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03-31

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8

Fantasy Auction Values: Fifth Edition, 2017
by
Mike Gianella

03-27

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1

Fantasy Freestyle: My First Auction of 2017
by
Scooter Hotz

03-24

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15

Fantasy Auction Values: Fourth Edition, 2017
by
Mike Gianella

03-23

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1

Fantasy Freestyle: Auction Prep: Auction Podcast Takeaways
by
Jeff Quinton

03-20

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4

Fantasy Freestyle: Adjusting for Smaller Leagues
by
Mike Gianella

03-17

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32

Fantasy Auction Values: Third Edition, 2017
by
Mike Gianella

03-10

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23

Fantasy Auction Values: Second Edition, 2017
by
Mike Gianella

03-09

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4

Expert League Auction Recap: 2017 LABR Overview
by
Mike Gianella

03-03

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7

Fantasy Freestyle: PECOTA, the PFM, My Bid Limits, and You
by
Mike Gianella

03-03

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40

Fantasy Auction Values: First Edition, 2017
by
Mike Gianella

04-05

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10

The Quinton: Keeper-League Auction Takeaways
by
Jeff Quinton

04-01

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7

Fantasy Auction Values: Fourth Edition, 2016
by
Mike Gianella

03-24

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4

Fantasy Freestyle: Auction Bargains
by
Scooter Hotz

03-22

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0

Expert League Auction Recap: Tout Wars: General Impressions
by
Mike Gianella

03-21

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6

Expert League Auction Recap: Tout Wars Mixed
by
Bret Sayre

02-29

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1

The Quinton: Partaking in Both Auctions and Drafts
by
Jeff Quinton

02-24

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54

Fantasy Auction Values: First Edition, 2016
by
Mike Gianella

01-05

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5

Fantasy Freestyle: Inflation 101
by
Mike Gianella

12-22

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3

Fantasy Freestyle: Adjusting for Different Types of Auctions
by
Mike Gianella

04-15

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9

The Quinton: Three Auction Takeaways
by
Jeff Quinton

04-02

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6

Fantasy Auction Values: Fourth Edition, 2015
by
Mike Gianella

03-26

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4

Expert League Auction Recap: Tout Wars: General Impressions
by
Mike Gianella

03-26

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9

Fantasy Auction Values: Third Edition, 2015
by
Mike Gianella

03-26

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4

Fantasy Freestyle: Endgame Picks
by
Nick Shlain

03-24

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9

Expert League Auction Recap: National League Tout Wars
by
Mike Gianella

03-19

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10

Fantasy Auction Values: Second Edition, 2015
by
Mike Gianella

03-16

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13

Fantasy Freestyle: Case Studies of Two Auctions
by
Mike Gianella

03-11

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8

Expert League Auction Recap: LABR National League
by
Mike Gianella

03-10

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2

Expert League Auction Recap: LABR American League
by
Mike Gianella

03-03

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5

Expert League Auction Recap: CBS NL-Only
by
Keith Cromer and Mike Gianella

03-02

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8

Expert League Auction Recap: CBS AL-Only
by
Keith Cromer

02-23

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50

Fantasy Auction Values: First Edition, 2015
by
Mike Gianella

02-18

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4

The Quinton: The Players We Overlook and the Ambiguity Effect
by
Jeff Quinton

02-02

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5

The Quinton: Perceived Inflation and Nominating With Intention
by
Jeff Quinton

01-05

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1

Fantasy Players to Target: Catchers
by
BP Fantasy Staff

12-16

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10

Fantasy Freestyle: The Trouble With Tiers
by
Mike Gianella

04-21

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31

Fantasy Freestyle: Why 70/30?
by
Mike Gianella

04-14

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2

Fantasy Freestyle: Auction Leagues and Salary/Contract Dynamics
by
Mike Gianella

04-02

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14

Fantasy Freestyle: Strategic Agility on Auction Day
by
Jeff Quinton

03-25

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17

Tout Wars Recap
by
Mike Gianella

03-21

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11

Fantasy Auction Values: Fourth Edition
by
Mike Gianella

03-18

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23

Fantasy Freestyle: The PFM, My Bid Limits, and You
by
Mike Gianella

03-14

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9

Fantasy Auction Values: Third Edition
by
Mike Gianella

03-06

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11

Fantasy Freestyle: Prospect Theory on Draft Day
by
Jeff Quinton

02-26

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45

Fantasy Auction Values: First Edition
by
Mike Gianella

02-20

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13

Mock Auction Analysis
by
Mike Gianella

12-10

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19

Fantasy Freestyle: Mixed-League Hitter Valuation
by
Mike Gianella

06-17

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3

Fantasy Freestyle: Auction Data: Where the Bargains Fall
by
Mike Gianella

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March 31, 2017 6:00 am

Fantasy Auction Values: Fifth Edition, 2017

8

Mike Gianella

Mike updates his bid limits for the final time this spring.

Here it is, the fifth and final bid limit update. Opening Day is Sunday (!) and at long last all that hard work and preparation will come to fruition with a kick ass auction this coming weekend. Updates below are either because of injury and playing time changes or because the results of the Tout Wars auctions this weekend made me reconsider a bid.

Changes of two dollars in either direction are listed below for players with significant value. Mixed league bids will reflect the same valuation change unless otherwise noted. Players whose prices have been updated because of the Tout Wars auction results will be updated in the AL and NL-only sections only.

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March 27, 2017 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: My First Auction of 2017

1

Scooter Hotz

Scooter recaps the results of his recent keeper-league auction.

Last night I had my first auction of the season. It’s my second season in the league, which is a more serious league than the one I wrote about last week. Like that league, though, a lot of the owners are more inclined towards fantasy football than fantasy baseball, which is why it’s a head-to-head league. Here are some other league settings for background:

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March 24, 2017 6:00 am

Fantasy Auction Values: Fourth Edition, 2017

15

Mike Gianella

Mike updates his bid limits based on the latest news and happenings around the league.

Below is my fourth bid limit update. As we get closer to Opening Day, the amount of individual bid updates will increase. This update is tied entirely to news and information about Spring Training. Next week’s update is the fifth and final bid limit update and will be chock full of changes based on breaking news as well as on what I saw at the Tout Wars expert auctions, which take place this coming weekend.

Changes of two dollars in either direction will be listed below for players with significant value. Mixed league bids will reflect the same valuation change unless otherwise noted.

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March 23, 2017 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: Auction Prep: Auction Podcast Takeaways

1

Jeff Quinton

After discussion his strategies on the Flags Fly Forever podcast this week, Jeff recaps what he learned to help you prepare for your league's auction.

Earlier this week, George and Mike from the Flags Fly Forever podcast were kind enough to have me on to discuss auction strategy and the decision-making process. When I write my articles from my typing cove (really, my apartment’s kitchenette), I do not get to bounce ideas off of people in real time or get to listen to the in-depth thoughts of others on auction strategy like I did when on the podcast. Consequently, the podcast (which you can listen to here) helped clarify and even bring to light some new beliefs and ideas that I believe will help us in our quest to improve our auction strategies, strategic process, and decision-making as we endeavor to chase flags that will fly forever. Again, I would highly recommend listening to the podcast, but additionally, I have recapped and expanded on some of the ideas and recommendations discussed—advice that I am going to be trying to heed come my final auction preparation this week and come my two auctions this weekend

1. Always prepare and analyze with opportunity cost in mind

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March 20, 2017 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: Adjusting for Smaller Leagues

4

Mike Gianella

Mike explains how to tweak his auction values when playing in leagues with fewer than 12 teams.

For those of you who use my bid limit articles, one of the most common requests I get is “how do I adjust these bid limits for smaller leagues?” This is a more common question for mono leagues, where even those souls brave enough to participate in AL or NL-only often play in eight or 10-team formats. My bid limits in mono leagues are designed for the old school, “traditional” 12-team mono leagues.

I used to play in a 10-team NL-only and came up with a rough but useful calculation to adjust my bids. I’ll use the hitter population as an example, but the same calculation can easily be used for pitchers as well. I’ll list the three steps below and explain each one in detail.

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March 17, 2017 6:00 am

Fantasy Auction Values: Third Edition, 2017

32

Mike Gianella

Mike updates his bid limits based on the latest news and happenings around the league.

Below is my third bid limit update. There aren’t too many changes this week. Once again, any changes of two dollars in either direction will be listed below for players with significant value. Mixed league bids will reflect the same valuation change unless otherwise noted.

AMERICAN LEAGUE

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March 10, 2017 6:00 am

Fantasy Auction Values: Second Edition, 2017

23

Mike Gianella

Mike updates his bid limits based on the latest news and happenings around the league.

Below is the second update of my fantasy bid limits for AL-only, NL-only, and mixed leagues for auction formats. Listed below are the players whose prices have been shifted by two dollars or more in either direction.

Most of this edition’s updates are based on what happened in the LABR NL and AL auctions this past weekend in Phoenix, Arizona. I have been asked in the past how the expert auctions influence my prices. That’s a good question that also gives me an opportunity to explain how I construct my bids.

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A closer look at the results of this year's League of Alternative Baseball Reality AL- and NL-only auctions.

This past weekend, some of the best and brightest minds in the fantasy baseball universe did battle in the League of Alternative Baseball Reality (LABR) AL- and NL-only auctions in Phoenix, Arizona. I participated in the LABR AL-only auction for the first time. If you missed the recap of my auction, you can read it here.

The idea behind today’s article is not to oooooh and aaaaah over every individual pick but rather to look at the auction from a broader perspective to try and help you in your upcoming auctions. This is an imperfect exercise, because new information will alter more than a few individual player prices over the next few weeks. However, the overall trends often do help in planning and preparation for your leagues.

Read the full article...

A look at how to make the most of BP's offerings in tandem with Mike's bid limits.

This column is designed to address the questions I commonly get about my published bid limits here at Baseball Prospectus, how they’re different from the prices in our Player Forecast Manager (PFM), and most importantly why they are useful. It would be impossible to address every question our readers have had about my pricing modeling versus what the PFM is and what it does, so I’ll start with a few of the most common questions our readers have had about both.

Are you planning on using the awful Q&A format for this article?

Read the full article...

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March 3, 2017 6:00 am

Fantasy Auction Values: First Edition, 2017

40

Mike Gianella

Mike unveils his initial bid limits for fantasy auctions this spring.

Welcome to the first installment of Baseball Prospectus’ 2017 bid prices for “standard” Rotisserie-style formats.

In the tables below, you will find my recommended bid limits for AL-only, NL-only, and mixed leagues. For AL and NL-only, the bid limits are designed for 12 teams, $260 budgets per team, 14 hitters, and nine pitchers. For mixed leagues, the bid limits are for 15 teams, $260 budgets per team, 14 hitters, and nine pitchers. The bids are not predictions of what these players will do, but rather suggested prices. While most of what I expect these players to do is based on projected statistics and values, other factors play a role in the bid prices. These factors include:

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April 5, 2016 6:00 am

The Quinton: Keeper-League Auction Takeaways

10

Jeff Quinton

Jeff shares a couple of lessons learned over the weekend in his -only league auctions.

On Saturday, I participated in my NL-only keeper-league auction. On Sunday, I participated in my AL-only keeper-league auction. Below are some takeaways from these auctions.

Spending with the Market
One way discounts come to be in an auction is when the market overvalues a particular player or type of player (for example, pitching), which then leaves owners without enough money to pay market price for players elsewhere (for example, hitting). It can be tempting to “spend with the market,” especially when we are being shut out of a position (for example, closers) or when we are weak in a particular area. My advice, especially in a keeper league, would be to pass on overpriced players, take the values elsewhere, and then trade those values (likely keepers) for whatever was going at a premium in the auction. Depending on your league’s trade activity (or lack of activity), this may or may not be possible, but I am still inclined to pass on certain areas and potentially dominate other areas rather than overspend. For one, this allows us to hold advantages elsewhere, but this also helps us on the waiver wire. Owners who overpay for certain players are likely to hold on to them too long and are also more likely to throw back usable players to fill in the gaps created by overspending.


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April 1, 2016 6:00 am

Fantasy Auction Values: Fourth Edition, 2016

7

Mike Gianella

Mike updates his bid limits one final time, based on the latest news and happenings around the league.

Finally, at long last, Opening Day is right around the corner. Many of you have auctioned already, but for those of you with auctions this weekend, this update will hopefully help you with all of the last second tweaks based on job changes, injuries, or just a good or bad feeling that I have about a player. This is the most difficult update of all. Between today and Opening Day, there will be plenty of minor changes that may require you to make adjustments on the fly. But from this point forward, you are on your own.

Hopefully, you have been reading enough of my material over the last few weeks that you feel comfortable making your own bid adjustments. This is the final update; while some old school home leagues do auction the weekend after Opening Day, they are in the vast minority of fantasy leagues.

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