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Articles Tagged Deadline 

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As in the AL, the Central division is as tight as can be, while in the East two Mets are predicted to take home some hardware along with their division flag.

Today we reveal the Baseball Prospectus staff predictions for the division standings and the major player awards (MVP, Cy Young, and Rookie of the Year) in the National League, along with the staff picks in some fun miscellaneous categories.

Each staff member's division standings predictions may be found later in the article. Here, we present a wisdom-of-the-crowds summary of the results. In each table you'll find the average rank of each team in their division, plus the results of our pre-season MVP, Cy Young, and Rookie of the Year voting.

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August 19, 2007 12:00 am

Wait 'Til Next Year: Back to School

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Bryan Smith

This year, some college programs suddenly found themselves with holes on their roster before the school year even began.

At various points on last Wednesday, the draft's signing deadline day, Mike Moustakas was going to USC, and Matt Wieters was supposedly returning to Georgia Tech. At different times, both Rick Porcello and Madison Bumgarner were all but packed to head to Chapel Hill. Jack McGeary was, without question, going to continue Stanford's decade-long streak of bringing commits to Palo Alto.

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August 5, 2007 12:00 am

Every Given Sunday: Moving, Shaking, and Cardinal Blues

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John Perrotto

Some teams still try and some decide to punt. The day-after hangovers of the trading deadline.

However, Isringhausen can state one fundamental fact about his team's chances of repeating as World Series champions. "We're still mathematically alive," Isringhausen said. "Until you're eliminated, you always have a chance. And if you have a chance, then there is always the possibility of something good happening."

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August 3, 2007 12:00 am

Prospectus Hit List: Post-Swaptasm Edition

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Jay Jaffe

The deals of deadline day done, the doers and the didn't doers drive in different directions in this week's edition of the Hit List.

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August 3, 2006 12:00 am

Lies, Damned Lies: Is Bigger Better?

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Nate Silver

While trade-deadline acquisitions of big-name players make for big headlines, Nate wonders if those trades actually helped their teams the most this year.

Which was the more important trade deadline acquisition:

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The more things change, the more they stay the same on Ye Olde Hit List, as Jay follows the streaking Tigers and sorts out the contender from pretender.

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The Rangers make a big jump as the Orioles sink like a stone in this week's Prospectus Hit List.

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August 13, 2003 12:00 am

Lies, Damned Lies: A Roll of the Dice

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Nate Silver

The Red Sox ended Tuesday night four games behind the Yankees in the AL East. What are the odds that they can make up that deficit to take the division? And, failing that, what are their chances to edge out the A's for the wild card? Seriously. Grab a pencil and a piece of paper, come up with your best guesstimate, and write it down. Harder than you thought, huh? Keep reading, and we'll have an answer for you in a bit. Whether they realize it or not, major league teams are making calculations like this all the time. Implicitly or explicitly, they can determine the direction that a team chooses to take: whether to move prospects for veterans at the trade deadline, whether to shut a young pitcher down for the season, or try (injury risk be damned) to get as much work out of him as they can. Wins are the currency that baseball transacts in, but for many purposes, they're only as good as the pennants and postseason appearances that they can be redeemed for. Much as some pundits like to talk about Mystique, Aura, and Veteran Leadership, the postseason is a lottery of sorts. Winning 11 playoff games is often a lot easier than winning 90 or 95 in the regular season, and many teams consider their season a success if their postseason ticket is punched, and they get to take their chance in the playoffs.

Seriously. Grab a pencil and a piece of paper, come up with your best guesstimate, and write it down. Harder than you thought, huh? Keep reading, and we'll have an answer for you in a bit.

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For example, in 2000, only Will Clark and Charles Johnson made a significant impact on their new teams in making the playoffs. David Justice, acquired in June by the Yankees, was also a big part of that team's success (and was sorely missed by his old team, the Indians). Most of the deals, though, amounted to little more than additional work for Chris Kahrl.

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