Marlins owner Jeffrey Loria would like to make a smash as the Fish move into their new park, but the team would be better off making only minor moves.
Marlins owner Jeffrey Loria wants people to forget about the Florida Marlins, forget about Sun Life Stadium, and forget about a miserable year that saw the team spend 92 of the final 105 days of the season in the cold, dark cellar of the National League East, only its second last-place finish since Loria purchased the team, unopposed, from John Henry in 2002.
A low payroll and thin farm system do not bode well for the opening of a new ballpark
Kiss 'Em Goodbye is a series focusing on MLB teams as their postseason dreams fade -- whether in September (or before), the League Division Series, League Championship Series or World Series. It combines a broad overview from Baseball Prospectus, a front-office take from former MLB GM Jim Bowden, a best- and worst-case scenario ZiPS projection for 2012 from Dan Szymborski and Kevin Goldstein's farm system overview.
As bad as any team in more than half a century, that's how bad, and even Albus McKeon Dumbledore won't fix 'em.
The Marlins are in the midst of one of the worst months of baseball in more than a half-century. The team has won only three of its last 22 games, including only one win in the month of June. No Marlins team has ever finished with fewer than six wins in a month with at least 15 games. Even the terrible 1998 Marlins, the stripped team that followed the first World Series in the franchise's history, never finished with fewer than seven wins in a single month.
The Fish are owners of what is currently the worst mark in any one calendar month by any one NL East team since 1950:
Pegging BP's favorites in both leagues, both in the standings and for the major awards.
Today we reveal the Baseball Prospectus staff predictions for the division standings and the major player awards (MVP, Cy Young, and Rookie of the Year) in the American and National Leagues. Each staff member's division standings predictions may be found later in the article. Here, we present a wisdom-of-the-crowds summary of the results. In each table you'll find the average rank of each team in their division with first-place votes in parentheses, plus the results of our pre-season MVP, Cy Young, and Rookie of the Year voting.
For the MVP voting, we've slightly amended the traditional points system in place that has been used elsewhere, dropping fourth- and fifth-place votes to make it 10-7-5 for the MVP Award, and the regular 5-3-1 for the Cy Young and Rookie of the Year Awards (that's 5 points for a first-place vote, 3 points for a second-place vote, etc.). Next to each of these selections we've listed the total number of ballots, followed by the total number of points, and then the number of first-place votes in parentheses, if any were received.
As the Phillies jump to #2 in the majors in payroll, the rest of the division plays catch-up.
Spending is up in the National League East, where all five clubs should rank higher on the list of Opening Day payrolls than they did at this time a year ago. Advancing up the list are the four-time defending champion Phillies, whose payroll jumps from fourth in baseball to second in 2011. They’re followed by the Mets (sixth to fifth), Braves (17th to 14th) and Marlins (28th to 24th). Even the Nationals, who project to reduce payroll slightly, move up from 24th in 2010 to 23rd this year. With the usual disclaimer that the numbers are subject to change, let’s break down the projected 2011 payrolls for the NL East.
Hot Spots begins its offseason moves coverage with three Marlins-related names.
As fellow Hot Spotter Rob McQuown alluded to yesterday, Hot Spots is back in the offseason to cover some of the various moving parts of Hot Stove season and how they might affect your fantasy teams. Moving parts means more to fantasy players than just a new team name in front of their favorite stars. It also can bring more (or less) playing time, increased opportunities for success, and all sorts of other considerations that fantasy players should keep in mind. We hope that we can provide that for you this offseason.
Dan Uggla's contract situation shifts inside the division from the Marlins to the Braves.
Major-league teams have a full week after Thanksgiving to offer 2011 contracts to unsigned players on their rosters. But with space at a premium at the November 19 deadline to set rosters before the Rule 5 draft, a number of arbitration-eligible players have been jettisoned early. With those “early non-tenders” hitting the free-agent market, let’s check out the 2011 arbitration cases for clubs in the National League East, the fifth in a six-part series evaluating each division.
With such a strong, affordable core, the future in Florida depends on the progression of the kids.
When considering the franchises for which you might want to serve as GM for a Day, arguments can be made for the Florida Marlins as both the most- and least-appealing franchise to take a stab at. While this year’s squad finished just below .500 and could never quite pull itself into the NL East race, few clubs can boast Florida’s collection of young, under-compensated talent and lack of regretful long-term commitments—exactly the recipe for building a consistent winner in a small market. However, the Marlins have other issues which make them far less attractive than they ought, issues which are touched on by my proposed mission statement.
There is plenty of talent on hand but the bullpen is an issue.
Kiss 'Em Goodbye is a series focusing on MLB teams as their postseason dreams fade—whether in September (or before), the League Division Series, League Championship Series, or World Series. It combines a broad overview of this season from Buster Olney, a take from Baseball Prospectus, a look toward an immediate 2011 move courtesy of Rumor Central, and Kevin Goldstein's farm system overview. You can find all the teams on one page by going here.