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Articles Tagged Chicago Cubs 

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04-04

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1

Rubbing Mud: The Cubs' Pitching and Its Skeptics
by
Matthew Trueblood

03-27

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3

Flu-Like Symptoms: Extreme Makeover: National League Edition
by
Rob Mains

03-23

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2

Guarding The Lines: When It's Different But Still Great
by
Jarrett Seidler

03-15

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4

Short Relief: Tales of Cubs Fans, Extroverts, and 1987 Topps
by
Nathan Bishop, Jason Wojciechowski and Patrick Dubuque

03-14

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3

Looking Back on Tomorrow: Chicago Cubs
by
Jared Wyllys

03-08

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0

Banjo Hitter: The Lost Outfielders
by
Aaron Gleeman

03-03

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1

Transaction Analysis: Major Minors
by
Jared Wyllys and Aaron Gleeman

02-24

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6

Banjo Hitter: PECOTA's Breakout Bets: Pitchers
by
Aaron Gleeman

02-13

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3

Transaction Analysis: Old Second Basemen Never Die
by
Bryan Grosnick and Jeffrey Paternostro

02-06

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3

Transaction Analysis: Bargain Bin Bullpens
by
Bryan Grosnick, Eric Roseberry and Jared Wyllys

02-03

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24

Players Prefer Presentation: Here We Are Again
by
Meg Rowley

02-02

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Rubbing Mud: Command, Framing, and Teamwork
by
Matthew Trueblood

01-28

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2

Transaction Analysis: Windy City Depth
by
Jared Wyllys

01-26

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5

Prospectus Feature: Unlocking Kyle Hendricks
by
Jeff Long, Jonathan Judge and Harry Pavlidis

01-06

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6

Two-Strike Approach: Soler Power
by
Cat Garcia

01-06

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4

Rubbing Mud: The Final Sunshine Season for Wrigley Field's Bullpens
by
Matthew Trueblood

12-10

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10

Transaction Analysis: Daddy Long Legs Hops From Chicago to St. Louis
by
Matthew Trueblood

12-09

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3

Transaction Analysis: Chicago's New 1-2 Punch
by
Jared Wyllys

11-24

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2

Transaction Analysis: Lefty, Lefty, Lefty
by
Matthew Trueblood

11-14

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10

Prospectus Feature: The Cy Young and the Unfair Advantage of Defense
by
Jonathan Judge

11-14

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6

Rubbing Mud: Steve Goodman and the History of 'Go Cubs Go'
by
Matthew Trueblood

11-04

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15

Release Points: How Francona Outmaneuvered Maddon and the Cubs ... Almost
by
Dan Rozenson

11-03

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15

Playoff Prospectus: Assessing the Managers' Moves in Game 7
by
Matthew Trueblood

11-03

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6

Playoff Prospectus: The Highlight Reel: World Series Game 7
by
Ashley Varela

11-03

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14

Playoff Prospectus: After 108 Years, Cubs Win the Marathon and the Sprint
by
Aaron Gleeman

11-02

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1

Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and World Series Game 7 Preview
by
Bryan Grosnick

11-02

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0

Playoff Prospectus: Who Wore It Best?
by
Trevor Strunk

11-02

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8

Playoff Prospectus: Assessing the Managers' Moves in Game 6
by
Jarrett Seidler

11-02

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0

Playoff Prospectus: The Highlight Reel: World Series Game 6
by
Mauricio Rubio

11-01

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1

Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and World Series Game 6 Preview
by
Aaron Gleeman

10-31

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0

Playoff Prospectus: The Highlight Reel: World Series Game 5
by
Demetrius Bell

10-31

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5

Playoff Prospectus: Assessing the Managers' Moves in Game 5
by
Matthew Trueblood

10-31

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5

Playoff Prospectus: Spider-Man Heyward
by
Meg Rowley

10-30

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0

Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and World Series Game 5 Preview
by
Aaron Gleeman

10-30

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0

Playoff Prospectus: The Highlight Reel: World Series Game 4
by
Ashley Varela

10-30

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0

Playoff Prospectus: Of Errors, Common and Uncommon
by
Rian Watt

10-30

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1

Playoff Prospectus: Wrigley Goes Silent as Indians See the Finish Line
by
Aaron Gleeman

10-29

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Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and World Series Game 4 Preview
by
Scooter Hotz

10-29

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0

Playoff Prospectus: Assessing the Managers' Moves in Game 3
by
Rian Watt

10-29

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0

Playoff Prospectus: Who Says You Can't Go Home?
by
Jarrett Seidler

10-29

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0

Playoff Prospectus: The Highlight Reel: World Series Game 3
by
Mauricio Rubio

10-28

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3

Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and World Series Game 3 Preview
by
Aaron Gleeman

10-27

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2

Playoff Prospectus: Cleveland Clunker
by
Meg Rowley

10-26

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0

Playoff Prospectus: The Kluber Clinic
by
Trevor Strunk

10-26

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0

Playoff Prospectus: The Highlight Reel: World Series Game 1
by
Ashley Varela

10-26

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4

Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and World Series Game 2 Preview
by
Mike Gianella

10-26

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3

Playoff Prospectus: Assessing the Managers' Moves in Game 1
by
Matthew Trueblood

10-25

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2

Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and World Series Game 1 Preview
by
Bryan Grosnick

10-25

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9

Playoff Prospectus: World Series Preview: Cubs vs. Indians
by
Aaron Gleeman

10-25

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8

Rubbing Mud: What We Really Know About Lester's Yips
by
Matthew Trueblood

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April 4, 2017 6:00 am

Rubbing Mud: The Cubs' Pitching and Its Skeptics

1

Matthew Trueblood

Earl Weaver would have a lot of faith in these Cubs.

As the new season dawns, the baseball punditry finds itself a bit in a panic. The demand for baseball content keeps ramping up, but there’s very little groundbreaking analysis for any of the industry’s too-many talking heads to offer up. Rare are the seasons that leave this small a margin for reasonable disagreement. Of the six divisions, there is an overwhelming favorite to win three, and a clear (though not consensus) choice in two more.

The Wild Card system creates more uncertainty, but not necessarily more suspense or more intrigue. We’re starving for a juicy debate, and after waiting all offseason for real games to begin we’re starting to see some people invent one. So let me answer the question I suddenly hear people (to name a few, and these are some of my very favorite baseball minds, but they’re just missing this one: Joe Sheehan, Bernie Miklasz, Doug Thorburn, and Buster Olney) asking way too often.

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March 27, 2017 6:00 am

Flu-Like Symptoms: Extreme Makeover: National League Edition

3

Rob Mains

You can't tell the players without a scorecard.

Every season necessarily brings with it change. Players become old and ineffective and are replaced by promising rookies. The injured get healthy and the healthy get injured. Some players exit via trade, waiver, and release, and some arrive by the same routes. Turnover is inevitable.

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March 23, 2017 6:00 am

Guarding The Lines: When It's Different But Still Great

2

Jarrett Seidler

Javier Baez is as good as we thought he might be, just...completely differently.

Great players comes in all shapes, with all kinds of skills, and so do great prospects. Yet there’s some great players or even good players that were great prospects that projected to hold totally different skills than the ones they ultimately ended up with. What happens when you successfully project how good a prospect will become as a major-league player, but totally miss on what kind of player he will become?

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Nathan explores the psyche of a young Cubs fan-to-be, Jason drafts Trevor May and discovers alienation, and the gang votes on their favorite Topps cards of the 80s.

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Can they do it again?

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There's a lot riding on comebacks by Michael Brantley, Kyle Schwarber, and A.J. Pollock.

Michael Brantley was one of baseball’s best all-around outfielders in 2014 and 2015, hitting a combined .319/.382/.494 with 35 homers, an MLB-high 90 doubles, 38 steals, and more walks (112) than strikeouts (107) in 293 games. He easily led Indians position players in WARP during that two-year span and placed third in the AL MVP voting in 2014. And then he missed nearly the entire 2016 season following offseason shoulder surgery, appearing in just 11 games and seeing zero action after mid-May.

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Pedro Strop signs an extension with the Cubs and minor-league deals galore for Mat Latos, Gordon Beckham, and Yusmeiro Petit.

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Which young pitchers does PECOTA see as having breakout potential in 2017?

“Breakout” can mean different things to different people. It can mean a prospect or untested young big leaguer establishing himself as a valuable regular. It can mean a relative unknown becoming an impact player. It can mean a well-known star making the leap to full-blown superstar, perhaps even following up a “breakout” one year with an even bigger “breakout” the next. Your own definition may vary, but in PECOTA’s case “breakout” is all about out-performing track records.

PECOTA assigns each player a “breakout rate” for the upcoming season based on their odds of beating their established level of recent performance by at least 20 percent, with historical player comps serving as an important factor. Because the entire system is based on regressed-to-the-mean, 50th percentile projections, breakout rate identifies the players most likely to leave that in the dust for their 70th, 80th, and 90th percentile upsides.

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February 13, 2017 6:00 am

Transaction Analysis: Old Second Basemen Never Die

3

Bryan Grosnick and Jeffrey Paternostro

Brandon Phillips finally accepts a trade, Chase Utley returns to the Dodgers on the cheap, and the Cubs and Royals make a minor swap.

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Greg Holland chooses Colorado for his comeback, Jerry Blevins and Fernando Salas stay in New York, Scott Feldman looks to eat innings in Cincinnati, and Boone Logan needs context.

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Hal Steinbrenner asked a question without really wanting to know the answer.

I made a mistake: I thought about this from the player’s perspective. I thought about the player. Or perhaps, I thought about it as mostly mattering with respect to individual players, as mostly serving to modify their behavior. On Thursday, Hal Steinbrenner reminded me of my error.

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Jon Lester should be just fine without David Ross and the rest of baseball can learn something from the Cubs' catching plan.

For the past three or four years, one of the things we have known about baseball—just known, without question or reservation—is that David Ross was a vital part of Jon Lester’s success. Recall that Ross (who, we all knew, was an elite pitch framer) stepped in as the Red Sox’s primary catcher when Jarrod Saltalamacchia (in addition to being a terrible defender) got exposed by good pitching during Boston’s 2013 World Series run, and then became Lester’s personal catcher beginning in the spring of 2014.

Lester had a 2.02 ERA and held opponents to a .581 OPS when working with Ross that season, before being traded away from his new partner at the trade deadline. He still pitched well for the A’s, who paired him up with Derek Norris, but his opponents' OPS rose by about 50 points, and then the 2014 Wild Card Game happened.

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