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The Cardinals are playing well, and while Kozma brings no punch at the dish, it's not as if he's been Brendan Ryan up there. His walk rate is solid, and his .329 OBP is actually above the league average. I haven't watched Kozma play defense closely enough, or often enough, to know if he's an above average defender at the position, but if he is, the Cardinals don't have much motivation to make a switch. I don't think any change is imminent.
The Ken Rosenthal article I linked to stated that Davey Johnson doesn't believe Rendon is ready to play second base in the majors, so I agree that they don't trust him to play second base well at the moment.
I wouldn't say there is a zero percent chance Baker sticks around, but I don't think his odds of sticking around are good.
Liriano. I own both in a 12 team mixed H2H keeper league, though. Liriano has turned in a useful full season of work more recently, pitches in the National League, and pitches in a better home ballpark. I also have more faith in Liriano's secondary pitches allowing him to rack up strikeouts. I do like Kazmir a bit.
Funny that you should bring up the racetrack. One of my coworkers at my day job hit the trifecta in the Kentucky Derby. I, unfortunately, did not bet or hit a trifecta haha.
Thanks. I'll actually be giving out lotto numbers in my next Free Agent Watch piece. That's a shallow enough format that you may be able to find a better starter at some point, but for now, I'd hold tight.
The lack of including the level that Michael Wacha accumulated his stats at was an oversight on my part. In the past, at least for minor leaguers, I've posted their total line and noted what levels they played at. Once a player has reached the majors that is the stat line I use exclusively, but I'll often reference their minor league stats in the actual write-up when necessary.
That was a bold prediction, and B.J. Upton has struggled mightily this year.
I don't think so. I'll start by saying I'm not a doctor, but given his health problems, I question how well he'd hold up being used multiple days in a row in save situations. I also think the Cardinals have plenty of capable arms to use for closing including Edward Mujica, Trevor Rosenthal and Carlos Martinez.
It's good that he's seeing more pitches, but I'm not sure what that's evidence of. He's still a free swinger. Among batters that have seen 350 pitches (there are 219 players that qualify), Gomez swing rate of 55.13% is the 9th highest. Conversely, Prado, Fielder, and Posey rank 181, 190, 195 in swing rate. If a player is swinging at more than half of the pitches they see, and they rank in the top 10 among regulars in swing rate, I think the classification of free swinger is apt for them.
Without more details, such as what your roster looks like and what you can get for him, hold seems about right.
Thank you for catching that,Kevin, and thanks for fixing it, Dan.
I honestly don't know. He could be called up on June 1 and it wouldn't shock me. He could wait until August before being summoned and I wouldn't be totally shocked either.
Jfranco77 beat me to it, but he basically nailed it. I think Pomeranz is back in the bigs before Wheeler makes his MLB debut, but I'd rather stash Wheeler based on talent and home ballpark.
Yes I would, and thanks for the attitude.
Thank you very much.
Listen guys, as you've acknowledged, this article is meant to appeal to a broad audience. Of the seven players I wrote about this week, two were owned in 10% of CBS leagues or fewer. Last week I wrote about eight players and five of those players were owned in under 10% of CBS leagues, and two of those players, Martin Maldonado and Kyle Blanks, were owned in 1% of CBS leagues. I want this article to be all inclusive, but the players featured aren't always going to be universally available. I'm hopeful that the information I provide for players owned in your leagues will provide insight into whether or not they are worth actively pursuing by trade. I understand that many people aren't reading this for trade advice, but those in mixed leagues certainly aren't reading the article in hopes of learning about a player they'll never own in their format either. It's a balancing act. I appreciate the commentary, and I'll continue to attempt to appeal to as many readers as I can.
I'll echo Paul's choice and say to go with Mark Ellis.
I nearly included Nate Schierholtz. If you have daily roster changes and can replace him in the lineup when the Cubs face a left-handed pitcher, he's a reasonable addition. Not an NL player, but given the available replacement options should he fail, I'd gamble on Oswaldo Arcia if he's available.
I would dump Lilly for Liriano.
Chris Heston would be my first guess. He's already on the 40 man, off to a good start in Triple-A, and probably ready for a swingman/injury replacement role. Next in line would be either Michael Kickham or Yusmeiro Petit, but both are off the 40 man and would require a roster move.
I haven't played in a public league with standard settings at any fantasy sports provider in over a decade, but I believe CBS has deeper rosters that include two catchers, five outfielders, and a corner and middle infielder.
So, it's the other standard four categories and K:BB instead of saves, correct? If that's the case, I'd rather have Cashner.
Thanks for the comments guys. As you can see by the ownership percentages, I did try to cater to a broad group of gamers. I'll try to include a few players that are more widely available in NL-only leagues, but keep in mind this article is intended for a large audience. If I begin to go overboard, the complaints of these guys being useless in mixed leagues will begin to flood the comment section.
Feliz's omission was largely because I was primarily looking at players that would help this year. Hudson is a fine DL stash option, but there is so much starting pitching depth in Arizona that it wouldn't be hard to envision them easing him back.
The Yankees players were being selected higher than my self imposed ADP cut line. Baker was on my initial list, but the lack of a timetable for when he'll return worries me some ( http://chicago.cubs.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20130325&content_id=43280398¬ebook_id=43281180&vkey=notebook_chc&c_id=chc)
Duffy is another good name, though, I think it will be tough for him to make an impact in yearly leagues. Owners in extremely large mixed leagues and those in AL-only leagues can certainly keep him on their radars. If he's available in dynasty leagues, he's a guy worth stashing on the DL.
I'm a Paulino fan. If the Royals hadn't made multiple moves to address the rotation, I'd like him more for this year. I question whether there will be a rotation vacancy when he's healthy enough to pitch for them this summer, though.
Swarmee pretty much hit the nail on the head. I stayed true the the group rankings for the top 15 (with the exception of dropping Teixeira/Ortiz due to injury), but I didn't cross reference the first basemen that were eligible at other positions against those lists.
I think he's certainly a decent option at CI or UTIL. Not only does he offer solid power, but his average is palatable as well.
I still like Berkman, but I think he carries risk. You mention the fact he's coming off an injury marred 2012 season, and that hurts his ranking. He's also getting long in the tooth (37), so there is some risk of a cliff season. Toss-in that he had a crummy 2010 season before rebounding in 2011, and there are enough questions that a higher ranking could lead to disappointment.
The Blue Jays depth chart shows a revolving door at DH when Lind isn't play (http://www.baseballprospectus.com/fantasy/dc/index.php?tm=TOR) and I think that makes sense. You could see Bonifacio play a variety of positions in the field, and the regulars receive a partial day off serving as the DH.
FWIW, I think part of the reason for the lowish RBI projection is that he's projected to receive just 595 plate appearances.
Thanks for the kind words about the write-up. For what it's worth, had E-5 hit just 30 homers instead of the 42 he hit last year, and those 12 flyballs resulted in outs, he'd have finished with a .258 average. I used the 30 homers because that is what PECOTA projects him to hit this year. I am more optimistic about how he'll perform this year, but I can understand why PECOTA projects his average to fall below .260.
Moreland received less than 400 plate appearances last year, and he rarely faces lefties. He doesn't hit righties as hard as other platoon first basemen such as Garrett Jones and Adam Lind. The presence of Mike Olt in Triple-A would have me a bit concerned if I owned Moreland as well. Overall, I'm just not a fan.
I don't have any info on his velocity thus far in the spring. It probably wouldn't be terribly helpful now while he's building up his pitch count and working in shorter stints anyways. Carrying his velo from the pen to the rotation will likely be huge for Davis, but he'll also need his secondary pitches to be crisp as well. He's definitely a good guy to keep an eye on early.
Martin doesn't qualify as a rookie any longer.
I have not heard of any rumblings regarding him potentially closing. That's not to say he definitely won't end up there. The closing role could end up being fluid in Houston if Veras fumbles it.
His PITCHf/x data was captured in his last start against the Rangers. You can check it out here: http://www.brooksbaseball.net/pfxVB/pfx.php?month=03&day=11&year=2013&game=gid_2013_03_11_sfnmlb_texmlb_1/&prevGame=gid_2013_03_11_sfnmlb_texmlb_1/&prevDate=0311&pitchSel=518516.xml
Velocity looks pretty good.
In 8 starts last year Ramirez posted a tidy 5.13 K/BB rate. He's not just a product of Safeco either. He has a nice pitch mix that includes two fastballs (fourseamer and sinker, that both average just over 93 MPH), a curveball, slider, and changeup. His changeup was a silly put away offering. Check out his Brooks Baseball player card and his Pitch IQ score on it. http://www.brooksbaseball.net/player_cards/player_card.php?player=541640
Giavotella is the only guy in that trio that I believe hasn't gotten a lengthier look because of his glove. Adams was on a Cardinals team that had other option to replace Berkman when he was hurt (Allen Craig namely). I was someone who was in the "Free Allen," camp because I was curious what he could do in a full-time role, but I think his propensity for striking out hurt him at least as much as his defense at first base. The Gyorko point is a valid one. If the glove struggles at second, he'll really need to rake to justify being penciled into the lineup daily. Agreed that Lindor's glove will give him every chance to reach his full offensive potential. However, if his offensive potential isn't better than merely good, it's tough to justify running him up the list.
He would rank third for me as well.
I'll second Bret's earnings/risk factor.
They are a mixed bag. I've played in one with a mix of bloggers and Yahoo! writers where their was discussion about changing batting average to on-base percentage. Hopefully some of the other writers can speak to their experience, but I've enjoyed including OBP in one of my leagues with friends.
I like Weeks, but I think his .269 batting average from 2010 and 2011 is more representative of a ceiling than a certainty. It's possible he outplays a few of the players ranked ahead of him (the gap isn't large between 4-8).
It may have come across as harsh, but it was meant to point out he's always had that deficiency in his game. He hit over .280 twice, but in each of his other seasons he has been a drag in batting average. That doesn't mean he wasn't worth owning, his power was outstanding. My hope was to point out that his poor batting average becomes less tolerable if his power remains down. I think we're on the same page and we have differing opinions of how to word what Uggla is.
Montero has hit LHP better than RHP over a sample of 622 plate appearances in the majors split 218 PAs against LHP and 404 PAs against RHP. That's basically one full season of work. He was also better against RHP in 2011 according to Minor League Central (http://minorleaguecentral.com/player?pid=524968&split=3000), but as you delve deeper and look at his numbers moving up the minor league ladder (http://mlsplits.drivelinebaseball.com/mlsplits/playerinfo/524968) the gap closes. Dismissing the thought that Montero catching helped his numbers is very presumptive. That's not to say that facing LHP more often as a catcher didn't help, but I don't think any of us truly know how much more that factor helped. I apologize for not responding to the message in my Keeper Reaper article, that was an oversight on my part. I was alerted by e-mail about the post while at work, and forgot to respond when I got home. Hopefully this will satisfy your desire for more information.
Yup. I actually have Perez ranked a bit higher on my 2013 catcher rankings, but Montero's offensive upside is greater long-term.
I nearly selected Lincecum because I do believe he bounces back big time this year, but I believe a Comeback Player of the Year should actually be coming back from something other than a down year.
I think it may vary depending upon fantasy provider.
If he finds himself slotted 5th in the lineup behind OBP machines Miguel Cabrera and Prince Fielder he should be in line for a big RBI total. He's always hit for a helpful batting average, and his home run total will be solid but not game-changing. Losing catcher eligibility hurts, but his bat will play in a utility spot.
I haven't frequented the fantasy baseball cafe message board recently, but when I was a regular there, they had an active forum for posting league openings.
I'll add them to the list of potential candidates for future articles. I may not cover all of them, but it's likely I'll cover some of them. Thanks for the suggestions.
Unless you have some other mega values on your roster, he's a no doubt keeper at that price.
While I appreciate the suggestion, and wouldn't mind the extra work, I think there are too many variables at play to make including a dollar value range valuable to owners in all leagues. I'd liken it to adding a round value range to players in leagues in which players are kept at the cost of the round they were selected in. That said, I'd be more than happy to answer specific keeper questions in regards to auction leagues either by e-mail or in the comments section.
I'll pass along your Moustakas request to the CI Keeper Reaper. In regards to the medium fringe player request, the article is meant to cater to owners in all size leagues and keeper formats. I'll definitely avoid over doing it with slam dunk keepers though.
I'll add Walker to my list of players to cover, thanks for the suggestion.
I tend to lean heavily in favor of keeping hitters over pitchers, so unless the pitchers are amongst the cream of the crop, I'd probably Jackson or Cespedes with a preference for Cespedes. I'll pass along your requests to the author of the OF Keeper Reaper.
I'll pass along your requests for A-Rod and Span, and I'm sure the authors in charge of the Keeper Reaper articles for the corner infield positions and the outfield will take them into consideration for an in depth look. In short, I would only keep A-Rod in extremely deep formats, and Span would be a fringe option in NL-only and a yes in very deep leagues.
Funny you should mention Napoli. I nearly led the column off with him instead of Wieters. I'll definitely include him in a few article.
He'll always have a special place in my heart as a fantasy gamer. His 2004 season, when he was catcher eligible, was awesome.
And the Angels had the misfortune of playing in a much better division. The Tigers had an embarrassing record of 13-20 against the American League West. The Angels had a winning record in each of the divisions in the American League. The Angels also were in the mix for a Wild Card spot, so it's not as if they were playing "meaningless games." Furthermore, the Angels have a better record in crunch time (i.e September/October), so it's not as if the team wilted in the playoff chase. Miguel Cabrera has had an outstanding season, but I don't think he should get bonus points in the MVP race based on where his team's home city is located.
If by eligible to vote you mean the actual vote that determines who will win these awards, I am not. That said, I can't speak to whether the other writers are or are not eligible to vote.
There is nothing hypothetical about the playoff bound Detroit Tigers having the 7th best record in the American League, for those that like the "player A," carried his team narrative.
I have consistently pegged him as a 25 HR a year guy, and have owned him each of the last four years... I didn't own him this year, ugh.
I'll likely invest in Drew again next year, but I think I might (maybe) pass on Beckham entirely.
I definitely earned the blackboard treatment with Beckham, but I should probably leave some room for Stephen Drew as well.
That's a big part of what eats at me. He can really put a charge into the ball, but he hits so few flyballs. In many ways, those shots are a tease.
The finish is quite promising, and I like that he cut back on his strikeout rate yet again this year. I know PETCO is tough on power, but I hate Maybin's inclination to pound everything into the ground. It may not come across this way in my write-up, but I do like Maybin as a player.
Well done Bradley.
He's owned in over 78% of ESPN leagues.
You didn't get a negative response from me, I just get great joy out of destroying things like conspiracy theories. I'm a real jerk like that.
I assure you, there was no arm twisting or pressure to include Billy Hamilton. As crazy as this may seem, I really like to see an elite tool used in game.
Carlos Gomez doesn't qualify for inclusion in this article, unless of course I've missed him converting to the middle infield or catching.
He did get consideration, especially with rumors of The Diamondbacks shopping Drew. I passed on him after looking at his stolen base success rate. Talk about ugly.
I'm not sure what his ultimate defensive home is. Kevin Goldstein or Jason Park would be the gentlemen to ask about that. From what I've read, I would think he'd be a better fit at third base than second base.
This is excellent, great work guys.
Ha, it's completely unintentional that I didn't include a second baseman this week. The pickings are a bit slim though.
Well, Franklin isn't lighting the PCL on fire, but he's not embarrassing himself either. There's no rush for him to reach the majors, so I wouldn't count on seeing him this year. Kevin Goldstein or Jason Parks would be the guys to ask about an ETA.
Agreed, but in two catcher leagues, the position is still quite awful.
Theriot can contribute a passable average (he hit .270 in 2010, .271 last year, and is hitting .270 this year) with no pop. His runs scored will be contingent on him staying in the number two spot in the order, which is possible. He offers no power, though, and he probably won't end up with more than a mid-teens stolen base total. He's 7-for-10 in stolen bases this year, but was an embarrassingly inefficient 4-for-10 in stolen base attempts. Even when he was stealing 20 or more bases a season, he wasn't the most efficient doing so, and at 32 years old, I don't see that changing. He's rosterable in some leagues, but not much more than that.
Nelson might be, but his minor league stat line is more good than great considering his friendly hitting environments. It's very, very early in his big league career, and his minor league splits aren't as dramatic, but he has been much better against southpaws than righties thus far in the majors. In 109 plate appearances against lefties, he is hitting .314/.352/.490. Conversely, in 249 plate appearances against right-handed pitchers in the bigs he's hitting .235/.289/.659. Again, I'll reiterate that that sample is small, but it probably warrants monitoring given the huge gap.
I'm less inclined to buy into Luis Valbuena, as he's more of a known commodity, and not a good one at that. He strikes out too often for a guy with 15 home runs in 840 career plate appearances, and his batting average has suffered as a result (career .224 average). He also offers no stolen base help.
Excellent read, Jason. It's work like this that makes me proud to call BP my new writing home, even if it is in a very different capacity. That said, I'm still an avid reader of the site as well, and would like to humbly suggest a few players who throw a bit of a wrinkle into things. I'd love to see you write about Brandon McCarthy,Colby Lewis and or Ryan Vogelsong. McCarthy interests me greatly because of his failure as a prospect, before basically reinventing himself and becoming a very good major league pitcher. The travels to Japan for both Lewis and Vogelsong have been fairly well covered, but revisiting them as prospects and their projections prior to leaving the states would interest me greatly.
Fun article, Jason. Gave me a perfectly good excuse to blow through roughly an hour searching random players minor league stats. Did anyone toss out the name Devon White in your polling of sources? He's about the best I was able to come up with, and he still doesn't feel like fits your prototype.
Bingo, I'd say Ben hit the nail on the head. There are reasons to dream on all 30 teams.
I had not read that, but it makes sense to rest him each week. I should have been more clear in my "everyday," declaration. Intuitively I expected him to sit more than say, the elite at the position, because of the injury. What I should have said is that he'll be the unquestioned starter when he returns, and he'll be called up when he's able to handle the bulk of the work behind the plate. Nice note, though, thanks for catching my gaffe.
I wouldn't cut Ackley or Walker for Drew. I like Drew, but there are enough questions about how he'll hold up, and how long it will take him to perform at previous levels, that I'd pass. That said, his presence on the waiver wire could make them expendable through trade. Walker has played better than Ackley, and perhaps you could find a trade market for him.
Please elaborate on the deals in which Amaro fleeced other GMs with non-prospects. Just because certain prospects didn't fulfill their expectations, that doesn't mean they were non-prospects 6 months prior to being dealt. They gave up legitimate prospects to acquire Lee from the Indians, Doc from the Blue Jays, and Pence from the Astros. In fact, it's hard to argue that Amaro wasn't the one that got fleeced most recently when he sent Lee to Seattle for Aumont, Gillies and Ramirez.
To compare the situation of the Phillies to that of any of the other teams you mention is apples to oranges. While some of the contracts the Yankees have signed veterans to are significant overpays, those veterans aren't on the disabled list with serious injuries like Howard and Utley. That's not to mention that the Yankees are on their own financial level. Their payroll is $37 million more than the Phillies this year. Furthermore, their farm system is superior.
The Tigers are another poor comp. For starters, they play in a much more winnable division, and that isn't likely to change in the near future. If the season were to fall apart completely for them, they'd likely still go into 2013 as the favorite to win the division, the same can't be said for the Phillies.
The worst comparison you make is that of the Phillies to the Diamondbacks. The Snakes were a surprise division winner last season, they don't have any albatross contracts that they need to sneak out from underneath, and the farm system is loaded with high ceiling pitching prospects.
The questions being raised in this article about the Phillies and what is best for their future are reasonable.
"He knows what his sandbox is, and he knows how to play in it." That's the highlight of the article for me, and that's not meant to diminish an awesome article. That's simply an 80 grade quote.
Thanks for the response. I remember reading he added a few ticks last season, and have routinely read him described as "lanky," but I wasn't sure if he had completely filled out. Scary to think there may be a little left to tap into. Even if he doesn't, as you said, he has been outstanding and it is all the more impressive given his age.
Is there any projection left in Skaggs, or has he essentially maxed out in that regard?
Life long Russell Branyan fan. Sad that in all the teams he has ever played for, the Giants are not amongst them. Great article, I enjoyed it thoroughly.
How close was Pat Corbin to being included in your Diamondbacks rotation? I feel like he's a bit forgotten by many (though I have no doubt wasn't forgotten, simply excluded by you).
I agree that the Rays system going forward depends on the 2011 draft class for the most part, especially if they stand pat. That said, I really don't expect them to stand pat. As you mentioned with Alex Cobb, his fourth/fifth starter ceiling just isn't good enough to find his way into a crowded rotation. I'd be shocked if they didn't deal, Niemann, Davis, Cobb or Torres (perhaps some combination of them). Pitching depth is almost certainly a positive, and someone could move to the pen ala McGee, but I see a Garza-like situation developing. I don't think anyone in that group will net the haul they got from Garza, but someone is always willing to pay for pitching, especially cost controlled pitching. Does my thinking make sense, or am I way off base?
I love Duffy's stuff too, and performance in Triple-A in 2011. He could be a pleasant surprise. My "arm chair," analysis is that he often looked like he was overthrowing. I try not to fake it as a scout, but that's what my eyes were telling me. It's always possible Montgomery turns a corner. Stuff has never been a problem. Crazy things happen, and I like the Royals offense a lot.
Thanks for reading through my vague post, I did mean in a broad sense, but didn't express such.
Interesting stuff Derek. It seems like a best case scenario with Pestano as a closer would be Octavio Dotel like results then? Dotel is the most notable ROOGY I can think of that once found some success in a closer gig.
Consider me a believer in Hochevar's big second half (79.1 IP, 7.71 K/9, 2.72 BB/9, 3.52 ERA, 1.13 WHIP). I love that PITCHf/x supported his second half breakout. He turned to his slider and cutter much more often, and started missing bats. What do your eyes say KG? The numbers looked good, but I always worry about my untrained eyes being guilty of confirmation bias. If you want another sleeper for success in the rotation, Felipe Paulino is as good a bet as anyone. Few throw as hard as he does, and he's not completely bereft of control.
With a weekly lineup in mind, I like the idea of using a roster spot on an elite setup man, and using a bench spot as a revolving door for two start pitchers. If a particular two start pitcher looks appealing, add them, slot them in, and run the risk of ratio damage for the potential wins. If there aren't any two start pitchers that tickle your fancy, slot your ace reliever in and hope for solid work that week. The hope being that the reliever ratios offset the bad from a few dud starts you'll undoubtedly get from waiver arms, but you'll still be competitive in wins. Not a fool proof strategy, but if you toss in the extra money you'll have to spend elsewhere, one I'd probably lean toward.
In a system where the two stars start so early, I'd think a toolsy player in his first full professional season (even a bad one) would get the nod over some utility types like Pill/Gillaspie. I guess I questioned the tools, largely, because both yourself and Jason seem so willing to gamble on ceiling. Is this a case of a prospect being so unlikely to fulfill his promise that he's not worth ranking?
Surprised to see Chuckie Jones miss the cut. How close was he? The strikeout rate was ugly, but I was under the impression he was a toolsy high school pick in 2010. Is that not the case?
I like how you put that in regards to Crawford. I watch him, and don't understand how he's not better at the plate. After reading scouting reports, and looking at his minor league numbers, I expected my eyes to confirm him as a terrible hitter. They didn't, but the results were bad nonetheless.
I was glad to see bat speed mentioned in the article. When thinking about Quad-A players, my mind immediately went to recent example Kila Ka'aihue. I remember when looking at his gaudy slash lines and juicy walk rates in the upper minors I became more interested in what scouts thought of him. Even prior to reaching the majors, one constant stood out as a seeming industry consensus, he had "slider bat speed," and was able to take advantage of the lack of premium velocity in Double-A and Triple-A.
With a guy like that, I've sometimes wondered if there are adjustments coaches can make to speed up a players bat. It would seem the likely answer is no, that some players have it, and others don't. Those that don't cheat, and get exploited in the majors, and you have what we've seen to date from Ka'aihue. What's your take Kevin? Enjoyable article, keep up the great work.
Do you believe Anthony Recker can stick around as a back-up catcher for a while? Numbers wise, he looks like he could be a low batting average, decent walk rate, type with solid pop. Of course, I have no idea how his defense grades behind the plate, and not sure what to think of his stats as a 27 year old in the PCL most of the year. I remember watching him play against my alma mater, SUNY Cortland, in a scrimmage. When I hear you and Jason talk about a guy looking like a player in the uniform when compared to his peers on the field, this is pretty much the image that comes to mind. Recker stood out as a jacked dude.
Love the old school feel of the usage of slow motion. Great follow up.
It's easy to say give up the relievers for power at the plate, but who's to say the Giants are able to sign power at the plate even if they make a play for it?
As a fan of the team, I hope they make a play to re-sign Beltran, but it's not a given he'll want to stay there. They still have Brandon Belt, who I think they handled like fools this year, and Buster Posey returning. Also, outside of throwing big money at Jose Reyes or Jimmy Rollins, the market isn't exactly flush with talented affordable alternatives at shortstop, a position you suggest them filling. Their best bet may be to deal with the offensive shortcomings of Brandon Crawford, hoping he's able to hit for moderate power to offset a bad average. His glove is quite good, so it's not as if he's completely inept. A make good, incentive laden offer to Sizemore would be great, but isn't that essentially what everyone else will be looking to offer him? Sinking money into the lineup would be a good move, but I have a feeling they'll be dumpster diving and targeting cheaper flawed players and hoping they click.
Thanks for the work KG. Being that you are big on ceiling and tools, and DeShields gets just two stars, is it fair to assume you've got major concerns about them translating to the field? All I remember reading leading up to the draft was that he was incredibly raw, and anyone selecting him would have to be patient. It seems like his struggles were to be expected, at least to a certain extent. What has changed since the draft?
Very excited. Looking forward to the lists. Reading prospect scouting reports and such is what the winter is good for.
I may be nitpicking, but I'd consider changing Montero's effect of moving to PETCO and the Padres as a minor loss. Sure, changing home ballparks is huge, but with Rizzo the expected long term answer at first base, Montero would have to play catcher. In yearly leagues, it would be a huge loss for Montero, but in keeper leagues, the value of retaining his catcher eligibility is worth noting.
I guess it must be nice having an unlimited payroll in your mythical world where people get what they trully deserve. For the rest of us, living in the real world, it was a mistake calling up Tim Lincecum as early as they had allowing his arbitration period to start earlier than necessary.