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Articles Tagged Draft Picks 

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07-02

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4

Fantasy Freestyle: Minor League Draft Pick Valuation
by
Jeff Quinton

02-17

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2

Rumor Roundup: The Team That Cried Free Agent
by
Daniel Rathman

01-07

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1

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 359: The Remaining Free Agents/Pillow Contract Candidates
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

08-21

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5

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 270: Listener Email Answers in Search of a Theme
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

05-06

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4

Dissecting the Draft: Identifying Our Tiers
by
Nick J. Faleris

01-18

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0

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 122: PECOTA Projects Elite Draft Picks from the Past/Should Scouts Fear FIELDf/x?
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

12-21

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 107: Edwin Jackson, the Cubs, and Qualifying Offers
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

09-12

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 40: The Phillies' Return to 500/A Modest Bullpen Proposal
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

07-20

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12

BP Unfiltered: Alex Anthopoulos Always Checks His Math
by
Ben Lindbergh

05-29

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21

Bizball: Inside the 2012-16 CBA: The Luxury Tax Meets the Draft
by
Maury Brown

04-10

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7

The Process: Have Teams Used Extra Draft Picks Efficiently?
by
Bradley Ankrom

02-28

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30

Baseball ProGUESTus: Sizing Up the CBA Again
by
Dustin Palmateer

11-23

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68

On the Beat: What Price Labor Peace?
by
John Perrotto

10-14

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39

Doctoring The Numbers: Starting Them Young, Part Two
by
Rany Jazayerli

10-13

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57

Doctoring The Numbers: Starting Them Young, Part One
by
Rany Jazayerli

08-16

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0

The BP Wayback Machine: Going Over Slot
by
Kevin Goldstein

03-15

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44

Fantasy Beat: Expert Mock Draft Results
by
Jason Collette

03-14

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36

Ahead in the Count: Battle for the Beltway
by
Matt Swartz

06-08

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13

You Could Look It Up: Is Losing This Pick Really Necessary?
by
Steven Goldman

06-07

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4

Ahead in the Count: Production and the Draft
by
Matt Swartz

04-23

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5

Ahead in the Count: Methodology of The New MORP
by
Matt Swartz

10-05

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14

Tweaking the Talent System
by
Kiley McDaniel

06-21

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11

Future Shock: NL Draft Wrap
by
Kevin Goldstein

06-17

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12

Future Shock: AL Draft Wrap
by
Kevin Goldstein

06-07

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87

Prospectus Idol Entry: Top Draft Picks: Where They Came From and Where They're Going
by
Matt Swartz

02-23

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18

Prospectus Today: First-Round Picks!
by
Joe Sheehan

04-21

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0

BP Kings Preview
by
Ben Murphy

03-04

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0

Prospectus Toolbox: Is Moneyball Dead?
by
Derek Jacques

08-17

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0

Lies, Damned Lies: Slotto Bonanzas, Part One
by
Nate Silver

08-07

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0

Future Shock: First Round Update
by
Kevin Goldstein

08-05

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0

Future Shock: Going Over Slot
by
Kevin Goldstein

06-10

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0

Prospectus Q&A: Mike Radcliff
by
David Laurila

06-08

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0

Wait 'Til Next Year: Draft Awards
by
Bryan Smith

05-29

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0

Wait 'Til Next Year: The Scouting Directors, AL East
by
Bryan Smith

05-27

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0

Wait 'Til Next Year: The Scouting Directors, NL Central
by
Bryan Smith

05-22

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Wait 'Til Next Year: The Scouting Directors, AL Central
by
Bryan Smith

05-15

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0

Wait 'Til Next Year: The Scouting Directors, AL West
by
Bryan Smith

04-11

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0

BP Kings Update
by
Ben Murphy

01-31

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0

Doctoring The Numbers: The Hidden Market Boost
by
Rany Jazayerli

11-01

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0

Future Shock: The CBA and the Draft
by
Kevin Goldstein

06-05

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0

Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part 12
by
Rany Jazayerli

06-02

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0

Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part 11
by
Rany Jazayerli

06-02

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0

Future Shock: NL Draft Preview
by
Kevin Goldstein

05-11

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0

Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part Ten
by
Rany Jazayerli

03-27

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0

Future Shock: How Do Teams Draft?
by
Kevin Goldstein

03-21

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0

Who Are the AL-Kings?
by
Jonah Keri

03-07

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0

Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part Eight
by
Rany Jazayerli

12-23

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0

Should They Stay or Should They Go
by
Bryan Smith

11-30

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The BP Guide To Transaction Rules
by
Thomas Gorman

09-13

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Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part Seven
by
Rany Jazayerli

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July 2, 2014 6:30 am

Fantasy Freestyle: Minor League Draft Pick Valuation

4

Jeff Quinton

As the peak of trade season approaches, it's worth thinking about how much prospect selections are actually worth.

Many a keeper league has a minor league draft to supplement the major league draft or auction; the trading of minor league draft picks is fairly common practice in these leagues. Often serving as the final pieces to help balance a trade, the value of these picks can range from incredibly valuable to having almost no value depending on the structure and rules of the league. Proper valuation of minor league draft picks is thus critical when making a trade that includes these draft picks. Today we look at several key factors to take into account when trading away or trading for draft picks. By looking at these factors, I mean that there are typed words on them below:

Number of minor league slots in the league (Minor League Depth)
The more minor league keeper spots in a league, the less valuable the picks become. All other variables made equal, the minor league picks in a 16-team league with four minor leaguers per team are more valuable than the picks in a 16-team league with five minor leaguers per team. Why? Because, in theory, the top 64 (16x4) fantasy prospects would be owned in the first league, whereas the top 80 (16x5) prospects would be owned in the second league. Therefore, come next year’s minor league drafts, more top prospects would be available in the first league than the second league. Also, prospects that make significant improvements—the ones that jump up real and fantasy lists—are less likely to be owned in the first league than the second league. What are not different between the two leagues, generally, are the top prospects available from the most recent MLB minor league draft. Because prospects from the most recent MLB minor league draft are usually the best players for our fantasy minor league drafts (with the exception being the previously mentioned un-owned players that have made large strides), the first handful of picks in minor league drafts will be the same regardless of minor league depth. The true difference in value of minor league draft picks, as determined by minor league depth, is thus the value of the picks that follow these top picks from the MLB minor league draft. In leagues with shallow minor league depth, a bottom first round pick will probably be a top-50 fantasy prospect. In leagues with deep minor league depth, a bottom first round pick might not be a top 100 fantasy prospect.


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February 17, 2014 6:00 am

Rumor Roundup: The Team That Cried Free Agent

2

Daniel Rathman

The Orioles are still in the market for a starter, and Milwaukee might talk to Jean Segura about an extension.

Orioles willing to cough up a draft pick to sign a top free agent
Memo to the representatives for the free agents who declined qualifying offers and have not yet signed: call Dan Duquette. According to FOX Sports’ Ken Rosenthal, the Orioles are willing to cough up their first-round pick.


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Ben and Sam discuss the remaining big-name free agents and talk about which might be best served by one-year deals.

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Ben and Sam answer listener emails about when every team will have won a World Series, the best baseball Kickstarters, rooting for draft picks, one-pitch pitchers, and more.

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May 6, 2013 5:00 am

Dissecting the Draft: Identifying Our Tiers

4

Nick J. Faleris

In the latest installment of this series, Nick breaks down the 14 candidates for his seventh-overall selection into three groups to help clarify the decision-making process.

Introduction

We left off in our last installment by identifying 14 targets to consider for selection with our first pick (seventh overall) in our shadow draft:

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Ben and Sam discuss PECOTA's projections for top draft picks from 2007 and talk about whether FIELDf/x and comparable technologies will ever pose a threat to scouts.



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Ben and Sam discuss Edwin Jackson and the rest of the Cubs' offseason signings and talk about how the specter of draft-pick compensation is affecting some free agents.



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Ben and Sam discuss whether the Phillies' recent run of success should affect our expectations for the team in 2013, then talk about a potential scheme to get drafted pitchers into big-league bullpens quickly.

Ben and Sam discuss whether the Phillies' recent run of success should affect our expectations for the team in 2013, then talk about a potential scheme to get drafted pitchers into big-league bullpens quickly.

Episode 40: "The Phillies' Return to 500/A Modest Bullpen Proposal"

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The Blue Jays came very close to exceeding their bonus allotment for amateur draft picks.

Under the terms of the new CBA, teams that exceed their annual allotment for amateur draft picks signing bonuses by more than five percent forfeit their first-round pick for the following year. That's a pretty harsh penalty. Up to five percent, though, they simply pay a 75 percent tax on the overage. That might come to a few hundred thousand dollars, which isn't insignificant, but it's nothing compared to the expected value of a first-round pick. So, to recap: going over by less than five percent: potentially costly. Going over by more than five percent: potentially really​ costly.

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Our first look inside the new Collective Bargaining Agreement.

This is Part 1 of a multi-part series on the latest Collective Bargaining Agreement

On November 22 of last year, Major League Baseball and the MLBPA did something that the NFL and the NBA could not: reached a new labor agreement without a work stoppage. For those that follow baseball’s labor history, it has become a miraculous run. By the time the current five-year Basic Agreement (read here) expires on December 1, 2016, it will have been 21 years of uninterrupted labor peace.

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April 10, 2012 3:00 am

The Process: Have Teams Used Extra Draft Picks Efficiently?

7

Bradley Ankrom

Exploring the relationship between the number of high draft picks a team has and the amount of value it receives.

Last June, the Tampa Bay Rays became only the third team in the draft era to have 10 or more picks before the start of the fourth round. Their 13 selections topped the previous record of 11 set by the Montreal Expos in 1990. The Rays’ 10 extra picks were their consolation prizes after outfielders Carl Crawford and Brad Hawpe and relievers Rafael Soriano, Grant Balfour, Joaquin Benoit, Randy Choate, and Chad Qualls departed via free agency.

Teams began receiving compensation draft picks shortly after the abolishment of the reserve clause in 1975. Free agent compensation was established as a way to maintain the balance of talent within the league. Generally speaking, when a player left one team to sign a free agent contract with another club, the player’s former club could receive the first- or second-round pick of his new club in the next draft, as well as additional supplementary—or “sandwich”—picks depending upon the quality of the player it had lost. The literary and cinematic success of Moneyball has contributed to rising interest in the draft, and recent iterations of baseball’s Collective Bargaining Agreement have added more compensation picks than ever, affording a considerable advantage to teams who are able to maximize their selections.

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Now that we've had some time to reflect on the new CBA's rules about the amateur draft, does it still seem like death to small-market teams?

Believe it or not, most of our writers didn't enter the world sporting an @baseballprospectus.com address; with a few exceptions, they started out somewhere else. In an effort to up your reading pleasure while tipping our caps to some of the most illuminating work being done elsewhere on the internet, we'll be yielding the stage once a week to the best and brightest baseball writers, researchers and thinkers from outside of the BP umbrella. If you'd like to nominate a guest contributor (including yourself), please drop us a line.

Dustin Palmateer once played division III junior college baseball, finishing with a career batting average below the Mendoza Line. He now writes about the game. You can reach him via email.

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