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07-22

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0

Transaction Analysis: Texas Closes the Deal on Garza
by
Jason Parks and Jason Cole

07-09

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0

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 239: Carlos Gomez and the NL MVP Race/The Cubs and Trading Recently Signed Free Agents
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

07-03

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4

Transaction Analysis: Of Baltimore and Bonus Slots
by
Sam Miller

05-13

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12

Transaction Analysis: The Cubs Keep Rizzo
by
Ben Lindbergh

04-22

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8

Manufactured Runs: The King in Cubbie Blue
by
Colin Wyers

03-28

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8

Prospectus Preview: These Questions Three: The Maybe-Next-Years
by
Bradford Doolittle and Harry Pavlidis

03-01

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3

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 151: 2013 Season Preview Series: Chicago Cubs
by
Ben Lindbergh, Sam Miller and Pete Barrett

01-29

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1

BP Announcements: Chicago Cubs Seek Director of Research & Development
by
Joe Hamrahi

12-21

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 107: Edwin Jackson, the Cubs, and Qualifying Offers
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

11-13

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5

Baseball ProGUESTus: How Alfonso Soriano Got His Groove Back
by
Sahadev Sharma

11-08

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42

Prospect Debate: Who is the Cubs' Top Prospect?
by
BP Prospect Staff

11-03

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8

Transaction Analysis: What We Would Have Said About the Dan Haren Deal That Didn't Happen
by
Colin Wyers

09-17

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3

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 43: The Under-the-Radar Reds/Was Anthony Rizzo's Scouting Report Wrong?
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

08-29

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3

Sobsequy: Compensation: A Dialogue Between Theo Epstein and Ben Cherington
by
Adam Sobsey

08-21

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2

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 25: The Secretly Successful White Sox System?/Starlin Castro's Makeup Concerns
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

07-03

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8

Baseball ProGUESTus: Is Starlin Castro the Key to the Cubs' Rebuilding?
by
Sahadev Sharma

06-28

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15

Inside The Park: Why Can't We Just Leave Rizzo Alone?
by
Bradford Doolittle

06-24

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5

BP Unfiltered: A More Honest Response to Trade Rumors
by
Colin Wyers

05-21

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32

Inside The Park: Farewell to a Phenom
by
Bradford Doolittle

02-10

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3

The BP Wayback Machine: Neighborly Baseball
by
Nate Silver

11-11

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0

Analyze This: Testing Delete
by
Rob McQuown

11-04

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25

The BP Broadside: Exorcising the Ghost of Leo
by
Steven Goldman

11-02

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4

Transaction Analysis: Quade-ing Through the Wreckage
by
R.J. Anderson

10-27

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13

Transaction Analysis: One Curse Down, One to Go
by
Ben Lindbergh

10-22

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7

The BP Wayback Machine: Every Team Has a Special GM, Except the Cubs
by
Steven Goldman

10-17

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73

Future Shock: The Epstein Holdup
by
Kevin Goldstein

10-12

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9

Manufactured Runs: Curse to Curse
by
Colin Wyers

09-12

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18

Kiss'Em Goodbye: Chicago Cubs
by
Ben Lindbergh, Kevin Goldstein and ESPN Insider

08-19

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23

Manufactured Runs: Multifold Changes
by
Colin Wyers

06-28

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7

Divide and Conquer, NL Central: Recounting Cubs Contracts
by
Larry Granillo

05-18

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4

Transaction Analysis: Heroes Take a Fall
by
Ben Lindbergh

03-31

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42

Pre-Season Predictions
by
Baseball Prospectus

03-25

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19

Prospectus Hit and Run: Are the Cubs a Sleeper Team?
by
Jay Jaffe

02-16

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22

The BP Broadside: Every Team Has a Special GM, Except the Cubs
by
Steven Goldman

01-13

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21

Checking the Numbers: The Questionable Pursuit of Garza
by
Eric Seidman

01-10

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25

Prospectus Perspective: An Honest Exchange?
by
Christina Kahrl

10-20

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17

GM for a Day: Chicago Cubs
by
Ben Lindbergh

09-13

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7

Kiss'Em Goodbye: Chicago Cubs
by
John Perrotto, Kevin Goldstein and ESPN Insider

08-20

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7

On the Beat: Going Green
by
John Perrotto

05-25

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6

You Can Blog It Up: DPOTD: Stan Hack for the Hall of Fame
by
Steven Goldman

05-11

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25

Changing Speeds: Retro Game Story: Cardinals at Cubs, 6/23/84
by
Ken Funck

05-05

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7

On the Beat: Wednesday Update
by
John Perrotto

01-12

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42

Hot Stove U.: The Cubs' Contractual Cul-de-Sac
by
Kevin Goldstein

01-03

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16

Changing Speeds: Marlon Byrd and the Price of Chemistry
by
Ken Funck

10-01

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12

You Could Look It Up: Walkless in Wrigleyville
by
Steven Goldman

09-21

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85

Prospectus Today: Bradleygate?
by
Joe Sheehan

09-15

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14

Kiss'Em Goodbye: Chicago Cubs
by
Baseball Prospectus

09-13

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9

On the Beat: Weekend Update
by
John Perrotto

08-27

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29

Prospectus Today: No Joy in Wrigleyville?
by
Joe Sheehan

07-21

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16

Future Shock: Development Disasters
by
Kevin Goldstein

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With the Cubs GM situation apparently coming to a resolution, we represent a piece from February on the Cubs' historic lack of a definitive executive.

I fear that today’s installment of Broadside is going to come off as an attack on Cubs general manager Jim Hendry, but that is not my intention. Rather, it's the observation that given a wait of more than a century, for the Cubs, the point is not the journey but the destination—over 100 years at sea is quite enough of a journey, thank you. And just as every team can point to their Babe Ruth or Ted Williams and say, “This is our iconic figure,” almost every organization has an executive who came along at a key moment and guided the team through a transitional period to greater heights of success, someone whose oil portrait in the office lobby bears a plaque that says, “Pathfinder.” The best the Cubs can do is hang an empty frame, or perhaps fill it with a sign: “This space for rent.”

This piece began as a look at the Cubs’ chances for this season, but as I later read back what I had written, I found that I had over a thousand words that boiled down to, “The last 102 years weren’t very good, were they?” before I even got to the 2011 team. You don’t need me to tell you that, even though there is a perverse pleasure in observing just how long it's been since the Cubs last got to celebrate a championship. The Pirates and the Royals come in for a lot of mockery, but at least you can refer to Kansas City's 1985 championship with a straight face, and bring up Bret Saberhagen, George Brett, and Dan Quisenberry as if they were contemporary humans instead of the alien subjects of 17th-century Dutch portraiture, strange, candlelit figures with ruff collars around their necks.

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October 17, 2011 12:09 pm

Future Shock: The Epstein Holdup

73

Kevin Goldstein

A look at why the Cubs haven't officially announced Theo Epstein as their new GM yet

You like chickens? You like counting them before they hatch? Well welcome to Chicago, where such endeavors have turned a public relations boon into a potential nightmare.

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October 12, 2011 11:22 am

Manufactured Runs: Curse to Curse

9

Colin Wyers

Theo Epstein may be on the move - what does it mean for the Cubs and Red Sox?

With reports out of Boston that Theo Epstein and the Cubs have agreed to a five-year deal, I thought now would be a good moment to consider what Epstein to Chicago would mean. This, of course, is not official until the Cubs and Red Sox work out an agreement to let Epstein leave with a year still remaining on his contract. And as will be pointed out repeatedly, Epstein has his current job because Billy Beane changed his mind after agreeing to be the Red Sox general manager. But it’s far enough along to make it worthwhile, I think, to clear the air on some things.

The easier question to answer is what this means for the Red Sox. Despite some people pining for a repeat of the Beane-to-Boston scenario, Ben Cherington is the guy that’s going to be the GM if Epstein leaves. Cherington is a well-regarded GM candidate throughout the industry who has been a key component of the Red Sox front office during Epstein’s tenure. Cherington will inherit one of the best baseball operations staffs in the game, as well as a roster that, despite a historic collapse, still won 90 games and doesn’t need a big overhaul to make the playoffs next year. His first priority will be getting a new field manager, and that might be fortuitous timing for him, as it may let him very quickly put his stamp on the team.

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September 12, 2011 5:00 am

Kiss'Em Goodbye: Chicago Cubs

18

Ben Lindbergh, Kevin Goldstein and ESPN Insider

Another losing season calls for serious organizational reconstruction on the North Side

Kiss 'Em Goodbye is a series focusing on MLB teams as their postseason dreams fadewhether in September (or before), the League Division Series, League Championship Series or World Series. It combines a broad overview from Baseball Prospectus, a front-office take from former MLB GM Jim Bowden, a best- and worst-case scenario ZiPS projection for 2012 from Dan Szymborski and Kevin Goldstein's farm system overview.

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August 19, 2011 5:49 pm

Manufactured Runs: Multifold Changes

23

Colin Wyers

Jim Hendry is gone - will it make a difference for the Cubs?

It’s the end of an era for the Cubs. Tom Ricketts, public face of the Ricketts family trust that bought the team in 2009, announced this morning that general manager Jim Hendry had “stepped down,” which left out the little detail that he was given a bit of a shove first. It’s become increasingly clear that the Cubs have needed a new direction for many years, and now they certainly are going in a new direction.

Nobody will accuse Hendry of being the world’s greatest GM, but he is perhaps taking more than his fair share of the blame from Cubs fans. Ricketts was careful to avoid turning Hendry into a scapegoat, praising him for his work and dedication. Today’s press conference shed some new light on the baffling behavior of the Cubs this past month; Hendry was informed of the decision to move on back on the 22nd of July, just over a week before the trade deadline. He was asked to stay on to finish signing the team’s amateur draft picks, and he agreed. This explains the inactivity of a man nicknamed “Trader Jim” for his wheeling and dealing ways; taking a laissez faire approach gives his successor more freedom.

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June 28, 2011 9:00 am

Divide and Conquer, NL Central: Recounting Cubs Contracts

7

Larry Granillo

As the Cubs continue to bow beneath the weight of several lucrative long-term deals, Larry takes a look back at the high hopes held for each player in happier days.

The evidence is mounting, and it's beginning to point to one conclusion: the 2011 Chicago Cubs are not a very good team. True, we’re still two weeks from the All-Star break, and all it takes is a few weeks of inspired play to change a club’s narrative from "miserable underachievers" to "second-half sweethearts," but there is little reason to expect something like that from Mike Quade's team.

For fans of the Cubs, who saw their team in the playoffs only three years ago, the 2011 edition’s first-half disappointment is amplified by the team's large payroll. When fans see their team shelling out more than $130 million in payroll, they expect to see a winning team; it’s not unreasonable to suppose that a collection of big contracts might yield a collection of quality players, and by extension, a successful team.

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Injuries to David Wright and Ike Davis start a Mets infield shuffle, the Red Sox rotation gets rejiggered, the curse of the Rangers outfield continues, Aroldis Chapman exeunt, and familiar faces resurface in the Cubs rotation and Braves bullpen.

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Pegging BP's favorites in both leagues, both in the standings and for the major awards.

Today we reveal the Baseball Prospectus staff predictions for the division standings and the major player awards  (MVP, Cy Young, and Rookie of the Year) in the American and National Leagues. Each staff member's division standings predictions may be found later in the article. Here, we present a wisdom-of-the-crowds summary of the results. In each table you'll find the average rank of each team in their division with first-place votes in parentheses, plus the results of our pre-season MVP, Cy Young, and Rookie of the Year voting. 

For the MVP voting, we've slightly amended the traditional points system in place that has been used elsewhere, dropping fourth- and fifth-place votes to make it 10-7-5 for the MVP Award, and the regular 5-3-1 for the Cy Young and Rookie of the Year Awards (that's 5 points for a first-place vote, 3 points for a second-place vote, etc.). Next to each of these selections we've listed the total number of ballots, followed by the total number of points, and then the number of first-place votes in parentheses, if any were received.

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Pegging a surprise team in the NL Central might involve some additional thought.

Over the course of more than a dozen radio hits I've done over the past month, I've been asked several times if I have a sleeper team for 2010. That is to say, a team that I believe will do better than the conventional wisdom or even our projection system suggests. During each of those hits, the first team that I've named has invariably been the Cubs. Today I wanted to examine the roots of that belief, and figure out if I can still stand by it after having done my homework.

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February 16, 2011 10:23 am

The BP Broadside: Every Team Has a Special GM, Except the Cubs

22

Steven Goldman

The iconic GM of the Chicago Cubs is nobody, and that's not changing any time soon.

I fear that today’s installment of Broadside is going to come off as an attack on Cubs general manager Jim Hendry, but that is not my intention. Rather, it's the observation that given a wait of more than a century, for the Cubs, the point is not the journey but the destination—over 100 years at sea is quite enough of a journey, thank you. And just as every team can point to their Babe Ruth or Ted Williams and say, “This is our iconic figure,” almost every organization has an executive who came along at a key moment and guided the team through a transitional period to greater heights of success, someone whose oil portrait in the office lobby bears a plaque that says, “Pathfinder.” The best the Cubs can do is hang an empty frame, or perhaps fill it with a sign: “This space for rent.”

This piece began as a look at the Cubs’ chances for this season, but as I later read back what I had written, I found that I had over a thousand words that boiled down to, “The last 102 years weren’t very good, were they?” before I even got to the 2011 team. You don’t need me to tell you that, even though there is a perverse pleasure in observing just how long it's been since the Cubs last got to celebrate a championship. The Pirates and the Royals come in for a lot of mockery, but at least you can refer to Kansas City's 1985 championship with a straight face, and bring up Bret Saberhagen, George Brett, and Dan Quisenberry as if they were contemporary humans instead of the alien subjects of 17th-century Dutch portraiture, strange, candlelit figures with ruff collars around their necks.

The Cubs aren’t that far away from us, but they’re close; bring up the last Cubs championship and you might as well be talking about the Boer War—a conflict that ended just six years before the Cubs won their last World Series. It was a different game then, played by people who we would not instantly recognize. The average height of the Cubs’ starting lineup in 1908 was about 5’9”. As good as Dustin Pedroia is, it’s hard to take seriously a roster composed of players that were not only his height but, due to their primitive conditioning, averaged 15 pounds less than him. The Cubs must cling to Tinkers-to-Evers-to Chance, but it is long since time to let these weary ghosts rest lest they see a living human the size of Prince Fielder and burst into tiny molecules of frightened ectoplasm.

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January 13, 2011 2:27 pm

Checking the Numbers: The Questionable Pursuit of Garza

21

Eric Seidman

The Cubs didn't necessarily need to empty their farm to acquire another starter.

When news broke last week that the Cubs had acquired Matt Garza from the Rays I sarcastically suggested that the NL Central was all but locked up. Garza is certainly a quality pitcher, but the deal in which he, Fernando Perez, and Zachary Rosscup were sent to the Cubs in exchange for Chris Archer, Brandon Guyer, Robinson Chirinos, Hak-Ju Lee, and Sum Fuld struck me as being one-sided, and not from a talent perspective. No, I considered the deal to favor one side based on the idea of a team recognizing its situation and acting accordingly. The Rays, looking to cut costs, capitalized on the thin nature of the free-agent market by surrendering a better pitcher than was available. Garza was not going to be a key component to their success, and the emergence of Jeremy Hellickson provided a surplus of starters. The Cubs, however, struggled with more than their rotation over the last few seasons yet felt compelled to trade four of their top prospects for a mid-rotation starter. Many have chimed in on which team “won” the deal, but what isn’t being discussed enough is the rationale of the Cubs in a transaction like this and whether their goals could have been achieved by other means.

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Is it possible in today's prospect-stingy market that the Rays and Cubs pulled off a win/win deal?

To see the Cubs step into the shrinking market for starting pitching was a mild surprise, but not that much of one. Very early on this winter, Jim Hendry was fidgeting over getting pitching help. What we didn't know was that he would wind up landing one of the best starting pitchers in play this winter. Most of the early-Hot Stove speculation centered on Hendry magically making Kosuke Fukudome go away, say for Daisuke Matsuzaka, in the latest exchange of expensive regrets, exactly like the previous winter's banishment of Milton Bradley for Carlos Silva.

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