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skaron01
25 comments | 38 total rating | 1.52 average rating
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Baseball Prospectus http://bbp.cx/i/3592
skaron01
(3592)
Comment rating: 0

I sm surprised that Scott Cooper, 3B, Red Sox was too productive to make this list.

 
skaron01
(3592)
Comment rating: 0

Wanted to note a discrepancy on the Prospectus home page. Yelich is listed as the top prospect there. Thanks.

 
skaron01
(3592)
Comment rating: 12

he did give good evidence to the arbitor. He demonstrated to the arbitor that the test result was not sufficiently reliable because the sample was improperly handled. Now you may or may not choose to accept that, but to say "unless he gives good evidence" already demonstrates how you feel.

Feb 24, 2012 7:17 AM on Say It Ain't So, Braun!
 
skaron01
(3592)
Comment rating: 6

sorry for beating this drum again, but this technically is not a Chain of Custody issue in the usual sense. The chain of custody was not broken. The whereabouts of the sample seem to be known throughout the process. Instead it appears the issue is one of proper handling to establish reliabilty of the testing result. It's sort of like having the state prove that a radar gun that nailed you for speeding was properly calibrated. If the state testifies it didn't follow procedures for ensuring proper calibration, do you think you should be set free?

Feb 24, 2012 7:02 AM on Say It Ain't So, Braun!
 
skaron01
(3592)
Comment rating: 3

Wow. It needs to be noted that technically the Chain of Command was not "messed up". The sample's whereabouts are known throughout the process. The issue is more likely that for the medical testing results to be reliable, the handling of the sample needs to be done in a certain way, and such handling was not sufficiently achieved in this case.

Feb 24, 2012 6:56 AM on Say It Ain't So, Braun!
 
skaron01
(3592)
Comment rating: 3

"What I have read is Braun argued and won the case on a bare technicality, one, that given all other facts, would not change the outcome of the test." If the arbitor felt this way, he would have upheld the suspension. If the above were true, it would amount to "harmless error" in legal parlence. Due Process violations generally have to be beyond ones involving harmless error.

Feb 24, 2012 6:48 AM on Say It Ain't So, Braun!
 
skaron01
(3592)
Comment rating: 6

Nice to ignore the first sentence of that paragraph: "Again, until we have all the information before us, we can’t know exactly what went down here." In the OJ trial, we had access to all the information the jury had given the trial was fully televised.

Feb 24, 2012 6:40 AM on Say It Ain't So, Braun!
 
skaron01
(3592)
Comment rating: 0

We overlooked Scooter, whose talents were underappreciated and was a main reason why every show was ultimately a success. Was fairly tied to the hip with Kermit (the leader) in making things go smoothly. Not sure there is a great active comparison. Jeter as Kermit does not necessarily translate into Cano or Rivera as Scooter. Andy Pettitte or Bernie Williams feel like better fits. If we ignore the Jeter as Kermit part, then Brian McCann as Scooter (with Chipper being Kermit) works well for me. Any other suggestions?

Nov 23, 2011 1:06 PM on The Muppet Show
 
skaron01
(3592)
Comment rating: 0

My first thought when reaching Albert Pujols name was whether there is anyway to get fair value for him. If not, then the only trades that are going to take place are "present for future" type trades, "category" type trades or stupid trades. (no quotations needed)

Aug 30, 2011 1:18 PM on A Look at the Corners
 
skaron01
(3592)
Comment rating: 0
 
skaron01
(3592)
Comment rating: 1

Here's something to chew on. What if PECOTA were somehow inherently was projecting these players to come into the season in the best shape of their lives? (i.e. these players comps were guys who came into the next season in better shape.) Then you wouldn't be picking up the BSOTL effect fully.

 
skaron01
(3592)
Comment rating: 0

This was going to be my comment as well. Seems strange since he's projected for better rate stats than Huff who has a positive WARP.

Feb 17, 2011 10:11 AM on November 14-23
 
skaron01
(3592)
Comment rating: 0

I was assuming Richie was one of the beta testers when I replied.

 
skaron01
(3592)
Comment rating: 0

Your Latos discussion doesn't actually jump out as a "bug" to me given the nature of the two products.

 
skaron01
(3592)
Comment rating: 1

2011 PFM and depth charts - directed by Julie Taymor, Music by Bono and the Edge.

 
skaron01
(3592)
Comment rating: 1

or to quote another commercial - "I can't believe they're not scrubs!"

Mar 02, 2010 4:27 PM on June 17-23, 2002
 
skaron01
(3592)
Comment rating: 0

Zack Greinke is currently listed as "swing" for Pos. So I'm guessing if you are setting the roster numbers based on SP and RP, he may fall through the cracks. (He does appear if you include generic 'P"s though)

Feb 01, 2010 7:02 PM on May 30-June 1, 2002
 
skaron01
(3592)
Comment rating: 4

Hi Dave, I figure you actually thought there weren't significant issues with the data or you would have waited. I don't mind though letting us in the BP community be data scrubbers however, and so letting it go "temp" or "beta" probably is a good idea until it passes muster.

Jan 30, 2010 11:47 AM on May 30-June 1, 2002
 
skaron01
(3592)
Comment rating: 0

I'm also a little confused as to what this is adding. Isn't this SGP by another name?

 
skaron01
(3592)
Comment rating: 0

I would think a "dedicated specialist" who wrote well would be able to land himself a pretty good job without this contest. There are a lot of ways to get your work out there. Nate, Will and Kevin all started by dabbling in specific areas and developed a fan base.

May 27, 2009 6:53 PM on Catching Up
 
skaron01
(3592)
Comment rating: 0

Actually getting readers should be a critical element for a Prospectus Idol...

May 27, 2009 6:44 PM on Catching Up
 
skaron01
(3592)
Comment rating: 0

Clay - Thank you for making the PFM's replacement player logic match that of the rest of the site. I never understood why the general concept of replacement level for the PFM was different from the general concept used for VORP, etc.

Mar 27, 2009 5:32 PM on September 19-25, 2001
 
skaron01
(3592)
Comment rating: 1

I agree that is the definition of a weighted mean... the issue, as I understand it, is that your definition does not directly translate to the percentiles of the pecota projection. What I was trying to point out that based on normal distributions, the weighted mean tends to skew above the 50th percentile PECOTA projection. For the players I pointed out, that was not happening and I still can not see an obvious reason why it wasn\'t. The endpoints are not extreme enough.

 
skaron01
(3592)
Comment rating: 0

And another weighted mean issue... Check out Brandon Webb\'s weighted mean for ERA and WHIP... does not fall within the 50 to 60% numbers as one would expect.... Sorry Dave, I really hope you a nice weekend.

 
skaron01
(3592)
Comment rating: 0

Hi Dave, Thanks for all your endeavors here, and afraid I may be adding another one for you to undertake. It seems Buster Posey\'s weighted mean projection is off. Right now his weighted mean lines up between his 10th and 25th percentile projections. My general understanding is that the weighted mean tends to line up between the 50th and 60th percentiles as PAs increase as the player is projected to perform better. Am I missing something here?