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Articles Tagged Free Agency 

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08-14

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13

An Agent's Take: The Small World
by
Joshua Kusnick

03-20

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2

Overthinking It: Farewell to Free Agency?
by
Ben Lindbergh

12-26

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9

Skewed Left: The Quiet Offseason in Odds
by
Zachary Levine

11-20

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11

The Lineup Card: 10 Free Agents Who Are Likely to Be Overpaid
by
Baseball Prospectus

11-18

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20

Baseball Therapy: Why Do Teams Overpay for Free Agents?
by
Russell A. Carleton

11-07

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1

The BP Wayback Machine: Today's Oxymoron is Free Agents
by
James Click

11-04

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0

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 321: Should the Yankees Be Big Spenders?
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

09-05

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0

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 280: Is Billy Hamilton Worth a Roster Spot?/Five Free Agents Finishing Make-or-Break Years
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

08-20

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1

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 269: Revisiting the Jose Fernandez Call-Up/Handicapping Cano's Suitors
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

04-04

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2

Overthinking It: So You Want to Buy a 2014-15 Free Agent?
by
Ben Lindbergh

03-14

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0

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 159: The Carlos Gomez Extension and the 2013-14 Free Agent Class
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

12-10

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0

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 98: Zack Greinke and the Dodgers' Bottomless Bankroll
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

11-29

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7

Overthinking It: How Will Josh Hamilton Age?
by
Ben Lindbergh

11-29

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0

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 91: What Will the Braves Get from B.J. Upton?
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

11-19

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4

Overthinking It: All Quiet on the Free Agent Front
by
Ben Lindbergh

11-13

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34

Out of Left Field: What $205 Million Buys on the Free Agent Market
by
Matthew Kory

11-12

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21

Baseball Therapy: Assessing the Risk: Hamilton, Greinke, and Mental Health
by
Russell A. Carleton

11-09

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0

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 80: Could Josh Hamilton Be a Bargain?/Are the Financially Responsible Yankees for Real?
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

11-09

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5

Head Games: Free Agents Looking for Financial Love
by
Will Woods

11-06

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0

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 77: The Teams in the Winter Spending Sweet Spot
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

11-05

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11

Bizball: Sizing Up a Seven-Year, $175 Million Deal for Josh Hamilton
by
Maury Brown

11-05

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42

Painting the Black: The 50 Best Free Agents
by
R.J. Anderson

11-02

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0

The BP Wayback Machine: Changing the Game?
by
Joe Sheehan

09-07

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11

BP Unfiltered: Economists Warn: All Baseball Clubs To Face Bankruptcy
by
Sam Miller

08-22

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0

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 26: The Return of Brett Anderson, Oakland's Playoff Rotation, and the Financial Future of Stephen Drew
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

05-07

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8

Bizball: Who Will Be MLB’s First $300 Million Player?
by
Maury Brown

04-04

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10

Manufactured Runs: Tragedy of the Commons
by
Colin Wyers

03-13

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4

Western Front: Better Than Doug Mientkiewicz
by
Geoff Young

01-18

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3

The BP Wayback Machine: The Arbitration Process
by
Thomas Gorman

11-02

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0

Wezen-Ball: Player Rankings for Type A/B Calculations, 1982-1984
by
Larry Granillo

03-14

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36

Ahead in the Count: Battle for the Beltway
by
Matt Swartz

11-16

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7

Prospectus Hit and Run: Marvin Miller and Pat Gillick
by
Jay Jaffe

05-07

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18

Ahead in the Count: Most Net Valuable Player
by
Matt Swartz

04-23

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5

Ahead in the Count: Methodology of The New MORP
by
Matt Swartz

04-22

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5

Ahead in the Count: Reintroducing MORP
by
Matt Swartz

01-11

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15

Ahead in the Count: Part 2 of Service-time Contracts and Wins
by
Matt Swartz

01-04

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27

Ahead in the Count: Service-Time Contracts and Wins, Part 1
by
Matt Swartz

12-29

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32

Ahead in the Count: For the Long-Term Investors
by
Matt Swartz

12-06

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9

On the Beat: Pre-Winter Meetings Shopping Lists
by
John Perrotto

02-17

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43

Prospectus Today: Changing the Game?
by
Joe Sheehan

12-21

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6

Every Given Sunday: Hesitations, Retractions, and Rebuttals
by
John Perrotto

12-07

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5

Every Given Sunday: Winter Meetings Preview
by
John Perrotto

02-24

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0

Every Given Sunday: A New Angel in the Outfield
by
John Perrotto

11-15

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0

Nippon Prospectus
by
Mike Plugh

11-06

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0

Prospectus Toolbox: Free Agent Compensation Rankings
by
Derek Jacques

11-03

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0

Transaction Analysis: October 17-November 2, 2006
by
Christina Kahrl

06-05

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0

The Ledger Domain: Walter O'Malley and Marvin Miller For the Hall of Fame
by
Maury Brown

11-21

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0

The BP Guide to Transaction Rules
by
Thomas Gorman

10-20

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0

Transaction Analysis: October 8-19
by
Christina Kahrl

06-15

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0

Lies, Damned Lies: Forecasting the Future: Microculture
by
Nate Silver

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November 29, 2012 12:20 pm

Overthinking It: How Will Josh Hamilton Age?

7

Ben Lindbergh

The top free agent outfielder has a hitting style that should scare teams considering buying his mid-30s.

At some point this winter, a team with money to spend and an opening in the outfield for a big left-handed bat will make Josh Hamilton a very wealthy man. With the Winter Meetings approaching and some big names already off the board, the baseball world is wondering “When?” and “How Wealthy?” Hamilton’s home run totals and 2010 MVP season make him one of the most enticing talents on the market, but his age, injury record, history of substance abuse, and performance away from the hitter’s parks he’s called home give general managers plenty of reasons to think twice before committing to a long-term contract.

We can tack on yet another concern to that long list of red flags: Hamilton is not a patient hitter. Over the course of his career, he’s struck out at an above-average rate and walked at a (barely) below-average rate, despite the fact that pitchers have plenty of incentive to stay away from his power. Last season, his tendency to swing (and chase) grew much more pronounced, while his contact percentage plummeted.

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Ben and Sam break down the Braves' signing of B.J. Upton and discuss the discrepancy between different appraisals of his value.

Ben and Sam break down the Braves' signing of B.J. Upton and discuss the discrepancy between different appraisals of his value.

Episode 91: "What Will the Braves Get from B.J. Upton?"

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November 19, 2012 12:00 am

Overthinking It: All Quiet on the Free Agent Front

4

Ben Lindbergh

Despite many factors pointing toward increased spending, baseball's salaries haven't seemed much more inflated this winter.

Late this season, Major League Baseball completed new broadcast deals with ESPN, Fox, and Turner Sports that will roughly double the amount of money the league receives from those three networks beginning in 2014. Couple those contracts with increasingly lucrative local TV deals, the highest regular-season attendance since 2008, the success of MLB Advanced Media, the new CBA’s restrictions on how much teams can spend in the draft and on the international market, the trend toward locking up young players before they become free agents, and the Dodgers’ apparent willingness to make their fans forget Frank McCourt by becoming big-time buyers, and the stage appeared to be set for significant offseason inflation.

It’s been less than three weeks since Sergio Romo struck out the AL MVP looking to end the World Series, and only a few prominent players have signed. However, the players who ink early have the potential to help dictate what the next few months might look like, and if an influx of cash were burning holes in baseball teams’ pockets, we would expect to see the new market rate reflected in the early returns. While it’s too soon to say with any certainty what the rest of the winter will look like, we can examine the first few signings for any evidence that a new spending boom has begun. Here’s a selection of deals signed so far compared to the contracts comparable players commanded last winter:

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If an expansion team with a Yankees budget wanted to build a team out of this year's free agents, what would it look like?

You can’t build a team around free agents, say the people who don’t think you can build a team around free agents. To them, the only way to build a team is through the draft, waiver claims and occasional trades. To paraphrase the great movie Waterboy (which is such a great movie that you can watch it for free on YouTube), “Free agents are the devil!” Well, maybe so if you’re living in the real world, but this is Baseball Prospectus where we can do anything we want provided it fits on a spreadsheet and won’t wake our parents upstairs.

Another thing some people like to say is that baseball teams aren’t just names on paper. They’re real people. Well, not here they aren’t, mister! Here players are one-dimensional entities devoid of emotion and everything else that won’t show up on our computer machines. In that spirit, I’m not only going to build a baseball team exclusively out of free agents, but I’m going to do it only on (virtual) paper. Eat that, straw men I just created!

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BP's clinical psychologist brings his experience and expertise to bear in evaluating the impact of Zack Greinke's and Josh Hamilton's mental health histories on their on-field futures.

If you'll excuse me for a moment while I put on my other hat.

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Ben and Sam discuss whether Josh Hamilton could end up signing a reasonable contract after all and talk about whether the Yankees can commit to and compete despite their goal to get under the luxury tax threshold by 2014.

Ben and Sam discuss whether Josh Hamilton could end up signing a reasonable contract after all and talk about whether the Yankees can commit to and compete despite their goal to get under the luxury tax threshold by 2014.

Episode 80: "Could Josh Hamilton Be a Bargain?/Are the Financially Responsible Yankees for Real?"

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Four free agents go online dating.

Few things on the internet this time of year are as much fun as perusing free-agent rumors. It’s a perfectly mindless activity – you read enough articles and you’re bound to find every player linked to every team until it all starts to feel like mush in your brain. But if there’s one thing that tides me over, one time suck that keeps me occupied when I’m fresh out of baseball gossip, it’s absently clicking through dating profiles. It’s the exact same brain function: you click, you read, you process…and then you forget almost immediately. And when you look back at the hours you spent clicking around, you remember them all as one large profile, in the way that all the rumors feel like one big rumor.

It’s not just hot stove season, you see—it’s also “It’s freezing outside, I’m still single, and all I have is this stupid hot stove” season. Sometimes, going back and forth between the two after a long day, the tabs start to run together. But I swear I saw these OkCupid profiles last night. They run the gamut: flirty, stuck-up, homely, even flat-out desperate…

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Ben and Sam discuss which teams might benefit most from adding a few wins this winter.

Ben and Sam discuss which teams might benefit most from adding a few wins this winter.

Episode 77: "The Teams in the Winter Spending Sweet Spot"

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Will Josh Hamilton find the contract he's looking for this winter? And should be?

When the Rangers were knocked out of the playoffs by the Orioles in the AL Wild Card play-in game, Josh Hamilton sounded the part of a politician. The Ranger faithful had booed him during the game in part for his numbers during that play-in game—he went 0-for-4 with two strikeouts, both on three pitches—but really for his lackluster performance in the second half of the regular season (16 homers and an .833 OPS compared to 27 homers with a 1.016 OPS in the first half).

"I always would love to stay here," Hamilton said at the time of the loss to the Orioles. "They understand that. They know that. When we talked earlier in the year, we didn't get things worked out, so we said we'd wait until the year was over. They obviously get first shot. I told them they'd get first shot at the end of the year. We'll see what happens."

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November 5, 2012 12:00 am

Painting the Black: The 50 Best Free Agents

42

R.J. Anderson

The names baseball will be obsessing over for the next three months.

With free agency beginning at just after midnight Eastern early Saturday, it’s time to look at this year’s class. Along with Ben Lindbergh, Sam Miller, and others, we put together a list of the top 50 free agents available this winter. Some analysis and predictions are also included. You can quibble with the rankings (especially after a certain point) and many of the predictions, but this is meant to serve as a primer for the free-agent period.

1. Zack Greinke (Angels): Greinke may not consistently perform like an ace but he is a durable no. 2 starter with a deep arsenal, and an understanding of how to use it. After trading three top prospects at the deadline for Greinke and then having his club miss the postseason, Jerry Dipoto is in an unenviable position. Dipoto cannot recoup draft picks, which provides further incentive to re-sign Greinke. It seems Dipoto is heading down that path if recent payroll shearing is any indication.

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Adapting the rules governing free agency might seem like sound policy, but it comes with considerable risk.

While looking toward the future with our comprehensive slate of current content, we'd also like to recognize our rich past by drawing upon our extensive (and mostly free) online archive of work dating back to 1997. In an effort to highlight the best of what's gone before, we'll be bringing you a weekly blast from BP's past, introducing or re-introducing you to some of the most informative and entertaining authors who have passed through our virtual halls. If you have fond recollections of a BP piece that you'd like to nominate for re-exposure to a wider audience, send us your suggestion.

The new CBA includes some changes to the way draft-pick compensation for departed free agents works. Joe Sheehan advised against altering the old system in the piece reprinted below, which was originally published as a "Prospectus Today" column on February 17, 2009.
 


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Real headline.

From the Pittsburgh Press

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