As a reminder, five-star players are generally going to be your star-level producers that will be selected within the first couple of rounds, usually worth upward of $30. Four-star players are the next step down, worth more than $20. Three stars are worth more than $10, two stars will be in the single digits, and one star will be roster-filler and late-round fliers. Of course, this is just a general guideline. While the rankings will generally follow PECOTA, I will deviate when I feel strongly that a player will over or underperform his PECOTA projection.
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This is a review of my 2010 center field rankings. This time around, not only will we use auction values for mixed leagues, but also the dollar value for AL- and NL-only leagues. These dollar values come from Graphical Player 2011, and I think these will do a good job illustrating how much I missed by on the players I missed, though, broken record style, the why is more important than the result when it comes to these rankings. All PECOTA projections, dollar values and statistics in the parentheses are from 2010.
Reflecting on the 2009 rankings for the second sackers and looking forward to the 2010 projections.
Continuing from where we left off last time, this week we will take a look at the fantasy rankings for second base that I made prior to the start of the regular season. Remember, the plan is to see what went right and what went wrong, both in terms of things that cannot be controlled (such as injuries, demotions, etc.) as well as problems with the process (over- or underrating a particular player or skill). First base went well, with just one major mistake, but second base saw a lot of new blood injected into it in 2009, as well as loads of rebounds and surprise seasons. Let's take a look and see how much of that is something we need to pay attention to going forward.
Looking back on the 2009 projections at first base, and seeing what takeaway lessons come of them.
We're handling the offseason's fantasy content a little differently this year, and with good reason. The plan is for me to go through all of the rankings I made in the preseason so that we can see what went right and what went wrong, and see what we, as a group, can learn about the process and how it should be improved for 2010's rankings. I think this kind of transparency will be healthy for the BP Fantasy Beat, as it will give me loads of time to think on my mistakes from 2009 and to judge them appropriately as legitimate errors in the process or see them for what they really were, which is something I, nor anyone else could not foresee-you know, the kind of stuff that happens in baseball hundreds of times a year, the kind of stuff that makes us love the game, but also screws up our fantasy teams.
Is Matsuzaka worth a top pick as the first wave of fantasy baseball drafts approaches? Matt looks at the issue from a statistical point of view.
Noting that "I don't think his previous numbers are all that relevant," ESPN's Eric Karabell guessed at a potential No. 3 starter, writing that "Matsuzaka finishes with a generous win total, like 15 or so, but an ERA of around 4, and 150 strikeouts" and cautioning fantasy players against his potential for injury. In contrast, Fox Sports fantasy analyst Roger Rotter sees Matsuzaka as a clear No. 1, suggesting that he will "be among the top two starting pitchers taken by teams in mixed leagues and a top pitcher taken by AL-only teams."