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Articles Tagged Cincinnati Reds 

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09-20

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1

What You Need to Know: The Best Bullpens Are the Ones You Don't Need
by
Daniel Rathman

09-08

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5

Retro Transaction Analysis: Latos, Later
by
Bryan Grosnick

08-26

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6

Prospectus Feature: Coleman/Hamilton, Pt. 1: What We're Missing Out On
by
Rob Mains

08-02

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4

Transaction Analysis: Bruce Makes For a Crowded Metropolitan Area
by
Bryan Grosnick, Jeffrey Paternostro and Scooter Hotz

06-20

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3

The Call-Up: Cody Reed
by
Kourage Kundahl and George Bissell

06-19

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0

BP Bronx
by
Nick Ashbourne

06-17

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5

Life at the Margins: Lightning Strikes Adam Duvall Twice
by
Rian Watt

05-25

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2

Prospectus Feature: The RISP Mystery
by
Rob Mains

05-25

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6

Team Chemistry: Diagnosing the Swing Swings
by
John Choiniere

05-24

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11

Cold Takes: Make OBP Honest
by
Patrick Dubuque

05-16

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12

Prospectus Feature: A Short History of Reds and Pirates Hitting One Another With Baseballs
by
Rob Mains

04-21

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0

What You Need to Know: Raisel Iglesias' Deus Ex Machina
by
Demetrius Bell

03-21

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4

Winter Is Leaving
by
R.J. Anderson

03-04

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12

Fifth Column: Killing God and Willard Hershberger
by
Michael Baumann

02-18

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3

Painting the Black: PECOTA and Seeing Red(s)
by
R.J. Anderson

02-18

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0

Painting the Black: The Cincinnati Reds Are the Anti-Royals
by
R.J. Anderson

01-05

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6

Rumor Roundup: The Slow Burn Of Ian Desmond's Free Agency
by
Daniel Rathman

12-29

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18

Players Prefer Presentation: On Aroldis Chapman, Opportunity and Cost
by
Meg Rowley

12-29

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12

Transaction Analysis: What's Chapmaning
by
R.J. Anderson, Christopher Crawford and George Bissell

12-15

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2

Rumor Roundup: Rumors About Melancon Aboil
by
Daniel Rathman

04-22

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26

Rubbing Mud: Bryan Price's Other Sins
by
Matthew Trueblood

04-20

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3

Transaction Analysis: Rays Grant Balfour Farewell
by
R.J. Anderson

04-01

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2

Every Team's Moneyball: Cincinnati Reds: Go Your Own Way, Young Man
by
Brendan Gawlowski

03-20

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16

Rubbing Mud: The Reds Chose the Wrong Time to Move Cingrani
by
Matthew Trueblood

03-17

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4

Rumor Roundup: Tony Cingrani Won't Start, to Start
by
Chris Mosch

02-09

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0

Transaction Analysis: Texas' New Platoon
by
R.J. Anderson

02-09

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0

Rumor Roundup: Dayan Viciedo's Home Runs Are the Least Wanted Home Runs
by
Daniel Rathman

02-04

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8

Daisy Cutter: Welcome Back, Votto
by
Sahadev Sharma

01-28

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2

Transaction Analysis: Reds' Mes Around
by
R.J. Anderson

01-05

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6

Transaction Analysis: The Byrd Has Landed
by
R.J. Anderson and Ben Carsley

12-12

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10

Transaction Analysis: The Pitchers the Reds Shed
by
R.J. Anderson, Zachary Levine and Jordan Gorosh

12-09

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5

Fantasy Team Preview: Cincinnati Reds
by
Bret Sayre

11-21

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26

2015 Prospects: Cincinnati Reds Top 10 Prospects
by
Nick J. Faleris and BP Prospect Staff

09-19

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1

Pebble Hunting: Cueto's Quirks
by
Sam Miller

09-12

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2

Transaction Analysis: The September Shuffle
by
R.J. Anderson

09-03

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3

The Prospectus Hit List: Wednesday, September 3
by
Matthew Kory

08-18

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3

Transaction Analysis: Closer Reclamation Season
by
R.J. Anderson

05-05

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14

Monday Morning Ten Pack: May 5, 2014
by
Jason Parks and BP Prospect Staff

03-25

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18

Prospectus Preview: NL Central 2014 Preseason Preview
by
Ken Funck and Harry Pavlidis

03-10

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12

Notes from the Field: Spring Notes
by
Jason Parks and BP Prospect Staff

03-10

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2

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 402: 2014 Season Preview Series: Cincinnati Reds
by
Ben Lindbergh, Sam Miller and Nick Wheatley-Schaller

02-18

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11

Transaction Analysis: What We Would Say About a Homer Bailey Extension
by
Sam Miller

02-03

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35

Prospects Will Break Your Heart: Cincinnati Reds Top 10 Prospects
by
Jason Parks

01-21

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0

Rumor Roundup: Bringing Back Bailey
by
Daniel Rathman

12-04

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7

Transaction Analysis: The Rays Add Bell and Hanigan, Double Down on Catcher Defense
by
R.J. Anderson and Ben Lindbergh

12-02

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2

Transaction Analysis: Nolasco Heads North
by
R.J. Anderson and Rob McQuown

11-22

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6

Raising Aces: Bush League: Robert Stephenson
by
Doug Thorburn

11-11

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28

One Move: National League Central
by
Craig Goldstein

10-23

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1

Transaction Analysis: Le Freak, C'est Chic
by
R.J. Anderson

10-22

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8

Fantasy Freestyle: Brandon Phillips' Gradually Sudden Decline
by
Craig Goldstein

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March 21, 2016 6:00 am

Winter Is Leaving

4

R.J. Anderson

No, really: The Reds have a young rotation.

Joey Votto is going to walk a lot.

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Man and the myth.

Willard Hershberger was a backup catcher for the Cincinnati Reds from 1938 to 1940. He played 160 games, mostly as a defensive caddy for Ernie Lombardi, but he also hit well—.312/.351/.381 for his brief career. Hershberger is a historical footnote; from an on-field perspective he’s no more notable than, say, Mitch Meluskey, and nobody expects casual baseball fans 75 years from now to remember Mitch Meluskey.

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The Royals may be the most famous prediction PECOTA has gotten wrong recently, but the Reds have seen the opposite issue.

On Tuesday, Baseball Prospectus released PECOTA's preseason projections. In keeping with tradition, the algorithm has again seemingly undersold the champion Royals, who have nudged aside the White Sox to become the symbol for outpacing expectations. That status is well-earned: over the past three seasons, the Royals have won a majors-leading 44 games more than PECOTA figured they would. Along the way, the Royals have birthed countless thinkpieces and arguments about every facet of their success: whether it's by design; whether it's sustainable; whether it's duplicable; and so on.

At the soul of it is the truth that everyone wants to be the Royals (the postseason version, at least). The transitive property, then, suggests that nobody wants to be the anti-Royals, a role filled in recent years by the Reds. No team has underperformed its PECOTA projections over the last three seasons by more games than the Reds: they won two fewer games than expected in 2013, seven fewer in 2014, and 15 fewer in 2015. Add those failures together, and the Reds have lost 24 games more than PECOTA believed they would—or six more than any other team over the same stretch:

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How the Reds have underperformed their projections more than any other team.

On Tuesday, Baseball Prospectus released PECOTA's preseason projections. In keeping with tradition, the algorithm has again seemingly undersold the champion Royals, who have nudged aside the White Sox to become the symbol for outpacing expectations. That status is well earned: Over the past three seasons, the Royals have won a majors-leading 44 games more than PECOTA figured they would. Along the way, the Royals have birthed countless thinkpieces and arguments about every facet of their success: whether it's by design; whether it's sustainable; whether it's duplicable; and so on.

Read the full article...

The Padres and Ian Desmond fit nicely together, while Bronson Arroyo has unfinished business in Cincinnati.

Padres at least keeping tabs on Ian Desmond
Ian Desmond played shortstop last year. The Padres’ projected starting shortstop is Alexi Amarista, producer of a .205 TAv in 357 plate appearances last season. Ian Desmond is available. Which also means that, despite the obviousness of the match, he’s not yet donning San Diego’s new (old) colors.


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Everything has a price, including personal shortcomings, in the game of baseball.

This piece isn’t really about domestic violence. Nor is it ultimately about Aroldis Chapman, although the erstwhile Red is one of its central characters. When the Reds traded Chapman to the Yankees for prospects and the privilege of not having to deal with his domestic violence investigation any further, it became clear that the edges of baseball’s free market were brushing up against baseball’s humanity in a way as interesting as it was alarming. So this piece is about the opportunities baseball seeks, and the prices we pay for them.

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December 29, 2015 6:00 am

Transaction Analysis: What's Chapmaning

12

R.J. Anderson, Christopher Crawford and George Bissell

The Yankees bullpen gets, for now at least, ridiculous.

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Your favorite team could trade for Mark Melancon and Todd Frazier. What a time to be alive!

Pirates would move Mark Melancon in the “right deal”
After seeing the Red Sox pay the Padres a king’s ransom for Craig Kimbrel and the Astros do the same to the Phillies for Ken Giles, teams with high-end closers to offer are doubtless intrigued by the possibility of cashing them in for a bevy of prospect talent. The Pirates boast the defending major-league saves leader, Mark Melancon, who capped off 51 Pittsburgh victories in 2015 and is entering his final season of arbitration eligibility. General manager Neal Huntington told reporters Monday that while the team is planning to keep both Melancon and top setup man Tony Watson, the former could be available to teams willing to pay through the nose.

With free agency on the horizon after the coming year, Melancon wouldn’t command the same sort of package that Kimbrel—extension through 2017 with a 2018 club option—or Giles—under team control through 2020—did, but the 30-year-old has the whole “proven closer” thing going for him, and the trade-market supply is rapidly dwindling. Two names are already off the board, and a third, Aroldis Chapman, might be untouchable for all the wrong reasons, with domestic-violence accusations casting a shadow over his character and uncertainty over his availability for part of the 2016 season.


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April 22, 2015 6:00 am

Rubbing Mud: Bryan Price's Other Sins

26

Matthew Trueblood

Rant or no rant, it hasn't been a great month for the Reds manager.

Bryan Price went rather out of his mind for a little over five minutes Monday. There’s certainly nothing good to be said about Price in this: his harangue of C. Trent Rosecrans was unprovoked and abusive, ranking somewhere just behind Hal McRae’s violent tantrum some 20 years ago in the all-time ranking of regrettable managerial behavior. Venting about an umpire or a fan base or a dirty slide is one thing; a direct, unwarranted five-minute rebuke of a fellow professional is another. Price’s apology was 10 times too soft for my taste, as was the Reds’ apparent willingness to shrug off the incident without some form of disciplinary action. Still, everyone has ugly moments, and perhaps it’s for the best that everyone appears to be moving on from this one.

Still and all, I think we should have a non-rant-based conversation about Price, who has been employed as an MLB pitching coach or manager for 15 seasons now, almost perfectly continuously. He was the Mariners’ pitching coach from 2001-06, migrated to Arizona from 2007 through early 2009 (when he resigned in support of fired manager Bob Melvin), then took over the Reds pitching staff after that season. He turned around the Reds, although one could also say that the Reds’ scouting and development teams turned around the Reds. In either case, Reds pitchers had a remarkable run from 2010-2013. Price successfully developed Mike Leake as a big-league starter without Leake spending a day in the minors. Homer Bailey made start-stop progress for a time, but eventually broke out, under Price’s tutelage. In 2012, the Reds’ top five starters (Johnny Cueto, Mat Latos, Bronson Arroyo, Bailey and Leake) made 161 of their 162 regular-season starts, and only a doubleheader cost them the other game. The team’s bullpen was one of the deepest and most dominant in the league in 2012 and 2013, despite relying somewhat heavily on cast-offs and guys who waited until their late 20s or longer to make good in the big leagues.

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April 20, 2015 6:00 am

Transaction Analysis: Rays Grant Balfour Farewell

3

R.J. Anderson

The Rays release their closer, the Dodgers pick up the Reds' scraps, and other roster moves from the weekend.

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How the Reds have converted prospect after prospect into major leaguers.

Every day until Opening Day, Baseball Prospectus authors will preview two teams—one from the AL, one from the NL—identifying strategies those teams employ to gain an advantage. Today: the external Cuban pursuit of the White Sox and internal player development machine of the Reds.

Week 1 previews: Giants | Royals | Dodgers | Rays | Padres | Astros | Rockies | Athletics | Mets | Yankees

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Tony Cingrani might finally be in the position where he's most likely to succeed, but the Reds aren't.

Tony Cingrani is headed to the bullpen for the Reds. He’s not happy about it, but that’s where he’s going. Cincinnati manager Bryan Price announced as much on Monday; Chris Mosch covered the transition in Tuesday’s Rumor Roundup. With Homer Bailey starting the season on the disabled list, there are three open spots in the Reds’ rotation, but Cingrani will no longer compete for one of them. Instead, Price will select three of Raisel Iglesias, Anthony DeSclafani, Paul Maholm and Jason Marquis to chug through opponents’ first 18 or 20 batters early in the season.

It would be too harsh to call this decision stupid or unconscionable, but it seems too little to simply call it wrong. Even if Cingrani weren’t angry about the change, the Reds would have dropped the ball. Chris gave a quick overview of the reasons for the switch—Cingrani’s extreme, fastball-heavy approach, his troublesome medical track record, and the team’s desire to plug permanent solutions into the two permanently vacant rotation spots, rather than get caught in a numbers game when Bailey returns and lose Marquis or Maholm in the process. It’s easy enough to see what the Reds are thinking here. That’s why it’s so frustrating that they missed the mark so badly and botched the decision.

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