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2 Banjo Hitter: Randy, Rickey, and Teams on the Rise by Aaron Gleeman
0 Transaction Analysis: The Sims: Lucas by John Eshleman and Martin Alonso
0 Transaction Analysis: Altitude Frisbee by Aaron Gleeman, Zack Moser, Greg Goldstein, Jeffrey Paternostro and Mark Anderson
4 The GM Trade Game by Russell A. Carleton and BP Staff
0 DFA Podcast: Ep. 17: Gotta Start Somewhere by Bryan Grosnick, Ben Diamond and Shawn Brody
0 Transaction Analysis: JD to AZ by Wilson Karaman, Stacey Gotsulias, Mark Anderson and George Bissell
0 Short Relief: An Address to the Nation, and All Summer in a Rain Delay by Mary Craig and Patrick Dubuque
0 Banjo Hitter: Gimme a Quarter's Worth: Rising Odds by Aaron Gleeman
0 On A Jailbreak: The Worst of the Worst, and Chris Owings by Bret Sayre
1 Short Relief: A Mystery Solved, and a Season Turned by Trevor Strunk and Holly Wendt
6 Short Relief: Sunday Night Vespers, Parking, and Greinke Thinking by Nathan Bishop, James Fegan and Jason Wojciechowski
0 Looking Back on Tomorrow: Arizona Diamondbacks by Ben Carsley
0 Banjo Hitter: The Lost Outfielders by Aaron Gleeman
1 Transaction Analysis: Bourn on a Hill by Matthew Trueblood and Patrick Dubuque
3 Flu-Like Symptoms: In (Restrained) Praise of Dave Stewart by Rob Mains
0 Transaction Analysis: Dented Cans and Safety Nets by Bryan Grosnick and Jared Wyllys
0 Transaction Analysis: Post-Christmas Shopping by Matthew Trueblood, Jared Wyllys and Brendan Gawlowski
5 Transaction Analysis: The Center Fielder Extension Mold by Bryan Grosnick
1 Transaction Analysis: Replacing Ortiz by Dustin Palmateer and Matthew Trueblood
4 Transaction Analysis: Career-Years and Old Upside by Jeff Quinton, Wilson Karaman and Bret Sayre
2 Transaction Analysis: Lefty, Lefty, Lefty by Matthew Trueblood
5 Transaction Analysis: We Are Tuffy Gosewisch by Patrick Dubuque
1 Two-Strike Approach: Buy High, Shel Low by Cat Garcia
1 Pebble Hunting: A Prayer For Daniel Hudson by Sam Miller
1 Transaction Analysis: Yankees Reunite With Clippard by Kenny Ducey and Steve Givarz
2 What You Need to Know: And Then It Got Weird by Ashley Varela
0 What You Need to Know: Why Do Bad Things Happen To Good Teams? by Nicolas Stellini
2 Raising Aces: Two Very Different Greinke Masterpieces by Doug Thorburn
1 What You Need to Know: Don't Know What the Hurry Is by Nicolas Stellini
3 Rubbing Mud: The Quarter-Pole Odds Changes by Matthew Trueblood
5 Fifth Column: Wearing It by Michael Baumann
1 Prospectus Feature: Save the Person, Save the Arm by Eric Garcia McKinley
4 Winter Is Leaving by Sam Miller
1 Rumor Roundup: The Sultriest Fifth-Starter Showdown? by Daniel Rathman
11 Life at the Margins: The NL's Gut-Punchiest Team Projection by Rian Watt
1 Rubbing Mud: Seven or Eight Shortstops by Matthew Trueblood
3 Pitching Backward: Bringing the Heat by Jeff Long
1 Rumor Roundup: The Josh Reddick Extension Conversation by Daniel Rathman
0 Rumor Roundup: Diamondbacks Will Make Pollock Prove It by Daniel Rathman
11 Players Prefer Presentation: Baseball Owners and Their Predictable Needs by Meg Rowley
24 Transaction Analysis: The Shelby Shocker by Matthew Trueblood, J.J. Jansons and Christopher Crawford
4 Rumor Roundup: You Can Never Have Enough Pitching Rumors by Daniel Rathman
3 Transaction Analysis: Snake Bitten by Matthew Trueblood and Bret Sayre
0 Rumor Roundup: Cueto Aims Higher by Daniel Rathman
1 Rumor Roundup: Is Yovani Gallardo Worth the 13th Pick? by Daniel Rathman
2 Fantasy Freestyle: Desert Ray by George Bissell
6 Rubbing Mud: Very Bad But Not (Altogether) Boring by Matthew Trueblood
1 Transaction Analysis: Nobody's Salt But Mine by R.J. Anderson
6 Transaction Analysis: Say Yas by R.J. Anderson, Christopher Crawford and Jeff Quinton
2 Rubbing Mud: Un-Giving Up on the Diamondbacks Front Office by Matthew Trueblood
September 20, 2017 6:00 am
What kind of teams improve by 25-plus games and what happens to those teams the next season?
projected the Twins for 78 wins this season, which seemed so optimistic and caused so many “huh?!” responses coming off a disastrous 59-103 season that I felt the need to write an entire article explaining the number. (The projection was even higher initially, but dropped from 80 to 78 following PECOTA ’s second-ending elbow injury.) I expressed skepticism, going step-by-step through the individual projections and pegging the Twins more in the range of 75 wins, but then concluded my Trevor May “PECOTA and the Twins, Sitting in a Tree” article from mid-February by writing: Read the full article...
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August 3, 2017 6:00 am
Lucas Sims joins the Braves' rotation and the Diamondbacks add some veteran infield depth.
Colorado picks up bullpen help in Pat Neshek, Washington calls up Andrew Stevenson, and Minnesota unloads one of the old regime's mistakes.
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July 20, 2017 6:00 am
Were the offers better in this alternate reality?
that time of year. The time when grown men hug each other to say goodbye after five months together. It’s also the time when refresh buttons are mashed on Twitter trying to catch the news of whatever trade is about to happen. It’s all so exciting. And here at BP, we like to get into the spirit of the season, too. It’s become an annual tradition to play the BP Trade Game, where we put on disguises that make us look like general managers, and pretend to trade for someone.
Today, we present the first entry in that series where we try to trade
from the Tigers to a team looking for a rental bat. And, as sometimes happens with these, real life J.D. Martinez scooped us. I guess we shouldn’t feel too bad. On July 28, the Tigers are having a “Game of Thrones” night at Comerica Park, featuring a bobblehead of J.D. Martinez sitting on the throne. The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe. On the 17th episode of the DFA Podcast, Bryan, special guest Ben Diamond, and Shawn Brody discuss three big deals that are helping shape the 2017 playoff push. The Yankees pick up three pieces, the Nationals grab two, and the Diamondbacks just get one; how did each team do?
It's Baseball Prospectus's newest podcast: DFA! Host
Bryan Grosnick (Baseball Prospectus), co-host R.J. Anderson (CBS Sports), and producer Shawn Brody (Beyond the Box Score, BP Mets) are talking about all the transactions and roster moves that make MLB go. From trades and signings to callups and disabled list stints, DFA is here to provide analysis and commentary on all things baseball. Read the full article...
The Diamondbacks add another big bat to the lineup, snagging J.D. Martinez from the Tigers for a trio of prospects.
Mary delivers the rallying speech of an All-Star hopeful, while Patrick writes a pastiche about a rain delay. It was a good first quarter for the Rockies, Yankees, Nationals, and Diamondbacks.
this space yesterday, I examined the four struggling teams that have seen their BP Playoff Odds drop the most through one-quarter of the season. Let’s flip things around now and look at the four teams that have seen their odds rise the most since Opening Day.
(All records and odds through Wednesday's games.) Read the full article...
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May 10, 2017 6:00 am
Can the Diamondbacks infielder defy the odds and become an All-Star after once ranking as MLB's worst player?
There was *extremely Western storytellin’ voice* an old adage on the Effectively Wild podcast about how we knew when
had stabilized during the season by when WARP appeared at the top of the list. Well, with Trout having played just one game since May 3, and even in danger of hitting the disabled list, we’re likely still a few weeks away from that Mike Trout . In the meantime, maybe we can skate by with pushing the fate of normalization onto those at the other end of the spectrum to see if the opposite applies.
Of course, it’s easier to mentally jog to the players who have finished at the top of the WARP leaderboard this century. They are universally elite names:
, Jose Bautista , Carlos Beltran , Barry Bonds , Kris Bryant , Bryce Harper , Buster Posey , Albert Pujols , and (of course) Mike Trout. Alex Rodriguez The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.
The thrilling conclusion of The Case of the Interfering Runner, and the juxtaposition of seasons ending and beginning.
Crying and baseball, Allen Iverson, Braves spokesperson, and Zack Greinke vs. Madison Bumgarner.
Mike Hazen and his band of ex-Red Sox will look to rescue the Diamondbacks' front office.