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December 3, 2013 7:26 am

Fantasy Team Preview: Detroit Tigers

3

Paul Sporer

Miguel Cabrera and a stellar group of starters lead the way, but are their other fantasy assets on Brad Ausmus' squad?

It’s hard to label the 2013 season a disappointment for a team that sat just two wins away from the World Series, but when you enter the season as an odds-on favorite to at least make it, if not win it, then anything short of that has at least a tinge of disappointment. The star power helped carry the Tigers to another AL Central Division title and they were once again a big part of awards season, netting another MVP and Cy Young.

It wasn’t a team without flaws, though. A severe lack of flexibility with their offensive pieces was on display throughout the final month and into the playoffs, as Miguel Cabrera seemed to be playing at around 70 percent health, but had to continue manning third base since they were locked in with a full-time DH who was among their best hitters throughout the summer. Any amount of shifting to get Cabrera in at DH or even first base would’ve led to multiple players being out of position.

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July 24, 2013 6:00 am

What You Need to Know: Another Bad Night for the Blue Jays

4

Daniel Rathman

Toronto's nightmare season continues with a blown lead against Los Angeles.

The Tuesday Takeaway
Ben Lindbergh wrote on Monday that while “Toronto is still disappointing … the Dodgers are on their way to being about as good as expected.” Never was that more evident than in the middle match between those teams on Tuesday night.

The Blue Jays jumped out to a 2-0 lead in the bottom of the third inning, on an RBI double by Jose Reyes and a run-scoring single by Jose Bautista. The Dodgers charged back in the top of the third, on an RBI double by Andre Ethier and a run-scoring single by Mark Ellis. But the Blue Jays countered those equalizers with two more runs, on a homer by Mark DeRosa and a sacrifice fly by Brett Lawrie, in the ensuing half-inning.


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April 10, 2013 5:00 am

Sobsequy: Austin Jackson's Most Valuable Future

0

Adam Sobsey

Might Austin Jackson have a Trout-like season ahead of him?

When making my choices for last week’s pre-season BP staff predictions, I nearly included the Tigers’ Austin Jackson on my MVP ballot. I settled on safer choices: Miguel Cabrera, Evan Longoria, and Mike Trout, who took three of the top four spots in the cumulative staff voting results.

Jackson, though, while not an obvious candidate, is at least a defensible choice by one important advanced metric. He finished tied for 10th in BWARP last year at 5.8. Yet although 12 of the top 16 players in BWARP from 2012 appear on BP’s 2013 pre-season MVP ballot this year, Jackson is not among them. Perhaps this has to do with PECOTA, which projects his WARP to fall to 2.7 WARP, making him less than half as valuable, overall, as he was last year. He is also projected for a big drop in TAv—over 40 points’ worth. But since PECOTA makes a strong case against A-Jax for 2013, let’s make the MVP case for one of the most valuable players in baseball last year. The ultimate goal here, though, is to consider the complexities of predicting.

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December 14, 2012 5:00 am

The Keeper Reaper: Outfielders for 12/14/12

10

Paul Singman

Cespedes, Reddick, A-Jax, and Granderson make up Paul's first batch of keeper candidates.

Yoenis Cespedes | Oakland A’s
Shallow (30 Keepers):
No
Medium (60 Keepers): Yes
Deep (90 Keepers): Yes
AL-only (60 Keepers): Yes
Super Deep (200 Keepers): Yes

Cespedes, Oakland’s big free-agent splash of last offseason, debuted in the spring to a multitude of swirling questions. Would his Cuban League stats translate to the majors? Does his viral training video of him doing four-foot squat jumps substantiate his baseball abilities? Is he really the perfect combination of speed and power? Fairly early into the season it became clear that the answer to all of these questions was, indeed, yes. By the end of April, he was batting .250 and had already tallied five homers and four steals, proving himself a valuable fantasy asset.






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Ben and Sam discuss the state of the Brewers, which is a lot like the state of the Phillies, then talk about Max Scherzer's long-awaited improvement and which team won the 2009 trade that brought him to Detroit.

Ben and Sam discuss the state of the Brewers, which is a lot like the state of the Phillies, then talk about Max Scherzer's long-awaited improvement and which team won the 2009 trade that brought him to Detroit.

Episode 41: "The Brewers Are Back in Contention, Technically/Max Scherzer and the Tigers' 2009 Trade Revisited"

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Ben and Sam discuss Austin Jackson's excellent catch, whether he's the best defensive center fielder in baseball, and whether it's even possible to decide one way or another, then dissect Seattle's eight-game winning streak to see if it's the start of something good or a fluke that will soon be forgotten.

Ben and Sam discuss Austin Jackson's excellent catch, whether he's the best defensive center fielder in baseball, and whether it's even possible to decide one way or another, then dissect Seattle's eight-game winning streak to see if it's the start of something good or a fluke that will soon be forgotten.

Effectively Wild Episode 28: "Austin Jackson and Debating Defense/What Does the Mariners' Winning Streak Mean?"

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June 13, 2012 9:21 am

The Prospectus Hit List: Wednesday, June 13

5

Jason Wojciechowski

In which the eternal LOLyals vs. RoyLOLs debate is addressed.

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The tater trots for April 21: Paul Konerko helps a perfect game, Todd Helton & Austin Jackson set things right in the world.

Let's make this a quick one. Time for the trots!

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February 8, 2012 2:26 am

Bates' Dugout Motel: Who's Your Baseball Boyfriend?

6

Michael Bates

We use expert boyfriend criteria to pare down the list of possible Baseball Boyfriends and arrive at the only possible selection.

Yesterday on the Twitters, word spread like wildfire of Baseball Boyfriends, a new CBS Fantasy Sports app that “is a single draftee fantasy sports mini game designed for girls. Pick your boyfriend for the season, dump him if he can't perform and pick up a new BBBF. Boyfriends [sic] earn you points daily. Girl with the most points at the end wins.”

I was disappointed to find out that men, gay or straight, did not seem to be welcome in this fantasy league.  Also, as the father of a very young girl, I was a more than a little concerned about the way that the stats are presented to women, as if they assume that the women who play their game can’t handle statistics that aren’t on crumpled notebook paper covered in hearts.  After all, there are women who play in my leagues, which tend to have a very stark presentation of the players and relevant stats, and these women regularly kick my ass. What a shame that the opportunity to pick a baseball boyfriend wasn’t afforded to me as well.

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September 17, 2010 8:00 am

Ahead in the Count: High BABIPs and True Skill Level

13

Matt Swartz

Look at which direction some hitters with high batting averages on balls in play are likely headed in 2011.

Last week, I discussed several pitchers who were pitching well in front of or well behind their peripherals using SIERA. This week, I will discuss several hitters who have particularly high BABIPs, and how much of that performance is skill versus luck.

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May 12, 2010 8:22 am

On the Beat: A Tiger of a New Stripe

3

John Perrotto

Center fielder Austin Jackson is making an unorthodox early run at AL Rookie of the Year honors, along with other notes.

One thing is certain about Jim Leyland: When the Tigers' manager says he doesn't want to talk about a subject, he winds up talking about it. The subject of Tigers rookie center fielder and leadoff hitter Austin Jackson was broached to Leyland recently. His first response was to downplay the exploits of the 23-year-old, who was acquired from the Yankees as a part of a three-way trade at December's winter meetings that also included the Diamondbacks. The Tigers not only acquired Jackson but asked him to fill the big shoes of Curtis Granderson, an All-Star and one of the game's top personalities, who was sent to the Yankees in the deal.

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Pegging BP's favorites in both leagues, in the standings and for the major awards.

Today we reveal the Baseball Prospectus staff predictions for the division standings and the major player awards (MVP, Cy Young, and Rookie of the Year) in the American and National Leagues. Each staff member's division standings predictions may be found later in the article. Here, we present a wisdom-of-the-crowds summary of the results. In each table you'll find the average rank of each team in their division with first-place votes in parentheses, plus the results of our pre-season MVP, Cy Young, and Rookie of the Year voting. Picking favorites for the Wild Card for the respective leagues initially might have seemed easy, since the selections universally favored the second-place team in the AL East, while all but two voters picked their second-place teams in the NL East to earn the non-division champ playoff team, but a tie in the rankings had to be broken in favor of the team named the Wild Card winner on the most individual ballots, which is sure to upset some people.

For the MVP voting, we've slightly amended the traditional points system in place that's been used elsewhere, dropping fourth- and fifth-place votes to make it 10-7-5 for the MVP Award, and the regular 5-3-1 for the Cy Young and Rookie of the Year Awards (that's 5 points for a first-place vote, 3 points for a second-place vote, etc.). Next to each of these selections we've listed the total number of ballots, followed by the total number of points, and then the number of first-place votes in parentheses, if any were received.

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