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Articles Tagged Chicago Cubs 

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09-21

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3

Baseball Therapy: Confessions of a Fake Manager: May
by
Russell A. Carleton

09-19

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4

Baseball Therapy: Confessions of a Fake Manager: April
by
Russell A. Carleton

09-13

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4

Baseball Therapy: Confessions of a Fake Manager: The Set Up
by
Russell A. Carleton

09-12

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1

Rubbing Mud: Carl Edwards Jr.'s Filthy Fast Thing
by
Matthew Trueblood

09-06

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0

Rubbing Mud: Kris Bryant's Funhouse Mirror Encore
by
Matthew Trueblood

09-05

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0

Transaction Analysis: Buy Low, Buy Lower
by
Ben Diamond

08-21

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3

Transaction Analysis: Grand Exit
by
Matthew Trueblood, Bryan Grosnick and Scott Orgera

08-01

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0

Transaction Analysis: Avila Trades Avila (and Wilson)
by
Zack Moser, Eric Roseberry and Emmett Rosenbaum

07-14

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0

DFA Podcast: Ep. 16: Our First Big Move
by
Bryan Grosnick, Zach Crizer and Shawn Brody

07-13

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9

Transaction Analysis: Chicago Blockbuster
by
Bryan Grosnick, Jeffrey Paternostro, Greg Goldstein and George Bissell

07-07

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6

Rubbing Mud: So You're Dead Set on Fixing the Cubs
by
Matthew Trueblood

07-05

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4

Rubbing Mud: Sprinting Schwarber
by
Matthew Trueblood

07-01

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0

DFA Podcast: Ep. 15: R.J. Wants To Hunt Ghosts With Jon Gray
by
Bryan Grosnick, R.J. Anderson and Shawn Brody

06-28

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1

Short Relief: Curses of Confidence, Aging, and Sosa
by
Zack Moser, Matt Ellis and Jason Wojciechowski

06-14

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3

Circle Change: Swing Away, My Large Adult Son
by
Zach Crizer

06-12

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6

Flu-Like Symptoms: Jon Lester, Elite Running Game Suppressor
by
Rob Mains

06-01

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3

Let It Eat: The June 2017 Panic Index
by
Ben Carsley

05-24

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0

Rubbing Mud: Jake Arrieta's Broken Breaking Balls
by
Matthew Trueblood

05-22

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2

Transaction Analysis: Have Gloves, Will Travel
by
Bryan Grosnick

05-16

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0

DFA Podcast: Ep. 6: One Up, One Down
by
Bryan Grosnick, R.J. Anderson and Shawn Brody

04-04

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1

Rubbing Mud: The Cubs' Pitching and Its Skeptics
by
Matthew Trueblood

03-27

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3

Flu-Like Symptoms: Extreme Makeover: National League Edition
by
Rob Mains

03-23

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2

Guarding The Lines: When It's Different But Still Great
by
Jarrett Seidler

03-15

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4

Short Relief: Tales of Cubs Fans, Extroverts, and 1987 Topps
by
Nathan Bishop, Jason Wojciechowski and Patrick Dubuque

03-14

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3

Looking Back on Tomorrow: Chicago Cubs
by
Jared Wyllys

03-08

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0

Banjo Hitter: The Lost Outfielders
by
Aaron Gleeman

03-03

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1

Transaction Analysis: Major Minors
by
Jared Wyllys and Aaron Gleeman

02-24

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6

Banjo Hitter: PECOTA's Breakout Bets: Pitchers
by
Aaron Gleeman

02-13

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3

Transaction Analysis: Old Second Basemen Never Die
by
Bryan Grosnick and Jeffrey Paternostro

02-06

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3

Transaction Analysis: Bargain Bin Bullpens
by
Bryan Grosnick, Eric Roseberry and Jared Wyllys

02-03

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24

Players Prefer Presentation: Here We Are Again
by
Meg Rowley

02-02

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0

Rubbing Mud: Command, Framing, and Teamwork
by
Matthew Trueblood

01-28

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2

Transaction Analysis: Windy City Depth
by
Jared Wyllys

01-26

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5

Prospectus Feature: Unlocking Kyle Hendricks
by
Jeff Long, Jonathan Judge and Harry Pavlidis

01-06

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6

Two-Strike Approach: Soler Power
by
Cat Garcia

01-06

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4

Rubbing Mud: The Final Sunshine Season for Wrigley Field's Bullpens
by
Matthew Trueblood

12-10

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10

Transaction Analysis: Daddy Long Legs Hops From Chicago to St. Louis
by
Matthew Trueblood

12-09

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3

Transaction Analysis: Chicago's New 1-2 Punch
by
Jared Wyllys

11-24

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2

Transaction Analysis: Lefty, Lefty, Lefty
by
Matthew Trueblood

11-14

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10

Prospectus Feature: The Cy Young and the Unfair Advantage of Defense
by
Jonathan Judge

11-14

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6

Rubbing Mud: Steve Goodman and the History of 'Go Cubs Go'
by
Matthew Trueblood

11-04

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15

Release Points: How Francona Outmaneuvered Maddon and the Cubs ... Almost
by
Dan Rozenson

11-03

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15

Playoff Prospectus: Assessing the Managers' Moves in Game 7
by
Matthew Trueblood

11-03

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6

Playoff Prospectus: The Highlight Reel: World Series Game 7
by
Ashley Varela

11-03

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14

Playoff Prospectus: After 108 Years, Cubs Win the Marathon and the Sprint
by
Aaron Gleeman

11-02

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1

Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and World Series Game 7 Preview
by
Bryan Grosnick

11-02

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0

Playoff Prospectus: Who Wore It Best?
by
Trevor Strunk

11-02

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8

Playoff Prospectus: Assessing the Managers' Moves in Game 6
by
Jarrett Seidler

11-02

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0

Playoff Prospectus: The Highlight Reel: World Series Game 6
by
Mauricio Rubio

11-01

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1

Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and World Series Game 6 Preview
by
Aaron Gleeman

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Can they do it again?

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There's a lot riding on comebacks by Michael Brantley, Kyle Schwarber, and A.J. Pollock.

Michael Brantley was one of baseball’s best all-around outfielders in 2014 and 2015, hitting a combined .319/.382/.494 with 35 homers, an MLB-high 90 doubles, 38 steals, and more walks (112) than strikeouts (107) in 293 games. He easily led Indians position players in WARP during that two-year span and placed third in the AL MVP voting in 2014. And then he missed nearly the entire 2016 season following offseason shoulder surgery, appearing in just 11 games and seeing zero action after mid-May.

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Pedro Strop signs an extension with the Cubs and minor-league deals galore for Mat Latos, Gordon Beckham, and Yusmeiro Petit.

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Which young pitchers does PECOTA see as having breakout potential in 2017?

“Breakout” can mean different things to different people. It can mean a prospect or untested young big leaguer establishing himself as a valuable regular. It can mean a relative unknown becoming an impact player. It can mean a well-known star making the leap to full-blown superstar, perhaps even following up a “breakout” one year with an even bigger “breakout” the next. Your own definition may vary, but in PECOTA’s case “breakout” is all about out-performing track records.

PECOTA assigns each player a “breakout rate” for the upcoming season based on their odds of beating their established level of recent performance by at least 20 percent, with historical player comps serving as an important factor. Because the entire system is based on regressed-to-the-mean, 50th percentile projections, breakout rate identifies the players most likely to leave that in the dust for their 70th, 80th, and 90th percentile upsides.

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February 13, 2017 6:00 am

Transaction Analysis: Old Second Basemen Never Die

3

Bryan Grosnick and Jeffrey Paternostro

Brandon Phillips finally accepts a trade, Chase Utley returns to the Dodgers on the cheap, and the Cubs and Royals make a minor swap.

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Greg Holland chooses Colorado for his comeback, Jerry Blevins and Fernando Salas stay in New York, Scott Feldman looks to eat innings in Cincinnati, and Boone Logan needs context.

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Hal Steinbrenner asked a question without really wanting to know the answer.

I made a mistake: I thought about this from the player’s perspective. I thought about the player. Or perhaps, I thought about it as mostly mattering with respect to individual players, as mostly serving to modify their behavior. On Thursday, Hal Steinbrenner reminded me of my error.

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Jon Lester should be just fine without David Ross and the rest of baseball can learn something from the Cubs' catching plan.

For the past three or four years, one of the things we have known about baseball—just known, without question or reservation—is that David Ross was a vital part of Jon Lester’s success. Recall that Ross (who, we all knew, was an elite pitch framer) stepped in as the Red Sox’s primary catcher when Jarrod Saltalamacchia (in addition to being a terrible defender) got exposed by good pitching during Boston’s 2013 World Series run, and then became Lester’s personal catcher beginning in the spring of 2014.

Lester had a 2.02 ERA and held opponents to a .581 OPS when working with Ross that season, before being traded away from his new partner at the trade deadline. He still pitched well for the A’s, who paired him up with Derek Norris, but his opponents' OPS rose by about 50 points, and then the 2014 Wild Card Game happened.

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After missing out on Tyson Ross, the Cubs add another oft-injured starter.

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Kyle Hendricks might be a lot closer to Greg Maddux than he thinks.

One of the challenges of bringing BP's new pitching data to light is figuring out whether it’s useful and how we can leverage it to better understand what is happening on the field. As mentioned previously, we look at this in much the same way we look at pitch movement or velocity; we need to figure out how these tunnels data points interact with other components of a player’s performance to unlock a deeper understanding of what is happening.

Cubs right-hander Kyle Hendricks is a perfect subject to start with. As we mentioned in "Two Ways to Tunnel," Hendricks has some of the smallest pitch tunnels in all of baseball. Hendricks is often compared to Greg Maddux (including by us!), and we can see how he is in fact like Maddux in certain respects. It gives us an idea of how he’s successful, but only an abstract one. That is, we rationalize Hendricks’ success because we’ve seen Maddux do it before, but we don’t really know how all of the moving pieces come together.

In order to better understand how Hendricks is successful, we’ll have to dig into some of our new data to see what that can tell us about how he pitches.

Hendricks has steadily learned how to strike out opposing batters, increasing his K% by 55 percent from 2014 to 2015 and 2016, and it’s clear the effect that has had on his game. In fact, Hendricks’ new-found ability to strike batters out has resulted in him becoming one of the best pitchers in baseball as he has posted a sub-3.50 DRA over each of the past two seasons despite getting dinged for pitching (and winning an ERA title) in front of an elite defense.

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January 6, 2017 6:00 am

Two-Strike Approach: Soler Power

6

Cat Garcia

Kansas City needs power and Jorge Soler needs playing time, so it's a perfect match.

The truth about Jorge Soler’s future with the Cubs was written on the proverbial wall in 2016. Chicago was so rich in talent and such a strong winning machine that Soler struggled to stand out, but a 24-year-old hitting .238/.333/.436 shouldn't be collecting dust on the bench.

Soler would have been a perfectly adequate starter on most other teams and his offseason trade to the Royals in exchange for star reliever Wade Davis makes sense for both sides. The Royals essentially gave up one year of a great closer in exchange for a long-term offensive talent with the potential to be their most prolific power hitter. Even if Soler fails to reach the top of his high ceiling, he should be an asset in Kansas City right away.

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Wrigley Field's ongoing overhaul means no more on-field bullpens and the stories that came with them.

The Cubs’ on-field rebuild is complete, and they could be in for an almost unprecedented period of roster stability (within the modern era of player development and movement). For the next five years it’s a pretty good bet that when you go to Wrigley Field you’ll find Willson Contreras behind the plate, Kris Bryant, Addison Russell, Javier Baez, and Anthony Rizzo around the infield, and Kyle Schwarber, Albert Almora, and Jason Heyward spanning the outfield.

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