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Articles Tagged Auction Values 

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March 28, 2014 6:00 am

Fantasy Auction Values: Fifth Edition

18

Mike Gianella

Mike makes some tweaks based on expert-league bids entering the final weekend of the offseason.

Last weekend, Tout Wars held their AL, NL, and mixed-league auctions. This was the final series of expert league auctions this year, and offered yet another set of price points to contemplate before we all head off to our own home league auctions this coming weekend. Listed below are the significant adjustments I made based on the prices in the Tout Wars auctions in the AL and NL-only formats.

AMERICAN LEAGUE

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Notes on the updated price tags as Mike prepares for Tout Wars.

It’s auction season, and tomorrow morning I’ll be competing against the some of the best and brightest in NL Tout Wars. Here are this week’s significant movers and shakers; next week I will make adjustments based on news, but also on auctions trends and spending in all three Tout Wars formats.

AMERICAN LEAGUE

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March 14, 2014 6:00 am

Fantasy Auction Values: Third Edition

9

Mike Gianella

In advance of his foray into Tout Wars, Mike explains how he'd adjust his values for OBP leagues and unveils this week's update.

In eight days, I’ll be participating in my fifth Tout Wars expert league auction (on the National League side of the fence). However, this will be the first year we will be using on-base percentage—instead of batting average—as a category.

The attached spreadsheet offers my adjusted bid values for on base percentage leagues. More than the changes, what will probably jump out to readers is how few players’ values changed in both leagues. Forty-five NL hitters saw a change in value, while 38 AL hitters were moved up or down. Given that 125 AL hitters and 118 NL hitters saw a value change of $1 or more in 2013, shouldn’t there be more fluctuation in my bid limits for OBP?

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March 7, 2014 6:00 am

Fantasy Auction Values: Second Edition

23

Mike Gianella

Updated bid prices based on recent developments, and answers to some frequently asked questions.

Last week, I unveiled my Rotisserie-style, 5x5 bid limits for AL-only, NL-only, and mixed leagues (all 12 teams) for 2014 at Baseball Prospectus. I also presented some very rudimentary guidelines for how to use these bids. While these guidelines are helpful, there are always some frequently asked questions that come up every year that I would be remiss if I didn’t address.

Why use bid limits at all?
There are a few schools of thought that make a strong case against using bid limits. Earlier this week at KFFL, Lawr Michaels of Mastersball wrote a terrific piece arguing against using bid limits at all. A few years ago, Chris Liss of Rotowire wrote an equally terrific piece arguing against both bid limits and projections. This is the part of the program where you might expect me to vigorously pound my chest and passionately argue against Michaels and Liss and conclusively prove that they are idiots.


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December 10, 2013 6:07 am

Fantasy Freestyle: Mixed-League Hitter Valuation

14

Mike Gianella

An in-depth look at how dollar values are assigned to hitters, and the ways in which these values are useful for individual leagues' auctions.

In his upcoming book, Winning Fantasy Baseball, Larry Schechter has a chapter subheading called Why Mixed League Value Formulas Are Mostly Worthless. While this statement contains some degree of hyperbole, in my experience it is mostly accurate.

However, it is certainly a worthy endeavor to try to measure what a mixed league hitter is worth. Below are the steps I went through to derive what I consider valid mixed league values, a cursory examination of some truisms surrounding mixed league values and whether they are correct or not, and how you can apply these values to your mixed league and—perhaps more importantly—how you can’t.

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November 21, 2013 6:00 am

Fantasy Bargains and Busts: American League Pitchers

2

Mike Gianella

A look back at the junior circuit arms who rewarded their fantasy owners and those who cost them last season.

On Tuesday, I took a look back at American League hitters from a Rotisserie valuation standpoint. Today, I’ll tackle the pitchers in the Junior Circuit.

Before I get started, here is a brief explanation of the data you will see in the charts below.

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November 19, 2013 6:00 am

Fantasy Bargains and Busts: American League Hitters

9

Mike Gianella

A look back at the junior circuit bats who rewarded their fantasy owners and those who cost them last season.

Why look back?

This question is typically asked in philosophical or self help circles, with the answer typically being that we should never look back and should always focus on what lies ahead, not behind. Generally speaking, this isn’t bad advice. If you get too bogged down in what happened yesterday, you’ll miss out on opportunities in the present.

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