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0 DFA Podcast: Ep. 9: Mullin' Moves by Bryan Grosnick, R.J. Anderson and Shawn Brody
12 Players Prefer Presentation: Manny Machado's Almost Beanball by Meg Rowley
9 Let It Eat: Who Is Responsible for Joe Kelly Has Great Stuff? by Ben Carsley
8 Flu-Like Symptoms: Payrolls: It's All Relative by Rob Mains
9 Deep, But Playable: Blind to the Present by Craig Goldstein
2 Looking Back on Tomorrow: Boston Red Sox by Ben Carsley
2 Short Relief: Fallen Heroes, Anonymous Foot Soldiers, and Dale Sveum by Holly Wendt, Mo Bjonski and Patrick Dubuque
0 Short Relief: Naming Names, Punctuating Homers, and Scouting Scouts by Matt Sussman, Mary Craig and Meg Rowley
2 Rubbing Mud: Mr. Sale's Arithmetic Class by Matthew Trueblood
2 Banjo Hitter: PECOTA's Breakout Bets: Hitters by Aaron Gleeman
2 Best of BP 2016: The Team-Mandated Player Opt-Out by Jeff Quinton
2 Transaction Analysis: Overstocked Red Sox Deal Buchholz by Bryan Grosnick and Jarrett Seidler
1 Transaction Analysis: Replacing Ortiz by Dustin Palmateer and Matthew Trueblood
28 Transaction Analysis: For Sale: Red Sox Prospects by Ben Carsley, Adam McInturff, Jarrett Seidler, George Bissell and Wilson Karaman
4 Transaction Analysis: Boston's Bullpen Bet by Matthew Kory, Jeffrey Paternostro and Scooter Hotz
3 Rumor Roundup: Oh Good, a Mike Trout Rumor by Demetrius Bell
3 Playoff Prospectus: Going Out With a Walk by Brett Cowett
2 Playoff Prospectus: Proof, Gargoyles, and David Price by Matt Collins
1 Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and ALDS Game 2 Previews by Aaron Gleeman
3 Playoff Prospectus: Terry Francona, Leverage King by Matthew Kory
0 Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and ALDS Game 1 Previews by Kate Morrison and Matthew Trueblood
1 Two-Strike Approach: There Are No Ceilings by Cat Garcia
0 The Call-Up: Yoan Moncada by Jarrett Seidler and J.P. Breen
9 Banjo Hitter: Winter of Their Discontent by Aaron Gleeman
5 Outta Left Field: Butterfly Effect-ing the Lefties by Dustin Palmateer
1 What You Need to Know: Hey Switch, Turn It Over and Hit It by Emma Baccellieri
0 Cold Takes: Get Hyped for the August Trade Period! by Patrick Dubuque
1 The Call-Up: Andrew Benintendi by Christopher Crawford and Wilson Karaman
0 Transaction Analysis: Not Abad Trade by Aaron Gleeman and Will Haines
0 BP Fenway by Matthew Kory
0 What You Need to Know: Sweep Takes by Demetrius Bell
4 Two-Strike Approach: The 21-Start Check-in on David Price by Cat Garcia
1 What You Need to Know: Give 'em Hell by Daniel Rathman
0 BP Boston by Matthew Kory
6 Rubbing Mud: Another Look At Doyle, Smoltz, Andersen, Bagwell by Matthew Trueblood
0 BP Boston by Matthew Kory
10 Transaction Analysis: Red Sox Swing Big For Pomeranz by Ben Carsley and Christopher Crawford
3 Transaction Analysis: Dave Dombrowski is a Hustler, Baby by Bryan Grosnick
7 Prospectus Q&A: Dan Shaughnessy by Tim Britton
0 BP Boston by Matt Collins
0 BP Boston by Matthew Kory
0 BP Boston by Nick Canelas
0 BP Boston by Brett Cowett
3 Prospectus Feature: 365 Days of a Shortstop Revolution by Aaron Gleeman
0 Prospectus Feature: It's June 10th, and July 2 Deals Are Happening by Trevor Strunk
2 Life at the Margins: Stuff Your Scouting Report by Rian Watt
1 Prospectus Q&A: Jason McLeod, Cubs VP of Player Development and Amateur Scouting by Tim Britton
0 BP Boston by Bryan Joiner
3 Life at the Margins: Marvelous Mookie Fails Twice by Rian Watt
1 What You Need to Know: The Catcher Who Threw 96 In A Blowout by Emma Baccellieri
Reimagining the trade deadline with just one small difference.
Consider this scenario: On July 1 a butterfly flaps its wings, which causes Red Sox president of baseball operations Dave Dombrowski to scratch his nose two weeks later, briefly postponing a scheduled phone call with Padres general manager A.J. Preller. In the meantime, Josh Byrnes, senior vice president of baseball operations for the Dodgers, calls Preller for a casual pre-deadline chat . . . so, how are the kids? Wait, do you have kids? Is
available? Dombrowski calls Preller, but it’s too late—by the time he gets through, LA’s cavalry of current and former GMs have all talked to Preller. Pomeranz is a Dodger, and the world is changed forever. Drew Pomeranz
It’s a silly scenario, sure, but it’s fun to think about how much the trade deadline could have changed if just a single move had gone another way. The deadline—and the weeks preceding it—consists of many (
many!) discrete trades, all interesting in various ways, even in isolation. But they’re all connected, too, and it’s always more entertaining to imagine what could have been rather than what is, at least after we’ve already analyzed what is to death. How would the baseball world have turned out different if Josh Byrnes beat Dave Dombrowski to A.J. Preller’s smart phone? Read the full article... Double-switching makes for a very odd end-game in Cincinnati, Andrew Benintendi debuts with amazing hair, and David Price goes an inning too long.
The Tuesday Takeaway
The Reds entered the bottom of the eighth inning down 5-4 to the Cardinals. Of course, some things happened before that, with the most noteworthy including ’s first home run since 2012 Adam Wainwright
Read the full article... On Clay Buchholz, potential hero of the eighth month.
It’s the second of August, the Boxing Day of baseball. The buyers have bought, the sellers have sold, the fans have gnashed and fist-pumped. The players have been given their hugs and their plane tickets, published their thank yous on Twitter and the local paper, the various power rankings have been revisited and renumbered. Names have been tested, sounded out the way preteen girls don the last names of teenage heartthrobs. The games continue, even grow in importance, but there’s a psychological lull, like a racetrack straightaway.
Read the full article... We're not making the obvious pun. You're welcome.
The Situation: . Xander Bogaerts . Mookie Betts . David Ortiz . Hanley Ramirez , Jr. These are all names of people who are good at hitting the baseball, and they all play for Boston. Now Jackie Bradley does too. Andrew Benintendi
Background: Benintendi wasn’t a complete unknown coming out of high school, but he wasn’t taken too seriously as a draft prospect in 2013 (though the Reds did pop him in the 31st round), and he honored his commitment to the University of Arkansas. After a solid but certainly not spectacular freshman campaign, Benintendi shined in 2015, putting up monster numbers in the loaded SEC conference and establishing himself as one of the best collegiate bats in the country. After Boston scooped him up with the seventh pick in the draft, he destroyed pitching at both of his professional stops (Lowell and Greenville) and earned a trip to High-A Salem to start 2016. After beating the crap out of that pitching, Benintendi was hitting .295/.357/.515 in Double-A Portland, and now will get a chance to maim pitching at the highest level. Read the full article...
Boston picks up some left-handed bullpen help and Minnesota adds a hard-throwing reliever prospect/project.
How to explain the stunning success of a backup catcher?
The Red Sox finally lose a whole series, the Angels lose under protest, and Giancarlo Stanton makes a pretty picture. The Red Sox signed David Price to make, roughly, 210 starts for them. The first tenth have not gone smoothly, but the next nine-tenths remain an open question.
Game 81 is long past, All-Star Week has come and gone, a handful of teams are admitting defeat with sell-offs this week, and pretty much every sample we look at feels like it's of sufficient size. We are deep into the season, which means that many deals that had fans starry-eyed in December are now leaving them wondering what went wrong in the summer.
Read the full article... Jeremy Hellickson aces his audition, the White Sox get to the Cubs' bullpen, and Dave Dombrowski has made so many trades that they're starting to overlap in a kind of baseball version of the grandfather paradox.
The Monday Takeaway
Trade rumors have swirled around the Marlins in recent days, with most honing in on the club’s search for a starting pitcher, especially in light of worrisome injury news regarding . Among the arms connected to Miami were Wei-Yin Chen and Andrew Cashner , and also Matt Moore … Jeremy Hellickson
Read the full article...
The odds that Big Papi takes the hardware in his farewell tour. History tells us the story of two lopsided trades, but History ignores some nuance--and some lessons for this trade deadline.
There are lots of cautionary tales about trading prospects for pitchers in the heat of a pennant race. Some belong specifically to certain fan bases or regions; most also belong specifically to one or another generation. There’s the deal that sent
and Derek Lowe to the Red Sox in exchange for Jason Varitek , and the one that sent Heathcliff Slocumb , Grady Sizemore , and Cliff Lee to the Indians in exchange for Brandon Phillips . More recently, there was Bartolo Colon for Scott Kazmir , and more recently still, there was Victor Zambrano for Wilson Ramos . There are tons of these, and because of that possessiveness each fan base and generation feels toward its favorites, you’re probably wondering why your personal highlight wasn’t among the ones I just rattled off. Matt Capps
I want to talk, though, about two of the highest-profile versions of this fable in history. As it happened, they occurred just three years apart, and almost 30 years ago. They’re the ones you probably conjured quickest, when you read the first sentence, even if they’re not the ones with which you identify most closely. Here they are:
Read the full article...
The Red Sox dealt from their excellent farm system--then made their farm system even more excellent.