Mike uses evidence from 2008 top-prospect lists to evaluate the merits of targeting minor leaguers in "dump" trades.
Most fantasy web sites and other resources do little if any analysis on playing for next year, or what is known less elegantly as “dumping.” Some analysts refuse to even acknowledge that it is part of the game and advise that it is always best to trade with this year in mind and worry about future consequences next year.
In reality, if you’re in a keeper league, you will probably have to give up and play for next year sooner or later. If other teams are building rosters for 2014 around cheap players such as Bryce Harper, Matt Harvey, and Shelby Miller, and you are sitting back while your team languishes in seventh place with little hope of winning, you are not doing yourself any favors.
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Baseball Prospectus visits some old friends in the Lone Star state
Baseball Prospectus and the Houston Astros invite you to join us for a great day of baseball on Saturday, May 11 at Minute Maid Park. Thanks to the fine folks in the Astros front office, we are proud to be able to offer our guests the following:
One of our founders delivers a BP PowerPoint presentation to a group of publishers, and to you.
Baseball Prospectus has been around for awhile. And while we're very proud of the work we're doing today, we're also proud of the work we've done in the past. Some of you have been reading BP since the beginning. Others have subscribed more recently. Maybe some of you are visiting for the first time for our Free Friday promotion and don't know anything about us. Regardless of how long you've had a subscription (or whether you have one at all), if you want to brush up on our history and progression from unknown outsiders to respected publishers of intelligent, irreverent baseball commentary, watching this video would not be a bad idea.
Please read this important announcement about your Baseball Prospectus account information.
Update: we sent out our password reset emails, and the domain used on them is bbp.cx, not baseballprospectus.com . bbp.cx is owned by Baseball Prospectus and is actually just a mirror of our baseballprospectus.com domain. We used the shorter URL to keep mailreaders from wrapping and breaking it. Apologies for the confusion.
On April 28, 2012, we disconnected the Baseball Prospectus email server from the Internet because it was behaving erratically. On May 6, 2012, we discovered that there had been an unauthorized intrusion into that server, which we believe lasted less than 24 hours. At the time, it did not appear that any subscriber information had been compromised. We immediately put in place strict measures to prevent any further compromise to member information via our other servers.
Follow your favorite MLB teams and players throughout the season with Baseball Prospectus analysis that includes team overviews, player assessments, detailed stats, and 2012 projections for over 2000 players.
I'm very excited to announce that Dan Brooks, Harry Pavlidis, and Brooks Baseball have agreed to team up and join forces with Baseball Prospectus. BrooksBaseball.net is the premier site for PITCHf/x analysis and pitch classification. Harry has spent countless hours breaking down the movement, trajectory, and speed of each pitch thrown by every pitcher since 2007, making analysis simple and easy for anyone interested in examining major-league pitching.
Stadium Tour continues with The Newberg Report in Texas
Baseball Prospectus, The Newberg Report and the Texas Rangers invite you to join us for a great day of baseball on Sunday, June 24 at Rangers Ballpark.Thanks to the fine folks in the Rangers front office, we are proud to be able to offer our guests the following:
White Sox unveil their new manager for his first home opener, Jim Leyland isn't saying much but Kenny Williams is, and something is askew around home plate.
CHICAGO -- Friday marked Robin Ventura's first home game in uniform as a member of the White Sox since Sept. 20, 1998. He was asked if he remembered his last game at then-Comiskey Park. He didn't. But of course, we can look it up. He went 1 for 3 with a walk against the Red Sox, batting behind Frank Thomas and Albert Belle.
Baseball Prospectus is looking for interns for 2012, specifically for the spring and summer academic quarters (or immediately, if available now). Before applying, please ensure that you can devote at least 10 hours per week to tasks including, but not limited to, interesting and rewarding baseball stuff. Internships are unpaid aside from the famous free Baseball Prospectus Premium subscription for life, and you must receive college credit for your internship. Please be sure your application email mentions the period during which you wish to work.
Baseball Prospectus interns have the opportunity to do great things. Editorial interns will immediately contribute to the operations of a site that publishes dozens of articles per week. Technical interns can lead lasting, important projects, as former BP super-intern Ben Murphy did with the Player Forecast Manager. Many interns have contributed bylined content during their internships, and others have worked extensively on Baseball Prospectus book projects. One former intern was just named Managing Editor. Basically, become an intern, and before long, you could have my job. (Come to think of it, I probably shouldn't even be posting this.) Baseball Prospectus interns have also gone on to work part- or full-time elsewhere in the baseball industry, and there are many former Baseball Prospectus interns in front offices around the major leagues.
We all know wins aren't a good way to judge pitchers, but we'd miss them if they went away.
"My choice for the front-runner is Welch, but I know a lot of people say Clemens. I know what Clemens has done for Boston, but now is not the time to change the rules. The guys who won it the last three years won the most games and had good stats. If Bob Welch continues to win at this pace, and he doesn't get it, something is terribly wrong with the judging." | A's pitcher Dave Stewart, in a 1990 Sports Illustrated story on that season's Cy Young voting
Bob Welch had just won his 20th game when his Oakland teammate was asked about the voting, and it was just Aug. 17. It was his 13th season and the first and last time that the 33-year-old Welch would win 20 games.