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02-08

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 813: Changing the Strike Zone Responsibly
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

02-05

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13

Baseball Prospectus Book News: Baseball Prospectus 2016 Features and Errata
by
Dave Pease

02-05

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 812: Warren Spahn and the Forgotten Flexible Starter
by
Ben Lindbergh

02-05

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TINO (There Is No Offseason): Ep. 63: Flu-Like Symptoms
by
George Bissell, Ben Carsley, Craig Goldstein and Bret Sayre

02-04

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 811: 2016 Comeback Player Predictions
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

02-04

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11

Fifth Column: On the Conflict Between Aesthetic and Tactical Optimality
by
Michael Baumann

02-03

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1

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 810: The Empty Average Edition
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

02-03

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20

Some Projection Left: Ask The Industry: Did We Get The Shortstops Right?
by
Christopher Crawford

02-02

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 809: The 2016 Minor League Free Agent Draft
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

02-02

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Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 76: Time Is Funny That Way
by
George Bissell, Bret Sayre and Mike Gianella

02-01

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2

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 808: The BP Annual Guessing Game
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

01-29

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 807: Daren Willman Previews Statcast Season Two
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

01-29

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BP Beta Blog: test
by
Rob McQuown

01-28

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 806: How Quickly Chemistry Can Change
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

01-27

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 805: How Much is That World Series in the Window?
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

01-26

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Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 75: Well-Balanced Breakfast
by
George Bissell, Bret Sayre and Mike Gianella

01-25

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 804: The Offseason Odds Movers
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

01-22

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 803: Coin-Flip Friday
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

01-22

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11

TINO (There Is No Offseason): Ep. 62: Enya's Kitchen
by
George Bissell, Ben Carsley, Bret Sayre and Craig Goldstein

01-21

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 802: The Podcast We Put Away Wet
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

01-20

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 801: The Big-Contract Catch-Up
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

01-19

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Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 74: Can I Opt-Out Of Winter?
by
George Bissell, Bret Sayre and Mike Gianella

01-19

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 800: Kieran Powell on Converting from Cricket
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

01-19

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4

Fifth Column: The Cowardice of Orthodoxy
by
Michael Baumann

01-18

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 799: Andy McCullough Defends the Fourth Estate
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

01-15

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Rubbing Mud: Swinging Worked
by
Matthew Trueblood

01-15

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 798: The Baseball Amicus Brief
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

01-14

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 797: How to Have the Trout Talk
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

01-13

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 796: Podcasting Under Pressure
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

01-13

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2

Tools of the Trade
by
Jeff Long

01-12

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 795: The State of the Central Address
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

01-12

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Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 73: Schwarbercast
by
George Bissell, Bret Sayre and Mike Gianella

01-12

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Outta Left Field: In Search of a New Ryan Doumit
by
Dustin Palmateer

01-11

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 794: Belated Barry Bonds Banter
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

01-11

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15

Prospectus Feature: Scouting for Converts
by
Ezra Wise

01-11

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5

An Agent's Take: The Game of Memories
by
Joshua Kusnick

01-08

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 793: The Emergency Mailbag Edition
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

01-07

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 792: What We Learned from This Year's Hall of Fame Voting
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

01-07

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2

BP Unfiltered: New BP Catcher Stats!
by
Stephen Reichert

01-06

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BP Unfiltered: The Orioles Are Having a Baseball Analytics Hackathon
by
BP Staff

01-06

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 791: Brewster's Emails
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

01-05

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BP Job Postings: Baseball Operations Fellowship--St. Louis Cardinals
by
BP Staff

01-05

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 790: The Non-Hilarious Haren
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

01-05

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12

Baseball Therapy: Now With 50 Percent Less Math
by
Russell A. Carleton

01-04

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 789: Premature Takes on the Kenta Maeda Contract
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

01-04

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4

Caught Looking: Declaring openWAR
by
Michael Wenz

12-31

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TINO (There Is No Offseason): Ep. 61: Eating Crow
by
George Bissell, Ben Carsley, Craig Goldstein and Bret Sayre

12-28

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 788: The Deepest Mailbag Dive
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

12-23

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Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 72: The Way Too Early Sleeper Show
by
George Bissell, Bret Sayre and Mike Gianella

12-22

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New Post
by
Sam Miller

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Ben and Sam talk to incoming Los Angeles Times Dodgers beat writer Andy McCullough about the Players' Tribune, the Dodgers and Royals and, for some reason, Sublime.

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January 15, 2016 11:22 am

Rubbing Mud: Swinging Worked

0

Matthew Trueblood

In 2015, hitters got busy living.

Last March, I dove to some depth into the question of what distinguished the typical plate appearance in 2014 from the typical one in, for instance, 2004. Because of the changes the game has undergone over the past decade—the ever-expanding strike zone; the steady rise in global strikeout and groundball rates; the not-so-steady, violent rise in average velocity; changes in the way teams use and evaluate pitchers; and others—it was a unique time to explore that issue. Never had the particular progression of expected production based on count shifts changed quite the way it did. Offense across baseball sagged to a fairly cataclysmic low in 2014, so it made sense to look for reasons, and as it turned out, a lot of the reasons had to do with the frequency of reaching certain counts and with the production batters managed once they did so.

In 2015, offense bounced back. It’s not, by any means, restored to the heights of the mid-2000s, but after runs appeared to be on the brink of extinction for a short while, they were more like a protected species last year. In the second half, especially, hitters began to regain some of the (considerable) territory they had ceded to pitchers and defenses over the previous five years. And as it turned out, a lot of the reasons for that, too, traced to the way counts progressed (or, quite often, didn’t). Let’s explore a few of those shifts.

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Ben and Sam talk to FanGraphs legal analyst Nathaniel Grow about a number of baseball-related cases working their way through the courts.

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Ben and Sam banter about Chris Davis and burning ships, then answer a listener email about how to make Mike Trout matter to non-fans.

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Ben and Sam banter about Ian Kennedy and their free-agent-contract predictions, then answer listener emails about the Dodgers' front office, The Players' Tribune, Coors Field and Gerardo Parra, silent free agents, and more.

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January 13, 2016 6:00 am

Tools of the Trade

2

Jeff Long

A look at some of the technology that might change the game and the industry alike.

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Ben and Sam banter about BP's new catcher-defense stats, then discuss the AL Central's offseason.

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Bret Sayre, Mike Gianella and George Bissell take a deep dive into current fantasy baseball topics.

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Will we ever see someone with as much career disregard for framing as the former Twin?

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Ben and Sam discuss how long Barry Bonds will last as the Miami Marlins' hitting coach.

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January 11, 2016 6:00 am

Prospectus Feature: Scouting for Converts

15

Ezra Wise

Not all who play shortstop are shortstops, and other rules of scouting players before their roles are defined.

On a recent trip to Florida, I was able to momentarily escape the loving clutches of family to take in two sporting events—day three of the Perfect Game National Underclass Showcase and a local high school basketball game. Even while watching the basketball game as a casual observer, I found myself slipping into scouting mode, pondering whether any of the players on the court might have promising futures at the college level.

In particular, I noticed a player whose tools were best suited for a “3-and-D” role, but was instead forced to operate as an initiator because there was no better option to occupy the role on his team. As a result of suboptimal deployment, the player’s in-game performance suffered, as almost all of his turnovers came on ball-handling gaffes. Nonetheless, it became apparent that the player possesses desirable tools—defense, perimeter shooting, and shot blocking—that will allow him to be a valuable contributor on a smaller Division I team, assuming he’s deployed in his optimal role as a “3-and-D” guy and not forced into ball-handling and initiating duties.

When observing this player, I couldn’t help but think of some advice I received from a veteran talent evaluator. “Don’t get caught up too much with where you see guys playing,” he said. “You could be watching a Rookie-level game and the organization’s right fielder of the future is playing shortstop, the catcher is playing third, and a late-inning reliever is playing center field. Trust in the tools they show you. That’ll tell you more about future roles than where you see them playing right now.” A player’s current role gives you clues about his future role but sometimes it’s a distractor. Cutting through the noise in the interest of pinning down a player’s optimal future role is difficult, but doing so is an immensely valuable part of scouting. In what follows we’ll explore role optimization and some of the common positional transitions executed in the interest of maximizing expected value at the major-league level.

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January 11, 2016 6:00 am

An Agent's Take: The Game of Memories

5

Joshua Kusnick

Everything becomes a memory.

Baseball is my job. Baseball is a game. Baseball is a business. All of this is true. All of this is my life. Baseball is also, as it is for many of you, much more than that.

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