Jordany Valdespin and Carlos Gomez join the VP ranks this week.
With the trade deadline a mere four days away, it certainly is an exciting time in the baseball season. Every year there are a few surprise moves that no one sees coming (Ichiro, anyone?), so it can pay off to make a few longshot bets on players who might benefit from one of those surprises. Maybe in one league you want to add Rex Brothers or Matt Belisle for a few days in case Rafael Betancourt gets shipped out of Colorado. Or maybe Peter Bourjos in case he gets flipped to a place where he’ll receive regular at-bats. If you’ve got the roster space, these are the type of low-risk moves that can payoff big and make you look like a genius.
Outfield VP returns with a new author, impressive Tout Wars rookie Paul Singman.
Readers, I have the pleasure of introducing you today to yet another new member of the Baseball Prospectus Fantasy team. Former Outfield VP author Rob McQuown will now be devoting his efforts to keeping things running smoothly on the tech side of the site, so we welcome Paul Singman to replace him. Paul used to write with me at The Hardball Times and, in fact, was the first writer I ever recruited at THT. He holds an impressive mixed league track record over the past few seasons, routinely finishing near the top of the Yahoo! Friends & Family league and currently running third in Tout Wars. Welcome aboard, Paul! —Derek Carty, Fantasy Manager
Mets Duda and Torres, Matt Holliday, and Tony Plush make the first outfield edition of Preseason VP
“Preseason Value Picks” is an interesting notion to begin with… who is going to benefit from such analysis? The obvious answer is owners whose drafts come the earliest, and Scoresheet baseball drafts are already progressing. These are very slow processes, from the perspective of traditional fantasy players, in keeping with the more ponderous tone of Scoresheet. Most Scoresheet leagues allow at least 13 keepers without salaries to worry about. The games are simulated, generating a weekly report with, you guessed it, score sheets for each game. So, before diving in to outfielders this week, I wanted to mention a tool we released yesterday for aiding with Scoresheet drafts (but which is available to all Fantasy and Premium subscribers): The Scoresheet Draft Aid. I'm working on a blog post with some more details, but in the meantime, feel free to utilize it knowing that it's specifically geared toward things that help a Scoresheet team (offense, defense, pitching), not typical fantasy categories.
Returning from that Scoresheet tangent to some “real” fantasy (is that an oxymoron?), drafts are kicking off very soon. Most people know that the top outfielders are Matt Kemp, Jose Bautista, Jacoby Ellsbury, Justin Upton, Carlos Gonzalez, Curtis Granderson, Mike Stanton, and Andrew McCutchen, in some order (and we've covered several of these guys with Keeper Reaper articles). The order in which they are taken is as much personal preference as cold, hard analysis. In the USA Today mock draft I participated in, those guys went: Kemp, Ellsbury, Bautista, [gap], Upton, CarGo, [gap], Granderson, McCutchen, then Jay Bruce and Josh Hamilton (this draft was held last December) went before Stanton.
The tater trots for September 25: Ellsbury's MVP case, V-Mart's stroll, Zobrist's inside the parker.
We are rapidly approaching the end of the season and, yet, things have failed to slow down. I don't know why, but I'm surprised. Of course, the 45 home runs hit on Sunday may be skewing my perspective.
Buster Posey is gone, and the Giants might be gone as well if they don't seek immediate aid.
The wee hours of Thursday morning featured some strange extra-innings baseball. Wilson Valdez's 19th-inning relief work provided a weird and wonderful reward for those who stayed up late enough to watch, as the Phillies' fill-in second baseman became the first position player to garner a win since Brent Mayne in 2000 thanks to a scoreless inning against the Reds. Alas, the 12-inning Giants-Marlins game produced a result with more lasting effect, as Buster Poseysuffered a severe leg injury in a collision at home plate. Tagging up on a sacrifice fly, the Marlins' Scott Cousins threw a cross-body block on Posey, who was blocking the plate as he awaited the ball's arrival. The star backstop's left foot was pinned beneath him as the rest of his body rotated upon impact. In short, he got creamed. The Giants have yet to release official word on the severity of the injury, but the early report is that he has both a leg fracture and torn ligaments, the latter possibly in his knee, along the lines of last season's Carlos Santana injury. Posey's season is almost certainly done, and the looming question, beyond what this could mean for his career behind the plate, is whether the defending world champions are done, too.
Ronnie Belliard and Luis Hernandez head for Triple-A, Brandon Belt breaks camp with the big squad, and Matt Holliday loses an appendix but keeps a roster spot.
By my count (or more accurately, Rob McQuown’s), Christina Kahrl has devoted 952 articles to analyzing transactions, and that’s probably selling her short, since our database doesn’t go back quite as far as her byline. In the first Transaction Analysis entry that I could find, Ozzie Guillen appears not as a manager, but as a shortstop and the owner of an exceedingly low OBP; given that Guillen has just entered his eighth season at the helm of the White Sox, it’s clear that Christina has been at this for some time, and unlike Guillen, she didn’t overstay her welcome before shifting to a new role.