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05-20

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Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 20: The One That Isn't About Jesus Montero
by
Bret Sayre, Mike Gianella and Mauricio Rubio

05-14

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Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 19: Sad Songs About Mourning And Loss
by
Bret Sayre, Mike Gianella and Mauricio Rubio

03-07

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7

TINO (There Is No Offseason): Ep. 9: You Sound How Jesus Montero Looks
by
Bret Sayre, Ben Carsley, Craig Goldstein and Mauricio Rubio

08-29

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2

The Call-Up: Taijuan Walker
by
Jason Cole and Paul Sporer

08-26

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1

Fantasy Freestyle: Hanging in There
by
Mike Gianella

06-03

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6

Fantasy Freestyle: Is Dumping Early a Good Plan?
by
Mike Gianella

05-08

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8

Fantasy Freestyle: Ask the Experts
by
Mike Gianella

04-10

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2

Fantasy Freestyle: My American League Portfolio
by
Paul Sporer

03-30

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8

Fantasy Beat: My Razzball Expert League Team
by
Paul Singman

03-27

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9

Fantasy Freestyle: Use Your Disabled List
by
Josh Shepardson

03-20

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5

BP Announcements: Starting Pitcher Guide Available Now
by
Paul Sporer

03-07

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43

Top 100 Dynasty League Prospects
by
Bret Sayre and Josh Shepardson

02-18

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20

Baseball Prospectus News: The New Reality for BP Fantasy
by
Joe Hamrahi

02-15

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38

BP Announcements: Scoresheet Draft Aid 2013
by
Rob McQuown

01-28

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2

BP Announcements: 2013 Starting Pitcher Guide
by
Paul Sporer

01-15

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4

The Keeper Reaper: Relievers for 1/15/13
by
Dan Mennella

01-04

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3

The Keeper Reaper: Outfielders for 1/4/13
by
Paul Singman

10-22

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4

Resident Fantasy Genius: The Ones We Got Right
by
Derek Carty

09-17

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1

Resident Fantasy Genius: Where to Find Last-Minute Steals, Homers
by
Derek Carty

09-10

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0

Resident Fantasy Genius: Using ISO to Legitimize High/Low BABIPs?
by
Derek Carty

08-30

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1

Resident Fantasy Genius: Avoiding the Late-Season Ratio Trap
by
Derek Carty

08-24

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15

Weekly Planner: Week 22
by
Derek Carty

08-16

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11

Resident Fantasy Genius: A Summer Success Story
by
Derek Carty

08-13

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11

Resident Fantasy Genius: How to Handle 'Dump Trades'
by
Derek Carty

08-09

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18

Resident Fantasy Genius: Improving Your Team, or Butting In?
by
Derek Carty

07-26

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5

Resident Fantasy Genius: Rating the Fantasy Impact of the Week's Trades
by
Derek Carty

07-23

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Resident Fantasy Genius: Getting Aggressive With 10 Weeks To Go
by
Derek Carty

07-19

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3

Resident Fantasy Genius: Time to Get Real Value
by
Derek Carty

07-12

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9

Resident Fantasy Genius: Quit Wasting Your Depth
by
Derek Carty

07-09

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1

Resident Fantasy Genius: Making the Most of Midseason Free Agents
by
Derek Carty

06-26

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6

Value Picks: First, Third, and DH for 6/26/12
by
Michael Street

06-14

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7

Resident Fantasy Genius: Ignoring the Trend Line
by
Derek Carty

06-11

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6

Resident Fantasy Genius: Speculating on Mid-Season League Switches
by
Derek Carty

06-07

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Resident Fantasy Genius: Getting Into the Swingman
by
Derek Carty

06-01

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14

Resident Fantasy Genius: Adding Injury to Injuries
by
Derek Carty

05-24

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24

Resident Fantasy Genius: Is Scouting All Bad?
by
Derek Carty

05-10

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4

Resident Fantasy Genius: Trades of Grey
by
Derek Carty

04-30

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10

Resident Fantasy Genius: Make That Trade
by
Derek Carty

04-17

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14

Value Picks: First, Third, and DH for 4/16/12
by
Michael Street

04-16

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11

Resident Fantasy Genius: Not Time to Panic Over Lincecum
by
Derek Carty

04-12

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5

Resident Fantasy Genius: Using Enough Aggression
by
Derek Carty

04-09

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9

Resident Fantasy Genius: Don't Hoard Your Free Agent Budget
by
Derek Carty

03-26

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15

Resident Fantasy Genius: Tout Wars and LABR NL Drafts
by
Derek Carty

03-22

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18

Resident Fantasy Genius: Fantasy Tier Rankings: AL Outfielders
by
Derek Carty

03-20

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23

Resident Fantasy Genius: Fantasy Tier Rankings: NL Outfielders
by
Derek Carty

03-14

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19

Resident Fantasy Genius: Fantasy Tier Rankings: AL Starting Pitchers
by
Derek Carty

03-13

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19

Resident Fantasy Genius: Fantasy Tier Rankings: NL Starting Pitchers
by
Derek Carty

03-12

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11

Resident Fantasy Genius: Fantasy Tier Rankings: Shortstops
by
Derek Carty

03-09

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19

Resident Fantasy Genius: Fantasy Tier Rankings: Third Basemen
by
Derek Carty

03-08

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Resident Fantasy Genius: Fantasy Tier Rankings: Second Basemen
by
Derek Carty

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BP rolls out its expanded and enhanced fantasy coverage for 2013.

Last week we kicked off another season of fantasy baseball coverage here at Baseball Prospectus. We rolled out all the usual highly anticipated products, such as PECOTA, PFM, and updated Depth Charts. And later in the week, Rob McQuown’s brainchild, the Scoresheet Draft Aid, made its appearance for a second season here at BP. But that wasn’t all. We also introduced our preseason positional rankings series and saw debut articles from two new fantasy writers here at Baseball Prospectus. It was a good start to the new season, but it was just that, a start.

In 2013 we plan to expand and enhance our fantasy coverage to include a number of new writers, guests, and features. Jason Collette, Paul Sporer, Josh Shepardson, Rob McQuown, and Paul Singman all return to the team from last year, while Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre begin their first year at BP, bringing plenty of fantasy baseball experience with them.

Read the full article...

Baseball Prospectus brings back the popular Scoresheet Baseball Draft Aid, remaining Scoresheet-friendly in 2013. In time for public league drafts!

Last year, Baseball Prospectus introduced the Scoresheet Draft Aid to help Scoresheet Baseball players with their drafts. And many got to see a free trial last March. Since its inception, the most common piece of feedback by Scoresheet players who have used it is that it's "too good" and that it levels the playing field, erasing the edge that can be gained by an opponent through hours, days, or even months of research. This year, BP has welcomed Tim Collins, a new member of the tech team who is helping make it even better than the inaugural edition! So, look for upcoming improvements, including incorporation of the new prospect rankings by Jason Parks.

First, a recap of the basic functionality: Scoresheet Draft Aid is a tool to help with Scoresheet Baseball drafts, powered by PECOTA. (And remember that any "/fantasy" URL on the site can be accessed using "/f" instead, which can be useful for avoiding filters). To find the Scoresheet Draft Aid in the future, simply click on "Fantasy" on the main menu, which takes you to a page with this sub-menu:

Read the full article...

BP's Paul Sporer announces his annual Starting Pitcher Guide, and a special BP guest is joining him this year.

The sixth annual version of the Starting Pitching Guide is a comprehensive look at the starting pitching pool in all of baseball, ranging from the aces who will lead your fantasy team to the promised land in 2013 all the way down to the High-A prospects whom you hope will keep your dynasty fantasy team solvent through 2016 (just as your super-cap-friendly Mike Trout contract expires).

The 2013 iteration is now available for pre-order.

Read the full article...

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January 15, 2013 5:00 am

The Keeper Reaper: Relievers for 1/15/13

4

Dan Mennella

Aroldis Chapman, Jonathan Broxton, and J.J. Putz are examined by the Reaper this week.

Aroldis Chapman | Reds
Shallow (30 Keepers): No
Medium (60 Keepers): Fringe
Deep (90 Keepers): Yes
NL-only (60 Keepers): Yes
Super Deep (200 Keepers): Yes

Sure, the Reds are saying Chapman will transition from the bullpen (where he was a dominant closer last season) to the starting rotation in 2013. For fantasy purposes, however, it’s hardly that simple. As my colleague Paul Sporer explains, the jump from the ‘pen to the rotation can be a sticky wicket. In Chapman’s case, one has to wonder how his stuff will translate—diminished velocity is likely, as is a loss of some of the all-important control he discovered last season. Not to mention, we don’t know whether his golden left arm can handle the spike in workload; remember that he missed a couple weeks late in 2012 due to a tired pitching shoulder.






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This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

January 4, 2013 5:00 am

The Keeper Reaper: Outfielders for 1/4/13

3

Paul Singman

Injury disappointments Jacoby Ellsbury and Jayson Werth highlight this week's Reaper.

Jacoby Ellsbury | Boston Red Sox
Shallow (30 Keepers):
Fringe
Medium (60 Keepers): Yes
Deep (90 Keepers): Yes
AL-only (60 Keepers): Yes
Super Deep (200 Keepers): Yes

Ellsbury followed up his monstrous 2011 season with a shoulder-subluxed and ineffective 2012 that burned those expecting a repeat. All told, he played 74 games, batted .271, hit four homers, and stole 14 bags. Now that the price has come way down, a healthy Ellsbury is an intriguing asset for 2013.






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October 22, 2012 5:00 am

Resident Fantasy Genius: The Ones We Got Right

4

Derek Carty

Derek begins reviewing his pre-season predictions, starting with the ones that made him (and you) look good.

At the end of every season, I find it useful to go back and examine the predictions I made.  What did I get right, and where did I go wrong?  Today I’m going to look at some of my biggest hits. For each player, I’ve listed his mixed and AL/NL-only auction value in Tout Wars and LABR (only Tout has a mixed auction, but AL/NL-only values are an average of Tout and LABR) as well as his actual value for the 2012 season according to Last Player Picked. And of course, in the interest of fairness, I will be going through the same exercise for my worst predictions too.  Also take note that I’ve excluded most of the “value picks” from my preseason tier articles, as they’ll get their own review article.

Edwin Encarnacion
Mixed:
$9/$32
AL-only: $17.5/$35



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September 17, 2012 9:43 am

Resident Fantasy Genius: Where to Find Last-Minute Steals, Homers

1

Derek Carty

Playing for one category might make sense this late in the season. Here are some limited players who might nonetheless pick up a point or two for you.

On Thursday, I discussed the importance of managing your categorical needs at this time of year.  By this point in the season, you could actually make a case for dropping certain would-be stars like Adam Dunn or Michael Bourn if their categories are no longer of use to you (and if you’re certain enough they won’t fall into the hands of a competitor that needs what they offer).  On the flip side, players that you might have turned your nose up at earlier in the year may now be incredibly appealing.  Because there is so little time left in the year, a couple of home runs or steals could mean a point or two in the standings.  And if this is the case, the crappy batting average that is likely to come with it probably doesn’t matter to you.  As I always say, it’s all about context.  So today I return with some more one-category wonders that are worth considering for a final championship push.

Home Runs
My Mitch Moreland obsession is far from a secret.  He was one of my preseason sleepers and I drafted him everywhere.  As little love as the guy gets outside of these pages, he has 25-homer power at worst.  Especially if you have the luxury of picking the days you play him (he sits against lefties), he could give you a couple of homers over the final weeks.


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September 10, 2012 5:00 am

Resident Fantasy Genius: Using ISO to Legitimize High/Low BABIPs?

0

Derek Carty

BABIP spikes may be tough to read, but adding another unstable stat to the mix doesn't seem to help.

Last week, industry colleague Michael Salfino penned an interesting article for Yahoo! Sports discussing BABIP and how we might be able to tell legitimately good BABIPs apart from lucky ones (and legitimately bad BABIPs apart from unlucky ones).  A couple of you pointed the article out to me and asked for my take on it, so I thought it best to simply write up a post in case others were interested.  The article opens with:

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August 30, 2012 5:00 am

Resident Fantasy Genius: Avoiding the Late-Season Ratio Trap

1

Derek Carty

As the trade deadline approaches, you might want to upgrade in your pitching-ratio categories. This might be a losing strategy.

If your league’s annual trade deadline hasn’t already passed, it’s likely that today or tomorrow will be the last day to make deals.  The remainder of my leagues’ deadlines will all pass within the next 48 hours, and I know that I’ll be in contact with almost every owner in the league in that time (if I haven’t already begun talks) to see what they’re looking to acquire, what they’re looking to deal, and how that fits with what I’m trying to do.  Today, I wanted to pass along one piece of advice that might be useful to you in your own dealings: be very careful when trying to move the needle on your ratios.

With five of six months very nearly in the books, it will be incredibly difficult to budge most ratios more than a few points.  Of course all situations are different and need to be evaluated independently, but this is a general rule that applies to nearly all fantasy teams at this time of year.  As a result, while that deal you have on the table for Clayton Kershaw may seem really appealing, it’s important to do your homework and make sure such an acquisition is truly going to have the desired effect.

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August 24, 2012 5:00 am

Weekly Planner: Week 22

15

Derek Carty

Derek helps you parse the two-start starters in this week's Planner.

NATIONAL LEAGUE
Auto-Starts: Matt Cain (@HOU, @CHC) and Stephen Strasburg (@MIA, vs. STL)

Cain gets about as good a draw as a pitcher can possibly get this week, facing what are perhaps baseball’s two worst offenses.  The only thing that would make this better is if he were facing them at home.


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With persistence, a plan and a few well-placed risks, Derek turned around a struggling Tout Wars team.

I’ve been talking a lot about theory lately, so I thought I’d lighten things up today and talk about my favorite subject: me.  More specifically, I wanted to update you on the progress of my Tout Wars team’s transformation. A couple weeks ago, I talked about how I approach making trades and offered up my Tout NL dealings as a real-life example.  That was in the midst of my process to turn my team into a contender, shifting my resources toward the categories that I could gain the most ground in.  My stated goals at the time basically boiled down to:

1.     Get saves

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August 13, 2012 8:51 am

Resident Fantasy Genius: How to Handle 'Dump Trades'

11

Derek Carty

Different teams have different priorities at this time of the year. Are steps needed to keep it from becoming a problem?

On Thursday, I discussed my views on non-contenders trading with contenders in fantasy leagues and whether or not there should be special considerations when making such deals.  Naturally, this evolved into a discussion in the comments section on how this applies to keeper leagues versus redraft leagues, leading reader brucegilsen to request:

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