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Articles Tagged Boston Red Sox 

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12-15

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9

Prospectus Feature: The Surprising Math Teams Use to Value a Compensation Pick
by
Jeff Quinton

12-15

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6

Transaction Analysis: Sixty Percent of a Red Sox Rotation
by
Andrew Koo

12-02

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6

Painting the Black: The Ones That Sabean Let Get Away
by
R.J. Anderson

12-01

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33

2015 Prospects: Boston Red Sox Top 10 Prospects
by
Chris Mellen and BP Prospect Staff

11-26

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2

Daisy Cutter: Jon Lester's New Peers
by
Sahadev Sharma

11-25

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37

Transaction Analysis: Red Sox Do Whatever They Want
by
Sam Miller and Ben Carsley

11-25

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3

Baseball Therapy: The Timeshare DH
by
Russell A. Carleton

11-25

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3

Rumor Roundup: Revenge is a Dish Best Served Immediately
by
Daniel Rathman

11-05

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3

Transaction Analysis: Lind Blows Out of Toronto
by
R.J. Anderson and Mike Gianella

11-05

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3

The BP Wayback Machine: Farewell, Alfonso Soriano
by
BP Staff

11-03

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2

Fantasy Team Preview: Boston Red Sox
by
Ben Carsley

10-31

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19

Skewed Left: Those Lucky Red Sox
by
Zachary Levine

10-10

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6

Pitching Backward: The Not-So-Sudden Breakout of October's Best Lefty Reliever
by
Jeff Long

09-12

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7

Pebble Hunting: The Best Defensive Game of August
by
Sam Miller

09-12

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17

Notes About Baseball: Talking About Money
by
Rocco DeMaro

09-10

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11

The Lineup Card: Nine Comeback of the Year Candidates for 2015
by
Baseball Prospectus

08-22

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4

Transaction Analysis: Boston Signs Cuban Star Rusney Castillo
by
R.J. Anderson

08-02

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19

Trade Deadline
by
Sam Miller and Tim Collins

08-01

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15

Transaction Analysis: Give the Red Sox Your Tired and Your Poor But Do Not Give Them Your Prospects
by
Sam Miller

07-31

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4

Transaction Analysis: Yankees Get a Proper Infield
by
Daniel Rathman, Ben Carsley, Craig Goldstein and CJ Wittmann

07-31

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0

Transaction Analysis: Andrew Miller Goes to Baltimore
by
R.J. Anderson, Tucker Blair and J.P. Breen

07-31

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1

Transaction Analysis: Cardinals Trade from the Depths
by
Jeff Quinton, Mike Gianella and Jason Parks

07-30

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25

Moonshot: Separating the Phenoms Who'll Make It From Those Who Won't
by
Robert Arthur

07-22

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3

What You Need to Know: Boston Gives 'Em A Little Thumpin' Thumpin'
by
Daniel Rathman

07-11

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2

Transaction Analysis: A Pierz to be Missing
by
R.J. Anderson

07-10

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3

What You Need to Know: Chris Sale's Revenge
by
Chris Mosch

07-10

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9

The Call-Up: Christian Vazquez
by
Al Skorupa and Ben Carsley

06-30

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11

Monday Morning Ten Pack: June 30, 2014
by
BP Prospect Staff

06-30

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3

The Call-Up: Mookie Betts
by
Mark Anderson and Ben Carsley

06-27

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17

BP Top 50
by
Jason Parks, Nick J. Faleris, Chris Mellen and CJ Wittmann

06-27

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1

Transaction Analysis: Chris Crossed
by
R.J. Anderson

06-25

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4

Painting the Black: Red Sox Playing Badly, Playing Bradley
by
R.J. Anderson

05-27

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4

What You Need to Know: Weekend Wrap-Up, 5/27
by
Daniel Rathman

05-21

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13

Transaction Analysis: Stephen Drew and the Red Sox End the Suspense
by
Ben Lindbergh and Jeff Quinton

05-13

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3

Eyewitness Accounts: May 13, 2014
by
Jason Parks and BP Prospect Staff

05-12

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6

Monday Morning Ten Pack: May 12, 2014
by
Jason Parks and BP Prospect Staff

05-05

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10

Pebble Hunting: Who's Winning the Dodgers/Red Sox Trade This Second?
by
Sam Miller

05-01

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28

Prospects Will Break Your Heart: What Did I Miss: Mookie Betts
by
Jason Parks

04-25

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2

BP Unfiltered: Scouting Mike Carp
by
Dan Rozenson

03-25

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10

Prospectus Preview: AL East 2014 Preseason Preview
by
Andrew Koo and Zachary Levine

03-21

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1

Painting the Black: The Predictive Power of the Hit By Pitch
by
R.J. Anderson

03-20

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0

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 410: 2014 Season Preview Series: Boston Red Sox
by
Ben Lindbergh, Sam Miller and Nick Wheatley-Schaller

03-03

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2

Painting the Black: The Prospect Proximity Rankings
by
R.J. Anderson

02-24

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19

Transaction Analysis: Qualifying Offer Helps Orioles, Hurts Nelson Cruz
by
Ben Lindbergh and R.J. Anderson

01-28

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0

Rumor Roundup: Extension Tension
by
Daniel Rathman

01-27

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0

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 372: The Rays, The Red Sox, and Getting Hometown Discounts
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

01-23

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1

Transaction Analysis: Dude (Looks Like a Grady)
by
R.J. Anderson, Mauricio Rubio and Steffan Segui

01-06

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8

Fantasy Team Preview: Boston Red Sox
by
Ben Carsley

01-06

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41

Prospects Will Break Your Heart: Boston Red Sox Top 10 Prospects
by
Jason Parks

12-19

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0

Hot Stove Scouting Report: Mike Napoli
by
Josh Herzenberg

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Why does the value a team places on a draft pick seem to change from situation to situation?

“The Yankees never made an offer to David Robertson; determined they’d rather sign Andrew Miller and get the draft pick [compensation] for Robertson.” – Buster Olney, via Twitter

All other factors equal, it is preferable to sign a free agent who is not attached to a qualifying offer than a free agent that is QO-attached. This is obvious. What is not obvious is by how much, or whether that “how much” is always constant from free agent to free agent for each team. First round pick protection, competitive window, payroll limit, state of one’s minor-league system, and upcoming draft class will all determine how each team costs (values) losing a draft pick. According to traditional financial, economic, whatever-you-want-to-call-it theory, weighing these factors all makes sense. But, according to traditional theory, each team would individually weigh the cost of giving up a draft pick equally across all QO-attached free agents. Example time:

Team X puts the cost of losing its first round pick at $8M. Absent the qualifying offer, Team X values Max Scherzer at six years, $150M and Ervin Santana at two years, $25M. Taking the cost of losing a first round pick into account, Team X should value Scherzer at 6 years, $142M and Santana at 2 years, $17M.

Cool, makes sense. Alas, mental accounting, which posits that “people spontaneously generate their own mental accounts, and where we place these boundaries subtly (but profoundly) influences financial decision making,” indicates that our traditional theories may be oversimplifying things here. Specifically, it notes that we create topical accounts, in that our decisions are altered by the context of the situation. Whereas most think it absurd to drive 15 minutes down the road to another car dealership to save $75 on a $25,000 car, many will stand in line for an hour in the middle of the night to save that same $75 on a $250 smart phone.

Question: What does this have to do with QO-attached free agents?

Answer: Given the use of topical accounts, we could hypothesize that if GMs categorize Scherzer as an impact player and Santana as a role player—and are less willing to give up a draft pick to get a mere role player—that teams might be either (i) undervaluing the cost of the QO when valuing top free agents (saving $75 on the car) and (ii) overvaluing the cost of the QO when valuing lower-end free agents (saving $75 on the smart phone).

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December 15, 2014 12:01 am

Transaction Analysis: Sixty Percent of a Red Sox Rotation

6

Andrew Koo

How the Red Sox rotation has almost entirely turned over in less than a year.

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Brian Sabean's reputation for keeping his championship teams has merit, so how did Pablo Sandoval escape his grasp?

It was about this time last week that Pablo Sandoval signed with the Red Sox and shocked baseball. The surprise stemmed partially from the fit—Hanley Ramirez had reportedly agreed to terms with the Red Sox hours earlier, meaning Sandoval's addition complicated an already complex infield situation. But this piece isn't about the Red Sox or how they intend to cram so many talented players into one lineup. Rather, this piece is about the most jarring aspect of the deal: Sandoval leaving San Francisco.

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December 1, 2014 6:00 am

2015 Prospects: Boston Red Sox Top 10 Prospects

33

Chris Mellen and BP Prospect Staff

Yet again, the Red Sox boast a deep system with plenty of talent at various stages of development.

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November 26, 2014 6:00 am

Daisy Cutter: Jon Lester's New Peers

2

Sahadev Sharma

Two years after an anomalous bottoming out came the anomalous career year for baseball's next $100 million free agent.

As we head into the Thanksgiving weekend, the Jon Lester rumors are getting as hot as Craig Goldstein’s pie takes. The Cubs have supposedly offered a six-year deal worth more than $135 million, and are willing to go higher. There have been only seven $100-plus million deals handed out to pitchers on the open market since Kevin Brown broke the barrier in 1998, and just two of those pitchers (Brown and Cliff Lee) were past their age-30 seasons when they signed. Add in the fact that there’s never been an offseason in which two free agent pitchers both got nine-figure deals—as Lester and Max Scherzer are poised to do—and it’s shaping up to be a very spendy winter.

Lester provides a really interesting study as to what sort of pitcher, and what sort of career trajectory, is worth this type of money. Why do front offices deem Lester worthy of a deal that’s likely to open so many eyes?

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November 25, 2014 4:48 pm

Transaction Analysis: Red Sox Do Whatever They Want

37

Sam Miller and Ben Carsley

The Red Sox break character to sign Pablo Sandoval and Hanley Ramirez to long deals. How to react?



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November 25, 2014 6:00 am

Baseball Therapy: The Timeshare DH

3

Russell A. Carleton

Should designated hitters be only loosely designated?

Let’s have a debate about the DH. No, not that debate. The debate that a few American League teams are having as they gather around to eat turkey and cranberries. Should we sign (or trade for) a guy to be our full-time designated hitter?

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November 25, 2014 4:38 am

Rumor Roundup: Revenge is a Dish Best Served Immediately

3

Daniel Rathman

The Giants could get back at the Red Sox, who might also be in the mix for Cole Hamels. Meanwhile, John Jaso might soon have access to cheap prescription pills.

Could Giants pivot to Jon Lester?

Pablo Sandoval has shipped up to Boston, opening up both the third-base position in San Francisco and some $20 million in the club’s annual budget for 2015-2019. But according to San Francisco Chronicle beat writer Hank Schulman, the Giants might not use their newfound financial wiggle room to replace the Panda at the hot corner:

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November 5, 2014 6:00 am

Transaction Analysis: Lind Blows Out of Toronto

3

R.J. Anderson and Mike Gianella

The Brewers trade for a first baseman, the Twins hire Paul Molitor, and the Red Sox get closer certainty.

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The seven-time All-Star is calling it a career.

Few players have combined the speed, power and positional scarcity that the young Alfonso Soriano did; if nothing else, you'll remember him forever for that league you won (or lost) because of how incredible his fantasy production was. Soriano announced Tuesday that he will retire, so to honor the career of the only man ever traded for Brad Wilkerson, here are 15 years of Soriano's comments in the Baseball Prospectus Annual.

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November 3, 2014 6:00 am

Fantasy Team Preview: Boston Red Sox

2

Ben Carsley

Just one year removed from a championship, John Farrell's squad will look to bounce back in 2015.

The Boston Red Sox are a team in transition. They feature some established stars who figure to contribute significantly to fantasy squads once again in 2015. They roster plenty of young players and veterans who are inconsistent enough to make fantasy forecasting difficult. And they feature a handful of players who should send fantasy owners running for the hills.

But despite their disappointing 2014 campaign, there's a lot of talent both young and old on this roster. The Red Sox have a ton of talent on offense, some intriguing relief candidates, and there are people who still start, too, but shh, let's not talk about them.

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October 31, 2014 6:00 am

Skewed Left: Those Lucky Red Sox

19

Zachary Levine

Perhaps the 88-win Giants had luck on their side in winning the 2014 World Series, but can the same be said for the 97-win 2013 Red Sox?

We as a community tended to view our 2014 bracket champion San Francisco Giants, not to mention the Royals who finished a neck behind, as a little bit lucky. Hence, the rather dismissive language associated with the seventh and 10th best teams from the regular season, the latter being the one crowned champion. Hence, the discussion of whether the playoff structure had failed us.

We didn’t – OK, fine, I didn’t – want any runners-up winning short series and fluking their way to a title in a sport that used to be designed to reward the start-to-finish steady.

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