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Articles Tagged Dante Bichette 

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April 8, 2013 1:46 am

Minor League Update: Games of April 5-April 7

10

Zach Mortimer

Last year's top pick Carlos Correa delivered an outstanding performance on Saturday.

Games of Friday, April 5

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August 24, 2012 5:00 am

Pebble Hunting: The Rockies and Real Home Run Hitters

5

Sam Miller

Giancarlo Stanton's recent rampage against the Rockies inspires two questions: Have the Rockies ever had a "real" power hitter? And if not, why the heck haven't they?

We'll start as soon as Giancarlo Stanton's home run in Coors Field from last Friday night lands.

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March 8, 2012 3:00 am

Future Shock: Yankees Top 11 Prospects

29

Kevin Goldstein

Despite losing last year's clear #1 prospect in a trade, the Yankee system still has some young talent to boast about.

Previous Rankings: 2011 | 2010 | 2009 | 2008

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Did new Orioles general manager Dan Duquette leave a mess behind him in his last GM job?

While looking toward the future with our comprehensive slate of current content, we'd also like to recognize our rich past by drawing upon our extensive (and mostly free) online archive of work dating back to 1997. In an effort to highlight the best of what's gone before, we'll be bringing you a weekly blast from BP's past, introducing or re-introducing you to some of the most informative and entertaining authors who have passed through our virtual halls. If you have fond recollections of a BP piece that you'd like to nominate for re-exposure to a wider audience, send us your suggestion.

As Dan Duquette prepares to take on a clean-up operation in Baltimore, revisit Jonah's take on his job performance in his previous stints as a GM, which originally ran on April 25, 2002.
 


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September 11, 2009 1:10 pm

You Could Look It Up: A Triple Play of Pondering

7

Steven Goldman

Three less-than-urgent questions for a rainy September day.

1. Is Jarrod Washburn the Tigers' Steve Trout?

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The Indians and Mariners have had pitching problems, but at least they'll still exist next year.

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There is enough evidence to perform at least an exploratory empirical analysis of what types of skills are best accentuated by Coors Field.

Up until now, the Coors Field Wars have been fought from the top down. There have plenty of theories advanced about what sort of hitter should do well at Coors. Joe Sheehan presented one theory (players who put the ball in play make best use of Coors), Rany Jazayerli presented another (high altitude provides a comparative advantage to whiff-prone hitters by reducing strikeouts), and Dan O'Dowd has tested out both theories and then some in his manic building and rebuilding of the Rockies.

What hasn't been done, at least so far as I am aware, is a systematic study of what sort of hitters actually have benefited from high altitude. Baseball in Denver is no longer a novelty; the Rockies have accumulated tens of thousands of plate appearances in their decade of existence. There is enough evidence to perform at least an exploratory empirical analysis of what types of skills are best accentuated by the ballpark.

Methodology

Including the Mile High years, there have been 29 hitters with significant major league experience in another organization who accumulated at least 130 plate appearances in a season in purple pinstripes. Although it would be stretch to call any of those hitters an established superstar prior to his initiation as a Rockie - Larry Walker can make the best case - they represent every possible permutation of strength and deficiency. It would be hard to identify two more opposite players than Dante Bichette and Alex Cole, who took the outfield together in the Rockies' first ever home game on April 9, 1993.

I turned back the clock and ran PECOTA projections for each of these 29 players. There are only a couple of differences between this set of forecasts and those that appear in this year's book. First, because we do not have Davenport Translations that far back into time, only major league stats were used; thus the emphasis on established major leaguers. Second, all players were projected into a neutral park and league. The PECOTA system makes certain assumptions about how to apply park effects - all players are not treated equally. In this case, however, we're using our forecasting system to test out certain theories about actual performance, and not the other way around; introducing PECOTA's notions about park effects would bias the analysis.

We can get away with comparing park-neutral forecasts to park-affected results by using a measure for value that places all players back on an equal footing - in this case, Equivalent Average. Our nouveau Rockies are listed in the table below, sorted by the difference between their expected and actual EQA.

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April 25, 2002 12:00 am

Avoiding Dissonance

0

Jonah Keri

Oh, it's not that bad, is it? Does your team really need a 22-year-old masher with power, patience and a good glove? Shouldn't you be focusing on that last spot in the team's eight-man bullpen instead?

If this horror show sounds familiar, take heart: you're not alone. GMs give away the farm all the time. It's the reason for their behavior that might scare you:

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January 3, 2002 12:00 am

The MVP Prediction System

0

Chaim Bloom

From 1946 though 1993, National League Most Valuable Player awards could be safely predicted, with only a handful of exceptions, using just a few indicators. Since that time, however, the system has already made three major mistakes (the MVP was not selected as a candidate by the system) and one minor mistake (the tie-breaker selected the wrong candidate). That's four out of eight correct calls, a rate that on the face of it suggests that the system may no longer work.

In this conclusion to the series, I'll look at reasons why National League MVP voters may be changing how they go about their business, examine the wrong predictions since 1994, and speculate about the future usefulness of the MVP predictor.

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Just read your "Doctoring the Numbers" piece on the sucking Rockies. It would be good to see how non-Rockies teams fare on road trips. Perhaps fatigue, stinky underwear, the cumulative effects of restaurant food or some other aspect that builds over a road trip makes all teams hit significantly worse later in a road trip. And perhaps the "adjusting to hitting outside of Coors" effect does ameliorate this unspecified "long road trip" effect.

In other (simpler) words, you left out the control group.

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I enjoyed your idea about a weekly schedule for pitchers, although I'm not convinced. I just don't see it becoming a norm because it would be hard to groom youngsters in this fashion and I think limiting pitch counts would just be an effective way of keeping your starters healthy, though the all-closer staff is very exciting!

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