Mike uses evidence from 2008 top-prospect lists to evaluate the merits of targeting minor leaguers in "dump" trades.
Most fantasy web sites and other resources do little if any analysis on playing for next year, or what is known less elegantly as “dumping.” Some analysts refuse to even acknowledge that it is part of the game and advise that it is always best to trade with this year in mind and worry about future consequences next year.
In reality, if you’re in a keeper league, you will probably have to give up and play for next year sooner or later. If other teams are building rosters for 2014 around cheap players such as Bryce Harper, Matt Harvey, and Shelby Miller, and you are sitting back while your team languishes in seventh place with little hope of winning, you are not doing yourself any favors.
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Mike examines whether games-finished clauses are indicative of future save opportunties.
When I was a small child everything I knew about baseball came from either the back of a baseball card or what the local color guys for the Yankees and Mets told me on TV. During this impressionable age, I remember reading about Steve Stone winning the Cy Young Award in 1980 and how he earned a $10,000 bonus for his trouble. As an impressionable lad, I figured that for Stone to have this bonus in his contract he had to be an excellent pitcher. Some superficial research told me that this wasn’t the case at all; Stone was a solid-but-unspectacular pitcher. As I learned from the back of this particular baseball card, the bonus clause was put into the contract, but it was something the Orioles figured he’d never collect.
“It was like an insurance salesman telling you, ‘We’ll give you $50,000 if an elephant falls on you,’ because he knows darn well an elephant isn’t going to fall on you,” Stone said at the time.
With the 2012 baseball season finally upon us, it's time to announce BP's full slate of interactive events...designed to bring you, our fans and readers, closer to all the action.
Beginning on May 5, we launch our 2012 ballpark tour in St. Petersburg, Florida with the Tampa Bay Rays. From there, the tour continues with confirmed stops in San Diego, New York, Anaheim, Arlington, Minnesota, Kansas City, and Houston. We've partnered with Major League Baseball teams across the country and other great organizations like the Negro League Baseball Museum, The Newberg Report, The Royalman Report, and Royals Authority to bring you a fabulous experience every step of the way. Each event includes a one to two hour pregame discussion and Q & A session with members of Baseball Prospectus, special guests, and baseball operations representatives. Additional activities will be planned for All-Star Sunday in Kansas City.
Please read this important announcement about your Baseball Prospectus account information.
Update: we sent out our password reset emails, and the domain used on them is bbp.cx, not baseballprospectus.com . bbp.cx is owned by Baseball Prospectus and is actually just a mirror of our baseballprospectus.com domain. We used the shorter URL to keep mailreaders from wrapping and breaking it. Apologies for the confusion.
On April 28, 2012, we disconnected the Baseball Prospectus email server from the Internet because it was behaving erratically. On May 6, 2012, we discovered that there had been an unauthorized intrusion into that server, which we believe lasted less than 24 hours. At the time, it did not appear that any subscriber information had been compromised. We immediately put in place strict measures to prevent any further compromise to member information via our other servers.
Baseball Prospectus is looking for interns for 2012, specifically for the spring and summer academic quarters (or immediately, if available now). Before applying, please ensure that you can devote at least 10 hours per week to tasks including, but not limited to, interesting and rewarding baseball stuff. Internships are unpaid aside from the famous free Baseball Prospectus Premium subscription for life, and you must receive college credit for your internship. Please be sure your application email mentions the period during which you wish to work.
Baseball Prospectus interns have the opportunity to do great things. Editorial interns will immediately contribute to the operations of a site that publishes dozens of articles per week. Technical interns can lead lasting, important projects, as former BP super-intern Ben Murphy did with the Player Forecast Manager. Many interns have contributed bylined content during their internships, and others have worked extensively on Baseball Prospectus book projects. One former intern was just named Managing Editor. Basically, become an intern, and before long, you could have my job. (Come to think of it, I probably shouldn't even be posting this.) Baseball Prospectus interns have also gone on to work part- or full-time elsewhere in the baseball industry, and there are many former Baseball Prospectus interns in front offices around the major leagues.
Baseball Prospectus welcomes aboard fresh talent to the regular staff for the new year.
I want to show you something personal I think about a lot. It’s a picture that suggests to me how random existence can be, how good things can come from unexpected events. This is a picture of the Free French Battleship Richelieutaken about February 1943:
With Albert Pujols, the Cardinals should be a NL Central favorite next season
Kiss 'Em Goodbye is a series focusing on MLB teams as their postseason dreams fade—whether in September (or before), the league division series, league championship series or World Series. It combines a broad overview from Baseball Prospectus, a front-office take from former MLB GM Jim Bowden, a best- and worst-case scenario ZiPS projection for 2012 from Dan Szymborski, and Kevin Goldstein's farm-system overview.