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Articles Tagged 3-0 Count 

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05-16

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4

Pebble Hunting: The Meaning of 3-0 Green Lights
by
Sam Miller

08-08

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9

PITCHf/x Mailbag: Swing Tendencies on 3-0 Counts
by
Dan Brooks and Harry Pavlidis

01-09

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9

Pebble Hunting: The Battered Batter
by
Sam Miller

12-21

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36

Spinning Yarn: Hit-and-Run Success is No Accident
by
Mike Fast

10-19

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23

World Series Prospectus: The Midwest Showdown
by
Baseball Prospectus

09-28

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11

Prospectus Hit and Run: A Night in the Life of Team Entropy
by
Jay Jaffe

09-24

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71

Spinning Yarn: Removing the Mask Encore Presentation
by
Mike Fast

08-17

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11

Spinning Yarn: Why are Batters Hit by Pitches?
by
Mike Fast

07-20

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14

Spinning Yarn: A Zone of Their Own
by
Mike Fast

04-08

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8

Baseball ProGUESTus: The Rookie Effect
by
Brian Mills

03-30

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15

Spinning Yarn: Do Spring Speeds Matter?
by
Mike Fast

02-22

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26

The Payoff Pitch: Two, Three, Many Wild Cards!
by
Neil deMause

02-14

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7

Prospectus Hit List: Winning the Winter, AL Edition
by
Jay Jaffe

10-26

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8

Spinning Yarn: Interpreting Pitch Classifications
by
Mike Fast

10-26

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19

World Series Prospectus: World Series Preview
by
Christina Kahrl

10-14

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17

Playoff Prospectus: ALCS Preview: Rangers vs. Yankees
by
Jay Jaffe

10-05

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19

Playoff Prospectus: ALDS Preview: Twins vs. Yankees
by
Jay Jaffe

09-29

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11

Prospectus Perspective: Front Fours
by
Christina Kahrl

08-19

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17

Changing Speeds: The Golden Generation
by
Ken Funck

06-10

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1

Campus Notes: Super Regionals Preview, Part 1
by
Charles Dahan

05-25

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6

Changing Speeds: Bounceback Pitchers
by
Ken Funck

03-08

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39

Fantasy Focus: AL Starting Pitchers
by
Marc Normandin

10-29

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6

Prospectus Hit and Run: From One to the Other
by
Jay Jaffe

08-05

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29

Red Light, Green Light
by
Dan Malkiel

01-30

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13

The Wild Bunch
by
Eric Seidman

01-20

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11

Over There, Over There
by
Clay Davenport

10-08

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12

Playoff Prospectus: Dodgers versus Phillies
by
Jay Jaffe

10-01

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20

Playoff Prospectus: Phillies versus Brewers
by
Jay Jaffe

05-13

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0

Furcal En Fuego
by
Eric Seidman

04-10

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0

Schrodinger's Bat: Defense and Pitch Classification
by
Dan Fox

03-21

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0

Prospectus Hit and Run: Joba and the MISERs
by
Jay Jaffe

10-24

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0

Playoff Prospectus: Rockies versus Red Sox
by
Nate Silver

10-18

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0

Schrodinger's Bat: The Baserunning Edition
by
Dan Fox

09-07

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0

Prospectus Matchups: The World Turned Upside Down
by
Jim Baker

08-20

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0

Lies, Damned Lies: Slotto Madness, Part 3
by
Nate Silver

07-11

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0

Looking Ahead
by
John Perrotto

07-05

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0

Schrodinger's Bat: Searching for the Gyroball
by
Dan Fox

06-27

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0

Player Profile: Chad Gaudin
by
Marc Normandin

06-21

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0

Schrodinger's Bat: Gameday Meets the Knuckleball
by
Dan Fox

06-14

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0

Schrodinger's Bat: The Science and Art of Building a Better Pitcher Profile
by
Dan Fox

05-25

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0

Prospectus Hit List: Busting Out from Below
by
Jay Jaffe

10-16

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0

Future Shock: Monday Morning Ten-Pack
by
Kevin Goldstein

10-16

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0

Prospectus Today: LCS, Day Six
by
Joe Sheehan

10-14

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0

Future Shock: Where Did the Tigers and the Athletics Come From?
by
Kevin Goldstein

10-14

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0

Prospectus Today: LCS, Day Four
by
Joe Sheehan

10-14

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0

Playoff Prospectus: The Best and Worst of Mets and Cardinals Postseason Pitching
by
Jim Baker

10-13

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0

Prospectus Today: LCS, Day Three
by
Joe Sheehan

10-12

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0

Prospectus Today: The Games Go On
by
Joe Sheehan

10-12

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0

Player Profile
by
Marc Normandin

10-11

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0

Prospectus Today: LCS, Day One
by
Joe Sheehan

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January 30, 2009 1:27 pm

The Wild Bunch

13

Eric Seidman

Figuring out what goes wrong when high-upside hurlers veer out of control.

What can be done with the potential-laden hurler who can't control his pitches, who is able to complement his plus-offerings with only random flashes of brilliance, and can just as unexpectedly drop into extended bouts of ineptitude? Because of their promise and raw talent, struggling power pitchers can be repeatedly given shots as reclamation projects as teams try to find a formula for extending those brief flashes into consistent success. Pitching coaches and some analysts might tend to focus solely on the solid outings, meticulously working to isolate the components, either mechanical or psychological, that go missing during their down periods. Very few of these pitchers are able to harness their talents without major adjustments, yet they're still able to command lucrative contracts on the market, based more on their potential upside than on any actual results.

With that in mind, it's time to play everyone's favorite game, "Guess That Pitcher!" Here are the seasonal averages, from 2006-08, of two wild and crazy guys:

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January 20, 2009 1:30 pm

Over There, Over There

11

Clay Davenport

Translating the performances of the latest crop of forbidden fruit from Castro-country and two high-profile imports from Japan's major leagues.

In the past month, two Japanese pitchers have been signed by major league teams-Kenshin Kawakami, now with the Braves, and Koji Uehara, signed up by the Orioles. We've also heard of major league interest in some recent Cuban émigrés-Yadel Marti and Yasser Gomez, as well as Dayan Viciedo, who signed with the White Sox in November. Let's focus a translational microscope on each of these players, with an eye towards giving you an idea of what's in store.

Kenshin Kawakami
DOB: 6/22/75 (33)
Height/Weight: 5-10/200
Bats/Throws: R/R
Team: Chunichi Dragons, Central League, NPB





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The NLCS features two evenly-matched clubs, but how the managers line up their rotations could make all the difference.

The Phillies claimed their second NL East title in as many years by embarking on a 13-3 tear to end the season, once again storming past a shell-shocked Mets club. They made short work of the Brewers in the Division Series, and come into the Championship Series with arguably the most potent lineup of any of the four remaining teams along with the top starting pitcher in Cole Hamels.

Read the full article...

Will the lefty-mashing Brewers match up well with Philly, or will Phillies firepower and a strong pen make all the difference?

Less than three weeks ago, the Brewers came to Philadelphia holding a four-game lead in the wild-card race and carrying the league's second-best record despite a slump that had seen them lose seven of 10 to open September. By the end of the four-game set, the two teams were tied for the wild card. It was the start of a finishing kick in which the Phillies went 13-3, breezing past the Mets to claim their second division title in a row.

Read the full article...

May 13, 2008 12:00 am

Furcal En Fuego

0

Eric Seidman

The shape of the blistering-hot performance of the Dodgers shortstop.

Past experience can generate expectations. Certainly, when they signed Rafael Furcal to a three-year, $39 million deal following the 2005 season, the Dodgers believed that the former Braves leadoff batter would provide a significant spark to their offense. He did not disappoint in 2006, finishing 14th in NL MVP voting. Last year, however, a nagging ankle injury suffered in spring training kept him out of action for the first couple of weeks as well as the final weeks of the season; it also hindered his production level during the 138 games in which he played. A player whose modus operandi involves speed playing with an ankle injury is not a good combination.

Similarly, when Joe Torre signed on to manage the team this offseason, he was fresh off of managing a shortstop that happened to be the longtime face of the most prominent franchise in sports. He may have known his new shortstop could produce at an all-star level even, after that rough 2007. Suffice it to say he could not possibly have had any idea Furcal would be this productive.

Read the full article...

A new season brings a new batch of PITCHf/x data from which to learn.

"With me, being a hard thrower ... no matter what, they're defending that heater, man. So the more confidence I have to throw that [changeup] in any count, I'm going to throw it. I'm just going to. I don't care anymore. It's going to help me and I realize that."
--A.J. Burnett on his pitch selection. PITCHf/x has confidence in his fastball as well.

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March 21, 2008 12:00 am

Prospectus Hit and Run: Joba and the MISERs

0

Jay Jaffe

Who's been really delivering high-leverage set-up work, and what does that mean for the Yankees prospect?

Wednesday's disclosure that the Yankees have decided to shift Joba Chamberlain to the bullpen to start the year didn't exactly qualify as news. Despite off-season denials of such a scenario, several pieces of data pointed to the inevitability of the decision, ranging from Chamberlain's success during last year's stretch run (pre-bug spray, at least), his age (22), his workload capacity based on the Rule of 30 (about 145 innings, based on the time he spent at four stops plus the postseason, though Will Carroll will tell you that only the major league innings count when it comes to parsing injury risk), and the current health status of Chien-Ming Wang, Andy Pettitte, Mike Mussina, Philip Hughes, and Ian Kennedy.

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An AL powerhouse against a Rocky Mountain-high Cinderella--who has momentum, and who's got the advantage?

Tonight, the Colorado Rockies will become the fifth franchise in the past 11 years to make its virgin appearance in the World Series, following in the footsteps of the 1997 Marlins, the 2001 Diamondbacks, the 2002 Angels, and the 2005 Astros. The Rockies combine elements from each of those clubs. Like the 1997 Marlins, they are an odd mix of veteran talent and youth, and squeezed into the playoffs as a Wild Card team in a league that featured a great deal of parity. Like the 2001 Diamondbacks, they are an expansion club from the Mountain West that is set to square off at long odds against one of the AL East's superpowers. Like the 2002 Angels, they are a 'small ball' team that has excelled by vacuuming up with their defense when their opponents tried to put the ball into play. And like the 2005 Astros, which at one point were more than 200:1 underdogs to reach the postseason, they saved their best baseball for late in the year.

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October 18, 2007 12:00 am

Schrodinger's Bat: The Baserunning Edition

0

Dan Fox

Dan runs down the 2007 leaderboards in baserunning metrics, and crowns a player who helped his team the most on the basepaths.

"Never trust a baserunner who's limping. Comes a base hit, and you'll think he just got back from Lourdes."
--Joe Garagiola


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September 7, 2007 12:00 am

Prospectus Matchups: The World Turned Upside Down

0

Jim Baker

Forget about the playoff hunt, there are plenty of interesting races at the bottom of the six divisions.

What's all this talk of division champions and Wild Card teams? What is our unrelenting obsession with success in this country? Hell man, there's a whole other world below the surface of the water, too! What of it?

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August 20, 2007 12:00 am

Lies, Damned Lies: Slotto Madness, Part 3

0

Nate Silver

Nate wraps up his series on the perils and payoffs for going above slot in the Rule 4 Draft.

Picking up from where we left off yesterday, let's take a more detailed look at the subset of players selected between 1998 and 2001, which represents 32 names in all. These are players who have already exhausted their arbitration clocks, or are close enough to doing so that we can form some reasonable estimate of their likely return.

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July 11, 2007 12:00 am

Looking Ahead

0

John Perrotto

A quick overview of what to expect from all 30 ballclubs.

It has already been the year of the milestone in baseball. Trevor Hoffman became the first reliever ever to reach 500 saves. Sammy Sosa hit his 600th home run and Frank Thomas belted his 500th. Craig Biggio got to 3,000 hits, and Roger Clemens reached 350 wins. The biggest milestone of all is just around the corner-Barry Bonds has 751 home runs, four away from Hank Aaron's all-time record.

Aside from personal achievements, a number of interesting races are developing in the two leagues and six divisions. Now that the All-Star Game is behind us, here is a division-by-division look at what to expect in the second half of the season:

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