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0 Raising Aces: Free Agent Roulette: Doug Fister by Doug Thorburn
9 Rubbing Mud: The Best Position To Buy by Matthew Trueblood
3 Playoff Prospectus: A Better John/Cueto: ALDS Game 5 by Matthew Trueblood
2 Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and ALDS Game 4 Previews by R.J. Anderson and Sam Miller
0 Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and ALDS Game Two Previews by R.J. Anderson and Sam Miller
0 Playoff Prospectus: AL Wild Card Game Recap by R.J. Anderson
6 Playoff Prospectus: AL Wild Card Game Preview by Kenny Ducey
1 Eyewitness Accounts: July 2, 2015 by BP Prospect Staff
4 Transaction Analysis: Of Baltimore and Bonus Slots by Sam Miller
7 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 221: Astros Pro Scouting Coordinator Kevin Goldstein on the Amateur Draft by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
1 Baseball ProGUESTus: The Astros' Killer S's by Andrew Pentis
12 Skewed Left: The Shift's PR Problem by Zachary Levine
19 Baseball Therapy: Would the Astros' Piggyback Starters Model Work in the Majors? by Russell A. Carleton
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 199: Pitchers Putting on Sunscreen/The Astros and Clubhouse Chemistry by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 182: How Much Will Mark Appel Make?/Is Mike Scioscia's Job Safe? by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 177: How Much Does Velocity Loss Matter?/The Astros' Runaway Strikeout Rate by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
6 Pebble Hunting: The Astros' Best-Case Scenario vs. The Angels' Worst-Case Scenario by Sam Miller
21 Prospectus Preview: These Questions Three: The Bottom of the Barrel by Russell A. Carleton and Ian Miller
1 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 166: Is the Internet Too Optimistic About the Astros? by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
19 Pebble Hunting: What it Means to Have the Worst Farm System in Baseball by Sam Miller
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 141: 2013 Season Preview Series: Houston Astros by Ben Lindbergh, Sam Miller and Pete Barrett
11 Bizball: Are the Astros Really Losing Money? by Maury Brown
4 BP Announcements: Baseball Prospectus Visits Minute Maid Park - May 11, 2013 by Joe Hamrahi
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 123: How Far Away Are the Astros?/The MLBPA is Mad at the Marlins/Is A-Rod's Surgery Suspicious?/The Future of Baseball on the Radio by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
15 Skewed Left: How to Analyze the Astros' Spending by Zachary Levine
5 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 100: Astros Pro Scouting Coordinator Kevin Goldstein on Being Inside Baseball by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 83: Astros vs. Marlins in 2013/The Next Farewell Tour/Yasmani Grandal's Suspension/Mark Trumbo, Center Fielder by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
2 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 54: Jeff Luhnow's Season-Ending Interview Idea/Why Players and Executives Disagree About the AL MVP by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
2 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 39: Outdrawing the Astros, Wilin Rosario's Deadly Defense, and the Comeback Players of 2013 by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 29: The Future of the Red Sox and Dodgers, and Roger Clemens' Comeback by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
11 The Process: Resetting the Astros Roster by Bradley Ankrom
12 BP Unfiltered: The Most Astros Play of 2012 by Ben Lindbergh
18 Kiss'Em Goodbye: The Houston Astros by Ben Lindbergh, Kevin Goldstein and ESPN Insider
13 Baseball ProGUESTus: Astros Appreciation by Allen Barra
42 Pre-Season Predictions by Baseball Prospectus
30 GM for a Day: Houston Astros by Steven Goldman
7 Prospectus Hit and Run: Disastropiece Theatre by Jay Jaffe
10 Future Shock: Astros Top 11 Prospects by Kevin Goldstein
0 Preseason Predictions by Baseball Prospectus
0 If I Had a Rocket by John Perrotto
0 Playoff Prospectus: Houston Astros vs. St. Louis Cardinals by Christina Kahrl
0 Playoff Prospectus: Atlanta Braves vs. Houston Astros by Joe Sheehan
0 Prospectus Game of the Week: St. Louis Cardinals @ Houston Astros, 9/4/05 by Jonah Keri
0 Prospectus Notebook: Thursday Edition by Baseball Prospectus
0 Prospectus Game of the Week: Houston Astros @ Atlanta Braves, 5/8/05 by Jonah Keri
0 Astros October Nightmares by Baseball Prospectus
0 Playoff Prospectus: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Houston Astros by Christina Kahrl
0 Prospectus Matchups: The A's Offense by Jim Baker
0 Can Of Corn: The Hottest Team in Baseball by Dayn Perry
0 Preseason Predictions by Baseball Prospectus
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May 20, 2013 5:36 am
Considering the pros and cons of an innovative experiment.
A few weeks ago, I
wrote an article in which I suggested that teams might benefit from going to a model that gets rid of the traditional starting pitcher. Instead of having five men who are expected to go 6-7 innings over 100 pitches, I suggested a model in which three pairs of pitchers each throw 50 pitches, and on the third day, they would pitch again, in fulfillment… I should stop there. I argued that a team that committed to that model could leverage a group of (cheap!) pitchers who were good for a couple innings, but not for six. In this way, a team could get the same sort of results that they might expect from having a bunch of pretty good starters, but for a fraction of the (David) Price.
Ben and Sam discuss the sunscreen scandal and how much clubhouse chemistry matters to the Astros.
Ben and Sam discuss how big a signing bonus Mark Appel will get in the amateur draft, then assess Mike Scioscia's job security.
Ben and Sam talk about the performance impact of velocity loss, then discuss the Astros' astronomical early-season strikeout rate. If everyone on the Astros played to their 90th-percentile projections, and everyone on the Angels played to their 10th-percentile projections, which would win more games?
Last year around this time I had plans to compare the Astros’ teamwide
projections to those of a variety of lower-level squads: the best Triple-A roster, the best Double-A roster, an All-Star High-A team, etc. I didn’t get to it, and then the season started, and I still didn’t get to it, because the Astros started off hot and it would have been weird to have run that piece about a team that was 22-23 in mid-May. I was sort of glad I didn’t run it, because the longer I lived with the idea the more it started to feel mean. PECOTA
So this year, I have a similar idea, and I’m rushing it out before the guilt kicks in. Again I’m going to be exploring just how bad the worst team in baseball is. Or just how good the worst team in baseball is. That’s the point of it, after all. It’s not to prove that the Astros are as bad as, say, a team of High-A All-Stars. It’s to see
if the Astros are as bad as a team of High-A All-Stars, and if they’re significantly better (as I suspect they would have been), then we’ve learned a little something about baseball. Read the full article... The final installment of a five-part series on the pressing questions confronting each team in 2013.
In the week leading up to Opening Day, we're asking and answering three questions about each team in a five-part series ordered by descending Playoff Pct from the Playoff Odds Report. Today, we continue with a look at the group of six teams with the worst odds of winning at least a Wild Card. As a reminder, you can find links to our preview podcasts for each team here. Read the full article...
Ben and Sam discuss whether the supposed split between scouts and statheads about the outlook for the Astros actually exists.
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February 15, 2013 5:00 am
Hint: it's not cause for optimism.
Not so long ago, I looked back at
the nine years since the Milwaukee Brewers had the best farm system in baseball to see what the impact of having the best farm system in baseball might be, on a 10-year timeline. I wasn’t totally sure what I hoped to get at or if I did get at it, but people seemed to like it and asked me to do the worst farm system of the same year, so I’ll do that now. I still don’t know what I’m hoping to get at, so we’ll see where this goes.
The worst farm system in baseball at the time belonged to the Montreal Expos, according to Baseball America, but the Expos were in a weird place and it’s hard to consider them a representative franchise. So we’re going to look at the no. 29 team instead: the
. Since 2004, the Astros have played in a World Series, so how bad could it really be? Really, really, really bad! Houston Astros The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.
February 15, 2013 12:00 am
Ben and Sam preview the Astros' season with Jason Collette, and Pete talks to MLB.com correspondent Richard Justice (at 16:54).
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February 11, 2013 11:16 am
Jim Crane may have been telling the truth...but not the whole truth.
Depending on what you read, clubs in Major League Baseball are either making a massive profit, breaking even, or, if you listen to the owners, often running in the red. Since baseball is a private industry, trying to determine the truth is a matter of educated guessing, wild hyperbole, or a case of “no comment” coming from the league and clubs.
So when an owner talks about the financial status of the club he runs, it prompts a fair amount of discussion. As we’ve seen with the leaked financial documents from the likes of the
Marlins and others, the truth typically is on the side of ownership not only making a profit, but a handsome one at that. The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe. Baseball Prospectus visits some old friends in the Lone Star state
Baseball Prospectus and the Houston Astros invite you to join us for a great day of baseball on Saturday, May 11 at Minute Maid Park. Thanks to the fine folks in the Astros front office, we are proud to be able to offer our guests the following: Read the full article...
January 22, 2013 11:15 am
Ben and Sam discuss an assortment of topics, including the Astros' outlook for 2013 and beyond, Alex Rodriguez's long-awaited surgery, the Marlins and the MLBPA, and whether baseball broadcasts on the radio will survive.