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Articles Tagged Cincinnati Reds 

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08-24

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Let It Eat: Bad Breaks
by
Ben Carsley

08-10

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Flu-Like Symptoms: Finding New Ways to Stink
by
Rob Mains

07-11

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Circle Change: The Fate of the Unknown All-Star
by
Zach Crizer

06-19

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Short Relief: Joey Votto Reacts, How to Sell Baseball, and How Baseball is Sold
by
Holly Wendt, James Fegan and Meg Rowley

05-12

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Rubbing Mud: Can Amir Garrett Make This Work?
by
Matthew Trueblood

05-10

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Banjo Hitter: Beyond the 90th Percentile
by
Aaron Gleeman

04-07

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The Call-Up: Amir Garrett
by
Jeffrey Paternostro and Eric Roseberry

03-24

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Looking Back on Tomorrow: Cincinnati Reds
by
Eric Roseberry

03-24

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Short Relief: Puttin' On The Reds / Historical Unwritten Rules
by
Matt Sussman and Mary Craig

03-21

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Rubbing Mud: Lift Yourself Up By Your Launch Angle
by
Matthew Trueblood

03-10

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Rubbing Mud: Dan Straily's Maybe Changing Two-Seamer
by
Matthew Trueblood

02-13

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3

Transaction Analysis: Old Second Basemen Never Die
by
Bryan Grosnick and Jeffrey Paternostro

02-06

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3

Transaction Analysis: Bargain Bin Bullpens
by
Bryan Grosnick, Eric Roseberry and Jared Wyllys

02-03

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24

Players Prefer Presentation: Here We Are Again
by
Meg Rowley

01-22

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Transaction Analysis: Reds Cash In Straily
by
Bryan Grosnick and Steve Givarz

01-06

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Transaction Analysis: Post-Christmas Shopping
by
Matthew Trueblood, Jared Wyllys and Brendan Gawlowski

09-20

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What You Need to Know: The Best Bullpens Are the Ones You Don't Need
by
Daniel Rathman

09-08

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5

Retro Transaction Analysis: Latos, Later
by
Bryan Grosnick

08-26

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6

Prospectus Feature: Coleman/Hamilton, Pt. 1: What We're Missing Out On
by
Rob Mains

08-02

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4

Transaction Analysis: Bruce Makes For a Crowded Metropolitan Area
by
Bryan Grosnick, Jeffrey Paternostro and Scooter Hotz

06-20

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3

The Call-Up: Cody Reed
by
Kourage Kundahl and George Bissell

06-19

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BP Bronx
by
Nick Ashbourne

06-17

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5

Life at the Margins: Lightning Strikes Adam Duvall Twice
by
Rian Watt

05-25

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Prospectus Feature: The RISP Mystery
by
Rob Mains

05-25

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6

Team Chemistry: Diagnosing the Swing Swings
by
John Choiniere

05-24

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11

Cold Takes: Make OBP Honest
by
Patrick Dubuque

05-16

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12

Prospectus Feature: A Short History of Reds and Pirates Hitting One Another With Baseballs
by
Rob Mains

04-21

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What You Need to Know: Raisel Iglesias' Deus Ex Machina
by
Demetrius Bell

03-21

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4

Winter Is Leaving
by
R.J. Anderson

03-04

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12

Fifth Column: Killing God and Willard Hershberger
by
Michael Baumann

02-18

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3

Painting the Black: PECOTA and Seeing Red(s)
by
R.J. Anderson

02-18

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Painting the Black: The Cincinnati Reds Are the Anti-Royals
by
R.J. Anderson

01-05

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Rumor Roundup: The Slow Burn Of Ian Desmond's Free Agency
by
Daniel Rathman

12-29

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18

Players Prefer Presentation: On Aroldis Chapman, Opportunity and Cost
by
Meg Rowley

12-29

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12

Transaction Analysis: What's Chapmaning
by
R.J. Anderson, Christopher Crawford and George Bissell

12-15

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Rumor Roundup: Rumors About Melancon Aboil
by
Daniel Rathman

04-22

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26

Rubbing Mud: Bryan Price's Other Sins
by
Matthew Trueblood

04-20

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Transaction Analysis: Rays Grant Balfour Farewell
by
R.J. Anderson

04-01

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Every Team's Moneyball: Cincinnati Reds: Go Your Own Way, Young Man
by
Brendan Gawlowski

03-20

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16

Rubbing Mud: The Reds Chose the Wrong Time to Move Cingrani
by
Matthew Trueblood

03-17

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Rumor Roundup: Tony Cingrani Won't Start, to Start
by
Chris Mosch

02-09

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Transaction Analysis: Texas' New Platoon
by
R.J. Anderson

02-09

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Rumor Roundup: Dayan Viciedo's Home Runs Are the Least Wanted Home Runs
by
Daniel Rathman

02-04

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8

Daisy Cutter: Welcome Back, Votto
by
Sahadev Sharma

01-28

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2

Transaction Analysis: Reds' Mes Around
by
R.J. Anderson

01-05

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6

Transaction Analysis: The Byrd Has Landed
by
R.J. Anderson and Ben Carsley

12-12

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10

Transaction Analysis: The Pitchers the Reds Shed
by
R.J. Anderson, Zachary Levine and Jordan Gorosh

12-09

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Fantasy Team Preview: Cincinnati Reds
by
Bret Sayre

11-21

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26

2015 Prospects: Cincinnati Reds Top 10 Prospects
by
Nick J. Faleris and BP Prospect Staff

09-19

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Pebble Hunting: Cueto's Quirks
by
Sam Miller

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When runners are in scoring position, home runs go down, while everything else--including doubles and triples--goes up. Why?

In this article, I looked for evidence that some hitters perform better with runners in scoring position (RISP) than in other situations. (I didn’t find much.) To help me define perform, I calculated run expectancies with RISP and discovered that of common batting metrics (batting average, on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS), slugging percentage correlates best to driving in runs. So I looked for hitters who slugged higher with RISP than in other plate appearances.

A couple commenters suggested that this is a low bar. After all, they reasoned, hitters should have a higher slugging percentage with RISP than without, for a number of reasons:

· Pitchers have to pitch from the stretch (though the perception that pitchers give up velocity by pitching from the stretch doesn’t appear to be true)

· Infielders must position themselves to hold runners on, opening up lanes for basehits that wouldn’t exist with the bases empty

· Similarly, with fewer than two outs and a runner on third, infielders may move up to prevent a run, creating additional opportunities for singles

Read the full article...

There is no ideal way to reach first base. It's time, if it ever wasn't, to strip judgment from our stats.

I have a friend who I like to hand things to. Every so often, I’ll hold out a blank sheet of paper, or a random object I picked up off a table, and she will inevitably take it from me, study it, then frown as she tries to figure out why she’s holding it. It works nearly every time. It’s not that she’s a particularly gullible person (although maybe she is, as well); it’s that she works on a contextual level. Patrick is handing me this, her brain decides, and therefore it must be important. She doesn’t actually think this, because then her brain would also remind her that I’m kind of a jerk. By the time that thought kicks in, it’s too late.

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Is Pittsburgh vs. Cincinnati turning into a turf war, on a global scale? We'd rather hear both sides of the tale.

Wednesday night, while Max Scherzer was striking out 20 Tigers, the Reds and Pirates were striking each other. There were six hit batters in the game, four Pirates and two Reds. Reds’ reliever Ross Ohlendorf was ejected after the last of them, when he hit David Freese with a runner on second after the Pirates had taken a 5-4 lead.

This is not something new for these teams. Since the start of the 2012 season, there have been 94 players hit in 56 games between the Reds and Pirates. (Across the majors, there are, on average, .66 batters hit per game—.33 per side.) The six hit batters Wednesday represents an apex, but the teams combined for five hit batters on June 2, 2013, four on April 8 this year, and three on seven other occasions. In fairness, some of this is probably personnel-related. When you employ batters for whom getting hit by pitches is part of their on-base toolkit, like Shin-Soo Choo (hit seven times in Reds-Pirates games in 2013 alone) and Starling Marte (hit 14 times in Reds-Pirates games dating back to August 2012), it’s reasonable to expect things to get plunky. And Pirates games, in particular, feature a lot of HBPs in the box score. Since the start of the 2012 season, Pirates batters have been hit 328 times, the most in the majors and 15 percent more than the second-place Cardinals. Pirates pitchers have hit 293 batters, also the most in the majors, and 9 percent more than the second place White Sox. (The Reds are third at hitting batters and 14th at getting hit.) But six in one game is an awful lot, as is 94 since the start of the 2012.

This has led to discussion of what might be done about this sort of thing. A hard ball, thrown at high speeds, can cause damage to the human body. Per Brooks Baseball, the pitches that hit the six batters on Wednesday night were thrown at 91.7 (Alfredo Simon in the fourth), 94.8 (Juan Nicasio in the fourth), 80.9 (Simon in the sixth), 86.4 (Steve Delabar in the seventh), 92.5 (Jared Hughes in the seventh), and 95.0 (Ohlendorf in the ninth) miles per hour. Nobody appeared to get hurt in the game, but of course, batters aren’t always that lucky. So what can be done?

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The weirdest thing happened to the Reds' ace. Meanwhile, good job Chris Sale, good job Orioles, good job Jordan Zimmermann, great job Aaron Hicks.

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March 21, 2016 6:00 am

Winter Is Leaving

4

R.J. Anderson

No, really: The Reds have a young rotation.

Joey Votto is going to walk a lot.

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Man and the myth.

Willard Hershberger was a backup catcher for the Cincinnati Reds from 1938 to 1940. He played 160 games, mostly as a defensive caddy for Ernie Lombardi, but he also hit well—.312/.351/.381 for his brief career. Hershberger is a historical footnote; from an on-field perspective he’s no more notable than, say, Mitch Meluskey, and nobody expects casual baseball fans 75 years from now to remember Mitch Meluskey.

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The Royals may be the most famous prediction PECOTA has gotten wrong recently, but the Reds have seen the opposite issue.

On Tuesday, Baseball Prospectus released PECOTA's preseason projections. In keeping with tradition, the algorithm has again seemingly undersold the champion Royals, who have nudged aside the White Sox to become the symbol for outpacing expectations. That status is well-earned: over the past three seasons, the Royals have won a majors-leading 44 games more than PECOTA figured they would. Along the way, the Royals have birthed countless thinkpieces and arguments about every facet of their success: whether it's by design; whether it's sustainable; whether it's duplicable; and so on.

At the soul of it is the truth that everyone wants to be the Royals (the postseason version, at least). The transitive property, then, suggests that nobody wants to be the anti-Royals, a role filled in recent years by the Reds. No team has underperformed its PECOTA projections over the last three seasons by more games than the Reds: they won two fewer games than expected in 2013, seven fewer in 2014, and 15 fewer in 2015. Add those failures together, and the Reds have lost 24 games more than PECOTA believed they would—or six more than any other team over the same stretch:

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How the Reds have underperformed their projections more than any other team.

On Tuesday, Baseball Prospectus released PECOTA's preseason projections. In keeping with tradition, the algorithm has again seemingly undersold the champion Royals, who have nudged aside the White Sox to become the symbol for outpacing expectations. That status is well earned: Over the past three seasons, the Royals have won a majors-leading 44 games more than PECOTA figured they would. Along the way, the Royals have birthed countless thinkpieces and arguments about every facet of their success: whether it's by design; whether it's sustainable; whether it's duplicable; and so on.

Read the full article...

The Padres and Ian Desmond fit nicely together, while Bronson Arroyo has unfinished business in Cincinnati.

Padres at least keeping tabs on Ian Desmond
Ian Desmond played shortstop last year. The Padres’ projected starting shortstop is Alexi Amarista, producer of a .205 TAv in 357 plate appearances last season. Ian Desmond is available. Which also means that, despite the obviousness of the match, he’s not yet donning San Diego’s new (old) colors.


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Everything has a price, including personal shortcomings, in the game of baseball.

This piece isn’t really about domestic violence. Nor is it ultimately about Aroldis Chapman, although the erstwhile Red is one of its central characters. When the Reds traded Chapman to the Yankees for prospects and the privilege of not having to deal with his domestic violence investigation any further, it became clear that the edges of baseball’s free market were brushing up against baseball’s humanity in a way as interesting as it was alarming. So this piece is about the opportunities baseball seeks, and the prices we pay for them.

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December 29, 2015 6:00 am

Transaction Analysis: What's Chapmaning

12

R.J. Anderson, Christopher Crawford and George Bissell

The Yankees bullpen gets, for now at least, ridiculous.

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Your favorite team could trade for Mark Melancon and Todd Frazier. What a time to be alive!

Pirates would move Mark Melancon in the “right deal”
After seeing the Red Sox pay the Padres a king’s ransom for Craig Kimbrel and the Astros do the same to the Phillies for Ken Giles, teams with high-end closers to offer are doubtless intrigued by the possibility of cashing them in for a bevy of prospect talent. The Pirates boast the defending major-league saves leader, Mark Melancon, who capped off 51 Pittsburgh victories in 2015 and is entering his final season of arbitration eligibility. General manager Neal Huntington told reporters Monday that while the team is planning to keep both Melancon and top setup man Tony Watson, the former could be available to teams willing to pay through the nose.

With free agency on the horizon after the coming year, Melancon wouldn’t command the same sort of package that Kimbrel—extension through 2017 with a 2018 club option—or Giles—under team control through 2020—did, but the 30-year-old has the whole “proven closer” thing going for him, and the trade-market supply is rapidly dwindling. Two names are already off the board, and a third, Aroldis Chapman, might be untouchable for all the wrong reasons, with domestic-violence accusations casting a shadow over his character and uncertainty over his availability for part of the 2016 season.


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