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0 Let It Eat: Bad Breaks by Ben Carsley
0 Flu-Like Symptoms: Finding New Ways to Stink by Rob Mains
0 Circle Change: The Fate of the Unknown All-Star by Zach Crizer
1 Short Relief: Joey Votto Reacts, How to Sell Baseball, and How Baseball is Sold by Holly Wendt, James Fegan and Meg Rowley
1 Rubbing Mud: Can Amir Garrett Make This Work? by Matthew Trueblood
1 Banjo Hitter: Beyond the 90th Percentile by Aaron Gleeman
3 The Call-Up: Amir Garrett by Jeffrey Paternostro and Eric Roseberry
2 Looking Back on Tomorrow: Cincinnati Reds by Eric Roseberry
1 Short Relief: Puttin' On The Reds / Historical Unwritten Rules by Matt Sussman and Mary Craig
0 Rubbing Mud: Lift Yourself Up By Your Launch Angle by Matthew Trueblood
1 Rubbing Mud: Dan Straily's Maybe Changing Two-Seamer by Matthew Trueblood
3 Transaction Analysis: Old Second Basemen Never Die by Bryan Grosnick and Jeffrey Paternostro
3 Transaction Analysis: Bargain Bin Bullpens by Bryan Grosnick, Eric Roseberry and Jared Wyllys
24 Players Prefer Presentation: Here We Are Again by Meg Rowley
0 Transaction Analysis: Reds Cash In Straily by Bryan Grosnick and Steve Givarz
0 Transaction Analysis: Post-Christmas Shopping by Matthew Trueblood, Jared Wyllys and Brendan Gawlowski
1 What You Need to Know: The Best Bullpens Are the Ones You Don't Need by Daniel Rathman
5 Retro Transaction Analysis: Latos, Later by Bryan Grosnick
6 Prospectus Feature: Coleman/Hamilton, Pt. 1: What We're Missing Out On by Rob Mains
4 Transaction Analysis: Bruce Makes For a Crowded Metropolitan Area by Bryan Grosnick, Jeffrey Paternostro and Scooter Hotz
3 The Call-Up: Cody Reed by Kourage Kundahl and George Bissell
0 BP Bronx by Nick Ashbourne
5 Life at the Margins: Lightning Strikes Adam Duvall Twice by Rian Watt
2 Prospectus Feature: The RISP Mystery by Rob Mains
6 Team Chemistry: Diagnosing the Swing Swings by John Choiniere
11 Cold Takes: Make OBP Honest by Patrick Dubuque
12 Prospectus Feature: A Short History of Reds and Pirates Hitting One Another With Baseballs by Rob Mains
0 What You Need to Know: Raisel Iglesias' Deus Ex Machina by Demetrius Bell
4 Winter Is Leaving by R.J. Anderson
12 Fifth Column: Killing God and Willard Hershberger by Michael Baumann
3 Painting the Black: PECOTA and Seeing Red(s) by R.J. Anderson
0 Painting the Black: The Cincinnati Reds Are the Anti-Royals by R.J. Anderson
6 Rumor Roundup: The Slow Burn Of Ian Desmond's Free Agency by Daniel Rathman
18 Players Prefer Presentation: On Aroldis Chapman, Opportunity and Cost by Meg Rowley
12 Transaction Analysis: What's Chapmaning by R.J. Anderson, Christopher Crawford and George Bissell
2 Rumor Roundup: Rumors About Melancon Aboil by Daniel Rathman
26 Rubbing Mud: Bryan Price's Other Sins by Matthew Trueblood
3 Transaction Analysis: Rays Grant Balfour Farewell by R.J. Anderson
2 Every Team's Moneyball: Cincinnati Reds: Go Your Own Way, Young Man by Brendan Gawlowski
16 Rubbing Mud: The Reds Chose the Wrong Time to Move Cingrani by Matthew Trueblood
4 Rumor Roundup: Tony Cingrani Won't Start, to Start by Chris Mosch
0 Transaction Analysis: Texas' New Platoon by R.J. Anderson
0 Rumor Roundup: Dayan Viciedo's Home Runs Are the Least Wanted Home Runs by Daniel Rathman
8 Daisy Cutter: Welcome Back, Votto by Sahadev Sharma
2 Transaction Analysis: Reds' Mes Around by R.J. Anderson
6 Transaction Analysis: The Byrd Has Landed by R.J. Anderson and Ben Carsley
10 Transaction Analysis: The Pitchers the Reds Shed by R.J. Anderson, Zachary Levine and Jordan Gorosh
5 Fantasy Team Preview: Cincinnati Reds by Bret Sayre
26 2015 Prospects: Cincinnati Reds Top 10 Prospects by Nick J. Faleris and BP Prospect Staff
1 Pebble Hunting: Cueto's Quirks by Sam Miller
Greg Holland chooses Colorado for his comeback, Jerry Blevins and Fernando Salas stay in New York, Scott Feldman looks to eat innings in Cincinnati, and Boone Logan needs context. Hal Steinbrenner asked a question without really wanting to know the answer.
I made a mistake: I thought about this from the player’s perspective. I thought about the player. Or perhaps, I thought about it as mostly mattering with respect to individual players, as mostly serving to modify their behavior. On Thursday,
Hal Steinbrenner reminded me of my error.
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January 22, 2017 12:02 am
Miami further empties out a weak farm system to get Dan Straily from Cincinnati.
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January 6, 2017 6:00 am
Drew Storen, Ben Revere, Peter O'Brien find new homes while Rajai Davis and Alex Avila return to old stomping grounds.
September 20, 2016 6:00 am
The Reds' relievers set a record, the Giants' blow another late lead, and two starters elsewhere don't let their teammates get anywhere near the mound.
The Monday Takeaway
The Reds came into their series opener against the Cubs having allowed 239 home runs on the season, two shy of the dubious major-league record held by the 1996 Tigers. To avoid breaking it, the team that had surrendered 1.6 long balls per game would need to keep the opposition to two, total, over the next 13.
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September 8, 2016 6:00 am
The wonderfully difficult-to-litigate Mat Latos trade, still wonderfully difficult to litigate five years later. Modern baseball is smarter, which isn't always as fun.
At this year’s Saberseminar, I was out for dinner and one of the people in our group asked what contemporary player we think we could tell our grandchildren, “I saw him play.”
was a gimme, but we had a hard time coming up with someone else. My thought was that Mike Trout would be such a player, but he was born about 30 years too late. Billy Hamilton
I know, Billy Hamilton is not a great player. He’s having his best season, and his career on-base percentage is still below .300. And it’s not like he compensates with power: Of the 172 players with 1,200 or more plate appearances from 2014-2016, his .088
ranks 164 ISO th. He does play a good center field, but he’s got a .236 career . That’s a lot of bad bat to carry with a glove. TAv
But he can run. Man, can he run. Through games of August 16, when he was sidelined by a knee contusion, he has 29 stolen bases.
Since the All-Star break. The only players, other than Hamilton, with that more swipes all year to that point were , Jonathan Villar , and Starling Marte . And that doesn’t include plays like this: Rajai Davis
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The Mets get a power hitter, but might just be adding to the glut at a few well-covered positions. The last piece of the Cueto deal to make the bigs might end up being the real prize.
When The Situation: pitching every five days is Plan A, virtually any other pitcher is an upgrade. Simon lost his rotation spot, Alfredo Simon stepped in and now the Reds will summon Reed to pitch Saturday after the latter was optioned to Triple-A Louisville. Reed had to play the waiting game to avoid reaching Super Two status and should be in Cincinnati for the long haul now that the deadline has passed. Daniel Wright
Drafted out of Northwest Mississippi Community College with the Royals’ second-round pick in 2013, Reed stalled in his first two pro seasons as he fought his command. But after finding a more repeatable delivery, he was able to reverse his control issues and pound the strike zone. The Reds flipped Background: for Reed, Johnny Cueto and Brandon Finnegan at the trade deadline last summer; coincidentally, all three will start for Cincinnati against Houston this weekend. Reed put up gaudy numbers in the Southern League, capping a breakout season with a career-best 10.87 K/9 in eight starts for Double-A Pensacola. He kept a similarly impressive pace in five spring training games, joining the Louisville rotation after the Reds’ last round of cuts and averaging just under a strikeout per inning. John Lamb Read the full article...
The unhittable one has cut his walk rate in half this year. Can baseball handle a leap forward from a reliever this dominant? Last chance to find out about Adam Duvall.
reads rather as you’d expect it to, at least to begin with. The list of position-player WARP leaders for 2016 , Mike Trout , Manny Machado , Paul Goldschmidt , Kris Bryant and Buster Posey are all in the top 10. The four men who join them there— Nolan Arenado , Francisco Lindor , Jose Altuve , and Xander Bogaerts —aren’t precisely guys about whom you’d say, going into the season, that they were stone cold locks to be top 10 players, but on the other hand it’s also not exactly stunning that they’re there. Four players from their category of players had to be in the top 10, and they happened to be those particular guys. Hitters 11-14 are unsurprising, too. And then you get to 15. And there you find this name: Ben Zobrist
Read the full article... When runners are in scoring position, home runs go down, while everything else--including doubles and triples--goes up. Why?
this article, I looked for evidence that some hitters perform better with runners in scoring position (RISP) than in other situations. (I didn’t find much.) To help me define perform, I calculated run expectancies with RISP and discovered that of common batting metrics (batting average, on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and ), slugging percentage correlates best to driving in runs. So I looked for hitters who slugged higher with RISP than in other plate appearances. OPS
A couple commenters suggested that this is a low bar. After all, they reasoned, hitters
should have a higher slugging percentage with RISP than without, for a number of reasons:
· Pitchers have to pitch from the stretch (though the perception that pitchers give up velocity by pitching from the stretch
doesn’t appear to be true)
· Infielders must position themselves to hold runners on, opening up lanes for basehits that wouldn’t exist with the bases empty
· Similarly, with fewer than two outs and a runner on third, infielders may move up to prevent a run, creating additional opportunities for singles
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