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18 Pebble Hunting: Every Thing That's Been Wrong with the Angels by Sam Miller
5 BP Unfiltered: Why The Angels, Blue Jays, and Dodgers Have Non-Zero Playoff Odds by Sam Miller
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 196: The New Scott Kazmir/The Future of the Angels by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 182: How Much Will Mark Appel Make?/Is Mike Scioscia's Job Safe? by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
1 BP Unfiltered: Angels Lose Weaver by R.J. Anderson
4 Skewed Left: Beating Yu Darvish by Zachary Levine
6 Pebble Hunting: The Astros' Best-Case Scenario vs. The Angels' Worst-Case Scenario by Sam Miller
15 Prospectus Preview: These Questions Three: The Favorites by R.J. Anderson and Nick J. Faleris
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 139: 2013 Season Preview Series: Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim by Ben Lindbergh, Sam Miller and Pete Barrett
13 Transaction Analysis: The Mariners Acquire the Angels' Logjam by Sam Miller
9 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 106: How Good is the Angels' Offense?/What We Think About the Yips/Does Pitcher Pace Matter? by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
2 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 102: Josh Hamilton and Whether a Potentially Bad Contract is Worse Than No Contract at All by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
39 Transaction Analysis: Josh Hamilton and the End of Analysis by Sam Miller
1 Transaction Analysis: Double LOOGY Day by R.J. Anderson
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 83: Astros vs. Marlins in 2013/The Next Farewell Tour/Yasmani Grandal's Suspension/Mark Trumbo, Center Fielder by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
1 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 81: The Angels, the Reds, and Two Conflicting Closer Philosophies by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
8 Transaction Analysis: What We Would Have Said About the Dan Haren Deal That Didn't Happen by Colin Wyers
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 74: The Ervin Santana Trade, the Royals' Rotation, and the Pitching Market/Rick Hahn and the Future of Front Offices by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
4 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 72: How Many Members of the Angels' Rotation Will Be Back?/Predicting the First- and Last-Place Teams of 2013 by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
9 Pebble Hunting: A Very Good Team and a Very Bad Season by Sam Miller
8 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 53: Is the Second Wild Card Working?/Explaining Mainstream Screeds Against Advanced Stats by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
7 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 51: What the Rockies Knew About Ubaldo/The Eternal Torii Hunter/Declining Dan Haren by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
4 What You Need to Know: Wednesday, September 12 by Daniel Rathman
2 Pebble Hunting: The Mysterious Resurgence of Ervin Santana by Sam Miller
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 27: Revisiting the Dan Haren Trade/Derek Jeter Defies Dire Forecasts by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
3 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 24: The Rays Are Rolling/Assessing the Angels' Strange Season by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
1 What You Need to Know: Tuesday, August 14 by Daniel Rathman
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 19: Scraping Ice by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
5 BP Unfiltered: The Two Teams Without Any Rookies by Ben Lindbergh
6 BP Unfiltered: Almost Every Oriole Lost Track of How Many Outs There Were by Sam Miller
28 Pebble Hunting: Twitter, Mike Trout, and Mark Trumbo by Sam Miller
15 Manufactured Runs: The Angels, Albert Pujols, and the Politician's Fallacy by Colin Wyers
15 Baseball ProGUESTus: Splat Albert by Matt Welch
4 Western Front: As a Manager, He Makes a Good Right Fielder by Geoff Young
0 BP Unfiltered: Baseball Prospectus at PETCO Park - May 19, 2012 by Joe Hamrahi
20 Overthinking It: Man in the Box by Ben Lindbergh
21 Pebble Hunting: Annotated Box Score: Mike Sweeney Eats a Banana by Sam Miller
1 Heartburn Hardball: All That Heaven Will Allow by Jonathan Bernhardt
12 Western Front: A Haphazard History of Halos at the Hot Corner by Geoff Young
5 Baseball ProGUESTus: The Men Behind the Men Behind the Plate by Jonathan Bernhardt
6 Kiss'Em Goodbye: Los Angeles Angels by Jay Jaffe, Kevin Goldstein and ESPN Insider
8 Divide and Conquer, AL West: The Angels' Last Hope by Joey Matschulat
8 Divide and Conquer, AL West: The Battle Ahead by Joey Matschulat
17 The BP Broadside: While Scioscia Slept by Steven Goldman
1 Divide and Conquer, AL West: The High-Flying Halos by Joey Matschulat
24 Baseball ProGUESTus: Can Baseball Expertise Be a Bad Thing? by Sam Miller
42 Pre-Season Predictions by Baseball Prospectus
16 Purpose Pitches: Anaheim's Winter of Discontent by Christina Kahrl
45 Transaction of the Day: The Vernon Wells Trade by Christina Kahrl
15 Ahead in the Count: Are the Adjusted Standings Underselling Your Team? by Matt Swartz
It's Albert Pujols and Josh Hamilton, but it's not just Albert Pujols and Josh Hamilton.
There’s no Grand Theory here. I just keep getting asked—by people at church, family members, Ben—why the Angels have been so bad, and I just stutter a bunch of stuff about
’ legs, and Albert Pujols ’s slump, and Josh Hamilton ’s injury, and small samples. But it’s not just Albert Pujols’ legs, or Josh Hamilton’s slump, or Jered Weaver’s injury. Or even small samples. Of the 14 players who had starting jobs with the Angels on Opening Day—the nine regulars, and the five members of the starting rotation—11 are underperforming their Jered Weaver projections. Of the three who aren’t, PECOTA is perceived as underperforming, and Mike Trout might soon be underperforming, as he sits on the DL and waits as games pass him by. And this doesn’t even include the bullpen, which has the American League’s 13th-best Peter Bourjos , despite a pitcher’s park and a good group of defenders behind it. ERA
So if somebody says it’s because of Hamilton, push back. If they say it’s because of Pujols, argue! It’s nearly the whole team, and this is simply an accounting of how it’s the whole team:
Read the full article...
I'm dumb, so when I see something like the Angels falling nine games out of first place after 31 games, I think "welp, that'll do it then." And then when I
look at the playoff odds and see that they're still 20 percent likely to make the playoffs, I'm surprised. I understand the mechanisms at work -- the Angels are probably a good team, and so the odds expect them to play like a good team going forward -- but it's impossible to imagine any team making up an 11-20 stretch. It's impossible to imagine it because I'm dumb. It shouldn't be that hard to imagine. Read the full article...
Ben and Sam discuss Scott Kazmir's win over the weekend, then talk about the Angels' outlook for the rest of this season and beyond.
Ben and Sam discuss how big a signing bonus Mark Appel will get in the amateur draft, then assess Mike Scioscia's job security. How will the Angels fare without their ace?
will miss at least the next four weeks after fracturing the elbow in his glove arm during his most recent start, Sunday night in Texas, Jered Weaver according to . ESPN Read the full article...
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April 8, 2013 12:00 am
Is there an approach at the plate that works against Yu Darvish?
Article originally published on Sunday, April 7.
The Angels get their first of perhaps a vitally important five or six shots at Yu Darvish this season on Sunday Night Baseball, and the task looks beyond intimidating.
If everyone on the Astros played to their 90th-percentile projections, and everyone on the Angels played to their 10th-percentile projections, which would win more games?
Last year around this time I had plans to compare the Astros’ teamwide
projections to those of a variety of lower-level squads: the best Triple-A roster, the best Double-A roster, an All-Star High-A team, etc. I didn’t get to it, and then the season started, and I still didn’t get to it, because the Astros started off hot and it would have been weird to have run that piece about a team that was 22-23 in mid-May. I was sort of glad I didn’t run it, because the longer I lived with the idea the more it started to feel mean. PECOTA
So this year, I have a similar idea, and I’m rushing it out before the guilt kicks in. Again I’m going to be exploring just how bad the worst team in baseball is. Or just how good the worst team in baseball is. That’s the point of it, after all. It’s not to prove that the Astros are as bad as, say, a team of High-A All-Stars. It’s to see
if the Astros are as bad as a team of High-A All-Stars, and if they’re significantly better (as I suspect they would have been), then we’ve learned a little something about baseball. Read the full article... The first of a five-part series on the pressing questions confronting each team in 2013.
In the week leading up to Opening Day, we're asking and answering three questions about each team in a five-part series ordered by descending Playoff Pct from the Playoff Odds Report. Today, we get things started with a look at the six teams with the highest odds of winning at least a Wild Card. As a reminder, you can find links to our preview podcasts for each team here. Read the full article...
February 13, 2013 5:00 am
Ben and Sam preview the Angels' season, and Pete talks to Orange County Register Angels beat writer Jeff Fletcher (at 24:40).
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December 20, 2012 5:00 am
Kendrys Morales goes to Seattle, and the Angels get Jason Vargas.
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December 20, 2012 5:00 am
Ben and Sam answer listener emails about the Angels' offense, the dreaded mental block known as the yips, and the impact of the time pitchers take between pitches.
December 14, 2012 5:00 am
Ben and Sam are joined by Ian Miller and Riley Breckenridge, the heroes behind Productive Outs, to talk about the Angels, Josh Hamilton, and whether fans should worry about bad contracts anymore.