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Articles Tagged First Base 

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01-20

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12

Fantasy Players to Avoid: First Basemen
by
BP Fantasy Staff

01-20

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0

The -Only League Landscape: American League First Basemen
by
Mike Gianella

01-20

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2

Tale of the Tape, Dynasty Edition: A.J. Reed vs. Dan Vogelbach
by
George Bissell

01-19

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3

The -Only League Landscape: National League First Basemen
by
Scooter Hotz

01-19

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5

Dynasty League Positional Rankings Continued: First Basemen on the Ocean Floor
by
Wilson Karaman

01-19

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5

Dynasty League Positional Rankings: The Top 50 First Basemen
by
Bret Sayre

01-18

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10

Get to Know: First Base Prospects
by
Ben Carsley

01-16

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11

State of the Position: First Base
by
George Bissell

01-16

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5

Early ADP Analysis: First Base
by
Matt Collins

01-16

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2

The Quinton: First Basemen, Roto Categories, and Total vs. Complementary Production
by
Jeff Quinton

05-23

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16

Updating the Tiers: First Basemen
by
Bret Sayre

01-22

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3

TTO Scoresheet Podcast: Episode 72: First Base Week
by
Ian Lefkowitz, Ben Murphy and Jared Weiss

01-22

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4

The -Only League Landscape: American League First Basemen
by
Mike Gianella

01-22

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18

Fantasy Players to Avoid: First Base
by
BP Fantasy Staff

01-21

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7

Dynasty League Positional Rankings Continued: First Basemen on the Ocean Floor
by
Wilson Karaman

01-20

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2

The -Only League Landscape: National League First Basemen
by
Keith Cromer

01-20

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1

Welcome to Splitsville: First Base
by
Doug Thorburn

01-20

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9

Fantasy Three-Year Projections: First Base
by
Greg Wellemeyer

01-20

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9

Get to Know: First-Base Prospects
by
Ben Carsley

01-19

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6

State of the Position: First Base
by
Mike Gianella

01-19

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2

The Adjuster: First Basemen
by
Wilson Karaman

01-19

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22

Fantasy Tiered Rankings: First Base
by
J.P. Breen

01-18

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2

The Quinton: The Representativeness Heuristic and Baseball Positions
by
Jeff Quinton

01-18

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16

Early ADP Analysis: First Base
by
George Bissell

03-30

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2

The Buyer's Guide: Adam Lind
by
J.P. Breen

03-13

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0

Player Profile: Ryan Zimmerman
by
Matt Collins

01-16

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7

Player Profile: Ike Davis
by
Wilson Karaman

01-16

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1

Fantasy Players to Avoid: First Base
by
BP Fantasy Staff

01-15

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17

Tale of the Tape, Dynasty Edition: Brandon Belt vs. Lucas Duda
by
J.P. Breen

01-14

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0

The -Only League Landscape: American League First Basemen
by
Nick Shlain

01-12

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8

The Quinton: The Value of Having Options
by
Jeff Quinton

08-13

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7

They Hold No Quarter: First Base
by
BP Fantasy Staff

01-23

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12

Dynasty League Positional Rankings: Top 50 First Basemen
by
Bret Sayre

01-21

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17

State of the Position: First Basemen
by
Craig Goldstein

01-21

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15

Graphical Fantasy Rankings: First Basemen
by
Mauricio Rubio

03-20

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23

Fantasy Tiered Rankings: First Basemen
by
Josh Shepardson

03-11

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3

Pebble Hunting: The End of First Basemen?
by
Sam Miller

07-22

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4

BP Unfiltered: The Waste Land of the National League
by
Colin Wyers

02-29

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12

Prospectus Preview: AL West 2012 Preseason Preview
by
Jason Parks and Jason Wojciechowski

02-03

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35

Future Shock: Giants Top 11 Prospects
by
Kevin Goldstein

01-27

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25

Prospectus Hit and Run: The Heavyweight Infield
by
Jay Jaffe

01-13

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61

Heartburn Hardball: Jack Morris in Motion
by
Jonathan Bernhardt

12-21

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36

Spinning Yarn: Hit-and-Run Success is No Accident
by
Mike Fast

12-19

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9

Wezen-Ball: The Greatest Comic Ever
by
Larry Granillo

11-22

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10

Fantasy Beat: Early Off-Season ADPs
by
Jason Collette

11-03

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24

Wezen-Ball: Take Me Out to the Holosuite: A Star Trek DS9 Breakdown
by
Larry Granillo

10-28

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54

World Series Prospectus: Game Six: The Crazy Train Keeps Rolling
by
Jay Jaffe

08-18

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26

The Lineup Card: 11 Memorable Breakdowns, Antics, and Tirades
by
Baseball Prospectus

08-04

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6

Spinning Yarn: Counsell for the Defense
by
Mike Fast

07-12

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7

Painting the Black: Mid-season Heroes and Goats, Part 1
by
R.J. Anderson

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January 20, 2017 6:00 am

Fantasy Players to Avoid: First Basemen

12

BP Fantasy Staff

You might want to let someone else draft or buy these players in your leagues this spring.

Paul Goldschmidt, Arizona Diamondbacks
Man, this has a chance burn me badly and make me look really stupid at the end of 2017. Paul Goldschmidt is still an awesome, amazing fantasy asset, so don't think I'm disparaging his skills or anything. It's just that he had some declines in a few areas last year that I want to shed light on.

In a year where power was up across baseball, possibly because of a juiced ball, Goldschmidt had a noticeable drop in power. His .192 ISO was exactly league average for a first baseman, and was down about 50 ISO points from where it was the prior 3 seasons, where it sat at .247. He slugged under .500 for the first time since 2012 and ranked 10th among qualified 1B in slugging, down from ranking 2nd from 2013-2015, when he slugged .556. His park and league adjusted OPS+ fell from an incredible 162 from 2013-15 to 134 in 2016, a drop of almost 30 percentage points.


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January 20, 2017 6:00 am

The -Only League Landscape: American League First Basemen

0

Mike Gianella

An overview of the fantasy options at this position in the junior circuit.

For some, $30 in fantasy earnings is the rarified air that makes a player elite. By this admittedly arbitrary standard, first base in the AL is not the place to shop if you are looking for an elite player. Miguel Cabrera ($30) was the only first baseman who reached this threshold in 2016. Edwin Encarnacion finished second at $26. Chris Davis exemplifies the challenge power hitters face in fantasy. His 38 home runs, 99 runs, and 84 RBI were worth $21, but his one steal and .221 batting average pushed him all the way back to $15. Cabrera and Jose Abreu were the only Top 10 AL first basemen to hit higher than .269 and provide more than one dollar of earnings from AVG, while no AL first baseman stole more than nine bases. It is difficult for three category players to earn more than $30, particularly if one of those categories isn’t stolen bases.

The expert market treaded conservatively at the position, with only one relative shot-in-the-dark based on prior performance. Table One lists the 10 most expensive AL first basemen in 2016, based on their average salaries in the CBS, LABR, and Tout Wars AL-only leagues. Position eligibility in Table One is based on each player’s status at the beginning of last season.

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January 20, 2017 6:00 am

Tale of the Tape, Dynasty Edition: A.J. Reed vs. Dan Vogelbach

2

George Bissell

Which of these two big boppers is the better long-term fantasy bet?

A chasm deeper than the Mariana Trench has long existed between scouts and evaluators on opposite ends of the spectrum regarding A.J. Reed and Dan Vogelbach. Among the most polarizing power-hitting prospects in the game, there were those who regarded their raw hit tool, power, and superb selectivity at the dish as reasons to anoint them legit #dudes. On the other hand, there were those who still had their doubts. Whether it concerned their ability to hit left-handed pitching (completely fair) or their weight and conditioning (not really fair) is an entirely different matter.

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January 19, 2017 10:58 am

The -Only League Landscape: National League First Basemen

3

Scooter Hotz

A look at the menu of options at this position in the senior circuit.

The top end of the player pool at first base in the National League is deep, but things get dicey quickly after that. The quality drops off in a hurry before the player population abruptly ends. As my colleague Mike Gianella specifies in his Fantasy Tiered Rankings for First Basemen:

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A deeper dive into the fantasy future at this position.

Predicting future first basemen of relevance can be a tricky endeavor, as the position tends to be a landing strip for failed defensive efforts elsewhere, and true-to-form first basemen face exceedingly high natural barriers to success. After we muddle through the veteran re-treads theoretically capable of making mixed-league runs and generating some modicum of 2017 value, we’ll moved on to some longer (and longer still) term discussion. There’s enough power among the veteran prospects who fell short of Bret’s Top 50 list to warrant some turned heads, with a couple of A-ball guys sitting under Shaw who I like for watch lists in even medium-depth leagues this year. Unfortunately, last year’s draft class was especially brutal for first-base talent, with all of two guys drafted as cold cornermen garnering so much as a $200,000 bonus. But then there are some intriguing names on down the 2017-and-beyond line, and organizational purview will of course add depth to this list as the season wears on and hope for more polished leather wears out.

Here is my look from last week at catchers, which includes an introduction to the series. And now, on to the depths of the first-base position for 2017.

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January 19, 2017 6:00 am

Dynasty League Positional Rankings: The Top 50 First Basemen

5

Bret Sayre

Stacking up the players at this position for the long haul.

We, at Baseball Prospectus, have been talking about cold corner inhabitants for a while now (three days and change to be exact, depending on when you are reading this) and the party continues to rage on. Yet before we rage, we shall calibrate—since rankings aren’t useful without knowing what you’re reading. The list you are about to read here presupposes a 16-team standard (read: 5x5 roto) dynasty format, in which there are no contracts/salaries, players can be kept forever, and owners have minor-league farm systems in which to hoard prospects. So feel free to adjust this as necessary for your individual league, whether it’s moving non-elite prospects without 2016 ETAs down if you don’t have separate farm teams or moving lower-risk, lower-reward players up in deeper mixed or -only formats.

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January 18, 2017 6:00 am

Get to Know: First Base Prospects

10

Ben Carsley

A window into the fantasy future at the cold corner.

Previous entries in this series

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January 16, 2017 6:00 am

State of the Position: First Base

11

George Bissell

The 30,000-foot-high view of the cold corner for fantasy purposes.

The Big Question: What does a replacement-level fantasy first baseman look like?

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January 16, 2017 6:00 am

Early ADP Analysis: First Base

5

Matt Collins

A look at where the first-sackers have been selected in the first batch of drafts this year.

Welcome to first base week, where we’ll have everything you need to know about the position over the next five days. In this space, you can find the second edition of this year’s average ADP analysis series. As I explained in last week’s catcher edition, these ADP numbers come from the NFBC data, and the average round is assuming a 15-team league. Now, with all of that out of the way, let’s get to the good stuff.

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Why the multitude of first-base options can result in suboptimal decisions, and how to avoid falling into the trap.

Good Monday and, more importantly, good Martin Luther King Day to everyone.

Unrelatedly, we go from the catcher position, the least productive offensive position (likely a result of all the ways catchers can impact the game defensively), to first base, one of the most productive offensive positions, likely a result of the limits on the way a first baseman can impact the game defensively. Talk about pointing out contrast because I didn’t know how to get rolling on this article.

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May 23, 2016 6:00 am

Updating the Tiers: First Basemen

16

Bret Sayre

Anthony Rizzo drops down a peg, Chris Carter rises, and more changes in the revised ordering of the first sackers.

Welcome, to Baseball Prospectus’ first (or at least first time in a long time) in-season rankings update to our preseason positional tiers article. As we did during the preseason, players at each position will be divided into five tiers, represented by a “star” rating. In addition, unlike with the preseason “star” ratings, these lists can also be viewed as a straight ranking.

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January 22, 2016 6:00 am

TTO Scoresheet Podcast: Episode 72: First Base Week

3

Ian Lefkowitz, Ben Murphy and Jared Weiss

The Outcomes rank the first basemen for Scoresheet formats and discuss on the podcast.

If you’ve missed this reminder during the past few years, “first base week” means something different to Scoresheet players than to our fantasy brethren. In Scoresheet, qualifying for the position is something of the equivalent of a participation trophy. Are you an infielder of good or ill repute? Great news! You can stand around at first and be essentially average. Are you an outfielder? You can probably step in as well. Are you a first baseman? Great! Join in, your defensive contributions are noted and devalued accordingly. Are you David Ortiz? Oh, okay. Well, first, thanks for reading—we’re pretty surprised, too. Second, we’re sorry that you’re the only player in the game who is essentially incapable of playing the position. We hope you enjoy spending the season shaking hands with team presidents and enjoying gifts of souvenir cowboy boots and surfboards and whatever other nonsense as a consolation prize.

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