebble Hunting: The Opt-Out Hater's Case for Opt-Outs

13

Sam Miller

Do opt-out clauses favor the player or the team?

There are certain things that seem so obvious that I can’t even conceive of a counterargument. Then somebody presents a counterargument! This is why places like BP exist, to provide the counterargument to the obvious, and expose the nuance, and remind us of how often we only see one part of something. Nothing is ever so obvious as you think.

I’ve been horrified by player opt-out clauses for five years. They have always seemed to be terrible for the club, unless they come with some significant discount that the player takes to have that clause in his contract. (We’ll never know whether this discount is there, because each player’s maximum price is difference; eyeballing such deals—like Masahiro Tanaka’s, for instance—I’d argue that there’s no clear evidence of such a discount.)

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Ben and Sam discuss the remaining big-name free agents and talk about which might be best served by one-year deals.

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Ben and Sam discuss the early movement on the free agent market, then break down the Jose Molina, Brian McCann, and Joe Smith signings.

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Why it's silly to speculate about where free agents will sign.

While looking toward the future with our comprehensive slate of current content, we'd also like to recognize our rich past by drawing upon our extensive (and mostly free) online archive of work dating back to 1997. In an effort to highlight the best of what's gone before, we'll be bringing you a weekly blast from BP's past, introducing or re-introducing you to some of the most informative and entertaining authors who have passed through our virtual halls. If you have fond recollections of a BP piece that you'd like to nominate for re-exposure to a wider audience, send us your suggestion.

Joe Sheehan bemoaned the futility of predicting destinations for free agents in the piece reprinted below, which was originally published as a "Daily Prospectus" column on November 27, 2001.

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The Rays re-sign their skilled receiver, and an unlikely career continues.



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Ben and Sam discuss Jhonny Peralta's contract with the Cardinals, and whose responsibility it should be to publish PED users.

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The staff looks at available players who might cost their next teams more than they'll be worth.

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November 18, 2013 6:00 am

Baseball Therapy: Why Do Teams Overpay for Free Agents?

20

Russell A. Carleton

An argument in favor of more nuanced free agent analysis.

It’s free agent season, which means it’s time to complain about whom your favorite team is signing. Or not signing. Or reportedly thinking about signing. Or reportedly thought about signing and whom you would have complained about if they had signed him, but now that you know that they are not signing him, you’re angry that they didn’t have the courage to do it. In the eyes of their fans, all 30 teams will do so much to damage their potential for a World Series championship in the next three months. And they’re mostly right. There will be 29 teams that will fail to win the World Series next year. Teams are really bad at this.

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The staff runs down the available players who could provide surplus value for their next employers.

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