Country Breakfast is only 28 years old, but is his still-young age enough reason to think that his fantasy value could rebound?
A week ago, we dissected Michael Wacha’s recent drop in velocity and his dramatic decrease in swings-and-misses. The article aimed to make a larger point about small sample sizes and how fantasy owners can identify trend changes in small samples, only to subsequently track them to determine if the small sample is actually indicative of something larger and more permanent. A week later, the St. Louis Cardinals placed Wacha on the DL with shoulder issues, and it appears that small sample was hinting at something larger.
Though y’all slacked in the comments earlier in the month, the suggestions from last week were strong. I almost grabbed Garrett Richards, because he’s enjoyed such an interesting breakout this year, but I wanted to focus on a position player this week. Considering the amount of Billy Butler questions that have been flying through the Bat Signal over the past couple months, I grabbed the recommendation from BP reader D1Johnson. If you have a specific player you’d like to see in this space next week, be sure to leave your suggestions for next week in the comments, or feel free to reach out to me on Twitter (@JP_Breen).
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A look at the hitters who could outperform their PECOTA projections in RBI.
One of the fun ways we all try to outsmart our opponents in fantasy is by searching for hidden value in players who, for one reason or another, we suspect have the ability to outpace their projections (and, relatedly, their draft cost). Our Darkhorses series features staff picks for players who could very well outpace their PECOTA projections for the year and provide the top overall production in one of the standard five-by-five categories. We’ve all picked one player currently projected by PECOTA to fall outside of the top 10 and one longer-shot player currently projected outside of the top 25. We’ll take a look at offense this week and pitching next. For the earlier editions in this series, click below:
An Oakland arm changes his arsenal, and Billy Butler dusts off his glove.
A.J. Griffin cuts his cutter
Some of the most interesting stories to come out of spring training surround players who make material changes and are open about them with the media. A.J. Griffin, who ate 200 innings for the Athletics last year but served up 36 home runs along the way, is one of those players.
Newcomer Jason Vargas is just "a guy" in fantasy leagues, but the Royals boast several returning players who are worthy of your attention.
One of the songs of summer, if not the song of summer was Daft Punk’s Get Lucky. The electronic music duo’s smash hit also serves as the overriding factor of what determines fantasy champions over the course of a grueling baseball season. Call it chance, call it fortune, call it what you want to call it (wait, that’s a different song), luck is unavoidable. Either good or bad rolls of the dice affect all of us as we try to navigate our way through the labyrinth that is living vicariously through the accomplishment of others. But, as summer gave way to fall and fantasy playoffs ended, Get Lucky has given way to another pop hit… Royals by Lorde.
“And baby I'll rule, I'll rule, I'll rule, I'll rule / Let me live that fantasy.”
These players are valuable fantasy hitters, but their versatility will be diminished in 2014.
For fantasy owners, nothing is quite so scary as the prospect of a good player taking a huge hit to his value thanks to a loss of positional eligibility. It happens every year, but it’s always tough to see a productive catcher move off the position, a great shortstop transition to third base or a floundering middle infielder make a shift to the outfield.
We tend to think of first base, in particular, as a position meant for mashers and as a fantasy gold mine. This is true, of course, but it’s also true because first base is the “back up” position for so many good players. If your catcher is a key cog in your offense, you try to sneak him PA at first. If your third baseman or corner outfielder is aging, you might try to get him some rest on the right side of the infield.
When you imagine the awful accident that will someday result from a broken bat, you probably think about the pitcher first, then maybe the baserunner coming down the third base line, then a corner infielder, and then maybe a fan. But, of course, the catcher is closer to that bat than all of them, and it actually only takes a little bit of imagination to see how a broken bat could theoretically endanger a catcher. Or, if you have no imagination, a GIF.
The tater trots for May 26: three walkoffs and a season-best quick trot from Bryce Harper. Quite the day.
Saturday was a busy day. There were three walkoff home runs, a pair of super-quick trots, a first career home run and more. Chances are, no matter what game you were watching, you saw something pretty great.
The tater trots for April 25: Cespedes bests Konerko and Rolen keeps pace with Hudson.
After watching so many home runs over the last 2+ years, I've come to have a number of favorite players to watch on their tater trots: Scott Rolen, Billy Butler, Adrian Beltre, David Ortiz, and plenty more. It's always nice, then, when a number of them all hit home runs on the same night, like many did on Wednesday. Top that off with some of the big flies that we saw last night, it was a good day for home runs.