CSS Button No Image Css3Menu.com

Baseball Prospectus home
  
  
Click here to log in Click here for forgotten password Click here to subscribe

Futures Guide 2014 is Now Available in Paperback and Three E-book Formats.

Premium and Super Premium Subscribers Get a 20% Discount at MLB.tv!

Articles Tagged Division Series 

Search BP Articles

All Blogs (including podcasts)

Active Columns

Authors

Article Types

Archives

10-08

comment icon

0

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 302: The Diminished Miguel Cabrera/Clayton Kershaw and the Days-of-Rest Debate
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

10-08

comment icon

2

Playoff Prospectus: ALDS Game Three Recap: A's 6, Tigers 3
by
Sam Miller

10-07

comment icon

0

Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Game Three Recap: Dodgers 13, Braves 6
by
Daniel Rathman

10-07

comment icon

1

Playoff Prospectus: ALDS Game Two Recap: A's 1, Tigers 0
by
Sam Miller

10-04

comment icon

11

Playoff Prospectus: ALDS Preview: Tigers at Athletics
by
Sam Miller

10-04

comment icon

8

Playoff Prospectus: ALDS Preview: Rays at Red Sox
by
Zachary Levine

10-03

comment icon

15

Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Preview: Dodgers at Braves
by
Daniel Rathman

04-08

comment icon

2

Wezen-Ball: The 2013 Interleague Schedule
by
Larry Granillo

11-27

comment icon

8

Bizball: Inside the 2012 Postseason Shares
by
Maury Brown

11-03

comment icon

2

The Lineup Card: 9 World Series Heroes: The Year After
by
Baseball Prospectus

10-10

comment icon

5

Playoff Prospectus: That Escalated Quickly
by
Jay Jaffe

10-06

comment icon

4

The BP Wayback Machine: Is the Best of Five the Worst of Series?
by
Mike Carminati

09-19

comment icon

5

Prospectus Hit and Run: Backing into the Playoffs
by
Jay Jaffe

08-17

comment icon

6

Painting the Black: Home-Field Disadvantage?
by
R.J. Anderson

05-23

comment icon

27

Divide and Conquer, NL Central: Interleague Imbalances (Updated)
by
Larry Granillo

04-22

comment icon

48

Expanded Horizons: Eight, Ten, Here We Go Again
by
Tommy Bennett

03-11

comment icon

5

Divide and Conquer, NL Central: Unwinding the Misery Clock
by
Larry Granillo

02-22

comment icon

26

The Payoff Pitch: Two, Three, Many Wild Cards!
by
Neil deMause

10-27

comment icon

16

World Series Prospectus: Fall Classic Memories
by
Baseball Prospectus

10-14

comment icon

17

Playoff Prospectus: ALCS Preview: Rangers vs. Yankees
by
Jay Jaffe

09-20

comment icon

9

Prospectus Perspective: How Important is the AL East Title?
by
Ben Lindbergh

03-09

comment icon

4

Prospectus Hit and Run: NL Central Competitive Ecology
by
Jay Jaffe

02-12

comment icon

18

Prospectus Hit and Run: AL East Competitive Ecology
by
Jay Jaffe

02-03

comment icon

13

Prospectus Hit and Run: The Lay of the Land
by
Jay Jaffe

10-29

comment icon

6

Prospectus Hit and Run: From One to the Other
by
Jay Jaffe

10-28

comment icon

25

World Series Prospectus: Yankees versus Phillies Preview
by
Jay Jaffe

10-15

comment icon

11

Prospectus Today: The NLCS
by
Joe Sheehan

10-15

comment icon

33

Playoff Prospectus: Dodgers vs. Phillies LCS
by
Jay Jaffe

10-14

comment icon

42

Prospectus Today: A Triple Play of Division Series Post Mortems
by
Joe Sheehan

10-07

comment icon

5

Playoff Prospectus: Dodgers versus Cardinals LDS
by
Jay Jaffe

10-07

comment icon

11

Playoff Prospectus: Phillies versus Rockies LDS
by
Eric Seidman

09-01

comment icon

14

Ahead in the Count: Home-Field Advantage, Part Four
by
Matt Swartz

08-25

comment icon

24

Ahead in the Count: Home-Field Advantages, Part Three
by
Matt Swartz

11-07

comment icon

5

Prospectus Hit and Run: Divisionology
by
Jay Jaffe

10-28

comment icon

10

Prospectus Hit and Run: (Near) Hitless Wonders
by
Jay Jaffe

10-17

comment icon

12

Prospectus Hit and Run: A Dream Season Ends, a Nightmare Continues
by
Jay Jaffe

10-12

comment icon

2

Every Given Sunday: Manny-Free, Regret-Free
by
John Perrotto

10-08

comment icon

12

Playoff Prospectus: Dodgers versus Phillies
by
Jay Jaffe

10-08

comment icon

15

On the Beat: Early Off-season Planning
by
John Perrotto

10-07

comment icon

46

Prospectus Today: Closing Out and Waiting Around
by
Joe Sheehan

09-22

comment icon

29

Prospectus Hit and Run: The Decline and Fall of Yankee Stadium
by
Jay Jaffe

04-28

comment icon

0

Wait 'Til Next Year: Upsets and Drama
by
Bryan Smith

03-02

comment icon

0

Every Given Sunday: Newfound Philly Fanaticism
by
John Perrotto

02-07

comment icon

0

Schrodinger's Bat: The Toughest of Them All?
by
Dan Fox

11-12

comment icon

0

You Could Look It Up: Sweepers, Part 3
by
Steven Goldman

10-29

comment icon

0

Playoff Prospectus: World Series Game Four Report
by
John Perrotto

10-12

comment icon

0

Playoff Prospectus: Indians versus Red Sox
by
Jay Jaffe

10-05

comment icon

0

Prospectus Matchups: Getting Right Back on the Horse
by
Jim Baker

09-19

comment icon

0

The Big Picture: Thoughts on the Postseason
by
David Pinto

09-12

comment icon

0

Curse-killers?
by
John Perrotto

<< Previous Tag Entries Next Tag Entries >>

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

October 29, 2009 3:02 pm

Prospectus Hit and Run: From One to the Other

6

Jay Jaffe

The Game One showdown between star southpaws, and tonight's matchup features a recently phoaled Phillie.

In yesterday's chat, Bronx Banter's Alex Belth asked me, "Is there any particular pitching matchup that you are looking forward to in the series?" I responded that the matchup I was most looking forward to was between CC Sabathia and Ryan Howard, particularly given the prospect of the big man pitching three times for the Yankees in a seven-game series, and the slugger's less-than-sterling reputation against southpaws. "I think that matchup will tell us something about what's going to happen over the next four to seven games," I wrote.

The rest of this article is restricted to Baseball Prospectus Subscribers.

Not a subscriber?

Click here for more information on Baseball Prospectus subscriptions or use the buttons to the right to subscribe and get access to the best baseball content on the web.


Cancel anytime.


That's a 33% savings over the monthly price!


That's a 33% savings over the monthly price!

Already a subscriber? Click here and use the blue login bar to log in.

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

October 28, 2009 1:11 am

World Series Prospectus: Yankees versus Phillies Preview

25

Jay Jaffe

Will the Phillies establish a mini-dynasty, or will the Yankees add to their crowded trophy case with another title?

A year ago, the Phillies broke a 28-year-old title drought by winning the World Series, defeating the upstart Rays in five games. After winning 93 games in the regular season and tidily dispatching both the Rockies and the Dodgers in the first two rounds, they're back to defend their crown with a cast that's largely the same, save for summer acquisition Cliff Lee. They're the first NL team to repeat as pennant winners since the 1995-1996 Braves, and if they win the World Series, they'll be they first senior circuit club to do so since the 1975-1976 Reds.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

October 15, 2009 4:09 pm

Prospectus Today: The NLCS

11

Joe Sheehan

Pegging who will win and why in a great matchup between two teams tweaking their rosters to go after one another.

When the Division Series matchups came together, it seemed relatively simple to divine the issues that would determine each series. Looking to the League Championship Series, though, the narratives aren't nearly so clear. These teams are pretty evenly matched, were the first and second seeds in their leagues and went a combined 12-1 in the first round. This is probably the strongest final four we've seen in some time, and the only thing that would be a surprise is if we didn't have long series.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

October 15, 2009 11:38 am

Playoff Prospectus: Dodgers vs. Phillies LCS

33

Jay Jaffe

A rematch of last season's pennant joust figures to be a much more interesting matchup... favoring who?

It's dj v all over again. For the second year in a row, the Phillies and Dodgers face off in the National League Championship Series. Last year, Charlie Manuel's club beat Joe Torre and company in five games en route to their first World Championship in 28 years, with the series turning on Matt Stairs' pinch homer off of Jonathan Broxton in the eighth inning of Game Four. This time, the Dodgers have the home-field advantage, having compiled the best record in the league and then swept the Cardinals in the first round in convincing fashion, shaking out of a brief slump which saw them lose a season-high five straight games between clinching a spot in the playoffs on September 26 and wrapping up the NL West flag on October 3. The Phillies shook off a late-season slump of their own to squeak by the Rockies in four games during their first-round matchup.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

October 14, 2009 12:52 am

Prospectus Today: A Triple Play of Division Series Post Mortems

42

Joe Sheehan

Thirteen total games is hardly a fair representation of four series that all featured close games and some questionable decisions.

It feels like we deserved more than this. A week ago, three of the four postseason series seemed so evenly matched as to defy prediction. Two of those three did just that, but not in the way expected. The Cardinals scored six runs in three games en route to being eliminated by the Dodgers, and the Red Sox weren't much better in being swept by the Angels. The Twins, as expected, went down to the Yankees despite mostly holding down the game's best offense.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

October 7, 2009 1:30 pm

Playoff Prospectus: Dodgers versus Cardinals LDS

5

Jay Jaffe

Two of the all-time greats in the dugout square off with the benefit of some of two of the most famous sluggers on the field.

Were it not for a 2-8 swoon over the Cardinals' final 10 games, the NL Division Series matchup between the Dodgers and the Cards could lay claim to pitting the team with the hottest first-half record (the blue team) against the one with the hottest second-half record (the red team). As it is, St. Louis still won the Central by the largest margin of any NL division champion (7 games), turning what was once a crowded four-team race into a laugher thanks to some timely in-season upgrades, most notably the July 24 trade which brought Matt Holliday from Oakland-a point after which the Cards did have the league's best record (39-25).

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

October 7, 2009 11:41 am

Playoff Prospectus: Phillies versus Rockies LDS

11

Eric Seidman

A rematch from the '07 postseason makes for a great showdown of two teams with very different virtues.

Well, here we are again, with the Phillies and Rockies set to battle one another in the National League Division Series for the second time in three seasons. Just as it was in 2007, the Phillies enter the fray with a division title while the Rockies used an incredibly strong second half to win the NL Wild Card. Unlike that entertaining 2007 season, however, in which the Phillies ousted the Mets from the top spot of the NL East on the final day of the season, only to have their spotlight stolen soon thereafter by a Rockies team that won a controversial play-in game, this year's Phillies controlled their division practically all season. In addition, the Rockies' second-half surge proved so strong that they actually gave the division-leading Dodgers a run for their money in the final week. A good chunk of the 2007 cast of characters remains intact for each team, but enough has changed to merit a new writeup instead of a recycled version of the prior Phillies/Rockies preview.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

Is there a surprise to be found in terms of the in-series pattern of home-field advantage?

In the first three articles of this series, we have studied what home-field advantage affects, who it affects most, and where it shows up most. We have found that home-field advantage affects nearly every aspect of a team's performance, including pitching, defense, baserunning, and offense. We found that the Rockies are the only team that has statistically significant home-field advantage, and that most other teams are bound to win about eight percent more games at home than on the road in the long-run. We also found that home-field advantage was larger in interleague games than intraleague games, larger in interdivision games than in intradivision games, and even within divisions, it was larger the further apart the teams played. This suggested that travel might be playing a significant effect in home-field advantage. Further evidence of this came from the fact that interleague games within teams in equivalent divisions (e.g. East vs. East) had smaller home-field advantages than interleague games where longer travel distances were involved.

Read the full article...

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

August 25, 2009 12:37 pm

Ahead in the Count: Home-Field Advantages, Part Three

24

Matt Swartz

Drilling down even more deeply into the subject to find out where, why, and how.

In trying to understand home-field advantage, we have asked what home-field advantage actually makes a team do better, and we have asked who has the biggest home-field advantage. The first article of this series answered the question of what home-field advantage actually makes you do better-everything, as home teams do better on walks, strikeouts, balls in play, and errors. They are better at pitching, hitting, baserunning, and defense, and all aspects of their games seem to improve. The second article of this series showed that most teams have pretty much the same size home-field advantage, with the exception of the Rockies. Even though natural luck can make a team look like they are particularly good or bad at home, the 29 non-Rockies teams are pretty much right around eight percent home-field advantage, plus or minus a little statistical noise.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

November 7, 2008 12:24 pm

Prospectus Hit and Run: Divisionology

5

Jay Jaffe

The most powerful and the most hapless divisions of the Wild Card Era.

The World Series is over, and the Rays lost, but from an analytical standpoint, they're a gift that keeps on giving. One much-discussed topic during their post-season run was the strength of the American League East, particularly during the AL Championship Series, where the Rays met and defeated their division foes, the Red Sox. It's no secret that this year's AL East was a particularly deep division in today's smaller-division setup, as its top four teams-the Rays, Red Sox, Yankees, and Blue Jays-finished above .500 and ranked among the top six teams on the year-end Hit List. The question is: Where does this division fit in historically?

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

October 28, 2008 3:24 pm

Prospectus Hit and Run: (Near) Hitless Wonders

10

Jay Jaffe

Desperately bad work in the Fall Classic puts Carlos Pena and Evan Longoria in august company.

Zero for 31.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

Saying hello to a familiar October exercise, and good-bye to the best Dodger season in decades.

No lead is safe.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

<< Previous Tag Entries Next Tag Entries >>