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04-15

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9

The Quinton: Three Auction Takeaways
by
Jeff Quinton

04-02

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6

Fantasy Auction Values: Fourth Edition, 2015
by
Mike Gianella

03-26

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4

Expert League Auction Recap: Tout Wars: General Impressions
by
Mike Gianella

03-26

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9

Fantasy Auction Values: Third Edition, 2015
by
Mike Gianella

03-26

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4

Fantasy Freestyle: Endgame Picks
by
Nick Shlain

03-24

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9

Expert League Auction Recap: National League Tout Wars
by
Mike Gianella

03-19

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10

Fantasy Auction Values: Second Edition, 2015
by
Mike Gianella

03-16

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13

Fantasy Freestyle: Case Studies of Two Auctions
by
Mike Gianella

03-11

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8

Expert League Auction Recap: LABR National League
by
Mike Gianella

03-10

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2

Expert League Auction Recap: LABR American League
by
Mike Gianella

03-03

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5

Expert League Auction Recap: CBS NL-Only
by
Keith Cromer and Mike Gianella

03-02

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8

Expert League Auction Recap: CBS AL-Only
by
Keith Cromer

02-23

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50

Fantasy Auction Values: First Edition, 2015
by
Mike Gianella

02-18

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4

The Quinton: The Players We Overlook and the Ambiguity Effect
by
Jeff Quinton

02-02

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5

The Quinton: Perceived Inflation and Nominating With Intention
by
Jeff Quinton

01-05

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1

Fantasy Players to Target: Catchers
by
BP Fantasy Staff

12-16

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10

Fantasy Freestyle: The Trouble With Tiers
by
Mike Gianella

04-21

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31

Fantasy Freestyle: Why 70/30?
by
Mike Gianella

04-14

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2

Fantasy Freestyle: Auction Leagues and Salary/Contract Dynamics
by
Mike Gianella

04-02

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14

Fantasy Freestyle: Strategic Agility on Auction Day
by
Jeff Quinton

03-25

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17

Tout Wars Recap
by
Mike Gianella

03-21

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11

Fantasy Auction Values: Fourth Edition
by
Mike Gianella

03-18

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23

Fantasy Freestyle: The PFM, My Bid Limits, and You
by
Mike Gianella

03-14

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9

Fantasy Auction Values: Third Edition
by
Mike Gianella

03-06

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11

Fantasy Freestyle: Prospect Theory on Draft Day
by
Jeff Quinton

02-26

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45

Fantasy Auction Values: First Edition
by
Mike Gianella

02-20

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13

Mock Auction Analysis
by
Mike Gianella

12-10

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19

Fantasy Freestyle: Mixed-League Hitter Valuation
by
Mike Gianella

06-17

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3

Fantasy Freestyle: Auction Data: Where the Bargains Fall
by
Mike Gianella

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April 15, 2015 6:00 am

The Quinton: Three Auction Takeaways

9

Jeff Quinton

A few lessons Jeff learned from his auctions this spring.

Having completed an AL only auction last Saturday and an NL only auction two Saturdays ago, I have three takeaways/learnings to discuss to help us (read: me) in future auctions. They are not big enough to be their own article, but their weak connection is strong enough to form an article. Please find these three takeaways below:

1. Don’t fear the endgame

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April 2, 2015 6:00 am

Fantasy Auction Values: Fourth Edition, 2015

6

Mike Gianella

Mike updates his bid limits based on the latest news from around the league.

Finally, after months of arguing about awards, arguing about Hall of Famers, watching the football playoffs out of sheer boredom, watching the NCAA men’s basketball tournament out of sheer boredom, and arguing about Kris Bryant’s service time, we’re almost there. Three days from now, the Cardinals and Cubs will kick off the regular season in Sunday night primetime, and once again all will be right with the world.

We are close enough to the start of the season that most of the adjustments in this update are on the bottom end guys. For home leagues that are more traditional and auction this weekend (or next weekend), this is the list I want to be able to use with confidence. I’m not looking to make significant changes, so there are only going to be a few players listed below who are above the $10 bid threshold who I will actually write a little blurb about below.

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March 26, 2015 6:00 am

Expert League Auction Recap: Tout Wars: General Impressions

4

Mike Gianella

Mike compares the AL and NL LABR and Tout Wars auctions.

On Tuesday, I wrote about how I did in my NL-only Tout Wars auction. Today, I will take a broader look at what happened in both of the mono leagues.

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March 26, 2015 6:00 am

Fantasy Auction Values: Third Edition, 2015

9

Mike Gianella

Mike updates his recommended bid limits based on the latest news.

The third update of my fantasy auction values brings another set of dollar values to look at, this time from the expert Tout Wars auctions, which were held this past weekend in New York City. Having a troika of expert auctions to look at gives us even more expert opinions to look at, and gives me yet another opportunity to move my prices up or down based on events at the auctions.

This isn’t the only reason I move my prices up or down, of course. Breaking news can also influence my bid limits for better or worse. This isn’t an exercise in being reactive to every little tidbit of news coming out of Florida or Arizona but rather an opportunity to adjust prices based on larger scale news.

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March 26, 2015 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: Endgame Picks

4

Nick Shlain

A few possible bargains with which to round out your auctions.

Much of my writing for Baseball Prospectus so far has been about AL-only deep league targets, but even though the following players each reside in the AL, for the purposes of this article these recommendations are intended to be for the endgame in mixed leagues.

Daniel NorrisToronto Blue Jays

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Clayton Kershaw heads up Mike's Tout squad.

If I manage to win Tout Wars this year, I owe my colleague Jeff Quinton an adult beverage. Or perhaps a tasty submarine sandwich from his favorite convenience store food chain.

If you don’t read Quinton’s work here at Baseball Prospectus (and if you don’t, you’re doing yourself a great disservice), he talks at great length about allowing past results to create the framework for bad decision-making. And while I liked to think I wasn’t doing this when it comes to Tout Wars this is exactly what I have been doing up until this year.

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March 19, 2015 6:00 am

Fantasy Auction Values: Second Edition, 2015

10

Mike Gianella

Mike updates his recommended bids based on expert auctions and recent news.

Below is the second update of my fantasy bid limits for AL-only, NL-only, and mixed leagues for auction formats. Listed below are the players whose prices have been shifted by two dollars or more in either direction. In most cases, I moved my prices up or down based on the results from the CBS and LABR NL and AL-only auctions in late February and early March. I may be all hot and bothered by Anthony Gose, but if his price is sitting in the mid-single digits in AL-only, there is little if any reason that I should be pushing him to $13. On the other hand, the purpose of this exercise isn’t solely to adjust bid limits based on what players went for in LABR. I want to express a preference, not merely follow the herd.

Adjustments below are for AL and NL only in the case of significant players whose value moved up or down by two dollars or more in either direction. Appropriate mixed bid adjustments will be reflected in the table at the bottom of this article.

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March 16, 2015 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: Case Studies of Two Auctions

13

Mike Gianella

Mike examines the rosters purchased by a couple of experts in AL- and NL-only auctions.

On March 7 and 8, LABR held their AL and NL-only auctions in Phoenix, Arizona. Last week, I recapped both auctions for Baseball Prospectus (links for the American League and National League). Today, I thought I’d take a deeper look at some of the auction strategies for two participants: Chris Liss of Rotowire in the American League and Doug Dennis of Baseball HQ in the American League.

I didn’t randomly select their auctions out of a hat for review. Liss and Dennis both had very strong auctions, even though they have completely different approaches and philosophies regarding auction management and roster philosophy. By analyzing what they did and how they performed, I hope to provide assistance to Baseball Prospectus readers preparing for their own auctions later this month and in early April.

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Mike recaps the trends that emerged in the senior-circuit LABR auction, including a big one on the pitching side.

2015 marks the 22nd year of the League of Alternative Baseball Reality. Commonly known as LABR for short, this is the longest running and best-known of fantasy expert league in the game. Bret Sayre and I had the privilege of participating in the mixed league draft last month. This past weekend in Arizona, it was the AL and NL-only leagues’ turn. Yesterday, I took a look at the American League results. Today, I will look at the NL-only results. As a reminder, I’m less concerned about individual picks and more looking at the auction

If you want to see how the entire auction shook out, the results can be found here. My analysis is focused on auction trends that will hopefully help you in your own auctions this year. While it is fun to ooooh and aaaah over certain individual picks, it is far more useful to see if there are any significant shifts in expert spending. In my experience, what happens in LABR does have an influence in home league auction(s).

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Mike recaps his performance and the trends that emerged during the auction.

2015 marks the 22nd year of the League of Alternative Baseball Reality. Commonly known as LABR for short, this is the longest-running and best-known of fantasy expert league in the game. Bret Sayre and I had the privilege of participating in the mixed-league draft last month. This past weekend in Arizona, it was the AL and NL-only leagues’ turn. Today, I will take a look at the American League results. On Wednesday, I will look at the NL-only results.

If you want to see how the entire auction shook out, the results can be found here. My analysis is focused on auction trends that will hopefully help you in your own auctions this year. While it is fun to ooooh and aaaah over certain individual picks, it is far more useful to see if there are any significant shifts in expert spending. In my experience, what happens in LABR does have an influence in home league auction(s).

Read the full article...

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March 3, 2015 6:00 am

Expert League Auction Recap: CBS NL-Only

5

Keith Cromer and Mike Gianella

Keith and Mike share their thoughts coming out of the war room.

Last week, the CBS Fantasy team held their AL and NL-only expert league auctions. Baseball Prospectus had two representatives at the table, as Keith Cromer had the pleasure of participating in both the AL and NL auctions while I joined the NL auction for the second year in a row. Keith finished in a first place tie in the NL last year while I finished third.

Below are our recaps of how we did in the National League. The full results can be found here.

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March 2, 2015 6:00 am

Expert League Auction Recap: CBS AL-Only

8

Keith Cromer

On the heels of a second-place finish in 2014, Keith reviews how things played out in this year's auction.

For someone who enjoys fantasy baseball as much as I do, having the good fortune of participating in the CBS expert-league auctions the past few years has been a great experience. After 20 years or so of playing fantasy baseball, in countless leagues and scoring formats, having the opportunity to compete against industry experts is quite a treat. CBS is the first expert league to auction, before LABR and Tout Wars, which I enjoy, as I am not tempted to be persuaded in my player valuations by referencing the results of those other auctions. Sure, there are hours upon hours of preparation involved for an auction so early in the year, but the time spent is well worth it if you’re able to hoist the trophy at the end of the season.

While my drafting strategies will vary slightly from year to year depending upon my valuations at each position, I typically stay with the same basic premise: Construct a well balanced team. I am not a believer of dumping any one category, so I will always draft at least one closer as long as his cost is not above my sheet price, grab speed when the value presents itself, try to add a couple of 180-strikeout pitchers, and avoid adding more than two players who can drain my AVG.

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