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07-26

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BP Kansas City
by
David Lesky

07-26

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Notes from the Field: July 26, 2016
by
BP Prospect Staff

07-26

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Cold Takes: On the Stadium
by
Patrick Dubuque

07-25

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 931: Cubs Add Aroldis, Chris Sale Slices Laundry
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

07-25

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The Prospectus Hit List: Monday, July 25
by
Matt Sussman

07-22

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 930: Dave Cameron's Semi-Responsible Trade Speculation
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

07-22

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BP Bronx
by
Ben Diamond

07-22

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The Prospectus Hit List: Friday, July 22
by
Matthew Kory

07-21

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Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 98: The Dan Vogelbach One
by
George Bissell, Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre

07-21

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BP Boston
by
Matt Collins

07-20

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 929: You Want it This Way
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

07-20

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Team Chemistry: Fringe Effects on Called Strikes
by
John Choiniere

07-20

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BP Milwaukee
by
Seth Victor

07-20

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Team Chemistry: Fringe Effects on Called Strikes
by
John Choiniere

07-19

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 928: The Evolution of Umpire-Manager Arguments
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

07-19

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What You Need to Know: J-Fer Effort
by
Emma Baccellieri

07-19

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BP Bronx
by
Kenny Ducey

07-18

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 927: The Twins Without Terry Ryan
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

07-18

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The Prospectus Hit List: Monday, July 18
by
Matt Sussman

07-15

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 926: Dealin' Dombrowski and the State of the Red Sox
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

07-15

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The Prospectus Hit List: Friday, July 15
by
Matthew Kory

07-14

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 925: Position Players the Projections Missed
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

07-14

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BP Wrigleyville
by
Cat Garcia

07-14

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Prospectus Feature: Francisco Liriano, Chase Rates, and Global Trade
by
Rob Mains

07-13

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 924: Abducting the All-Stars
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

07-12

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BP Kansas City
by
Hunter Samuels

07-12

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 923: The Jerry Dipoto Report Card
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

07-11

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The Prospectus Hit List: Monday, July 11
by
Matt Sussman

07-11

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 922: What's a Wild Card Worth?
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

07-09

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BP Boston
by
Dustin Palmateer

07-09

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BP Wrigleyville
by
Cat Garcia

07-08

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The Prospectus Hit List: Friday, July 8
by
Matthew Kory

07-08

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Life at the Margins: Countering the Modern Ace
by
Rian Watt

07-08

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 921: Bow Before Shohei Otani
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

07-07

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 920: Home Runs Have More Than Bounced Back
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

07-07

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What You Need to Know: Giancarlo Stanton Hits a Bunch of Dongers
by
Demetrius Bell

07-07

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An Agent's Take: Three 2016 Draft Stories
by
Joshua Kusnick

07-06

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 919: All-Star Emails
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

07-06

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Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 97: Briefly
by
George Bissell, Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre

07-06

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BP Wrigleyville
by
Matthew Trueblood

07-06

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4

Pebble Hunting: The Baseball In Steamy Novels
by
Sam Miller

07-05

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BP South Side
by
Collin Whitchurch

07-05

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 918: One Word: Plastics
by
Craig Goldstein and Sam Miller

07-04

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BP Toronto
by
Mike Sonne

07-04

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TINO (There Is No Offseason): Ep. 73: Future Austin Meadows References
by
George Bissell, Ben Carsley, Craig Goldstein and Bret Sayre

07-03

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3

BP Unfiltered: Ladies and Gentlemen, It's the June 2016 Vogelsongs!
by
Rob Mains

07-01

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4

The Prospectus Hit List: Friday, July 1
by
Matthew Kory

07-01

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BP Wrigleyville
by
Matthew Trueblood

07-01

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What You Need to Know: Madison Bumgarner, Designated Hitter
by
Nicolas Stellini

07-01

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 917: State of the Standings: AL East
by
Ben Lindbergh

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July 26, 2016 10:23 am

BP Kansas City

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David Lesky

Expectations in Kansas City are much different these days and the Royals have failed to meet them all season.

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July 26, 2016 6:00 am

Notes from the Field: July 26, 2016

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BP Prospect Staff

Notes on Cody Sedlock, Isaiah White, and... others.

Cody Sedlock, RHP, Baltimore Orioles (Short-Season Aberdeen)
For the Ten Pack this week I wrote about Justin Dunn, who like Sedlock, was a first-round college pick in this past month's draft. Ideally Ten Pack entries, and certainly a Notes from the Field piece, should give some indication into what I think the player is at the highest level. That's the bare minimum you can ask for, right? At least make a call. The problem is with these recent college draftees is: what exactly are you looking at?


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As baseball's pineal gland.

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Ben and Sam banter about the Hall of Fame and Jon Lester, then discuss Chris Sale's jersey tantrum, Shelby Miller trade rumors, and the Cubs-Yankees Aroldis Chapman deal.

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Gadzooks, it's a Monday Hit List!

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Ben and Sam talk to FanGraphs managing editor Dave Cameron about his probably-not-entirely-inaccurate predictions for the upcoming non-waiver trade deadline.

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July 22, 2016 11:54 am

BP Bronx

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Ben Diamond

How bad can things get for Alex Rodriguez before the Yankees say enough is enough?

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[Slow warbling from a bat-smashed record player, left to die in a scorched desert] ...gotta get down on Friday...

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George Bissell, Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre of Baseball Prospectus take a deep dive into current fantasy baseball topics.

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July 21, 2016 10:28 am

BP Boston

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Matt Collins

As if Mookie Betts wasn't good enough already, now he's crushing the ball more than anyone expected.

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Ben and Sam banter about Ben's new job at The Ringer, a distressing Jose Altuve video, and Clayton Kershaw, then answer listener emails about dugout pranks, contracts and the Hall of Fame, tattoos of players, how to manage managers, and more.

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S

Seventeen inches across, from the “hollow of the knee” to the midpoint between the belt line and the shoulder. Despite the potential ambiguity introduced in setting the lower boundary at something called a “hollow,” the rulebook strike zone is a fairly straightforward thing. Fans of the game know, though, that the defined zone doesn’t always have that much to do with the zone as called. Lefty hitters have a different effective zone than righties; it’s easier to get a called strike on 3-0 than on 0-2; the effective zone has been expanding downward for years now. Every season sees calls for #RobotUmpsNow; there are countless Twitter bots posting information about whether a particular strike/ball call helps or hurt a team of interest. Thinking about the strike zone in preparation for this article has lead me to sympathize a lot with BP E-I-C Sam Miller’s proposed definition of a strike: “A ball, delivered by the pitcher while standing wholly within the lines of his position and facing the batsman, that, so delivered, is determined by the umpire to be a fair pitch.” Still, I don’t think the game is all that close to adopting Sam’s idea, so we’re left to try to evaluate the strike zone as best as we can.

The current model for called strikes here at BP produces a stat called Called Strikes Above Average. It’s built from a mixed model that accounts for, among other things, the pitcher, umpire, batter, and current score. Before it’s CSAA, it’s straightforward called strike probability, which is a proprietary model from PitchInfo that reflects PI’s pitch classifications and adjusted PITCHf/x data. With that in mind, I set out to find an answer to a very specific question: All else being equal (pitch type, amount of movement, etc.), does a pitcher’s release point have an effect on whether a pitch is called a strike? In researching the topic, I found that yes, it does (though minimally); I also found that pitch type continues to play a role in the “above average” part of the equation (so to speak), even after being accounted for in the initial calculation.

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