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Articles Tagged Chicago Cubs 

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05-03

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7

Baseball Therapy: The Pretty Good Case That the Shift Doesn't Work
by
Russell A. Carleton

05-03

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0

Rubbing Mud: Stop What You're Doing And Consider The Cubs' Incredible Defense
by
Matthew Trueblood

05-02

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6

Prospectus Feature: I Come to Praise Quality Starts, Not to Bury Them
by
Rob Mains

04-28

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8

Prospectus Feature: Your Favorite Prospect Did Not Take Place
by
Trevor Strunk

04-28

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0

BP Wrigleyville
by
Leigh Coridan

04-25

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2

Life at the Margins: The Best Pitcher Right Now
by
Rian Watt

04-22

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1

What You Need to Know: Arrieta's Masterpiece, Kershaw's Accident
by
Nicolas Stellini

04-22

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4

Fifth Column: Chasing 19 (or 20, or 21) Strikeouts
by
Michael Baumann

04-22

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0

BP Wrigleyville
by
Rian Watt

04-20

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0

BP Wrigleyville
by
Cat Garcia

04-20

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21

Life at the Margins: Why St. Louisians Pursed Their Lips And Yelled Boooooo
by
Rian Watt

04-18

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3

What You Need to Know: Psst: Jake Arrieta Has A 0.91 ERA Over His Past 169 Innings
by
Ashley Varela

04-18

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4

Life at the Margins: Gotta Get 'em Early?
by
Rian Watt

04-11

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6

Fifth Column: The Week In Pain
by
Michael Baumann

04-08

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2

What You Need to Know: The One Unambiguous Evil In This World Is Kyle Schwarber Going Down In A Heap
by
Nicolas Stellini

04-06

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0

BP Wrigleyville
by
Rian Watt

04-04

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27

Prospectus Feature: Pre-Season Staff Predictions
by
BP Staff

04-01

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0

BP Unfiltered: Mental Skills on the North Side: Seven Perspectives
by
Rian Watt

04-01

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10

Prospectus Feature: Are Teams Under-Gaming The Draft?
by
Grant Jones

03-31

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0

BP Wrigleyville
by
Henry Druschel

03-28

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7

Life at the Margins: A Cubs Championship, Probably
by
Rian Watt

03-25

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7

Winter Is Coming
by
Brendan Gawlowski

03-23

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10

Winter Is Leaving
by
Rian Watt

03-09

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2

Rumor Roundup: Sorry, Missed Jackson
by
Daniel Rathman

02-26

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36

Prospectus Feature: The Status QO
by
Craig Goldstein

02-24

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10

Transaction Analysis: Fowler Comes in Under Budget
by
Matthew Trueblood

02-23

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2

Transaction Analysis: The Chicago Changes
by
Matthew Trueblood and Bryan Grosnick

02-23

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13

Baseball Therapy: Is There a Times Through The Order Penalty?
by
Russell A. Carleton

02-11

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1

Rubbing Mud: Three Evolving Hitters
by
Matthew Trueblood

02-08

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6

Life at the Margins: You've Got Males
by
Rian Watt

02-03

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6

Life at the Margins: The Case Against Hiring A Smart Person
by
Rian Watt

01-15

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0

Limited Range Podcast: Episode 34: Good Bye?
by
Sahadev Sharma

01-11

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1

Limited Range Podcast: Episode 33: We Are a Podcast
by
Sahadev Sharma

01-07

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6

Rubbing Mud: Cubs Do It Differently
by
Matthew Trueblood

12-30

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1

Limited Range Podcast: Episode 32: Have a Merry New Year
by
Sahadev Sharma

12-30

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1

Best of BP 2015: Winning By Design
by
Jeff Quinton

12-28

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11

Tools of Ignorance: Behavioral Economics and the Rise of the Player Opt-Out
by
Jeff Quinton

12-16

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0

Limited Range Podcast: Episode 31: Costanza
by
Sahadev Sharma

12-11

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18

Transaction Analysis: No Laughing Matter
by
Sahadev Sharma

12-11

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0

Limited Range Podcast: Episode 30: HEYWARD!!
by
Sahadev Sharma

12-09

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2

Transaction Analysis: Cubs Implement Flextime
by
Jeff Quinton, Sahadev Sharma and J.P. Breen

12-07

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1

Transaction Analysis: Make That Three Areas of Weakness
by
Sahadev Sharma and George Bissell

11-30

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0

Limited Range Podcast: Episode 29: I Think I Found Your Porn Name
by
Sahadev Sharma

11-24

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0

BP Wrigleyville
by
Isaac Bennett

11-13

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1

Limited Range Podcast: Episode 28: I Don't Have a Thing
by
Sahadev Sharma

11-12

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5

Winning By Design
by
Jeff Quinton

11-11

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1

Winning By Design
by
Jeff Quinton

11-10

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5

Winning By Design
by
Jeff Quinton

11-09

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0

Rumor Roundup: Wait 'Til Next Year
by
Daniel Rathman

11-04

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0

Limited Range Podcast: Episode 27: Kick-cast
by
Sahadev Sharma

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How the old adage is probably wrong, and how a pitcher's reputation might make his manager do bad things.

There’s an adage—well, at least I think there’s an adage, and if there’s not I’m going to straw man the heck out of it anyway, because it set me down an interesting path—that if you’re going to “get” an opposing team’s ace, you’ve got to get ‘em early or not at all. The logic, I imagine, goes something like this: aces have great stuff, so if you allow them to settle in without scoring against them, you’re not going to be able to score at all later. Which, like the logic behind so many adages, sounds perfectly reasonable until you subject it to data.

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Six months of waiting end in almost immediate disappointment for two players.

Talk to enough diehard baseball fans and you’ll find people who find comfort in the length of the baseball season. Baseball will never really feel like an event because it isn’t one—it’s mundane, quotidian. Football is a vacation. Football happens once a week on national TV—you block out your day to watch football. Baseball happens six times a week, times 30 teams if you’re an MLB.tv addict. You don’t block out your day to watch baseball, but baseball’s on the radio while you’re driving home from work or doing the dishes. It’s on the TV when you’re at the bar with your friends. It’s humming in the background while you fall asleep on the sofa on Sunday afternoon.

Baseball is always there when you need it because baseball is always there.

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The Cubs hold their breath to see how Kyle Schwarber is, while Al Pujols adds a walk-off to his career and the Phillies' bullpen has already blown two late, and it's still early.

The Thursday Takeaway
Last night’s game between the Cubs and Diamondbacks can be described in many ways. It was a slugfest; a night in which neither starter (John Lackey and Rubby De La Rosa) had excellent stuff by any stretch of the imagination. Lackey was wild and missing his spots. De La Rosa was De La Rosa.


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April 6, 2016 3:07 pm

BP Wrigleyville

0

Rian Watt

Jake Arrieta has a good changeup. What this post presupposes is: What if he has two?

Paste post text here

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The BP writing and editing staff predict the stars and champs of the 2016 season.

In seven months, we will know everything that happened in the 2016 season. If you're too impatient to wait, we'll tell you right now what we think will happen. Here are Baseball Prospectus' staff predictions, considered by many to be the gold standard in Baseball Prospectus staff predictions.

Individual awards votes are assigned on a 5-3-1 basis—five points for first place, one point for third. Below the vote totals are each of our 38 individual ballots. Otherwise, little in the way of introduction or caveat is needed. The unpredictability of baseball precedes us.

American League Standings

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A roundup of articles on mental skills, produced by the BP Wrigleyville staff.

We spend a lot of time—here at Baseball Prospectus, and elsewhere in the sabermetric universe—focusing on the elements of player performance that we see take place between white lines and on green grass. Those things are (relatively) simple and easy to understand. We can add them, subtract them, divide and multiply them. They make sense. We spend relatively little time focusing on what goes on inside players’ heads. At BP Wrigleyville this offseason, we’ve tried to change that, writing a series of pieces about the myriad ways in which the Cubs are weaving a deep appreciation for mental skills into the fabric of the franchise.

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There's a plausible case for a team doing to the draft what some teams have done to the international market. Here's what it might look like.

With 97 wins, an NLCS appearance, and the successful graduation of several key young players, the Chicago Cubs were one of baseball’s most successful teams last year. Off the field, they had a successful international signing period, as well, inking Cuban star Eddy Julio Martinez, and various other international prospects. The signings of these players came at great cost—the Cubs were taxed at a 100 percent rate on every dollar they went over their spending pool; they lost the rights to sign any international prospects for more than $300,000 in the 2016-17 and 2017-18 signing periods—but the Cubs, as a few other teams have done in recent years, found the gain in talent to be worth the penalties.

The Cubs also had, by all accounts, a successful 2015 draft. While I would tend to agree, I also believe that they missed an opportunity. They were the perfect team to do what no team has done since the 2011 Collective Bargaining Agreement was put in place: blow past their allotted bonus pool. While a number of teams have shown the propensity to spend way beyond their pools in the international sphere, no team has gone past the 5 percent overage in the Rule 4 daft that would result in the first of three possible penalties—let alone blow past the 15 percent overage that sets off full penalties. (Penalties are as follows: the loss of a first-rounder the following year for 5 percent to 9.99 percent overage; loss of a first- and second-rounder for the following year for 10 percent-14.99 percent; and the loss of your next two first-rounders for spending more than 15 percent over your draft allotment.)

During last fall semester, in anticipation of job interviews at the Winter Meetings, I looked into the merits and costs of a team doing to the Rule 4 draft pools what the Cubs, Yankees, Rays, et al have done to the international signing pools. This analysis rests on a number of assumptions—about the value of a certain subset of unsigned draftees, about the costs in dollars to sign them, about the consequences of such a decision, and most especially about the signability of such players—that might, as with any battle plan, wilt upon contact with the enemy. But within the parameters of these assumptions, I concluded there is an opportunity for an aggressive team to add a massive influx of high-end talent into its farm system, an influx that could, thanks to other recent draft rule changes, help a team in the short term as much as the long. And, with the collective bargaining agreement reopened for negotiations, this June might be the last chance to try it.

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March 31, 2016 6:00 am

BP Wrigleyville

0

Henry Druschel

The latest installment in a never-ending series: Why are projections so sour on the Cubs' bullpen?

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Where the Cubs' rosy World Series odds fit in their history of World Series odds.

The Cubs currently have a 12.3 percent chance to win the World Series in 2016. That’s according to BP’s own playoff odds report (POR), which runs one million simulations of the season-to-come, and reports the percentage of those simulations in which a certain outcome (in this case, the Cubs winning the World Series) occurs.

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March 25, 2016 6:00 am

Winter Is Coming

7

Brendan Gawlowski

No, really: This may be a transitional year.

On their march to the 2013 Bundesliga title, Bayern Munich triggered an out clause in Mario Götze’s contract, effectively poaching rival Borussia Dortmund’s best playmaking midfielder. Less than a year later, Munich again raided Dortmund’s cupboard, this time leaving with BVB’s top striker, Robert Lewandowski. Götze and Lewandowski are two of the top players in the world, but despite their talent, the moves were motivated less by Munich’s need to augment its already star-studded team than by the club’s pragmatic desire to cripple its only challenger to the Bundesliga crown.

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March 23, 2016 6:00 am

Winter Is Leaving

10

Rian Watt

No, really: "Batdance" went to no. 1

You know the Cubs are young. I mean, everybody has spent all offseason telling you that. But do you fully appreciate just how young they are? I don’t think you do. I don’t think you’ve spent enough time considering just how recently these young men came into this ever-turning world. This piece will change all of that, and it’ll also introduce a bold new projection system into a world sorely lacking more duplicative effort.

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You can plan a pretty picnic but you can't predict Almonte. Meanwhile, the Cubs have balked at a long extension for Jake Arrieta, and Tim Lincecum's unemployment shows why.

Austin Jackson chose White Sox for opportunity to play center field
When Austin Jackson put pen to paper last week, the headline on the website of the Cleveland Plain Dealer read, “Austin Jackson signs with an AL Central team in need of outfield help.” The Indians were a natural fit for Jackson, even before Abraham Almonte was slapped with an 80-game suspension. Almonte’s half-season ban seemed likely to add urgency to their pursuit of the former Tigers outfielder, perhaps enough for general manager Mike Chernoff to overcome his budgetary constraints.

Alas, it wasn’t in the cards. The AL Central team that now employs Jackson is not the Tribe but the White Sox, who inked him to a one-year, $5 million contract. And the runner-up in the race to sign the 29-year-old wasn’t Cleveland, but Anaheim, according to MLB Network’s Jon Heyman.


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