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Articles Tagged Era 

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08-22

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3

Fantasy Freestyle: Adjusting for Era
by
Craig Goldstein

07-23

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3

Fantasy Freestyle: Useful Non-Closer Relievers
by
J.P. Breen

03-25

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1

The Darkhorses: ERA
by
BP Fantasy Staff

03-05

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17

Pre-Season Positional Rankings: Top 80 Fantasy Starting Pitchers, Part One: 1-40
by
Paul Sporer

12-26

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6

Transaction Analysis: Leery of Liriano
by
Ben Lindbergh

10-02

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1

Value Picks: Starting Pitching Review
by
Paul Sporer

09-14

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1

Weekly Planner: Week 25
by
Paul Sporer

01-27

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15

The BP Wayback Machine: Money Poorly Spent, Now and Then
by
John Perrotto

01-13

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61

Heartburn Hardball: Jack Morris in Motion
by
Jonathan Bernhardt

12-30

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41

Prospectus Hit and Run: Morris on the Ballot, Smith to Close
by
Jay Jaffe

10-31

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10

Prospectus Hit and Run: A Weighty Matter
by
Jay Jaffe

10-19

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23

World Series Prospectus: The Midwest Showdown
by
Baseball Prospectus

09-15

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2

Prospectus Hit and Run: Junkballin'
by
Jay Jaffe

09-15

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0

The BP Wayback Machine: Sweet Relief
by
Rany Jazayerli

09-09

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4

Prospectus Hit and Run: NL Post-Season Rotation Ramble
by
Jay Jaffe

09-07

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7

Prospectus Hit and Run: AL Post-Season Rotation Ramble
by
Jay Jaffe

08-04

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1

The Asian Equation: Finding Relief from NPB
by
Michael Street

08-03

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4

Clubhouse Confidential: Be Like CC
by
Marc Carig

07-25

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193

Manufactured Runs: Lost in the SIERA Madre
by
Colin Wyers

07-21

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1

Divide and Conquer, AL West: Streaking in the Wild West
by
Joey Matschulat

07-07

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14

The Asian Equation: The Decline of NPB Pitching Imports
by
Michael Street

07-01

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3

Fantasy Beat: Weekly Planner #14
by
Craig Brown

04-29

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24

Prospectus Hit and Run: Bad-Start Starter Six-Pack
by
Jay Jaffe

03-17

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6

Overthinking It: Small Samplings of Spring, NL Edition
by
Ben Lindbergh

03-15

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7

Overthinking It: Small Samplings of Spring, AL Edition
by
Ben Lindbergh

03-11

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10

SIERA
by
Marc Normandin

02-25

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1

Prospectus Hit and Run: Are You Experienced?
by
Jay Jaffe

02-08

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44

Future Shock: Atlanta Braves Top 11 Prospects
by
Kevin Goldstein

01-27

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21

Ahead in the Count: Testing SIERA
by
Matt Swartz

12-20

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14

Ahead in the Count: A Pitch for Joe Blanton
by
Matt Swartz

12-20

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16

Prospectus Hit and Run: Class of 2011: Starting Pitchers
by
Jay Jaffe

11-02

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1

Analyze This: How the Rangers were Acquired, Part II
by
Jesse Behr

10-30

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2

Analyze This: How the Giants Were Acquired, Part II
by
Jesse Behr

10-06

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46

Prospectus Hit List: The Finale
by
Jay Jaffe

09-10

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19

Ahead in the Count: The Biggest ERA-SIERA Divides of 2010
by
Matt Swartz

08-10

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32

Checking the Numbers: '90s Nine, Meet the '00s Ten
by
Eric Seidman

07-14

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10

Ahead in the Count: Three Eras of All-Star Voting
by
Matt Swartz

06-19

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1

BP Unfiltered: This Week in Minor League History: June 14 - June 20
by
Geoff Young

06-02

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25

Checking the Numbers: Sneaky SIERA
by
Eric Seidman and Matt Swartz

05-28

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2

Fantasy Beat: Weekly Planner #9
by
Craig Brown

05-07

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8

Seidnotes: Livan La Vida Loca
by
Eric Seidman

04-09

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31

Prospectus Hit and Run: Chugging Toward Cooperstown
by
Jay Jaffe

02-24

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5

Checking the Numbers: The Crystal Orb of SIERA
by
Eric Seidman

02-12

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26

Introducing SIERA
by
Matt Swartz and Eric Seidman

02-11

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36

Introducing SIERA
by
Matt Swartz and Eric Seidman

02-10

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35

Introducing SIERA
by
Matt Swartz and Eric Seidman

02-01

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1

Checking the Numbers: Drilling Down on Volatility and Consistency
by
Eric Seidman

01-25

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63

Prospectus Roundtable: Analyzing RoboPitcher
by
Baseball Prospectus

01-06

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41

Prospectus Hit and Run: Hall of Fame Cases for Pitchers
by
Jay Jaffe

10-28

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25

World Series Prospectus: Yankees versus Phillies Preview
by
Jay Jaffe

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August 22, 2014 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: Adjusting for Era

3

Craig Goldstein

We all have our own idea of what constitutes a good ERA, FIP, or xFIP, but it's important to make sure that our benchmarks keep up with the times.

While some of us have come to use plus-or-minus stats that adjust to league average to make our determinations on where a player lands within his ranks, it’s clear that many people still use the standard ERA to evaluate a pitcher or batting average to evaluate a hitter. There’s no issue with that, especially when those are the relevant categories in a fantasy league—but there’s something of a collective benchmark that we have for what determines a good, great, or elite ERA or batting average. Even more advanced stats like FIP or xFIP fall prey to this collective benchmark and to our failure to adjust for context.

Focusing on the pitching side of the equation, based on the era I grew up in a 3.00 ERA was/is my benchmark for whether someone is a good pitcher. There are shades of gray of course—a mediocre pitcher can have a fluky season—but everything revolves around that 3.00. A 3.30 was pretty good and a 3.50 was solid. A 4.00 was fit for a fifth starter/long-man type. Reality, of course, is a different story. We all know that we’re in a down offensive period in baseball, but I do wonder if enough of us have adjusted to what that means on the pitching side of the equation. This is an effort to show just how dramatically things have changed over the last few years, so that we can recalibrate what an elite or good pitcher is, and then use that as a new frame of reference.

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July 23, 2014 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: Useful Non-Closer Relievers

3

J.P. Breen

These bullpen arms might not rack up saves, but they can help you pad other categories in Roto leagues.

In non-dynasty leagues, quality relievers who do not rack up saves are often overlooked. If employed correctly, though, they can be pseudo-saviors for two main types of squads: (1) teams who have an underperforming pitching staff and are striving to recover in specific categories in the second half of the season, and (2) leagues that have strict “games started” limits in order to keep teams from simply streaming starters all season.

Teams who have fallen behind in pitching categories can try to cobble together a trade or two, hoping to bolster their pitching staff for a second-half run. However, trades aren’t always possible. And even in the meantime, it can be useful to target specific relievers who can help in desired categories. This article will outline a few relievers who could be useful waiver-wire pickups to aid in WHIP/ERA or in strikeouts. I’m not including pitcher wins because that seems like a crapshoot.

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March 25, 2014 9:35 am

The Darkhorses: ERA

1

BP Fantasy Staff

A look at the pitchers the fantasy crew expects to outperform their PECOTA projections in ERA.

One of the fun ways we all try to outsmart our opponents in fantasy is by searching for hidden value in players who, for one reason or another, we suspect have the ability to outpace their projections (and, relatedly, their draft cost). Our Darkhorses series features staff picks for players who could very well outpace their PECOTA projections for the year and provide the top overall production in one of the standard five-by-five categories. We’ve all picked one player currently projected by PECOTA to fall outside of the top 10 and one longer-shot player currently projected outside of the top 25. We’re taking a look at pitching this week, following our run on offense a week ago. To read the earlier editions in this series, click below:

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A fantastic foursome stands above the rest, but there are plenty of upside plays in the middle rounds.

The Baseball Prospectus fantasy team has been rolling out its positional rankings over the past couple of weeks, and will conclude the process next week. Each team member assigned to cover a position will create an initial top 15 (more for outfielders and starting pitchers) on his own. He will then send that list to the rest of the team for discussion, at which point we will debate the rankings, both in terms of each player’s specific placement and the merits on which he was included in the top 15. This back-and-forth debate will yield the final list, which will be presented by the original author with notes on the pertinent players. We encourage you to bring your opinions into the fray using the comment section below.

Here are the previous rankings lists:

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December 26, 2012 5:00 am

Transaction Analysis: Leery of Liriano

6

Ben Lindbergh

Does FIP tell the truth about Liriano, or is his ERA a better indication of his talent?

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October 2, 2012 5:00 am

Value Picks: Starting Pitching Review

1

Paul Sporer

Paul closes out VP's season with his starting pitcher review.

It is review time at Value Picks. Since I wasn’t here writing the starting pitcher VP from the jump, I don’t have any preseason picks to review, so we’ll dive in around late-April when I signed on and break the season up into a few segments.

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September 14, 2012 9:04 pm

Weekly Planner: Week 25

1

Paul Sporer

Rotations are in serious flux as teams juggle starters down the stretch, but Paul helps make sense of it all in this week's Planner.

Some teams are running six-man rotations and every team seemingly has their rotation in flux, but we’ll try to iron out the two-start pitchers for next week as we inch closer and closer to wrapping up yet another 162.

AMERICAN LEAGUE
Auto-Starts: Max Scherzer and Doug Fister


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Prince Fielder's new deal has albatross potential, but the Tigers hope it doesn't turn out like one of John's picks for the worst contracts of the free-agent era.

While looking toward the future with our comprehensive slate of current content, we'd also like to recognize our rich past by drawing upon our extensive (and mostly free) online archive of work dating back to 1997. In an effort to highlight the best of what's gone before, we'll be bringing you a weekly blast from BP's past, introducing or re-introducing you to some of the most informative and entertaining authors who have passed through our virtual halls. If you have fond recollections of a BP piece that you'd like to nominate for re-exposure to a wider audience, send us your suggestion.

As your mind reels at the size of Prince Fielder's payday, take a look at this list of 10 free-agent deals that didn't work out well for the teams that handed them out, which originally ran on February 20, 2007.

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A writer who never saw Jack Morris pitch watches him in action for the first time and comes away even less convinced that the traditionalist case for his candidacy should earn him a call to Cooperstown.

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December 30, 2011 3:23 am

Prospectus Hit and Run: Morris on the Ballot, Smith to Close

41

Jay Jaffe

Jay Jaffe and JAWS examine the starting pitchers on this year's Hall of Fame BBWAA ballot, starting with the inevitable Jack Morris.

After delivering the JAWS piece on first basemen earlier this week, I had planned to tackle the outfielders—Tim Raines, Bernie Williams et al—next. The sad news of Greg Spira's untimely passing on Wednesday presented me with a reason to change course, however. In the service of working on a chapter on Jack Morris’s Hall of Fame case for Extra Innings: More Baseball Between the Numbers in November, I had called upon the Internet Wayback Machine to unearth Greg's seminal research piece questioning whether Morris "pitched to the score." a piece that was published in Baseball Prospectus 1997, predating Morris’s arrival on the BBWAA ballot by a three years and Joe Sheehan's own outstanding Morris research by five years. I suggested to Dave Pease that we republish it on our site to run alongside yesterday’s article in tribute to our fallen colleague and friend, a fine example of his intellectual curiosity and dogged research efforts, particularly as the work dated to a time when Retrosheet was in its infancy and the relevant data not easily compiled. This piece is dedicated to his memory.

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October 31, 2011 9:00 am

Prospectus Hit and Run: A Weighty Matter

10

Jay Jaffe

As CC Sabathia's opt-out date ticks nearer, we look at some of his potential free-agent comparables from the past.

The stroke of midnight on Monday is the deadline for Yankees ace CC Sabathia to opt out of the final four years of the seven-year, $161 million deal he signed in December 2008, and the word on the street, via SI.com's Jon Heyman, is that he will do so. While a thrilling World Series played out in Texas and St. Louis, the New York City tabloids were been busy picturing Sabathia in a Red Sox uniform, particularly on the heels of the news that John Lackey will miss the 2012 season due to Tommy John surgery. The Yankees are said to have prepared a pre-emptive pitch; according to the New York Post's George King III, "The Yankees are believed to be OK with a five- or six-year deal for an obvious raise over his current $23 million a year. Yet seven or eight years is something they want to avoid because of age, workload, and Sabathia gaining weight across the second half of last season."

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Sizing up every facet of each contender in this season's Fall Classic.

The Breakdown

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