CSS Button No Image Css3Menu.com

Baseball Prospectus home
  
  
Click here to log in Click here for forgotten password Click here to subscribe

World Series time! Enjoy Premium-level access to most features through the end of the Series!

Articles Tagged Brandon Belt 

Search BP Articles

All Blogs (including podcasts)

Active Columns

Authors

Article Types

Archives

05-20

comment icon

16

Dynasty Dynamics: The U25 Top 150, Part Two
by
Ben Carsley and Craig Goldstein

04-01

comment icon

15

Dynasty Dynamics: NL West Under-25 Rankings
by
Ben Carsley and Craig Goldstein

01-23

comment icon

7

Fantasy Players to Target: First Basemen
by
BP Fantasy Staff

01-23

comment icon

12

Dynasty League Positional Rankings: Top 50 First Basemen
by
Bret Sayre

01-22

comment icon

16

Fantasy Three-Year Projections: First Basemen
by
Paul Sporer

01-21

comment icon

10

Fantasy Tier Rankings: First Basemen
by
Mike Gianella

01-21

comment icon

17

State of the Position: First Basemen
by
Craig Goldstein

01-21

comment icon

15

Graphical Fantasy Rankings: First Basemen
by
Mauricio Rubio

01-15

comment icon

1

Fantasy Team Preview: San Francisco Giants
by
Mike Gianella

12-17

comment icon

6

Fantasy Freestyle: Putting Stock in the Best Hitters of the Second Half
by
Bret Sayre

10-18

comment icon

7

Playoff Prospectus: NLCS Game 3 Recap: Cardinals 3, Giants 1
by
Sam Miller

10-18

comment icon

3

Playoff Prospectus: NLCS Game Four Preview: Giants at Cardinals
by
Daniel Rathman

06-15

comment icon

4

The Prospectus Hit List: Friday, June 15
by
Andrew Koo and Hudson Belinsky

06-12

comment icon

3

Value Picks: First, Third, and DH for 6/12/12
by
Michael Street

06-06

comment icon

11

The Prospectus Hit List: Wednesday, June 6
by
Matthew Kory

05-25

comment icon

3

The Prospectus Hit List: Friday, May 25
by
Matthew Kory

05-15

comment icon

5

Value Picks: First, Third, and DH for 5/15/12
by
Michael Street

04-24

comment icon

11

Western Front: Five Giant Themes
by
Geoff Young

03-15

comment icon

2

Overthinking It: Free the Bench Bats!
by
Ben Lindbergh

02-29

comment icon

12

The Lineup Card: 14 Choices for 2012 Breakout Players
by
Baseball Prospectus

03-31

comment icon

42

Pre-Season Predictions
by
Baseball Prospectus

<< Previous Tag Entries No More Tag Entries

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

May 20, 2014 6:00 am

Dynasty Dynamics: The U25 Top 150, Part Two

16

Ben Carsley and Craig Goldstein

The second part of the rankings series takes you from Nick Franklin to Brandon Belt.

To read the first edition in the rankings series, click below:

The rest of this article is restricted to Baseball Prospectus Subscribers.

Not a subscriber?

Click here for more information on Baseball Prospectus subscriptions or use the buttons to the right to subscribe and get access to the best baseball content on the web.


Cancel anytime.


That's a 33% savings over the monthly price!


That's a 33% savings over the monthly price!

Already a subscriber? Click here and use the blue login bar to log in.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

April 1, 2014 6:30 am

Dynasty Dynamics: NL West Under-25 Rankings

15

Ben Carsley and Craig Goldstein

In the debut edition of their new column, Ben and Craig start a tour of the best young players in each division.

There are plenty of reasons why people love dynasty leagues. To some, they do a better job of simulating the feeling of being a GM, as your decisions have ramifications beyond a single season. They foster closer connections between owners, given the sizeable time commitment, and add an element of reading your opponents, too. They require expansive knowledge of a wide group of MLB and MiLB players, and they require a relentless attention to detail throughout the season.

Yes, dynasty leagues are growing in popularity, and as they grow it becomes important for us to deliver content that caters specifically to dynasty league owners. And that’s why Craig and I will seek to put aside our differences once a week in order to impart the collective wisdom that we’ve siphoned off of others and would like to pass off as our own.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

January 23, 2014 6:00 am

Fantasy Players to Target: First Basemen

7

BP Fantasy Staff

Our fantasy crew's favorite value picks at a spot where elite production is critical.

First base is a position that harbors many good fantasy players. These are some the aforementioned good players who we feel are comparatively more good than their peers.

Brandon Belt, Giants
Heading into 2013 there were legitimate concerns about Belt’s power and by extension his viability as an everyday major-league 1B. Belt answered those concerns with a strong season, complete with 60 extra-base hits, a solid walk percentage (9.1) and a pretty damn good 139 wRC+. Belt plays in extreme parks the majority of the season—AT&T and PETCO strongly favor pitchers, Coors and Chase Fields both favor hitters, and LA falls somewhere in the middle, depending on what time the game starts. He hit well on the road in 2013 and his production didn’t nosedive at home. Belt will be undervalued this year, and while he isn’t an elite-level 1B, he provides enough production to warrant being a starter in standard fantasy formats. —Mauricio Rubio


The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

January 23, 2014 6:00 am

Dynasty League Positional Rankings: Top 50 First Basemen

12

Bret Sayre

Paul Goldschmidt leads off this list of the best long-term assets at the position heading into 2014.

The Primer:
Because dynasty-league rankings are relatively league-dependent, I set up parameters for ranking the players below (and the ones who will follow at other positions). The list here presupposes a 16-team standard dynasty format, where there are no contracts/salaries, players can be kept forever and owners have minor league farm systems in which to hoard prospects. So feel free to adjust this as necessary for your individual league, whether it’s moving non-elite prospects without 2014 ETAs down if you don’t have separate farm teams or moving lower-risk, lower-reward players up in deeper mixed or only formats.

First base is the place you need to get offense these days if you want to compete, and after a strong first ten or so names, the rest of the options can get a little more dicey than you’d like to see. It’s not a particularly strong pipeline for prospects, but that’s not terribly uncommon for the position—the pipeline is often just as wide for players who have defensive deficiencies than it has been for strict first base prospects in the last decade or so. That won’t be any different in 2015, when Miguel Cabrera and Joe Mauer join the fold.


The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

January 22, 2014 6:00 am

Fantasy Three-Year Projections: First Basemen

16

Paul Sporer

A fantasy-based look at how this position stacks up through 2016.

Everyone in fantasy sports loves the look-ahead. Even in the throes of a pennant race, you can fire up a conversation about next year’s first round and it will go on for an hour. With that in mind, the BP fantasy team will be taking a long view look at every position this offseason with three-year rankings (composite value at the position over the next three seasons). We continue our way around the diamond with first basemen today! First base is the storage locker for bad defenders who can hit, especially in the NL where there is no DH. The position is almost always adding staff, but their value at the position is mitigated until they’re done qualifying elsewhere.

For example, you would be insane to use a primary-catcher first-base-eligible asset anywhere but catcher. In no circumstance are they worth more playing first base, and if you carry two such assets and put one at first base, you’re not only robbing the value of this asset, but you’re also putting yourself behind in the counting categories of first base to teams who have full-time first basemen in their lineup. At any other position (though predominantly 3B and OF), they are never more valuable at first base. You could use them there in a pinch, but just like with the catcher, you’re sapping the value of the asset.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

January 21, 2014 6:00 am

Fantasy Tier Rankings: First Basemen

10

Mike Gianella

Paul Goldschmidt and Chris Davis lead the way, but there are plenty of power bats in the middle and lower tiers.

This series began last week with a look at the catchers. Today, our positional tier rankings series continues with a look at first base.

Players at each position are divided into five tiers, represented by a numerical star rating. Five-star players are the studs at their respective position. In general, they are the players that will be nabbed in the first couple of rounds of the draft, and they'll fetch auction bids in excess of $30. Four-star players are a cut below the studs at the position. They will also be early-round selections, and they are projected to be worth more than $20 in most cases. Three-star players are the last tier in which players are projected to provide double-digit dollar value in auctions, and two-star players are projected to earn single digits in dollar value in auctions. One-star players are late round sleepers and roster placeholders. The positional tiers aren't simply a regurgitation of last year’s values but rather try to offer some insights into what we expect will happen in 2014.

We retained last year's roster requirements for the positional tier series. Dollar values come from last year’s PFM using a 12-team, standard 5x5 scoring format, with 23-man rosters and the following positions: C (2) 1B (1) 2B (1) 3B (1) SS (1) CI (1) MI (1) OF (5) UT (1) P (9). The minimum bid for players is $1, and, as we did last year, we allocate $180 of a $260 budget to hitters. Players needed to play in 20 games at a position to qualify there. The PFM is customizable, so if your league uses a different format, you can adjust it to match your league settings and see how it impacts players’ dollar values.

Players with multi-position eligibility are listed at the position where it is most likely they would start in a standard fantasy league. Buster Posey and Carlos Santana both have eligibility at catcher and first base but are not included in this part of the series for this reason. While there are unique situations where a fantasy owner might start Posey or Santana at first, these situations are the exception and not the rule.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

January 21, 2014 6:00 am

State of the Position: First Basemen

17

Craig Goldstein

Craig examines the strategies you should employ when filling this premium offensive position, and what it might look like down the road.

First base is always an interesting position, especially for those of us who are in dynasty leagues (or just into prospects) because it lacks the high-end prospects in the minors but manages to maintain a huge portion of value in fantasy. Because of the depth that the position picks up at the major-league level, thanks mainly to position changes, the strategy it sees can actually be similar to the one Bret mentioned in the State of the Position: Catchers writeup, in that many people will go into a draft planning on passing until the later rounds. With catchers, this can be because at some point, all that’s left are similarly (but poorly) skilled players, so it just doesn’t matter who you end up with. It’s different at first base in that, while there are elite talents at the top, the depth of the position provides some cushion for those who choose to draft/spend elsewhere early on.

That depth is the defining aspect to the position. While outfield may rival first base for its depth, it also has between 3-5 positions to fill, depending on the league, while first base only has the one (though CI is also filled by 1B-eligible players). The top of the depth chart at first base appears more muddled than ever, with Chris Davis the reigning king thanks to his power explosion in 2014. Still, Paul Goldschmidt might be the better investment thanks to a steadier track record and impressive versatility (he led all first baseman with 15 stolen bases). We’ve seen Eric Hosmer and Brandon Belt finally, hopefully, solidify themselves reliable first-base options with upside, adding talent to what has become a very robust middle tier.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

January 21, 2014 6:00 am

Graphical Fantasy Rankings: First Basemen

15

Mauricio Rubio

A visual representation of the rankings in the tiered first-base list with a breakdown of the statistical contributions each player is projected to make.

For a primer on the graphical rankings, click here.

First base was an extremely fun position to break down this year. The top offensive producers will come from the cold corner. Miguel Cabrera will move there from third, Joe Mauer and perhaps Buster Posey will enter into transitional phases in their careers at first, and there’s still a host of highly talented incumbents that crowd the rankings quite a bit. Again, these are made to mirror Mike Gianella’s tiered system and aren’t necessarily in a hard order. With that in mind, let’s address some questions about the graphs.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

January 15, 2014 6:00 am

Fantasy Team Preview: San Francisco Giants

1

Mike Gianella

The pitchers are the headliners on Bruce Bochy's club, but there are several valuable bats in the lineup, too.

It was an odd-numbered year, so it only stands to reason that the San Francisco Giants didn’t win the World Series (like they did in 2010 and 2012). Instead, the Giants put up an underwhelming 76-86 record, good for a third-place tie in the NL West with the San Diego Padres. Michael Morse and Tim Hudson were brought in via free agency, but for the most part San Francisco is relying on a return to form and good health by a cast of steady and reliable veterans.

Projected Lineup

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

December 17, 2013 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: Putting Stock in the Best Hitters of the Second Half

6

Bret Sayre

These players excelled from July through the end of the regular season, but does that mean great things are in store in 2014?

It’s relatively easy to tell when a player has a full-on breakout. Matt Carpenter and Paul Goldschmidt both had easily the strongest seasons of their respective careers in 2013—it doesn’t take a baseball genius to figure that out. However, every pre-season, there is always be a lot of talk about how a player had a “breakout second half,” leading to talk that they will be able to build off that experience in the following season. At face value, that makes sense. But at face value, we’re also clearly dealing with sample size issues. For every Jose Bautista and Josh Donaldson, who hinted at their offensive explosions towards the end of the prior season, there are many more who never capitalize on said promise.

For the purposes of this exercise, we’re going to be looking at hitters with a .900+ OPS during the second half of the previous season in at least 100 plate appearances. But before we dig into the 2013 members of this group, we’re going to take it one step further and look back at the last couple of seasons to see exactly how this control group fared.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

October 18, 2012 5:00 am

Playoff Prospectus: NLCS Game 3 Recap: Cardinals 3, Giants 1

7

Sam Miller

Kyle Lohse defied the odds, Matt Carpenter defied his role, and Brandon Belt defies you to make him swing at strikes.

Guess the MLB.com headline!

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

Tim Lincecum returns to the rotation opposing Adam Wainwright in a matchup that's too close for PECOTA to call.

The Cardinals lost their best postseason hitter to a knee injury early in Game Three, but still came out on top, because his replacement socked a game-winning two-run homer in his first trip to the plate. Now, the Giants must win to avoid facing three consecutive elimination games for the second straight series. Here are the PECOTA odds and projected starting lineups for Game Four:

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

<< Previous Tag Entries No More Tag Entries