Does Billy Beane's sh*t work in the trainer's room?
The Team Injury Projections are here, driven by our brand new injury forecasting system, the Comprehensive Health Index [of] Pitchers [and] Players [with] Evaluative Results—or, more succinctly, CHIPPER. Thanks to work by Colin Wyers and Dan Turkenkopf and a database loaded with injuries dating back to the 2002 season—that's nearly 4,600 players and well over 400,000 days lost to injury—we now have a system that produces injury-risk assessments to three different degrees. CHIPPER projects ratings for players based on their injury history—these ratings measure the probability of a player missing one or more games, 15 or more games, or 30 or more games. CHIPPER will have additional features added to it throughout the spring and early season that will enhance the accuracy of our injury coverage.
These ratings are also available in the Player Forecast Manager (pfm.baseballprospectus.com), where they'll be sortable by league or position—you won’t have to wait for us to finish writing this series in order to see the health ratings for all of the players.
A few pitchers had very strong springs, and Craig has the details on which ones matter during the regular season.
Fantasy season opens tomorrow, but it’s not too late to consider a couple of starting pitchers who enjoyed strong springs. This article is a complimentary piece to last week’s look at the hot hitters of spring. Almost all of us have drafted our teams for the year, but these pitchers may warrant either a waiver pickup or a trade offer as we prepare for the season to start.
Why what are reported as minor forearm and elbow problems often end in major surgery.
There are few things more frustrating to the uninformed observer (a label I wouldn’t hesitate to apply to myself in this instance) than the DL dance that often precedes a pitcher’s disappearance into ligament-replacement limbo. We’ve all endured that feeling of agonized uncertainty as a player upon whom our chosen team’s playoff hopes rest hangs suspended over the 60-day abyss by a fraying flexor tendon or a lacerated ligament; of course, any anxiety we feel must be little more than a microcosm of the emotional suffering (to say nothing of the physical discomfort) experienced by the ailing athlete himself.
The narrative can unfold in any number of ways. Maybe the protagonist hears the proverbial “pop” and walks off the mound, clutching his arm in pain as a hush descends upon the assembled onlookers. In other cases, he experiences some soreness on his throw day or while warming in the bullpen and doesn’t answer the bell. Grim faces appear in post-game interviews; quite likely our hero has suffered from arm trouble before, and worries all the more by virtue of his familiarity with his foe.
Oakland has quality young pitching but sorely needs some power hitting, along with notes from around the major leagues.
The Athletics for the span of eight seasons from 1999-2006, defied the idea that a small-market team could not consistently contend. They won four American League West titles during that time and made the playoffs as the wild card on two other occasions. General manager Billy Beane's ability to build a team by finding economic inefficiencies in the player market became immortalized in Moneyball, Michael Lewis' seminal book.
A's AGM David Forst talks about what is going on with the big-league club and in the farm system.
It has been six years since David Forst was appointed assistant general manager of the Oakland Athletics. No longer attached to rumored jobs with other teams, Forst is generally seen as the heir apparent to Billy Beane, and he took some time this week to talk about spring training, the team, and, of course, what A's discussion is complete without the word "Moneyball" coming up?