CSS Button No Image Css3Menu.com

Baseball Prospectus home
  
  
Click here to log in Click here for forgotten password Click here to subscribe

Futures Guide 2014 is Now Available in Paperback and Three E-book Formats.

Premium and Super Premium Subscribers Get a 20% Discount at MLB.tv!

Articles Tagged Fantasy 

Search BP Articles

All Blogs (including podcasts)

Active Columns

Authors

Article Types

Archives

07-24

comment icon

0

Fantasy Freestyle: Sustained Success and the Red Queen Hypothesis
by
Jeff Quinton

07-24

comment icon

0

Free Agent Watch: Week 17
by
Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre

07-24

comment icon

0

TTO Scoresheet Podcast: All About Failure
by
Ian Lefkowitz, Ben Murphy and Jared Weiss

07-23

comment icon

9

Dynasty Dynamics: Players We're Buying at the Deadline
by
Ben Carsley and Craig Goldstein

07-23

comment icon

14

The Stash List: 14th Edition
by
Bret Sayre

07-23

comment icon

1

Fantasy Freestyle: Useful Non-Closer Relievers
by
J.P. Breen

07-22

comment icon

0

Daily League Strategy: Two Servings of Flande
by
Paul Sporer

07-22

comment icon

3

My Model Portfolio: Three-and-a-Half Months Later
by
Bret Sayre

07-22

comment icon

1

Deep Impact: Week 16
by
Ben Carsley

07-21

comment icon

8

The Buyer's Guide: Jason Kipnis
by
J.P. Breen

07-21

comment icon

0

Interleague Report: Week 17
by
Jeff Quinton

07-21

comment icon

16

Closer to Me: Week 17
by
Mauricio Rubio

07-21

comment icon

10

Fantasy Freestyle: The MLB Trade Landscape, Buyers
by
Mike Gianella

07-18

comment icon

5

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 17
by
Wilson Karaman

07-18

comment icon

15

Fantasy Freestyle: Buy or Sell: Chris Davis
by
Craig Goldstein

07-17

comment icon

7

Fantasy Freestyle: Midseason Keeper League FAAB Strategy
by
Jeff Quinton

07-17

comment icon

0

Free Agent Watch: Week 16
by
Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre

07-17

comment icon

0

TTO Scoresheet Podcast: All-Star Week
by
Ben Murphy and Jared Weiss

07-16

comment icon

12

Dynasty Dynamics: Top 50 Jumpers
by
Ben Carsley and Craig Goldstein

07-15

comment icon

4

Fantasy Freestyle: 10 Crazy Predictions Fantasy Writers Should Have Made
by
Mike Gianella

07-15

comment icon

6

Deep Impact: Week 15
by
Ben Carsley

07-14

comment icon

1

Interleague Report: Week 16
by
Jeff Quinton

07-14

comment icon

41

Top 50 Dynasty League Prospects
by
Bret Sayre

07-14

comment icon

5

Closer to Me: Week 16
by
Mauricio Rubio

07-14

comment icon

2

The Buyer's Guide: Howie Kendrick
by
J.P. Breen

07-11

comment icon

0

Fantasy Freestyle: Buy or Sell: Charlie Morton
by
Wilson Karaman

07-11

comment icon

10

Fantasy Freestyle: What to Expect From Jimmy Nelson
by
Craig Goldstein

07-10

comment icon

1

Free Agent Watch: Week 15
by
Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre

07-10

comment icon

0

Fantasy Freestyle: League Norms and Trade Markets
by
Jeff Quinton

07-10

comment icon

5

TTO Scoresheet Podcast: Crossover Season Begins
by
Ian Lefkowitz, Ben Murphy and Jared Weiss

07-09

comment icon

6

Fantasy Freestyle: Don't Forget About Me
by
J.P. Breen

07-09

comment icon

10

The Stash List: 13th Edition
by
Bret Sayre

07-09

comment icon

7

Dynasty Dynamics: Progress Report: Prospect Edition, Part Two
by
Ben Carsley and Craig Goldstein

07-08

comment icon

1

Deep Impact: Week 14
by
Ben Carsley

07-08

comment icon

0

Daily League Strategy: Cutting to the Chase
by
Paul Sporer

07-07

comment icon

0

Interleague Report: Week 15
by
Jeff Quinton

07-07

comment icon

7

Closer to Me: Week 15
by
Mauricio Rubio

07-07

comment icon

2

Fantasy Freestyle: Trade Deadline Edition, Sellers
by
Mike Gianella

07-07

comment icon

14

Transaction Analysis: Billy Beane Buys What the Cubs Are Selling
by
R.J. Anderson, Ron Shah, Jason Parks, Bret Sayre and Mauricio Rubio

07-03

comment icon

2

TTO Scoresheet Podcast: Maximizing Value in Midseason Trades
by
Ian Lefkowitz, Ben Murphy and Jared Weiss

07-03

comment icon

11

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 15
by
Wilson Karaman

07-03

comment icon

4

Fantasy Freestyle: Rick Porcello: Buy or Sell?
by
Craig Goldstein

07-03

comment icon

2

Free Agent Watch: Week 14
by
Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre

07-02

comment icon

0

Daily League Strategy: A Bargain First Baseman
by
Paul Sporer

07-02

comment icon

4

Fantasy Freestyle: Minor League Draft Pick Valuation
by
Jeff Quinton

07-02

comment icon

1

Dynasty Dynamics: Futures Team Meet and Greet: World
by
Ben Carsley

07-01

comment icon

1

Daily League Strategy: Leake and Locke
by
Paul Sporer

07-01

comment icon

7

The Buyer's Guide: Jake Arrieta
by
J.P. Breen

07-01

comment icon

12

The Stash List: 12th Edition
by
Bret Sayre

07-01

comment icon

1

Deep Impact: Week 13
by
Ben Carsley

<< Previous Tag Entries Next Tag Entries >>

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

July 21, 2014 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: The MLB Trade Landscape, Buyers

10

Mike Gianella

A look at the moves buyers might make and the fantasy impact they'd have.

Two weeks ago, I looked at the potential sellers at the major league trade deadline. Today, I will take a look at potential buyers.

The same caveats from my last article apply. What I have compiled for our readers is a helpful, at-a-glance look at the potential trade market this month, particularly from the vantage point of teams that might be adding players. It is not meant to be an all-encompassing guide; it is possible some rumored targets are not listed below. Since this is a fantasy article, I will focus on fantasy impact but if you are a non-fantasy player and a Baseball Prospectus reader I hope this article proves useful to you as well.

The rest of this article is restricted to Baseball Prospectus Subscribers.

Not a subscriber?

Click here for more information on Baseball Prospectus subscriptions or use the buttons to the right to subscribe and get access to the best baseball content on the web.


Cancel anytime.


That's a 33% savings over the monthly price!


That's a 33% savings over the monthly price!

Already a subscriber? Click here and use the blue login bar to log in.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

July 18, 2014 6:00 am

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 17

5

Wilson Karaman

Helping you set your fantasy rotation for next week with a look at the two-start pitchers.

Welcome to the Weekly Pitching Planner! The first full week of the second half is always a tough one for two-start pitching, as the abbreviated prior week coming off the All Star Break tends to manipulate the schedule in such a way as to leave bottom tier rotation options lined up for two-start status. Lo and behold, that’s exactly where we find ourselves this week. There’s a grand total of two auto-start options in the entirety of Major League Baseball, and only a handful of straight “start” recommendations on top of that. The good news is that the following week, Week Eighteen, we should be on track to boast a strong number of top shelf two-start options, and that’s always fun. Only two teams, the Rays and Cardinals, will play five-game schedules this week, so in terms of sheer volume of options there are plenty. But when the quality is this poor, sometimes the quantity just doesn’t matter all that much.

I’ll also note that as of press time a handful of teams (Cleveland, Atlanta, the Cubs, Miami, and Milwaukee) have yet to announce their full rotation plans beyond the weekend, so as those probable starters begin to post please feel free to request feedback on the match-ups in the comments section below.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

July 18, 2014 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: Buy or Sell: Chris Davis

15

Craig Goldstein

The O's slugger had a down first half, but is there reason to expect big things down the stretch?

Early in the season it’s easy to brush off a struggling start for one of your key players because hey, it’s early. By mid-July though (if not sooner), we need to decide whether we’re going to ship off said star for someone with less status, but potentially more production. Today, I want to look at Chris Davis and determine whether he’s due for some sort of bounce-back in the season’s final 70 or so games, or if you should dump him on someone who is willing to believe more than you.

The only time Davis hasn’t been hurting your team this season was his brief stint on the disabled list with a strained oblique at the end of April/beginning of May. Outside of that time of null production, Davis has recorded a cringe-worthy .199/.309/.391. The latter two figures are actually moderately impressive in light of the former, but it’s still been a rough ride on the whole. There aren’t a ton of anomalies in the overall profile. He’s walking more than ever before, and while his 32 percent strikeout rate is elevated compared to his recent run of success, it’s not staggeringly different from the rates he’s posted in years prior, and certainly not enough to explain the bizarre drop in production.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

July 17, 2014 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: Midseason Keeper League FAAB Strategy

7

Jeff Quinton

A look at how you should spend your free agent budget in keeper leagues to maximize value.

I was originally going to write this article on the impact of the winner’s curse on FAAB bidding, but in Google-checking my ideas before beginning to write them up, I came across this Erik Siegrist article. Am I the biggest fan of the name Eric(k) ending with a K? No. Is the article excellent and a must-read for those in keeper leagues? Absolutely. Does the article’s excellence make me feel self-conscious as a fantasy baseball writer? Yup (he pretty much wrote the article I wanted to write and wrote it better than I imagined I would). Anyhow, go read it.

The part I wish to expand on is midseason strategy. Come midseason, the FAAB market in keeper leagues tends to be markedly different than the market in the beginning of the season. Players who can help teams in the hunt almost always go above “keeper” value, leaving only players who will be of seemingly no use this year to potentially go at value or at a bargain. We have seen before that at this time of the year, when the goals of owners in keeper leagues diverge, discussion of strategy is important. Consequently, we will briefly discuss the winner’s curse and how that should impact the decision-making of owners depending on their competitive position.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

July 17, 2014 6:00 am

Free Agent Watch: Week 16

0

Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre

If these players are sitting on your league's waiver wire, they might be worth a look, depending on the format of your league.

Welcome back to our weekly walk through some of the players who may want to keep an extra eye on in your leagues. Mike and I will be tackling this topic on Thursdays again and focusing on a singular hitter and pitcher in four of the more popular formats: shallow mixed, deep mixed, NL-only and AL-only. These are certainly not the only players who are worth pickups, but it gives us a nice opportunity to write about players we have close tabs on in our leagues.

12-TEAM MIXED

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

July 17, 2014 6:00 am

TTO Scoresheet Podcast: All-Star Week

0

Ben Murphy and Jared Weiss

The Outcomes discuss the Home Run Derby, answer reader questions, and chat about various Scoresheet topics.

In this week’s podcast:
In this week’s podcast, the Three True Outcomes are down to Two True Outcomes, and without Ian chaos reigns supreme. Reader questions are answered. Some of them even helpfully! We talk about trading pitching for hitting, catcher keepers in the NL, and the Scoresheet rules on rookie eligibility. Because everything is better in a draft, we draft the Home Run Derby contestants, which is only made more exciting by the fact that you know who won. You remember who won the Home Run Derby, right? Finally, after wading through some real life baseball topics, we end up talking a little bit more about Scoresheet trade ethics.

And we’d love to hear any good stories you have about horrible rebuilding teams, so send them our way.


The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

July 16, 2014 11:04 am

Dynasty Dynamics: Top 50 Jumpers

12

Ben Carsley and Craig Goldstein

Breaking down minor leagues who could soar up the rankings into the top 50 fantasy prospects by season's end.

Bret Sayre’s midseason update of his Top 50 Dynasty League Prospects list is already 48 hours old, meaning it’s time to look ahead as to who may make the next rendition of the list.

Craig and I already namedropped a few prospects who we thought should’ve made this iteration of the rankings at the bottom of Bret’s piece, but we wanted to do something different here. Rather than argue for players who should’ve already received such an honor for Mr. Sayre, we want to help dynasty leaguers get ahead of the curve by calling attention to some prospects who could merit top-50 consideration by season's end.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

If you saw any of these outlandish things coming before the season started—well, you were right.

A popular preseason article topic for fantasy baseball writers is “10 Crazy Predictions.” These types of articles usually try to make wild predictions based on a somewhat logical premise. Typically, most of these predictions miss the mark, with perhaps one or two of them hitting the jackpot.

Truth is stranger than fiction, or so the old bromide goes. But every year, it never fails: Something happens that falls completely outside of the realm of anyone’s predictive powers, even for those who are trying to find outliers. Below is a non-inclusive listing of fantasy baseball events that no one in his or her right mind would have predicted in April that are absolute stunners.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

July 15, 2014 6:00 am

Deep Impact: Week 15

6

Ben Carsley

Examining a handful of players who might pique your interest in deep leagues.

I would be the Yoenis Cespedes of the Lazy Intro Derby.

Trevor Cahill, SP, ARI
Remember when Trevor Cahill was good? It wasn’t so long ago as it may feel, as the sinker-baller served as a capable mid-rotation starter as recently as 2012 and was passable in the rotation last year. He’s never really been a terrific fantasy asset because of the limited strikeouts he induces, but it’s hard to imagine just how far he’s fallen over the past season. Cahill looked like one of the more promising young starters in the game post-2012. This year, he lost starts to Mike Bolsinger.


The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

July 14, 2014 6:00 am

Interleague Report: Week 16

1

Jeff Quinton

A look at the upcoming AL-vs-NL and NL-vs-AL matchups, and how they might affect teams' lineups.

Please note that in the “DH” column, the player listed is the player that has been added or removed from the lineup, not necessarily the player in the DH slot. For example, if the Phillies move Dominic Brown to DH and put Tony Gwynn Jr. in the OF, then I will list Gwynn Jr. in the “DH” column because he is the player who is gaining at-bats.

Last Week

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

July 14, 2014 6:00 am

Top 50 Dynasty League Prospects

41

Bret Sayre

Running down the top minor leaguers who might emerge as fantasy studs.

With the All-Star break upon us, the time has come for some reflection. It’s the time of year when we can stop checking our fantasy teams on a daily basis—trust me, those standings won’t change until the second half starts back up—and use that time in a more productive manner. Like mowing the lawn or giving your sister a call. Maybe you’ve been meaning to pick up a new book. Or, then again, maybe you’re the kind of person who wants to spend the beginning of his/her All-Star break reading way too many words about re-ranking the top 50 prospects in baseball from a fantasy angle. Sound good? Good.

In the first three-and-a-half months of the 2014 season, we’ve lost 14 of the top 50 fantasy prospects to the majors, including six of the first 16. So with talent lost comes talent found. There are 16 fresh faces in this hallowed space, and the charge is led by Rangers’ slugger Joey Gallo, who climbed 72 spots to nearly find a place in the top 10 overall. There are plenty of other big jumpers alongside the otherworldly power source, but why give the milk away for free when you could just read the list below.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

July 14, 2014 6:00 am

Closer to Me: Week 16

5

Mauricio Rubio

Surveying the ninth-inning situations around the league.

Arizona Diamondbacks
Addison Reed is limping into the midway point as he’s sporting a 4.30 ERA and has allowed nine home runs this year in 37 2/3 innings of work. That’s an abnormally high number of home runs to have given up, and it’s inexcusable to do what he’s done so far as the closer. Kirk Gibson has stuck by Reed to this point in the season, and there are some signs that it’s the right decision. Reed has a 26.3 percent strikeout rate and a 5.6 percent walk rate. The WHIP is sitting at 1.19, which isn’t terrible. The long ball has done him in, and it’s an issue he will have to correct in the second half if he wants to keep his job. Brad Ziegler is hanging out on the periphery in case Reed continues to struggle.

Chicago White Sox
I’m running out of ways to say that this bullpen is bad. Javy Guerra wasted a(nother) brilliant John Danks performance (that’s a separate freestyle that has yet to be written) by giving up a two-run Yan Gomes home run in the eighth. It did allow for a Cody Allen save, so that was cool, but mercy. I have no solutions here. There’s no one at the minor league level who I think could come up and solve the issue in the short term. Daniel Webb, who I thought has the type of arm and mentality to be a closer, has a 15 percent walk rate. Matt Lindstrom and Nate Jones are still dead.



The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

<< Previous Tag Entries Next Tag Entries >>