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Reviewing the many predictions teams and players made about themselves last season.

Hot Stove season is slowing, which means it’s almost time for team executives and players to start telling you how good they’re going to be in 2014. There are many reasons for teams and players to predict success: to sell tickets, to avoid 0.0 Nielsen ratings, to motivate themselves and their teammates. Most of the time, predicting success makes more sense than saying “We suck.”

We know that media members make many regrettable predictions: that the 2013 Red Sox would be boring, that Mike Trout wouldn’t be worth taking early in a fantasy draft, that the Angels and Blue Jays would win the West and the East. But anything a team might tell you is equally suspect. So just like last year, I’ve trawled the internet for predictions that teams and players made about themselves before the start of last season. The only condition was that there weren’t conditions—if we stay healthy, if we play up to our capabilities, etc. Only unqualified forecasts of future events could be counted—the stronger and more specific, the better.

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Scouting videos for various 2013 MLB First-Year Player Draft eligible players.

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Which players does the BP staff see taking home Comeback Player of the Year honors next offseason?

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January 16, 2013 5:00 am

Rumor Roundup: Wednesday, January 16


Daniel Rathman

The Nationals' latest move might affect their demands for Mike Morse, Scott Hairston might sign soon, and the Dodgers are looking into Scott Rolen.

The Nationals were widely expected to make a move around this time, a week after they brought Adam LaRoche back on a two-year deal, but that move was supposed to involve trading Michael Morse for prospects or bullpen help. Instead, Washington got the latter in the form of Rafael Soriano, who inked a two-year, $28 million pact on Tuesday, an addition that may serve to create new trade avenues for general manager Mike Rizzo.

What does the Soriano signing mean for Morse?
According to FOX Sports’ Jon Morosi, the Nationals’ focus in Morse-related negotiations could turn away from relievers and toward other needs in the wake of the Soriano signing. Rizzo was believed to be seeking a replacement for departed lefties Sean Burnett and Tom Gorzelanny in earlier talks, and while Soriano throws right-handed, he has a solid track record against opposite-handed batters. The 33-year-old Soriano held lefties to a .256 TAv in 2012, in line with the .261 mark that they have logged over the course of his career, and Tyler Clippard (.215 TAv in 2012, .217 lifetime) gives manager Davey Johnson another multi-purpose weapon, diminishing the need for a traditional set-up southpaw.

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