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Articles Tagged 3-0 Count 

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05-16

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4

Pebble Hunting: The Meaning of 3-0 Green Lights
by
Sam Miller

08-08

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9

PITCHf/x Mailbag: Swing Tendencies on 3-0 Counts
by
Dan Brooks and Harry Pavlidis

01-09

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9

Pebble Hunting: The Battered Batter
by
Sam Miller

12-21

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36

Spinning Yarn: Hit-and-Run Success is No Accident
by
Mike Fast

10-19

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23

World Series Prospectus: The Midwest Showdown
by
Baseball Prospectus

09-28

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11

Prospectus Hit and Run: A Night in the Life of Team Entropy
by
Jay Jaffe

09-24

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71

Spinning Yarn: Removing the Mask Encore Presentation
by
Mike Fast

08-17

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11

Spinning Yarn: Why are Batters Hit by Pitches?
by
Mike Fast

07-20

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14

Spinning Yarn: A Zone of Their Own
by
Mike Fast

04-08

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8

Baseball ProGUESTus: The Rookie Effect
by
Brian Mills

03-30

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15

Spinning Yarn: Do Spring Speeds Matter?
by
Mike Fast

02-22

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26

The Payoff Pitch: Two, Three, Many Wild Cards!
by
Neil deMause

02-14

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7

Prospectus Hit List: Winning the Winter, AL Edition
by
Jay Jaffe

10-26

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8

Spinning Yarn: Interpreting Pitch Classifications
by
Mike Fast

10-26

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19

World Series Prospectus: World Series Preview
by
Christina Kahrl

10-14

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17

Playoff Prospectus: ALCS Preview: Rangers vs. Yankees
by
Jay Jaffe

10-05

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19

Playoff Prospectus: ALDS Preview: Twins vs. Yankees
by
Jay Jaffe

09-29

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11

Prospectus Perspective: Front Fours
by
Christina Kahrl

08-19

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17

Changing Speeds: The Golden Generation
by
Ken Funck

06-10

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1

Campus Notes: Super Regionals Preview, Part 1
by
Charles Dahan

05-25

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6

Changing Speeds: Bounceback Pitchers
by
Ken Funck

03-08

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39

Fantasy Focus: AL Starting Pitchers
by
Marc Normandin

10-29

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6

Prospectus Hit and Run: From One to the Other
by
Jay Jaffe

08-05

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29

Red Light, Green Light
by
Dan Malkiel

01-30

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13

The Wild Bunch
by
Eric Seidman

01-20

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11

Over There, Over There
by
Clay Davenport

10-08

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12

Playoff Prospectus: Dodgers versus Phillies
by
Jay Jaffe

10-01

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20

Playoff Prospectus: Phillies versus Brewers
by
Jay Jaffe

05-13

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0

Furcal En Fuego
by
Eric Seidman

04-10

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0

Schrodinger's Bat: Defense and Pitch Classification
by
Dan Fox

03-21

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0

Prospectus Hit and Run: Joba and the MISERs
by
Jay Jaffe

10-24

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0

Playoff Prospectus: Rockies versus Red Sox
by
Nate Silver

10-18

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0

Schrodinger's Bat: The Baserunning Edition
by
Dan Fox

09-07

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0

Prospectus Matchups: The World Turned Upside Down
by
Jim Baker

08-20

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0

Lies, Damned Lies: Slotto Madness, Part 3
by
Nate Silver

07-11

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0

Looking Ahead
by
John Perrotto

07-05

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0

Schrodinger's Bat: Searching for the Gyroball
by
Dan Fox

06-27

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0

Player Profile: Chad Gaudin
by
Marc Normandin

06-21

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0

Schrodinger's Bat: Gameday Meets the Knuckleball
by
Dan Fox

06-14

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0

Schrodinger's Bat: The Science and Art of Building a Better Pitcher Profile
by
Dan Fox

05-25

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0

Prospectus Hit List: Busting Out from Below
by
Jay Jaffe

10-16

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0

Future Shock: Monday Morning Ten-Pack
by
Kevin Goldstein

10-16

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0

Prospectus Today: LCS, Day Six
by
Joe Sheehan

10-14

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0

Future Shock: Where Did the Tigers and the Athletics Come From?
by
Kevin Goldstein

10-14

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0

Prospectus Today: LCS, Day Four
by
Joe Sheehan

10-14

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0

Playoff Prospectus: The Best and Worst of Mets and Cardinals Postseason Pitching
by
Jim Baker

10-13

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0

Prospectus Today: LCS, Day Three
by
Joe Sheehan

10-12

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0

Prospectus Today: The Games Go On
by
Joe Sheehan

10-12

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0

Player Profile
by
Marc Normandin

10-11

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0

Remembering Buck O'Neil
by
Alex Belth

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May 16, 2014 6:00 am

Pebble Hunting: The Meaning of 3-0 Green Lights

4

Sam Miller

Is swinging on 3-0 counts a stathead philosophy or an old-school staple?

On Sunday, in the first inning, Derek Norris homered on a 3-0 pitch from Gio Gonzalez. Then in the second inning, the same guy did the same thing on the same count against the same guy. “They've given me the green light a few times this year,” Norris said afterward, which is interesting. The A’s haven’t generally given their hitters many green lights on 3-0. Assistant GM David Forst once said that “we typically don’t allow guys to swing 3-0. When one of our guys does it, it’s a big deal. It happens only three or four times a year.”

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In the inaugural PITCHf/x mailbag, Harry and Dan examine how batters and pitchers behave on 3-0 counts.

Dan Brooks and Harry Pavlidis, the minds behind Brooks Baseball and the PITCHf/x Hitter and Pitcher Profiles, will be answering your statistical questions using PITCHf/x data on a regular basis at BP. To submit a question for consideration in their next mailbag, email them at mailbag@brooksbaseball.net or cram your question into 140 characters and send it to @brooksbaseball or @harrypav.


For our first PITCHf/x mailbag, we’ve decided to take a look at a deceptively simple question. We’re not so good at simple, however, so we took lemons and made a small storage building out of them.


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January 9, 2012 9:00 am

Pebble Hunting: The Battered Batter

9

Sam Miller

A visual and statistical look at Carlos Quentin's track record of taking one for the team.

It’s 5:53 a.m. I have three hours, and one factoid for inspiration: Carlos Quentin has been hit in 4.0 percent of his plate appearances. Yuniesky Betancourt has walked in 3.3 percent of his. Let’s just see where this takes us.

***

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The hit-and-run is much maligned as a small-ball tactic, but it's a surprisingly successful strategy.

In this game you never know enough.”—Dale Mitchell

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Sizing up every facet of each contender in this season's Fall Classic.

The Breakdown

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September 28, 2011 5:00 am

Prospectus Hit and Run: A Night in the Life of Team Entropy

11

Jay Jaffe

The playoff races have been de-zombified, and Team Entropy was on the prowl, looking for meaningful baseball going into the final game.

Welcome to Team Entropy! Grab a seat on the couch, and here, have a beer. You've been invited to this party because after almost exactly six months and 160 games of regular-season baseball, you've suspended the need to root for a specific team and are working for the greater good, more interested in maximizing the amount of end-of-season chaos the remaining schedule can produce. The amount of season, even, if it comes to a 163rd game—or two.

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In case you missed Mike Fast's extraordinary research into quantifying the heretofore hidden contributions of catchers, we're moving it back to the top of the list for the weekend.

I Was Framed
Catchers play a central role in the game of baseball through their involvement with every pitch that their pitchers throw. One of their key tasks is receiving borderline pitches without discouraging the umpire from calling strikes.


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What factors determine how often hitters take one for the team?

Every season major league pitchers throw tens of thousands of pitches inside off the plate, yet they hit batters “only” about 1500-1800 times in a season. Why do some inside pitches hit the batter, while others do not?

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As Jose Bautista can attest, the percentage of pitches a batter sees in the strike zone tells us a good deal about his capabilities.

The pitcher begins each confrontation with a batter with the initiative. He alone controls when the baseball is thrown, how it moves, and where it is located. Thus, the batter is by nature placed in a reactive position. However, the batter, too, has a measure of control over how the plate appearance proceeds. He stands at the plate with a club, and it is within his discretion to swing his weapon or not.

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Do early-season phenoms fade once the rest of the league learns to stop giving them pitches to hit?

Believe it or not, most of our writers didn't enter the world sporting an @baseballprospectus.com address; with a few exceptions, they started out somewhere else. In an effort to up your reading pleasure while tipping our caps to some of the most illuminating work being done elsewhere on the internet, we'll be yielding the stage once a week to the best and brightest baseball writers, researchers and thinkers from outside of the BP umbrella. If you'd like to nominate a guest contributor (including yourself), please drop us a line.

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Mike examines whether velocity changes in March and April can reveal whether the radar gun will be a pitcher's friend or foe throughout the season.

Fastball speed in the major leagues is an important and oft-researched topic. As the 2011 season begins, the trickle of reports on pitchers’ fastball speeds that came out of spring training will turn into a flood of data. Some pitchers will be throwing a little faster than they were last year, while others will have lost a notch on their hard stuff.

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Could Bud Selig's plan to cram in more playoff teams have a silver lining?

Somewhere among the piles of spiral-bound notebooks stacked in my closet lies a short-lived diary titled "The Last Pennant Race." It recounts the day-by-day events of the last two months of the 1993 Yankees season, of which pretty much all I can remember is, first, that the Yankees managed to tie the eventual champion Blue Jays for first place roughly three dozen times, but never managed to take the lead on their own, and second, that in one late-season game, Don Mattingly, presaging the Jeffrey Maier incident by three years, got credit for a key home run despite it being caught by a fan leaning so far into the field of play that he could have shaken hands with the second baseman.

I chose the diary's title not because I was pessimistic about the Yankees' future—after ten years of Andy Hawkins and Torey Lovullo, I could see as well as anyone that players like Bernie Williams and Paul O'Neill were headed for bigger things—but because I knew that the term "pennant race" would never again have the same meaning. That's because it had already been announced that 1993 was the final season under the old four-division system; henceforth, the leagues were to be split in six, and wild cards would be born. (Thanks to the player strike that would wipe out the 1994 postseason, they were not actually baptized until the following season.)

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