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Articles Tagged Draft Picks 

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07-02

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4

Fantasy Freestyle: Minor League Draft Pick Valuation
by
Jeff Quinton

02-17

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2

Rumor Roundup: The Team That Cried Free Agent
by
Daniel Rathman

01-07

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1

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 359: The Remaining Free Agents/Pillow Contract Candidates
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

08-21

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5

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 270: Listener Email Answers in Search of a Theme
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

05-06

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4

Dissecting the Draft: Identifying Our Tiers
by
Nick J. Faleris

01-18

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0

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 122: PECOTA Projects Elite Draft Picks from the Past/Should Scouts Fear FIELDf/x?
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

12-21

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 107: Edwin Jackson, the Cubs, and Qualifying Offers
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

09-12

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 40: The Phillies' Return to 500/A Modest Bullpen Proposal
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

07-20

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12

BP Unfiltered: Alex Anthopoulos Always Checks His Math
by
Ben Lindbergh

05-29

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21

Bizball: Inside the 2012-16 CBA: The Luxury Tax Meets the Draft
by
Maury Brown

04-10

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7

The Process: Have Teams Used Extra Draft Picks Efficiently?
by
Bradley Ankrom

02-28

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30

Baseball ProGUESTus: Sizing Up the CBA Again
by
Dustin Palmateer

11-23

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68

On the Beat: What Price Labor Peace?
by
John Perrotto

10-14

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39

Doctoring The Numbers: Starting Them Young, Part Two
by
Rany Jazayerli

10-13

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57

Doctoring The Numbers: Starting Them Young, Part One
by
Rany Jazayerli

08-16

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0

The BP Wayback Machine: Going Over Slot
by
Kevin Goldstein

03-15

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44

Fantasy Beat: Expert Mock Draft Results
by
Jason Collette

03-14

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36

Ahead in the Count: Battle for the Beltway
by
Matt Swartz

06-08

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13

You Could Look It Up: Is Losing This Pick Really Necessary?
by
Steven Goldman

06-07

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4

Ahead in the Count: Production and the Draft
by
Matt Swartz

04-23

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5

Ahead in the Count: Methodology of The New MORP
by
Matt Swartz

10-05

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14

Tweaking the Talent System
by
Kiley McDaniel

06-21

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11

Future Shock: NL Draft Wrap
by
Kevin Goldstein

06-17

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12

Future Shock: AL Draft Wrap
by
Kevin Goldstein

06-07

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87

Prospectus Idol Entry: Top Draft Picks: Where They Came From and Where They're Going
by
Matt Swartz

02-23

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18

Prospectus Today: First-Round Picks!
by
Joe Sheehan

04-21

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0

BP Kings Preview
by
Ben Murphy

03-04

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0

Prospectus Toolbox: Is Moneyball Dead?
by
Derek Jacques

08-17

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0

Lies, Damned Lies: Slotto Bonanzas, Part One
by
Nate Silver

08-07

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0

Future Shock: First Round Update
by
Kevin Goldstein

08-05

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0

Future Shock: Going Over Slot
by
Kevin Goldstein

06-10

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0

Prospectus Q&A: Mike Radcliff
by
David Laurila

06-08

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0

Wait 'Til Next Year: Draft Awards
by
Bryan Smith

05-29

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0

Wait 'Til Next Year: The Scouting Directors, AL East
by
Bryan Smith

05-27

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0

Wait 'Til Next Year: The Scouting Directors, NL Central
by
Bryan Smith

05-22

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Wait 'Til Next Year: The Scouting Directors, AL Central
by
Bryan Smith

05-15

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0

Wait 'Til Next Year: The Scouting Directors, AL West
by
Bryan Smith

04-11

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0

BP Kings Update
by
Ben Murphy

01-31

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0

Doctoring The Numbers: The Hidden Market Boost
by
Rany Jazayerli

11-01

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0

Future Shock: The CBA and the Draft
by
Kevin Goldstein

06-05

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0

Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part 12
by
Rany Jazayerli

06-02

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0

Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part 11
by
Rany Jazayerli

06-02

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0

Future Shock: NL Draft Preview
by
Kevin Goldstein

05-11

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0

Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part Ten
by
Rany Jazayerli

03-27

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0

Future Shock: How Do Teams Draft?
by
Kevin Goldstein

03-21

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0

Who Are the AL-Kings?
by
Jonah Keri

03-07

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Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part Eight
by
Rany Jazayerli

12-23

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0

Should They Stay or Should They Go
by
Bryan Smith

11-30

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The BP Guide To Transaction Rules
by
Thomas Gorman

09-13

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Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part Seven
by
Rany Jazayerli

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The new CBA makes many changes, most of them positive, but small-market teams may find that it makes their chances of competing even slimmer.

Major League Baseball and the Major League Baseball Players Association unveiled the latest collective bargaining agreement yesterday afternoon, and it brings numerous changes, many of them major.

Read the full article...

In part two, Rany examines just how important age is for a draft pick.

Yesterday’s column made the claim that small differences in age among high school hitters can have a dramatic impact on their return as draft picks. Today, I intend to prove that claim.

Read the full article...

One of BP's co-founders returns to reveal an important amateur draft inefficiency.

Everyone missed on Mike Trout. Don’t get me wrong: Trout was a well-regarded player headed into the 2009 draft, a certain first-round talent. But he wasn’t—yet—a phenom. Everyone liked Trout; it’s just that no one loved him. Baseball America ranked him as the 22nd-best player in the draft. No one doubted his athleticism or his work ethic; a lot of people doubted the level of competition he faced as a high school player from rural New Jersey. The Angels drafted him with the 25th pick overall, and they’ll tell you today that they knew he was destined to be a special player. What they won’t tell you is that they had back-to-back picks at #24 and #25, and they announced Randal Grichuk’s name first.

Read the full article...

The signing deadline for amateur draftees passed last night, but concerns about the system remain.

While looking toward the future with our comprehensive slate of current content, we'd also like to recognize our rich past by drawing upon our extensive (and mostly free) online archive of work dating back to 1997. In an effort to highlight the best of what's gone before, we'll be bringing you a weekly blast from BP's past, introducing or re-introducing you to some of the most informative and entertaining authors who have passed through our virtual halls. If you have fond recollections of a BP piece that you'd like to nominate for re-exposure to a wider audiencesend us your suggestion.

Read the full article...

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March 15, 2011 9:00 am

Fantasy Beat: Expert Mock Draft Results

44

Jason Collette

Jason took part in a slow mock draft with other fantasy experts and is now here to share what he learned from the experience.

I recently had the pleasure of doing a slow—and I mean slow—mock draft over the past four weeks with a few of my friends and colleagues in the fantasy baseball industry. That group included most of the mlb.com folks, Fernando DiFino, and the legendary Joe Sheehan. The draft started on February 17 and survived a few lost weekends, DiFino’s nuptials (congrats!) and several copy and paste issues from some of us that are still using not-so-smartphones.

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March 14, 2011 9:00 am

Ahead in the Count: Battle for the Beltway

36

Matt Swartz

In the Nationals' and Orioles' battle for the local fan base, the team that blinks first may stand to gain the most.

This past month, I moved back up I-95 from Washington to Philadelphia, where I’d spent all but the previous eighteen months of my life. There has been only one major-league franchise in the City of Brotherly Love since the Athletics forsook Philly in 1955, but as I discovered during my sojourn in the District, many baseball fans in the DC area have been torn between the Baltimore Orioles, for whom many of them grew up cheering, and the Washington Nationals, who emigrated from Montreal in 2005. Neither team has been good during their years of geographic coexistence, and the metropolitan area has not seen a playoff game since 1997, but both teams have slowly begun to develop the young talent necessary to compete. Although animosity stemming from Orioles owner Peter Angelos’ opposition to a Washington franchise has cost the O’s some fans, many in the DC area have yet to determine their allegiance.

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Giving up draft selections as compensation for signing free agents has often proved to be disastrous.

When Frankie Frisch, Hall of Fame infielder and manager, became a broadcaster, he became known for bemoaning walks. “Oh, those bases on balls,” he would cry whenever a pitcher put his team in a tough spot by throwing four out of the strike zone. If he was around today, he might be saying, “Oh, those compensatory draft picks.”

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June 7, 2010 8:42 am

Ahead in the Count: Production and the Draft

4

Matt Swartz

The players teams select in the draft over the next three days can make a big impact on their future.

The 2010 Major League Baseball First-Year Player Draft begins tonight, presumably commencing with the Washington Nationals calling the name of Bryce Harper.  The draft will be televised for the fourth year in a row, thanks to increasing fan interest.  Unlike basketball and football with well-exposed college stars that fans are already familiar with, the baseball draft has always been filled with obscure names and generated less interest historically.  However, the collective bargaining agreement in Major League Baseball keeps salaries of young talent especially suppressed when compared with other sports, meaning that drafting well can allow even a small-market team to become successful.  As fans have become more cognizant of this, and as the Internet has made learning about amateur stars easier, the draft has become a bigger deal and more people are taking more notice.

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April 23, 2010 12:07 pm

Ahead in the Count: Methodology of The New MORP

5

Matt Swartz

Here is how we're now figuring the monetary value of individual players.

This article will follow up on the new version of MORP that I introduced yesterday with a more thorough description of my methodology and my reasoning for it. Firstly, I will restate that the definition of MORP (Market value Over Replacement Player) is the marginal cost of acquiring a player’s contribution on the free-agent market. The basic structure that I am using includes adjusting for draft-pick compensation, which adds to the value of free agents by 10-20 percent. It also looks at all players with six years or more of major-league service time, all years of their free-agent contracts, and makes valuations of their performance based on actual performance rather than the projections, which are biased. I am also adjusting MORP so it is linear with respect to WARP. The discussion of linearity and of the decision to use actual rather than projected performance to evaluate contracts has been detailed in earlier articles, and I won’t reiterate them here in the interest of space. The basic reason why linearity is a fair assumption is that teams frequently have enough vacancies that they can add the number of wins they choose without filling them all. There are exceptions like the 2009 Yankees, who added three front-of-the-rotation starters and an elite first baseman in one offseason. However, even the Yankees do this infrequently enough that it does not regularly impact the market, and without two teams bidding for several superstars every offseason, this is not a large issue. The reason that using projection is so problematic was detailed last week, when I showed how free agents who reach the open market are a biased sample and regularly underperform their projections. For more details of these results, please see my previous work. Here are links to my three part series as well as my article on free agents underperforming their PECOTA projections. I will introduce some of the newer concepts in this article.

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October 5, 2009 2:25 pm

Tweaking the Talent System

14

Kiley McDaniel

With the CBA due to run out after the 2011 season, the industry is considering reforms of the ways amateur talent gets brought into the game.

When looking back at the economics of signing July 2nd talent, the amateur draft kept coming up. The draft indirectly ties to the Latin American market in a number of ways, and this relationship could be changing due to the other topic that kept coming up: the Collective Bargaining Agreement, which expires in December of 2011. The most talked-about reforms-mandated slots in the draft and a worldwide draft-have been kicked around in the past, but have gained more support in recent years. Covering amateur baseball is about looking forward, so I'll spend the next few articles breaking down the issues that both sides will be considering when they come to the table.

Selig's Stance

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June 21, 2009 11:18 am

Future Shock: NL Draft Wrap

11

Kevin Goldstein

The senior circuit's sweet 16 draft crops, reviewing the top picks and the late-round surprises.

Arizona Diamondbacks

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June 17, 2009 12:23 pm

Future Shock: AL Draft Wrap

12

Kevin Goldstein

The junior circuit never had a shot at Strasburg, but several teams reaped their own bounties.

Baltimore Orioles

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