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09-06

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20

On the Beat: Seeing the Forst for the Trees
by
John Perrotto

08-02

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6

On the Beat: A Tale of Two Cities
by
John Perrotto

06-21

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10

On the Beat: Who Wants to be the Next Skipper?
by
John Perrotto

02-22

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28

Prospectus Preview: NL East 2012 Preseason Preview
by
Derek Carty and Michael Jong

02-06

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6

Transaction Analysis: Jackson Settles for One Year
by
R.J. Anderson

09-09

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10

Prospectus Perspective: The New Jack Zoo Review
by
Bradley Ankrom

03-14

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36

Ahead in the Count: Battle for the Beltway
by
Matt Swartz

01-25

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16

Transaction Analysis: The Punished
by
Christina Kahrl

10-27

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3

GM for a Day: Florida Marlins
by
Ken Funck

10-13

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21

GM for a Day: Arizona Diamondbacks
by
Ken Funck

08-31

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18

Prospectus Perspective: A Wrigley Rebuild?
by
Christina Kahrl

07-23

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28

Ahead in the Count: Buyers and Sellers
by
Matt Swartz

12-21

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36

Ahead in the Count: When Bad Teams Land Good Free Agents
by
Matt Swartz

07-13

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13

Under The Knife: Midseason THR Updates
by
Will Carroll and Michael R. Lewis

11-18

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14

Hot Stove Preview
by
Christina Kahrl

10-05

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4

Prospectus Hit List: Season Wrap-up
by
Jay Jaffe

08-01

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0

Prospectus Hit List: After the Storm
by
Jay Jaffe

07-28

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0

Transaction Analysis: The Weekend Trio
by
Christina Kahrl

12-31

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0

Transaction Analysis: December Roundup
by
Christina Kahrl

07-22

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0

Every Given Sunday: Mile High Expectations?
by
John Perrotto

07-11

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0

Looking Ahead
by
John Perrotto

09-17

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0

Transaction Analysis: August 30-September 15
by
Christina Kahrl

09-07

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0

Breaking Balls: Pitch to Him!
by
Derek Zumsteg

12-23

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0

Can Of Corn: The Rule 5 Draft
by
Dayn Perry

10-23

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0

Prospectus Triple Play: Baltimore Orioles, Colorado Rockies, New York Mets
by
Baseball Prospectus

09-24

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0

Prospectus Triple Play: Baltimore Orioles, Colorado Rockies, New York Mets
by
Baseball Prospectus

07-16

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0

Prospectus Triple Play: Baltimore Orioles, Colorado Rockies, New York Mets
by
Baseball Prospectus

04-09

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0

The Great Slide Backwards
by
Mark Armour

11-07

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0

Staff Ballots
by
Baseball Prospectus

09-11

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0

The Imbalance Sheet: Reader Response - Hope and Faith
by
Keith Law

08-01

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0

The Daily Prospectus: Do-Nothings
by
Joe Sheehan

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The Orioles begin their search for a manager. The Rockies weren't lucky or unlucky--they were just untalented. And the Mets are trying to lure away Rick Peterson from the A's. All this and much more news from Baltimore, Colorado, and New York in your Thursday edition of Prospectus Triple Play.

  • Comings: The biggest news in Baltimore since the end of the season was the firing of Mike Hargrove and the search for a replacement. Technically, the Orioles did not need to fire Grover--his contract was going to expire at the end of October, anyway--but they did not want to repeat the experience of 2002, when their GM search lasted into the winter meetings. All of the candidates interviewed so far have strong Oriole ties, and none of them have ever managed in the majors:
  • Read the full article...

    The O's have something to look forward to in little Mike Fontenot. Colorado is more or less stuck for the time being. And Jose Reyes has been showing some nice development over the past few months for the Mets. All this and much more news from Baltimore, Colorado, and New York in your Wednesday edition of Prospectus Triple Play.

  • 29,093: That was the alleged attendance for the Orioles' game last Thursday, when they played to a 1-1 tie with the Yankees in a steady rain from the approaching Hurricane Isabel. They reported 25.857 the following night against Toronto.
  • Read the full article...

    The Orioles would do well to sell high on their first-half performers. Charles Johnson and Juan Uribe have been disappointments for the Rockies. The Mets remain in shopping mode after dealing Alomar and Burnitz.

  • First-Half Review: At the 2003 All-Star Break, the Orioles find themselves staring at a 41-50 record, 15 games behind the Yankees, fourth place in the AL East. This is a pretty familiar place for the Orioles to be; for the last five years, their break records have been:
  • Read the full article...

    I recently wrote an article on teams that have improved by 20 or more Equivalent Wins (EQW) in a single year, EQW being wins adjusted to a 162-game season. In modern non-strike seasons, EQW and wins are generally equivalent, but this simple measure allows us to compare shorter seasons more equitably. If you want to better understand the concept, just read the first few paragraphs of the

    This article will look at the reverse: clubs that have regressed by 20 EQW in a season. To illustrate, let's look at the team that suffered the biggest one-season drop-off ever, with BASE representing listed-year record, and PRIOR for prior-year record:

    BASE PRIOR Team Lg Year W-L EQW W-L EQW Loss St. Louis NL 1885 36-72 54 94-19 135 -81

    Read the full article...

    November 7, 2001 12:00 am

    Staff Ballots

    0

    Baseball Prospectus

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    However, several readers responded to argue that single-season contention is an anomaly, or that it's a matter of random chance that there will be "Cinderella" teams. The facts don't support this claim:

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    What I find interesting is the teams that stood pat.

    Read the full article...

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