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11-19

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24

Bizball: Marlins Ownership and a History Lesson in Greed
by
Maury Brown

07-31

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6

Bizball: Inefficiency Becoming the Norm with Veteran Contract Extensions
by
Maury Brown

07-09

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12

Bizball: How Much Could MLB’s Next National Television Contracts Be Worth?
by
Maury Brown

03-07

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3

The BP First Take: Wednesday, March 7
by
Daniel Rathman

02-02

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2

Transaction Analysis: Middle Reliever Mania
by
R.J. Anderson

01-25

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16

Pebble Hunting: Scott Boras' First Time
by
Sam Miller

01-25

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43

Transaction Analysis: The New Prince of Motown
by
R.J. Anderson

01-03

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12

Bizball: Behavioral Spending: Inside the Back-Loaded Pujols and Reyes Contracts
by
Maury Brown

08-24

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57

The Lineup Card: 11 Disastrous Acquisitions
by
Baseball Prospectus

08-01

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32

Prospectus Hit and Run: The Ned Zone
by
Jay Jaffe

07-13

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0

The BP Wayback Machine: Trades that Made a Difference
by
Steven Goldman

04-15

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21

Baseball ProGUESTus: The Scott Boras Factor: Reality or Hype?
by
Vince Gennaro

03-09

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3

Contractual Matters: NL Central Payroll Projections
by
Jeff Euston

02-22

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5

Checking the Numbers: Paying the Premium
by
Eric Seidman

01-10

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25

Prospectus Perspective: An Honest Exchange?
by
Christina Kahrl

01-05

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6

Transaction Analysis: NL East Update
by
Christina Kahrl

12-22

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14

Checking the Numbers: Relievers and the Value of Perfect Information
by
Eric Seidman

12-21

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1

On the Beat: A Hero by Circumstance
by
John Perrotto

12-13

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7

Contractual Matters: Bruce'd Up
by
Jeff Euston

11-08

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5

Contractual Matters: AL Central Arbitration Forecast
by
Jeff Euston

11-03

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10

Checking the Numbers: Minor-league Contract Candidates: Batters
by
Eric Seidman

08-01

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9

Transaction Analysis: Deadline Day Outcomes in the NL
by
Christina Kahrl and Kevin Goldstein

06-03

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2

Contractual Matters: Restructuring Deals
by
Jeff Euston

05-28

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1

Ahead in the Count: Hometown Discounts
by
Matt Swartz

05-17

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32

Ahead in the Count: The Cost of OPP
by
Matt Swartz

04-27

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36

Joe's Blog: Carpenter + Ortiz = Howard
by
Joe Sheehan

04-27

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83

Ahead in the Count: Ryan Howard and the New MORP
by
Matt Swartz

03-30

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5

Transaction Action: We Three Giants
by
Christina Kahrl

03-23

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18

Expanded Horizons: Mauer Present Value
by
Tommy Bennett

03-18

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2

Contractual Matters: NL West Projected Payrolls
by
Jeff Euston

03-16

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13

Checking the Numbers: The All Paid By My Former Employer Team
by
Eric Seidman and Jeff Euston

03-11

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18

Contractual Matters: AL East
by
Jeff Euston

02-24

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15

Contractual Matters: NL Central
by
Jeff Euston

02-23

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8

Prospectus Hit and Run: AL Central Competitive Ecology
by
Jay Jaffe

01-28

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9

Contractual Matters: AL Central Payroll Projections
by
Jeff Euston

12-29

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32

Ahead in the Count: For the Long-Term Investors
by
Matt Swartz

12-17

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23

Transaction Analysis: Threesome or Foursome?
by
Christina Kahrl

12-17

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26

Ahead in the Count: Anatomy of a Blockbuster
by
Matt Swartz

11-25

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14

Prospectus Today: Pen Men Free Agents Review
by
Joe Sheehan

11-24

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10

Prospectus Today: Starting Pitcher Free Agents Review
by
Joe Sheehan

11-23

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24

Prospectus Today: Outfield and Catcher Free Agents Review
by
Joe Sheehan

11-22

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23

Prospectus Today: Infield Free Agents Review
by
Joe Sheehan

08-01

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34

Prospectus Today: Deadline Day Recap
by
Joe Sheehan

07-31

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17

Transaction Analysis: Deadline Day Action
by
Christina Kahrl

07-30

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26

Transaction Analysis: Major Moves Roundup
by
Christina Kahrl

07-30

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82

Prospectus Today: Review and Reset
by
Joe Sheehan

06-23

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40

The Latin Talent Market
by
Kiley McDaniel

06-11

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23

TA Special
by
Christina Kahrl

06-04

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30

Transaction of the Day: The McLouth Trade
by
Christina Kahrl

12-12

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18

Prospectus Hit and Run: Back to the Future?
by
Jay Jaffe

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March 9, 2011 9:00 am

Contractual Matters: NL Central Payroll Projections

3

Jeff Euston

The Reds try to defend their crown while maintaining the division's third-lowest payroll.

Since 2006, only one club in the National League Central has managed to win more than 91 games in a season. The Reds turned the trick in 2010 and won the division title, despite being outspent by four of their other five Central competitors. Spending will remain flat in Cincinnati this season, but the division’s financial landscape is shifting. Let’s break down the projected 2011 payrolls for the NL Central.

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February 22, 2011 9:00 am

Checking the Numbers: Paying the Premium

5

Eric Seidman

Exploring the insurance calculus of big-money deals.

The Blue Jays' signing of Jose Bautista last week set off a frenzy of analysis in which authors attempted to determine whether or not his projected performance would live up to the value of his new contract. This is a common analytical template, as it allows the writer to determine whether the deal was more beneficial to the team or the player. From the standpoint of the player, as long as the performance-to-currency translation is sound, the calculation generally works. However, there are factors beyond the reported salary that influence whether or not the deal benefited the team. One of these factors is disability insurance. Granted, the amounts of the insurance premiums paid to take out a policy on a player are not common knowledge, but it is important to understand that a team is likely to pay more than meets the eye, and that the insurance introduces a new level of risk.

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Is it possible in today's prospect-stingy market that the Rays and Cubs pulled off a win/win deal?

To see the Cubs step into the shrinking market for starting pitching was a mild surprise, but not that much of one. Very early on this winter, Jim Hendry was fidgeting over getting pitching help. What we didn't know was that he would wind up landing one of the best starting pitchers in play this winter. Most of the early-Hot Stove speculation centered on Hendry magically making Kosuke Fukudome go away, say for Daisuke Matsuzaka, in the latest exchange of expensive regrets, exactly like the previous winter's banishment of Milton Bradley for Carlos Silva.

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January 5, 2011 12:00 am

Transaction Analysis: NL East Update

6

Christina Kahrl

The LaRoche and Uggla deals, plus the Marlins' spendy winter and a Phillies camp that figures to border on unnecessary.

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A look at the return on investments for relievers given multi-year deals versus one-year contracts.

One of the most interesting aspects of baseball transactions is that every move carries a certain level of risk. Without perfect information akin to an extreme level of accurate prognostication, teams can never be 100 percent certain how a player will perform. The best investment is a player who will produce at a very high level, but who comes as close to guaranteeing that high level of production as possible. Albert Pujols personifies this idea, as a bad season for him still involves above-average defense and a TAv north of .310. I will say right now, with as much confidence as I have in my mind and body, that Pujols will hit, at worst, .310/.370/.530 next season. He has proven himself capable of production far beyond that slash line and is as close to a sure thing as we have.

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December 21, 2010 9:00 am

On the Beat: A Hero by Circumstance

1

John Perrotto

Thanks to Zack Greinke's desires, Dayton Moore is not a villain in Kansas City, along with other news and notes from around the major leagues.

Dayton Moore faced the decision that all small-market general managers seem to eventually be forced to make: do you hold on to your most marketable player, or do you trade him for young and affordable players in bulk? The Royals' GM made that decision last weekend and shipped right-hander Zack Greinke, just one year removed from winning the American League Cy Young award, to the Brewers a pair of 24-year-olds in shortstop Alcides Escobar and center fielder Lorenzo Cain and two pitching prospects.

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December 13, 2010 9:00 am

Contractual Matters: Bruce'd Up

7

Jeff Euston

Dissecting the soon-to-be official Jay Bruce contract extension, and its implications for the Reds.

The Reds’ $51 million extension with Jay Bruce should become official Tuesday. The deal locks the right fielder in the middle of the Cincinnati lineup affordably for the foreseeable future and secures the right fielder financially for life. So what’s not to like?

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November 8, 2010 8:00 am

Contractual Matters: AL Central Arbitration Forecast

5

Jeff Euston

Some of the newly minted Super Two arbitration-eligibles can be found in this division.

The road to an arbitration hearing begins as a negotiation, becomes something resembling a high-stakes poker game then finally morphs into full-scale litigation. The process began in earnest last week as the Commissioner’s Office and Major League Baseball Players Association announced that 20 players will qualify as Super Twos, those players with less than three years of big-league service who are eligible to file for arbitration. So let’s break down the 2011 arbitration cases—including five Super Twos—for clubs in the American League Central, the third in a six-part series evaluating each of the divisions in the majors.

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November 3, 2010 12:00 pm

Checking the Numbers: Minor-league Contract Candidates: Batters

10

Eric Seidman

As players hit free agency, not everyone will come away with a big-league deal. Who might sign a minor-league contract?

Now that the World Series has ended—and a hearty congratulations to the Giants and their fans—baseball has officially entered its off-season. In the very near future, teams will begin to sign or trade players or cut them loose after deciding they are not worth an arbitration raise. Not every signing is created equally, however, as these transactions can range anywhere from the high-profile free-agent inking a monster deal to Willy Taveras being given a shot at making a major-league roster.

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The Braves and Pirates make a flurry of moves, but they weren't the only ones wheeling and dealing on July 31.

IN THIS ISSUE

National League

ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS
Team Audit | Player Cards | Depth Chart
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Traded RHP Chad Qualls to the Rays for a PTBNL; traded C-R Chris Snyder, SS-R Pedro Ciriaco, and $3 million to the Pirates for RHP D.J. Carrasco, INF-R Bobby Crosby, and OF-L Ryan Church; recalled C-R John Hester from Reno (Triple-A). [7/31]
Optioned OF-R Cole Gillespie to Reno. [8/1]

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June 3, 2010 8:28 am

Contractual Matters: Restructuring Deals

2

Jeff Euston

Ryan Dempster and Scott Rolen are two players who have reworked their contracts to give their teams more financial flexibility.

As Cubs general manager Jim Hendry began the work of assembling his 2010 roster last winter, he faced a daunting task: construct a team capable of re-claiming the National League Central title, which it had done in 2007 and 2008, and do it with precious little payroll flexibility. The Cubs had more than $125 million committed to 11 players, with another eight players eligible for salary arbitration. Hendry was poised to blow past the 2009 year-end payroll total of $141 million without filling his 25-man roster, before even considering a trade or free-agent signing requiring more spending.

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May 28, 2010 9:19 am

Ahead in the Count: Hometown Discounts

1

Matt Swartz

The best way to build a winning organization is to draft and develop talent then know which players to keep for the long haul.

While last week’s article contrasting the cost of re-signees vs. the cost of other people’s players, or “OPP,” made a strong point that there is a difference between these two groups of players, many readers had questions about various issues, including hometown discounts, the performance of the two groups of players before the deals, and whether the decline was a matter of a decrease in playing time or production.  In this article, I break down each of these factors and use them to learn more about the cost of other people’s players.

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