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Articles Tagged 10-year Projections 

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03-08

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45

Reintroducing PECOTA: House of Cards
by
Colin Wyers

02-29

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12

Prospectus Preview: AL West 2012 Preseason Preview
by
Jason Parks and Jason Wojciechowski

02-28

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13

Future Shock: Milwaukee Brewers Top 11 Prospects
by
Kevin Goldstein

02-22

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28

Prospectus Preview: NL East 2012 Preseason Preview
by
Derek Carty and Michael Jong

02-16

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8

Preseason Value Picks: Starting Pitchers for 2/16/12
by
Mike Petriello

02-07

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12

Future Shock: Atlanta Braves Top 11 Prospects
by
Kevin Goldstein

10-13

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57

Doctoring The Numbers: Starting Them Young, Part One
by
Rany Jazayerli

06-01

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5

Prospectus Hit and Run: Westward Huh?
by
Jay Jaffe

03-28

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18

Prospectus Hit List: AL Pre-Season Hit List
by
Tommy Bennett

03-28

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21

Prospectus Hit List: NL Pre-Season Hit List
by
Jay Jaffe

02-28

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21

Fantasy Focus: NL Starting Pitcher Rankings
by
Marc Normandin

02-25

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38

Future Shock: Philadelphia Phillies Top 11 Prospects
by
Kevin Goldstein

02-25

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12

Fantasy Focus: AL Starting Pitcher Rankings
by
Marc Normandin

02-18

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68

Future Shock: New York Yankees Top 11 Prospects
by
Kevin Goldstein

02-17

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38

Fantasy Focus: First Base Rankings
by
Marc Normandin

02-16

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38

Future Shock: Minnesota Twins Top 11 Prospects
by
Kevin Goldstein

01-27

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21

Ahead in the Count: Testing SIERA
by
Matt Swartz

12-24

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19

Future Shock: Florida Marlins Top 11 Prospects
by
Kevin Goldstein

11-30

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41

Future Shock: Cleveland Indians Top 11 Prospects
by
Kevin Goldstein

05-28

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1

Ahead in the Count: Hometown Discounts
by
Matt Swartz

05-17

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32

Ahead in the Count: The Cost of OPP
by
Matt Swartz

04-22

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5

Ahead in the Count: Reintroducing MORP
by
Matt Swartz

03-26

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10

Prospectus Hit and Run: Mauer and JAWS
by
Jay Jaffe

03-23

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26

Ahead in the Count: Predicting BABIP, Part 1
by
Matt Swartz

03-12

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130

BP Unfiltered: PECOTA Update
by
Dave Pease

02-24

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15

Contractual Matters: NL Central
by
Jeff Euston

02-22

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29

Ahead in the Count: Evaluating Multi-Year Deals
by
Matt Swartz

01-25

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63

Prospectus Roundtable: Analyzing RoboPitcher
by
Baseball Prospectus

12-21

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52

Prospectus Hit and Run: Alomar, the Crime Dog, the Big Cat and Big Mac
by
Jay Jaffe

12-04

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16

Future Shock: Angels Top 11 Prospects
by
Kevin Goldstein

12-01

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35

Future Shock: Royals Top 11 Prospects
by
Kevin Goldstein

11-12

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68

Future Shock: Red Sox Top 11 Prospects
by
Kevin Goldstein

09-15

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17

Ahead in the Count: The BABIP Superstars
by
Matt Swartz

09-15

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34

Prospectus Hit and Run: Overachieving Yet Again
by
Jay Jaffe

07-10

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11

Prospectus Hit List: Back in the Saddle Again
by
Jay Jaffe

04-28

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18

Replacement-Level Killers 2009
by
Ben Lindbergh

04-06

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25

Prospectus Hit List: Opening Day Edition
by
Jay Jaffe

03-09

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19

Prospectus Hit and Run: Irreplaceable
by
Jay Jaffe

03-09

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37

Fantasy Beat: Starting Pitchers, Part I
by
Marc Normandin

02-13

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14

Prospectus Hit and Run: Outside Help, NL Central
by
Jay Jaffe

02-12

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24

Future Shock: Royals Top 11 Prospects
by
Kevin Goldstein

02-02

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27

Future Shock: White Sox Top 11 Prospects
by
Kevin Goldstein

12-16

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31

Future Shock: Mets Top 11 Prospects
by
Kevin Goldstein

11-07

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26

Future Shock: Braves Top 11 Prospects
by
Kevin Goldstein

08-29

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0

Prospectus Hit List: Days of Wonder
by
Jay Jaffe

08-28

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0

Prospectus Hit and Run: Prelude to the Great Unplugging
by
Jay Jaffe

08-26

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0

Prospectus Hit and Run: The Overachievers
by
Jay Jaffe

04-11

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0

Prospectus Hit List: Small-Sample Theater
by
Jay Jaffe

03-30

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0

Prospectus Hit List: Opening Day
by
Jay Jaffe

03-05

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0

Fantasy Beat: The Infielders
by
Marc Normandin

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The PECOTA cards are here, including 10-year projections and percentiles.

Without further ado, we present to you the PECOTA cards. Debuting on the cards are the 10-year forecasts and the percentile forecasts.

Read the full article...

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February 29, 2012 3:00 am

Prospectus Preview: AL West 2012 Preseason Preview

12

Jason Parks and Jason Wojciechowski

The two Jasons dissect the pressing questions facing the Rangers, Angels, A's, and Mariners this season.

PECOTA Team Projections
Record: 89-73
Team WARP: 45.7
Runs Scored: 719
Runs Allowed: 648​
Team FRAA: 37.6






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February 28, 2012 3:00 am

Future Shock: Milwaukee Brewers Top 11 Prospects

13

Kevin Goldstein

A weak Brewers system improved following the 2011 draft, but that might not be saying much

Previous Rankings: 2011 | 2010 | 2009 | 2008

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February 22, 2012 3:00 am

Prospectus Preview: NL East 2012 Preseason Preview

28

Derek Carty and Michael Jong

Roundtable discussion of the pressing questions facing the NL East teams as we approach the start of the season

1) After a disappointing sophomore campaign, what can we expect of Jason Heyward going forward?
MJ:
Jason Heyward had an injury-riddled sophomore season in Atlanta, but there is a lot to like about his chances at a rebound campaign in 2012. His offensive line was deflated by a .260 BABIP, but his peripherals were once again stellar. His 11.6 percent walk rate represented a regression from 2010 but cannot be considered poor, and his .162 ISO likewise dropped from the previous year but did not experience a precipitous fall.


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February 16, 2012 3:00 am

Preseason Value Picks: Starting Pitchers for 2/16/12

8

Mike Petriello

Oswalt, Norris, Morrow, and Hanson all make the cut for the first SP Value Pick column of 2012

Baseball Prospectus Fantasy 2012 is GO. With PECOTA and the PFM now available for public consumption, we’re back for another season of fantasy analysis. Today, I follow the first two Mikes by kicking off my portion of the preseason series with a look at a few starting pitchers who may be undervalued in early drafts, plus a check in on the health of one of the most promising young starters in the game.

Roy Oswalt | SP | Free Agent
Mixed: $- | AL/NL-only: $- | PECOTA Rank: -- | ADP: 71st SP
PECOTA Projections:



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February 7, 2012 3:00 am

Future Shock: Atlanta Braves Top 11 Prospects

12

Kevin Goldstein

Atlanta's system has several high-caliber pitchers but few hitters to match their upside.

Previous Rankings: 2011 | 2010 | 2009 | 2008

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One of BP's co-founders returns to reveal an important amateur draft inefficiency.

Everyone missed on Mike Trout. Don’t get me wrong: Trout was a well-regarded player headed into the 2009 draft, a certain first-round talent. But he wasn’t—yet—a phenom. Everyone liked Trout; it’s just that no one loved him. Baseball America ranked him as the 22nd-best player in the draft. No one doubted his athleticism or his work ethic; a lot of people doubted the level of competition he faced as a high school player from rural New Jersey. The Angels drafted him with the 25th pick overall, and they’ll tell you today that they knew he was destined to be a special player. What they won’t tell you is that they had back-to-back picks at #24 and #25, and they announced Randal Grichuk’s name first.

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June 1, 2011 9:00 am

Prospectus Hit and Run: Westward Huh?

5

Jay Jaffe

The standings out West have an odd look to them, as the losers are suddenly becoming winners.

If you weren't previously aware of the weirdness in the American and National Leagues' West divisions, the long weekend provided ample opportunity to take note of the ascendance of two teams that combined to lose 198 games last year. The Yankees pulled into Seattle with the AL's second-best record, and while they held their own against the one-two punch of Michael Pineda and Felix Hernandez, the Mariners clawed away at the Yankees' bullpen and took two out of three games. In doing so, they climbed above .500 for the first time since April 3, when they were 2-1, and finished Memorial Day just 1.5 games out of first place. Meanwhile, the Diamondbacks pulled into first place in the NL West on Sunday, thanks to a well-timed streak in which they won 13 out of 14 games while their division rivals fell apart. Obviously, neither team figured to be in this position even one-third of the way into the season. The question is whether they can continue to factor into their divisions’ free-for-alls.

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A familiar Eastern threesome tops the Junior Circuit rankings.

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Spring training is about to break down, so which NL clubs are on the ups?

Read the full article...

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February 28, 2011 9:00 am

Fantasy Focus: NL Starting Pitcher Rankings

21

Marc Normandin

You know where Roy Halladay ranks, but what about the rest of the National League's hurlers?

These are the National League starting pitcher fantasy rankings for 2011. Check out our previous first base, second base, third base, shortstop, catcher, left fielder, center fielder, right fielder, closer, and AL starting pitcher installments.


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February 25, 2011 6:06 pm

Future Shock: Philadelphia Phillies Top 11 Prospects

38

Kevin Goldstein

You want ceiling? We got your ceilings right here.

Previous Rankings: 2010 | 2009 | 2008

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