CSS Button No Image Css3Menu.com

Baseball Prospectus home
  
  
Click here to log in Click here for forgotten password Click here to subscribe

Happy Thanksgiving! Regularly Scheduled Articles Will Resume Monday, December 1

Articles Tagged Cardinals 

Search BP Articles

All Blogs (including podcasts)

Active Columns

Authors

Article Types

Archives

01-31

comment icon

2

BP Announcements: Baseball Prospectus Night at Busch Stadium - August 2, 2014
by
Joe Hamrahi

07-12

comment icon

1

Hot Prospect Video
by
Jason Cole

06-29

comment icon

2

BP Announcements: Baseball Prospectus Day at Busch Stadium - July 21, 2013
by
Joe Hamrahi

06-25

comment icon

0

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 231: Revisiting Several Things We've Said
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

06-06

comment icon

7

Overthinking It: The Plate Discipline-Only Prospect
by
Ben Lindbergh

05-30

comment icon

6

The Call-Up: Michael Wacha
by
Jason Cole and Bret Sayre

05-04

comment icon

0

The Call-Up: Carlos Martinez
by
Mark Anderson and Bret Sayre

04-24

comment icon

7

Overthinking It: Yadier Molina's Maybe-Amazing Powers of Defensive Positioning
by
Ben Lindbergh

03-26

comment icon

7

Prospectus Preview: These Questions Three: The Legit Contenders
by
Sam Miller and Adam Sobsey

02-26

comment icon

15

BP Unfiltered: Top 101 Prospects of 2013, Sliced and Diced
by
Rob McQuown

02-26

comment icon

1

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 148: 2013 Season Preview Series: St. Louis Cardinals
by
Ben Lindbergh, Sam Miller and Pete Barrett

12-22

comment icon

7

Overthinking It: The Winter's Quietest Contenders
by
Ben Lindbergh

12-06

comment icon

1

Transaction Analysis: Double LOOGY Day
by
R.J. Anderson

10-23

comment icon

0

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 67: Did Our Opinions of Players Change in the NLCS?
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

10-21

comment icon

4

Playoff Prospectus: NLCS Game Six Preview: Cardinals at Giants
by
Daniel Rathman

10-19

comment icon

2

BP Announcements: NLCS Game Five Friday Roundtable HERE
by
Ben Lindbergh

10-18

comment icon

0

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 65: The Impact of the ALCS Rainout/The Strange Appearance of Hunter Pence/Do We Dislike Any Players or Teams?
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

10-18

comment icon

3

Playoff Prospectus: NLCS Game Four Preview: Giants at Cardinals
by
Daniel Rathman

10-17

comment icon

0

Playoff Prospectus: NLCS Game Three Preview: Giants at Cardinals
by
Daniel Rathman

10-16

comment icon

8

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 63: The Slide Heard 'Round the World/Why Does Everyone Hate the Cardinals?/Ryan Vogelsong Rewards Bruce Bochy
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

10-15

comment icon

1

Playoff Prospectus: NLCS Game Two Preview: Cardinals at Giants
by
Daniel Rathman

10-14

comment icon

0

Playoff Prospectus: NLCS Game One Preview: Cardinals at Giants
by
Daniel Rathman

10-13

comment icon

9

Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Recap: Cardinals Defeat the Nationals
by
R.J. Anderson

10-09

comment icon

1

Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Game Two Recap: Cardinals 12, Nationals 4
by
R.J. Anderson

10-08

comment icon

0

Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Game Two Preview: Nationals at Cardinals
by
Daniel Rathman

10-07

comment icon

0

Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Game One Preview: Nationals at Cardinals
by
Daniel Rathman

09-20

comment icon

4

BP Unfiltered: Chris Carpenter's Comeback and the Unlikeliest Post-Season Player
by
Ben Lindbergh

09-10

comment icon

3

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 38: The Greatness of Yadier Molina and the Not-So-Greatness of Omar Vizquel
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

12-08

comment icon

2

The BP Wayback Machine: Cardinals' Special Era Reaches a Crossroads
by
Bradford Doolittle

11-01

comment icon

7

On the Beat: At Least One Era Comes to an End
by
John Perrotto

10-31

comment icon

22

Playoff Prospectus: Shuffling Through the World Series
by
Jason Parks

10-31

comment icon

22

Kiss'Em Goodbye: St. Louis Cardinals
by
Ben Lindbergh, Kevin Goldstein and ESPN Insider

10-28

comment icon

54

World Series Prospectus: Game Six: The Crazy Train Keeps Rolling
by
Jay Jaffe

10-19

comment icon

23

World Series Prospectus: The Midwest Showdown
by
Baseball Prospectus

10-19

comment icon

4

On the Beat: Cardinal Comeback
by
John Perrotto

10-17

comment icon

18

Playoff Prospectus: NLCS Game Six: It was in the Cards
by
Jay Jaffe

09-26

comment icon

4

Divide and Conquer, NL East: The Surprise Wild Card Race
by
Michael Jong

07-27

comment icon

24

Prospectus Hit and Run: Centers of Attention UPDATED
by
Jay Jaffe

07-18

comment icon

5

Divide and Conquer, NL Central: Excitement Central
by
Larry Granillo

03-31

comment icon

42

Pre-Season Predictions
by
Baseball Prospectus

12-08

comment icon

12

Inside The Park: Cardinals' Special Era Reaches a Crossroads
by
Bradford Doolittle

10-01

comment icon

9

Kiss'Em Goodbye: St. Louis Cardinals
by
John Perrotto, Kevin Goldstein and ESPN Insider

09-22

comment icon

11

Checking the Numbers: The Cards Come Crumbling Down
by
Eric Seidman

05-07

comment icon

18

Ahead in the Count: Most Net Valuable Player
by
Matt Swartz

04-04

comment icon

29

Pre-Season Predictions
by
Baseball Prospectus

01-10

comment icon

15

On the Beat: Weekend Update
by
John Perrotto

10-12

comment icon

17

Kiss'Em Goodbye: St. Louis Cardinals
by
Jay Jaffe

10-07

comment icon

5

Playoff Prospectus: Dodgers versus Cardinals LDS
by
Jay Jaffe

09-03

comment icon

14

Prospectus Today: Soaring Cardinals
by
Joe Sheehan

04-06

comment icon

28

Preseason Predictions
by
Baseball Prospectus

<< Previous Tag Entries Next Tag Entries >>

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

September 26, 2011 5:00 am

Divide and Conquer, NL East: The Surprise Wild Card Race

4

Michael Jong

While no one would have predicted it a mere month ago, the Braves have collapsed and hold a single game lead over the Cards.

As sports fans, we all love a good collapse. This may be because inherent to all good collapses are also good comebacks, and everyone loves a good comeback. Combine the nature of these dual concepts with the stakes of making it to the playoffs for a chance at the World Series, and you have an intriguing storyline to follow at the end of an otherwise dull 2011 stretch run. The Atlanta Braves were 8.5 games ahead of their closest Wild Card competitor, the St. Louis Cardinals, at the beginning of September. CoolStandings had them at a 97.8 percent chance of making the playoffs (96.4 percent chance of winning the Wild Card) that day using their “smart” mode assumptions. The Cardinals, on the other hand, had just a 4.3 percent chance of making the postseason. Flash forward to the present time, and the Braves and Cardinals are in drastically different situations. Since September 1, the Braves have gone 8-15 while the Cardinals have gone the opposite direction, posting a 15-7 record. The reversal of fortunes has put the Braves just one game ahead of the Cardinals for the Wild Card lead with only three games remaining.

This drastic change is reflected in the Playoff Odds Report. Through September 24, the Braves had an 88.8 percent chance of moving into the postseason, while the Cardinals were up to 11.2 percent. This change was most drastic during the past week—a week in which the Braves went 2-4 versus the three lower-ranked teams in the NL East while the Cardinals won five of seven games. Atlanta lost almost seven percent on their odds to make the playoffs this past week, while the Cardinals gained eight percentage points in their quest to thwart the previously untouchable Braves.
 


The rest of this article is restricted to Baseball Prospectus Subscribers.

Not a subscriber?

Click here for more information on Baseball Prospectus subscriptions or use the buttons to the right to subscribe and get access to the best baseball content on the web.


Cancel anytime.


That's a 33% savings over the monthly price!


That's a 33% savings over the monthly price!

Already a subscriber? Click here and use the blue login bar to log in.

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

July 27, 2011 2:56 am

Prospectus Hit and Run: Centers of Attention UPDATED

24

Jay Jaffe

B.J. Upton and Colby Rasmus had sky-high ceilings as prospects, but their up-and-down performances in the majors has led them to the trading block.

The July 31 trading deadline traditionally turns the spotlight on pending free agents that can shore up a contender's roster for the stretch run. Carlos Beltran and Hiroki Kuroda are the belles of the quick-fix ball this year, and if they don't sound tremendously enticing, it helps explain why so much talk is focused elsewhere, on younger and more affordable players still under club control. Ubaldo Jimenez and Hunter Pence fit that bill, even if their respective teams' willingness to trade them is something of a head-scratcher. More puzzling is how B.J. Upton and Colby Rasmus have arrived at this juncture, particularly given the big things projected for them just a few years ago. On the other hand, maybe that explains exactly why they're here.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

Telling the story of a topsy-turvy season through excerpts from AP game stories.

The tale of the National League Central, as told through selected excerpts of the Associated Press and other daily filings:

April 4, AP:

Read the full article...

Pegging BP's favorites in both leagues, both in the standings and for the major awards.

Today we reveal the Baseball Prospectus staff predictions for the division standings and the major player awards  (MVP, Cy Young, and Rookie of the Year) in the American and National Leagues. Each staff member's division standings predictions may be found later in the article. Here, we present a wisdom-of-the-crowds summary of the results. In each table you'll find the average rank of each team in their division with first-place votes in parentheses, plus the results of our pre-season MVP, Cy Young, and Rookie of the Year voting. 

For the MVP voting, we've slightly amended the traditional points system in place that has been used elsewhere, dropping fourth- and fifth-place votes to make it 10-7-5 for the MVP Award, and the regular 5-3-1 for the Cy Young and Rookie of the Year Awards (that's 5 points for a first-place vote, 3 points for a second-place vote, etc.). Next to each of these selections we've listed the total number of ballots, followed by the total number of points, and then the number of first-place votes in parentheses, if any were received.

Read the full article...

The Tony La Russa-Albert Pujols era in St. Louis is nearly unprecedented.

It’s the last day of the season at Wrigley Field and I’m determined to wait out Albert Pujols.

I’ve been assigned to cover the Cardinals for the weekend series, the last three games at the antique ballpark in the 2010 season. Before each game, I spend about three hours hanging around the Cardinals in the visiting team clubhouse at Wrigley—a dank, cramped space that isn’t as big as the locker room at the high school I attended in small-town Iowa. It’s an awkward setup, leaving you hovering around 30-35 big-league personnel with no place to stand. On the flip side, there really is no place for them to hide. If you need to interview someone, this is the place to do it. Only the most resolute can avoid the press in there.

Read the full article...

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

October 1, 2010 2:30 pm

Kiss'Em Goodbye: St. Louis Cardinals

9

John Perrotto, Kevin Goldstein and ESPN Insider

Big things were expect of the Birds, but it's time to give them a peck on the beak and say sayonara.

Kiss 'Em Goodbye is a series focusing on MLB teams as their postseason dreams fade—whether in September (or before), the League Division Series, League Championship Series or World Series. It combines a broad overview of this season from Buster Olney, a take from Baseball Prospectus, a look toward an immediate 2011 move courtesy of Rumor Central and Kevin Goldstein's farm system overview. You can find all the teams on one page by going here.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

September 22, 2010 8:00 am

Checking the Numbers: The Cards Come Crumbling Down

11

Eric Seidman

Were the Cardinals playing contender pretender before their collapse?

On August 13, the Cardinals defeated the Cubs, 6-3, improving their record to 65-49. Recently acquired Jake Westbrook scattered two runs over six innings in his third start with the team, Matt Holliday knocked in a run on two doubles, Albert Pujols hit his league-leading 29th home run, and Colby Rasmus showed one of the many facets of his value by walking in all four of his plate appearances. The win kept the Cardinals a game up in the NL Central over the Reds, who had beaten the Marlins. Entering play the next day, our playoff odds report gave the Cardinals a 66 percent chance of winning the division, as well as a 13 percent chance of winning the wild card. Put together, the Cardinals made the playoffs in four out of every five simulations, a very safe position.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

May 7, 2010 7:25 am

Ahead in the Count: Most Net Valuable Player

18

Matt Swartz

Albert Pujols comes out on top of the list of major-leaguers who provide the most bang for the buck.

Two weeks ago, I introduced the new version of our Market Value Over Replacement Player (MORP) statistic. In today’s article, I will discuss the “Most Net Valuable Players” of 2009 according to this metric. These are the players who provided far more than their salary and draft-pick compensation costs in 2009. Unsurprisingly, the majority of players atop this list will not be players with six or more years of service time necessary to become a free agent. Evan Longoria, for example, was one of the most net valuable players in the league last year because the Rays were not required to compete with other teams for his 2009 services. Albert Pujols, on the other hand, has enough service time that he could have been a free agent before 2009 had he elected, so the Cardinals were required to pay more for his services. Therefore, the first table below will only list the most valuable players who would have been free agents before 2009 if they were not already under contract.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

Pegging BP's favorites in both leagues, in the standings and for the major awards.

Today we reveal the Baseball Prospectus staff predictions for the division standings and the major player awards (MVP, Cy Young, and Rookie of the Year) in the American and National Leagues. Each staff member's division standings predictions may be found later in the article. Here, we present a wisdom-of-the-crowds summary of the results. In each table you'll find the average rank of each team in their division with first-place votes in parentheses, plus the results of our pre-season MVP, Cy Young, and Rookie of the Year voting. Picking favorites for the Wild Card for the respective leagues initially might have seemed easy, since the selections universally favored the second-place team in the AL East, while all but two voters picked their second-place teams in the NL East to earn the non-division champ playoff team, but a tie in the rankings had to be broken in favor of the team named the Wild Card winner on the most individual ballots, which is sure to upset some people.

For the MVP voting, we've slightly amended the traditional points system in place that's been used elsewhere, dropping fourth- and fifth-place votes to make it 10-7-5 for the MVP Award, and the regular 5-3-1 for the Cy Young and Rookie of the Year Awards (that's 5 points for a first-place vote, 3 points for a second-place vote, etc.). Next to each of these selections we've listed the total number of ballots, followed by the total number of points, and then the number of first-place votes in parentheses, if any were received.

Read the full article...

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

January 10, 2010 12:32 pm

On the Beat: Weekend Update

15

John Perrotto

What's left on the market, the Cardinals make news in more ways than one, the vote's in for the Hall of Fame, plus other news.

All the big names are off the free-agent board now that Matt Holliday has re-signed with the Cardinals, Jason Bay pulled a surprise and signed with the Mets, and John Lackey caught many off guard by switching coasts and signing with the Red Sox. Thus, most of the money has been spent. However, there are still quality players on the free-agent market. The chances are also very good that they will be signing at cut-rate prices now that the date for pitchers and catchers reporting no longer seems an eternity away.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

October 12, 2009 1:00 pm

Kiss'Em Goodbye: St. Louis Cardinals

17

Jay Jaffe

The Birds flap away into history after an outfield miscue and a shocking sweep at the hand of the Dodgers.

Baseball Prospectus' Pre-season Projection: 83-79, third place
Actual record: 91-71, first place


The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

October 7, 2009 1:30 pm

Playoff Prospectus: Dodgers versus Cardinals LDS

5

Jay Jaffe

Two of the all-time greats in the dugout square off with the benefit of some of two of the most famous sluggers on the field.

Were it not for a 2-8 swoon over the Cardinals' final 10 games, the NL Division Series matchup between the Dodgers and the Cards could lay claim to pitting the team with the hottest first-half record (the blue team) against the one with the hottest second-half record (the red team). As it is, St. Louis still won the Central by the largest margin of any NL division champion (7½ games), turning what was once a crowded four-team race into a laugher thanks to some timely in-season upgrades, most notably the July 24 trade which brought Matt Holliday from Oakland-a point after which the Cards did have the league's best record (39-25).

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

<< Previous Tag Entries Next Tag Entries >>